語言:繁體中文
Sydney Swans v Collingwood Magpies
收盤賠率 — 在所選模型下，根據開賽前最後記錄的價格計算所得的機率與期望值。賽事已經開始，因此這些並非即時數據。 以所有已結算賽事的實際結果評估各模型機率預測的可靠度 →
獨贏
Sydney Swans (主隊)
預測 82.59%1.21公平賠率
EV -1.72%
優勢 -1.45%
Kelly -9.06%
成長率 +0.000%
假設最高賠率為 1.19
博彩公司預測分布
79.19%82.28%82.67%84.39%最小值平均值中位數最大值
賠率分布
1.061.141.141.1994.34%87.88%87.72%84.03%最小值平均值中位數最大值
Collingwood Magpies (客隊)
預測 17.41%5.74公平賠率
EV +4.48%
優勢 +0.747%
Kelly +0.896%
成長率 +0.040%
假設最高賠率為 6.00
博彩公司預測分布
15.61%17.72%17.33%20.81%最小值平均值中位數最大值
賠率分布
4.305.405.506.0023.26%18.53%18.18%16.67%最小值平均值中位數最大值
依開賽前最後一組賠率，四分位數間平均值 (精選名單)對獨贏的機率估計為：Sydney Swans (主隊)：82.59%；Collingwood Magpies (客隊)：17.41%。 對於「Collingwood Magpies (客隊)」，該估計相當於5.74的公平十進位賠率。 當時有11家博彩公司提供高於該水準的收盤賠率；最佳賠率為6.00，對應+4.48%的正期望值。
博彩公司賠率 (28 家博彩公司)
本站與任何博彩公司均無關聯，也不會從使用者與其進行的任何操作中獲利。
| 博彩公司 | 主隊 | 客隊 ▼ | 利潤率 | 更新時間 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| TAB🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -6.68%E -5.91%K -51.36%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV +4.48%E +0.747%K +0.896%G +0.040% | 5.2% | 2026-05-15 09:20 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -6.68%E -5.91%K -51.36%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV +4.48%E +0.747%K +0.896%G +0.040% | 5.2% | 2026-05-15 08:09 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 84.39%EV -8.33%E -7.50%K -75.72%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.61%EV +4.48%E +0.747%K +0.896%G +0.040% | 6.8% | 2026-05-15 09:20 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 83.94%EV -8.33%E -7.50%K -75.72%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.06%EV +0.998%E +0.172%K +0.208%G +0.002% | 7.3% | 2026-05-15 09:05 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 83.33%EV -5.03%E -4.37%K -33.50%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.67%EV +0.127%E +0.022%K +0.027%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-05-15 09:05 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 83.45%EV -5.85%E -5.13%K -41.79%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.55%EV +0.127%E +0.022%K +0.027%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-15 07:40 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 83.45%EV -5.85%E -5.13%K -41.79%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.55%EV +0.127%E +0.022%K +0.027%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-15 07:39 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 83.45%EV -5.85%E -5.13%K -41.79%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.55%EV +0.127%E +0.022%K +0.027%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-15 07:40 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 83.45%EV -5.85%E -5.13%K -41.79%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.55%EV +0.127%E +0.022%K +0.027%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-15 09:15 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 83.45%EV -5.85%E -5.13%K -41.79%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.55%EV +0.127%E +0.022%K +0.027%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-15 07:39 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 83.45%EV -5.85%E -5.13%K -41.79%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.55%EV +0.127%E +0.022%K +0.027%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-14 22:54 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 83.09%EV -5.85%E -5.13%K -41.79%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.91%EV -2.48%E -0.444%K -0.540%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-15 08:29 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 83.09%EV -5.85%E -5.13%K -41.79%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.91%EV -2.48%E -0.444%K -0.540%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-15 08:29 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -5.85%E -5.13%K -41.79%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -4.23%E -0.768%K -0.939%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-15 08:04 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 82.96%EV -6.68%E -5.91%K -51.36%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.04%EV -4.23%E -0.768%K -0.939%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-15 08:04 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 82.96%EV -6.68%E -5.91%K -51.36%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.04%EV -4.23%E -0.768%K -0.939%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-14 23:04 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 82.96%EV -6.68%E -5.91%K -51.36%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.04%EV -4.23%E -0.768%K -0.939%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-14 23:05 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 82.04%EV -4.20%E -3.62%K -26.25%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.96%EV -7.71%E -1.45%K -1.79%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-15 09:24 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 82.55%EV -7.50%E -6.70%K -62.53%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.45%EV -7.71%E -1.45%K -1.79%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-05-14 18:00 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.03%EV -5.03%E -4.37%K -33.50%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.97%EV -8.58%E -1.63%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-14 17:34 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.16%EV -5.85%E -5.13%K -41.79%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.84%EV -8.58%E -1.63%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-15 08:50 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.06I 94.34%NM 82.79%EV -12.46%E -11.75%K -207.64%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 17.21%EV -11.19%E -2.19%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 13.9% | 2026-05-15 07:04 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -3.37%E -2.88%K -19.85%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -12.93%E -2.59%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-15 06:39 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.19I 84.03%NM 79.59%EV -1.72%E -1.45%K -9.06%G +0.000% | 4.64I 21.55%NM 20.41%EV -19.20%E -4.14%K -5.28%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-15 09:14 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 80.00%EV -5.03%E -4.37%K -33.50%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.00%EV -19.90%E -4.33%K -5.53%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-05-15 06:59 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 80.00%EV -5.03%E -4.37%K -33.50%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.00%EV -19.90%E -4.33%K -5.53%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-05-15 06:59 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 79.51%EV -4.20%E -3.62%K -26.25%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.49%EV -21.64%E -4.81%K -6.18%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-05-15 09:20 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 79.19%EV -6.68%E -5.91%K -51.36%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 20.81%EV -25.12%E -5.84%K -7.61%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-05-15 09:19 |
利潤率 = 利潤率（超額機率） · I = 隱含機率 · NM = 無利潤率機率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 優勢 · K = Kelly 準則 · G = 投注資金成長率
更新時間 表示各家公司最後一次調整賠率的時間，因此較早的時間只代表賠率未再變動，不表示價格已失效。通常會排除約 15 分鐘內未收到資料的博彩公司；只有當整個市場的資料來源均停止更新時，才改為顯示最新記錄的價格。
博彩交易所 (3)
| 博彩公司 | 主隊 | 客隊 | 利潤率 ▲ | 更新時間 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.17I 85.47%NM 84.94% | 6.60I 15.15%NM 15.06% | 0.6% | 2026-05-15 09:19 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.17I 85.47%NM 84.94% | 6.60I 15.15%NM 15.06% | 0.6% | 2026-05-15 09:19 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.17I 85.47%NM 84.94% | 6.60I 15.15%NM 15.06% | 0.6% | 2026-05-15 09:19 |