Sydney Swans v Richmond Tigers

Inizio: 2026-05-30 03:16 UTC

Finale: Sydney Swans 170–56 Richmond Tigers

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

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26 bookmaker (7 nell’analisi )

92%

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: IQM

Sydney Swans (Casa)

Previsione 91.80%1.09quota equa

EV -4.53%

Vantaggio -4.36%

Kelly -113.31%

Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.04

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker

87.78%91.54%91.71%93.21%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Distribuzione delle quote

1.011.031.031.0499.01%97.34%97.09%96.15%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Richmond Tigers (Trasferta)

Previsione 8.20%12.19quota equa

EV +14.86%

Vantaggio +1.06%

Kelly +1.14%

Crescita +0.170%

ipotizzando la quota massima 14.00

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker

6.79%8.46%8.29%12.22%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Distribuzione delle quote

7.4011.2011.0014.0013.51%8.93%9.09%7.14%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Quote dei bookmaker (26 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

Bookmaker	Casa	Trasferta ▼	Margine	Aggiornamento
Ladbrokes (AU)	1.02I 98.04%NM 93.21%EV -6.37%E -6.24%K -318.42%G +0.000%	14.00I 7.14%NM 6.79%EV +14.86%E +1.06%K +1.14%G +0.170%	5.2%	2026-05-30 03:00
Neds	1.02I 98.04%NM 93.21%EV -6.37%E -6.24%K -318.42%G +0.000%	14.00I 7.14%NM 6.79%EV +14.86%E +1.06%K +1.14%G +0.170%	5.2%	2026-05-30 02:59
PointsBet (AU)	1.02I 98.04%NM 93.21%EV -6.37%E -6.24%K -318.42%G +0.000%	14.00I 7.14%NM 6.79%EV +14.86%E +1.06%K +1.14%G +0.170%	5.2%	2026-05-29 23:49
Bet Right	1.03I 97.09%NM 92.66%EV -5.45%E -5.29%K -181.68%G +0.000%	13.00I 7.69%NM 7.34%EV +6.66%E +0.512%K +0.555%G +0.037%	4.8%	2026-05-30 01:40
Dabble (AU)	1.02I 98.04%NM 92.72%EV -6.37%E -6.24%K -318.42%G +0.000%	13.00I 7.69%NM 7.28%EV +6.66%E +0.512%K +0.555%G +0.037%	5.7%	2026-05-25 00:20
Pinnacle	1.03I 97.09%NM 92.29%EV -5.45%E -5.29%K -181.68%G +0.000%	12.33I 8.11%NM 7.71%EV +1.16%E +0.094%K +0.102%G +0.001%	5.2%	2026-05-30 02:50
Betr (AU)	1.03I 97.09%NM 92.10%EV -5.45%E -5.29%K -181.68%G +0.000%	12.00I 8.33%NM 7.90%EV -1.55%E -0.129%K -0.141%G +0.000%	5.4%	2026-05-30 02:50
TAB	1.03I 97.09%NM 92.10%EV -5.45%E -5.29%K -181.68%G +0.000%	12.00I 8.33%NM 7.90%EV -1.55%E -0.129%K -0.141%G +0.000%	5.4%	2026-05-30 01:40
DraftKings	1.02I 98.04%NM 92.17%EV -6.37%E -6.24%K -318.42%G +0.000%	12.00I 8.33%NM 7.83%EV -1.55%E -0.129%K -0.141%G +0.000%	6.4%	2026-05-30 01:39
Coolbet	1.04I 96.15%NM 91.71%EV -4.53%E -4.36%K -113.31%G +0.000%	11.50I 8.70%NM 8.29%EV -5.65%E -0.491%K -0.538%G +0.000%	4.8%	2026-05-30 02:30
PlayUp	1.04I 96.15%NM 91.36%EV -4.53%E -4.36%K -113.31%G +0.000%	11.00I 9.09%NM 8.64%EV -9.75%E -0.887%K -0.975%G +0.000%	5.2%	2026-05-29 02:19
SportsBet	1.03I 97.09%NM 91.44%EV -5.45%E -5.29%K -181.68%G +0.000%	11.00I 9.09%NM 8.56%EV -9.75%E -0.887%K -0.975%G +0.000%	6.2%	2026-05-30 03:00
Unibet (NL)	1.03I 97.09%NM 91.44%EV -5.45%E -5.29%K -181.68%G +0.000%	11.00I 9.09%NM 8.56%EV -9.75%E -0.887%K -0.975%G +0.000%	6.2%	2026-05-30 03:10
Grosvenor	1.03I 97.09%NM 91.44%EV -5.45%E -5.29%K -181.68%G +0.000%	11.00I 9.09%NM 8.56%EV -9.75%E -0.887%K -0.975%G +0.000%	6.2%	2026-05-30 03:10
TABtouch	1.03I 97.09%NM 91.44%EV -5.45%E -5.29%K -181.68%G +0.000%	11.00I 9.09%NM 8.56%EV -9.75%E -0.887%K -0.975%G +0.000%	6.2%	2026-05-30 03:10
Casumo	1.03I 97.09%NM 91.44%EV -5.45%E -5.29%K -181.68%G +0.000%	11.00I 9.09%NM 8.56%EV -9.75%E -0.887%K -0.975%G +0.000%	6.2%	2026-05-30 03:10
Coral	1.03I 97.09%NM 91.44%EV -5.45%E -5.29%K -181.68%G +0.000%	11.00I 9.09%NM 8.56%EV -9.75%E -0.887%K -0.975%G +0.000%	6.2%	2026-05-28 22:59
Ladbrokes (UK)	1.03I 97.09%NM 91.44%EV -5.45%E -5.29%K -181.68%G +0.000%	11.00I 9.09%NM 8.56%EV -9.75%E -0.887%K -0.975%G +0.000%	6.2%	2026-05-28 22:59
Tipico (DE)	1.01I 99.01%NM 91.59%EV -7.29%E -7.21%K -728.64%G +0.000%	11.00I 9.09%NM 8.41%EV -9.75%E -0.887%K -0.975%G +0.000%	8.1%	2026-05-25 06:30
Unibet	1.03I 97.09%NM 91.07%EV -5.45%E -5.29%K -181.68%G +0.000%	10.50I 9.52%NM 8.93%EV -13.85%E -1.32%K -1.46%G +0.000%	6.6%	2026-05-30 02:10
NetBet (FR)	1.01I 99.01%NM 91.23%EV -7.29%E -7.21%K -728.64%G +0.000%	10.50I 9.52%NM 8.77%EV -13.85%E -1.32%K -1.46%G +0.000%	8.5%	2026-05-30 02:30
Paddy Power	1.04I 96.15%NM 90.58%EV -4.53%E -4.36%K -113.31%G +0.000%	10.00I 10.00%NM 9.42%EV -17.96%E -1.80%K -2.00%G +0.000%	6.2%	2026-05-30 02:29
Everygame	1.02I 98.04%NM 90.74%EV -6.37%E -6.24%K -318.42%G +0.000%	10.00I 10.00%NM 9.26%EV -17.96%E -1.80%K -2.00%G +0.000%	8.0%	2026-05-29 23:28
Betsson	1.03I 97.09%NM 88.59%EV -5.45%E -5.29%K -181.68%G +0.000%	8.00I 12.50%NM 11.41%EV -34.37%E -4.30%K -4.91%G +0.000%	9.6%	2026-05-29 02:30
NordicBet	1.03I 97.09%NM 88.59%EV -5.45%E -5.29%K -181.68%G +0.000%	8.00I 12.50%NM 11.41%EV -34.37%E -4.30%K -4.91%G +0.000%	9.6%	2026-05-29 02:29
Unibet (FR)	1.03I 97.09%NM 87.78%EV -5.45%E -5.29%K -181.68%G +0.000%	7.40I 13.51%NM 12.22%EV -39.29%E -5.31%K -6.14%G +0.000%	10.6%	2026-05-30 03:10

Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (3)

Bookmaker	Casa	Trasferta	Margine ▲	Aggiornamento
Betfair Exchange (UK)	1.03I 97.09%NM 96.57%	29.00I 3.45%NM 3.43%	0.5%	2026-05-30 03:10
Betfair Exchange (EU)	1.03I 97.09%NM 96.57%	29.00I 3.45%NM 3.43%	0.5%	2026-05-30 03:10
Betfair Exchange (AU)	1.03I 97.09%NM 96.57%	29.00I 3.45%NM 3.43%	0.5%	2026-05-30 03:10