语言:简体中文
Sydney Swans v Richmond Tigers
收盘赔率 — 按所选模型，根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始，因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →
胜负盘
Sydney Swans (主队)
预测 91.80%1.09公平赔率
EV -4.53%
优势 -4.36%
Kelly -113.31%
增长率 +0.000%
假设最高赔率为 1.04
博彩公司预测分布
87.78%91.54%91.71%93.21%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.011.031.031.0499.01%97.34%97.09%96.15%最小值均值中位数最大值
Richmond Tigers (客队)
预测 8.20%12.19公平赔率
EV +14.86%
优势 +1.06%
Kelly +1.14%
增长率 +0.170%
假设最高赔率为 14.00
博彩公司预测分布
6.79%8.46%8.29%12.22%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
7.4011.2011.0014.0013.51%8.93%9.09%7.14%最小值均值中位数最大值
按开赛前最后一组赔率，四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为：Sydney Swans (主队)：91.80%；Richmond Tigers (客队)：8.20%。 对于“Richmond Tigers (客队)”，该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为12.19。 当时有6家博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率；最佳赔率为14.00，对应+14.86%的正期望值。
博彩公司赔率 (26 家博彩公司)
我们与任何博彩公司均无关联，也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。
| 博彩公司 | 主队 | 客队 ▼ | 利润率 | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.02I 98.04%NM 93.21%EV -6.37%E -6.24%K -318.42%G +0.000% | 14.00I 7.14%NM 6.79%EV +14.86%E +1.06%K +1.14%G +0.170% | 5.2% | 2026-05-30 03:00 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.02I 98.04%NM 93.21%EV -6.37%E -6.24%K -318.42%G +0.000% | 14.00I 7.14%NM 6.79%EV +14.86%E +1.06%K +1.14%G +0.170% | 5.2% | 2026-05-30 02:59 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.02I 98.04%NM 93.21%EV -6.37%E -6.24%K -318.42%G +0.000% | 14.00I 7.14%NM 6.79%EV +14.86%E +1.06%K +1.14%G +0.170% | 5.2% | 2026-05-29 23:49 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.03I 97.09%NM 92.66%EV -5.45%E -5.29%K -181.68%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.34%EV +6.66%E +0.512%K +0.555%G +0.037% | 4.8% | 2026-05-30 01:40 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 1.02I 98.04%NM 92.72%EV -6.37%E -6.24%K -318.42%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.28%EV +6.66%E +0.512%K +0.555%G +0.037% | 5.7% | 2026-05-25 00:20 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.03I 97.09%NM 92.29%EV -5.45%E -5.29%K -181.68%G +0.000% | 12.33I 8.11%NM 7.71%EV +1.16%E +0.094%K +0.102%G +0.001% | 5.2% | 2026-05-30 02:50 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.03I 97.09%NM 92.10%EV -5.45%E -5.29%K -181.68%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.90%EV -1.55%E -0.129%K -0.141%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-30 02:50 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.03I 97.09%NM 92.10%EV -5.45%E -5.29%K -181.68%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.90%EV -1.55%E -0.129%K -0.141%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-30 01:40 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.02I 98.04%NM 92.17%EV -6.37%E -6.24%K -318.42%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.83%EV -1.55%E -0.129%K -0.141%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-30 01:39 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.04I 96.15%NM 91.71%EV -4.53%E -4.36%K -113.31%G +0.000% | 11.50I 8.70%NM 8.29%EV -5.65%E -0.491%K -0.538%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-30 02:30 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.04I 96.15%NM 91.36%EV -4.53%E -4.36%K -113.31%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.64%EV -9.75%E -0.887%K -0.975%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-29 02:19 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.03I 97.09%NM 91.44%EV -5.45%E -5.29%K -181.68%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.56%EV -9.75%E -0.887%K -0.975%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-30 03:00 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.03I 97.09%NM 91.44%EV -5.45%E -5.29%K -181.68%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.56%EV -9.75%E -0.887%K -0.975%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-30 03:10 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.03I 97.09%NM 91.44%EV -5.45%E -5.29%K -181.68%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.56%EV -9.75%E -0.887%K -0.975%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-30 03:10 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.03I 97.09%NM 91.44%EV -5.45%E -5.29%K -181.68%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.56%EV -9.75%E -0.887%K -0.975%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-30 03:10 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.03I 97.09%NM 91.44%EV -5.45%E -5.29%K -181.68%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.56%EV -9.75%E -0.887%K -0.975%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-30 03:10 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.03I 97.09%NM 91.44%EV -5.45%E -5.29%K -181.68%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.56%EV -9.75%E -0.887%K -0.975%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-28 22:59 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.03I 97.09%NM 91.44%EV -5.45%E -5.29%K -181.68%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.56%EV -9.75%E -0.887%K -0.975%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-28 22:59 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.01I 99.01%NM 91.59%EV -7.29%E -7.21%K -728.64%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.41%EV -9.75%E -0.887%K -0.975%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-05-25 06:30 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.03I 97.09%NM 91.07%EV -5.45%E -5.29%K -181.68%G +0.000% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 8.93%EV -13.85%E -1.32%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-30 02:10 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.01I 99.01%NM 91.23%EV -7.29%E -7.21%K -728.64%G +0.000% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 8.77%EV -13.85%E -1.32%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-05-30 02:30 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.04I 96.15%NM 90.58%EV -4.53%E -4.36%K -113.31%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.42%EV -17.96%E -1.80%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-30 02:29 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.02I 98.04%NM 90.74%EV -6.37%E -6.24%K -318.42%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.26%EV -17.96%E -1.80%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-05-29 23:28 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.03I 97.09%NM 88.59%EV -5.45%E -5.29%K -181.68%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.41%EV -34.37%E -4.30%K -4.91%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-05-29 02:30 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.03I 97.09%NM 88.59%EV -5.45%E -5.29%K -181.68%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.41%EV -34.37%E -4.30%K -4.91%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-05-29 02:29 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.03I 97.09%NM 87.78%EV -5.45%E -5.29%K -181.68%G +0.000% | 7.40I 13.51%NM 12.22%EV -39.29%E -5.31%K -6.14%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-05-30 03:10 |
利润率 = 利润率（超额概率） · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率
更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间，因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变，并不代表数据已经失效。通常，约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除；只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时，才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。
博彩交易所 (3)
| 博彩公司 | 主队 | 客队 | 利润率 ▲ | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.03I 97.09%NM 96.57% | 29.00I 3.45%NM 3.43% | 0.5% | 2026-05-30 03:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.03I 97.09%NM 96.57% | 29.00I 3.45%NM 3.43% | 0.5% | 2026-05-30 03:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.03I 97.09%NM 96.57% | 29.00I 3.45%NM 3.43% | 0.5% | 2026-05-30 03:10 |