The School of Odds
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
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Iowa Cubs v St. Paul Saints

Kickoff: 2026-08-13 23:38 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

8 sportsbooks (6 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Iowa Cubs (Local)

Prediction 37.74%2.65fair odd
EV -3.75%
Edge -1.47%
Kelly -2.42%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.55

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
36.72%38.25%37.73%41.39%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.282.492.522.5543.86%40.22%39.68%39.22%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

St. Paul Saints (Visit)

Prediction 62.26%1.61fair odd
EV +0.232%
Edge +0.144%
Kelly +0.381%
Growth +0.001%

assuming max odds 1.61

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
58.61%61.75%62.27%63.28%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.481.521.521.6167.57%65.74%65.79%62.11%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Iowa Cubs (Local): 37.74%; St. Paul Saints (Visit): 62.26%. For St. Paul Saints (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.606. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 1.610, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.232%.

Sportsbook Odds (8 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocalVisit ▼MarginUpdated
BetOnline.ag🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 41.39%EV -13.94%E -6.12%K -10.89%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 58.61%EV +0.232%E +0.144%K +0.381%G +0.001%6.0%2026-08-13 22:55
Caesars🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -3.75%E -1.47%K -2.42%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -4.75%E -3.10%K -8.96%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-13 22:54
1xBet🎯2.54I 39.37%NM 37.59%EV -4.13%E -1.63%K -2.68%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.41%EV -4.75%E -3.10%K -8.96%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-13 23:34
theScore Bet🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.64%E -2.26%K -3.76%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.75%E -3.10%K -8.96%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-13 22:55
BetRivers🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 38.32%EV -8.28%E -3.41%K -5.79%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 61.68%EV -5.99%E -3.97%K -11.75%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-13 19:39
FanDuel🎯2.54I 39.37%NM 37.13%EV -4.13%E -1.63%K -2.68%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.87%EV -6.62%E -4.41%K -13.23%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-13 23:00
Bovada🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.72%EV -3.75%E -1.47%K -2.42%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 63.28%EV -7.86%E -5.31%K -16.38%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-13 22:54
Betway🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.19%EV -5.64%E -2.26%K -3.76%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 62.81%EV -7.86%E -5.31%K -16.38%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-13 22:54
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.