La scuola delle quote

Sydney Swans v Collingwood Magpies

Inizio: 2026-05-15 09:30 UTC

Finale: Sydney Swans 81–75 Collingwood Magpies

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

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28 bookmaker (8 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: IQM

Sydney Swans (Casa)

Previsione 82.59%1.21quota equa
EV -1.72%
Vantaggio -1.45%
Kelly -9.06%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.19

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
79.19%82.28%82.67%84.39%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.061.141.141.1994.34%87.88%87.72%84.03%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Collingwood Magpies (Trasferta)

Previsione 17.41%5.74quota equa
EV +4.48%
Vantaggio +0.747%
Kelly +0.896%
Crescita +0.040%

ipotizzando la quota massima 6.00

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
15.61%17.72%17.33%20.81%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
4.305.405.506.0023.26%18.53%18.18%16.67%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Quote dei bookmaker (28 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasaTrasferta ▼MargineAggiornamento
TAB1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -6.68%E -5.91%K -51.36%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV +4.48%E +0.747%K +0.896%G +0.040%5.2%2026-05-15 09:20
PlayUp1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -6.68%E -5.91%K -51.36%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV +4.48%E +0.747%K +0.896%G +0.040%5.2%2026-05-15 08:09
DraftKings1.11I 90.09%NM 84.39%EV -8.33%E -7.50%K -75.72%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.61%EV +4.48%E +0.747%K +0.896%G +0.040%6.8%2026-05-15 09:20
Marathon Bet1.11I 90.09%NM 83.94%EV -8.33%E -7.50%K -75.72%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.06%EV +0.998%E +0.172%K +0.208%G +0.002%7.3%2026-05-15 09:05
Bet Right1.15I 86.96%NM 83.33%EV -5.03%E -4.37%K -33.50%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.67%EV +0.127%E +0.022%K +0.027%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-15 09:05
Grosvenor1.14I 87.72%NM 83.45%EV -5.85%E -5.13%K -41.79%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.55%EV +0.127%E +0.022%K +0.027%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-15 07:40
TABtouch1.14I 87.72%NM 83.45%EV -5.85%E -5.13%K -41.79%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.55%EV +0.127%E +0.022%K +0.027%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-15 07:39
Unibet (NL)1.14I 87.72%NM 83.45%EV -5.85%E -5.13%K -41.79%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.55%EV +0.127%E +0.022%K +0.027%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-15 07:40
Betr (AU)1.14I 87.72%NM 83.45%EV -5.85%E -5.13%K -41.79%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.55%EV +0.127%E +0.022%K +0.027%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-15 09:15
Casumo1.14I 87.72%NM 83.45%EV -5.85%E -5.13%K -41.79%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.55%EV +0.127%E +0.022%K +0.027%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-15 07:39
Dabble (AU)1.14I 87.72%NM 83.45%EV -5.85%E -5.13%K -41.79%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.55%EV +0.127%E +0.022%K +0.027%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-14 22:54
Neds1.14I 87.72%NM 83.09%EV -5.85%E -5.13%K -41.79%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.91%EV -2.48%E -0.444%K -0.540%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-15 08:29
Ladbrokes (AU)1.14I 87.72%NM 83.09%EV -5.85%E -5.13%K -41.79%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.91%EV -2.48%E -0.444%K -0.540%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-15 08:29
SportsBet1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -5.85%E -5.13%K -41.79%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -4.23%E -0.768%K -0.939%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-15 08:04
PointsBet (AU)1.13I 88.50%NM 82.96%EV -6.68%E -5.91%K -51.36%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.04%EV -4.23%E -0.768%K -0.939%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-15 08:04
Coral1.13I 88.50%NM 82.96%EV -6.68%E -5.91%K -51.36%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.04%EV -4.23%E -0.768%K -0.939%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-14 23:04
Ladbrokes (UK)1.13I 88.50%NM 82.96%EV -6.68%E -5.91%K -51.36%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.04%EV -4.23%E -0.768%K -0.939%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-14 23:05
Coolbet1.16I 86.21%NM 82.04%EV -4.20%E -3.62%K -26.25%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.96%EV -7.71%E -1.45%K -1.79%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-15 09:24
Tipico (DE)1.12I 89.29%NM 82.55%EV -7.50%E -6.70%K -62.53%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.45%EV -7.71%E -1.45%K -1.79%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-14 18:00
BetUS1.15I 86.96%NM 82.03%EV -5.03%E -4.37%K -33.50%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.97%EV -8.58%E -1.63%K -2.02%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-14 17:34
Unibet1.14I 87.72%NM 82.16%EV -5.85%E -5.13%K -41.79%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.84%EV -8.58%E -1.63%K -2.02%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-15 08:50
NetBet (FR)1.06I 94.34%NM 82.79%EV -12.46%E -11.75%K -207.64%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 17.21%EV -11.19%E -2.19%K -2.73%G +0.000%13.9%2026-05-15 07:04
Paddy Power1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -3.37%E -2.88%K -19.85%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -12.93%E -2.59%K -3.23%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-15 06:39
Pinnacle1.19I 84.03%NM 79.59%EV -1.72%E -1.45%K -9.06%G +0.000%4.64I 21.55%NM 20.41%EV -19.20%E -4.14%K -5.28%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-15 09:14
Betsson1.15I 86.96%NM 80.00%EV -5.03%E -4.37%K -33.50%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.00%EV -19.90%E -4.33%K -5.53%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-15 06:59
NordicBet1.15I 86.96%NM 80.00%EV -5.03%E -4.37%K -33.50%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.00%EV -19.90%E -4.33%K -5.53%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-15 06:59
Everygame1.16I 86.21%NM 79.51%EV -4.20%E -3.62%K -26.25%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.49%EV -21.64%E -4.81%K -6.18%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-15 09:20
Unibet (FR)1.13I 88.50%NM 79.19%EV -6.68%E -5.91%K -51.36%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 20.81%EV -25.12%E -5.84%K -7.61%G +0.000%11.8%2026-05-15 09:19
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (3)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.17I 85.47%NM 84.94%6.60I 15.15%NM 15.06%0.6%2026-05-15 09:19
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.17I 85.47%NM 84.94%6.60I 15.15%NM 15.06%0.6%2026-05-15 09:19
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.17I 85.47%NM 84.94%6.60I 15.15%NM 15.06%0.6%2026-05-15 09:19