The School of OddsSydney Swans v Adelaide Crows
Head to Head
1 bookmaker(s) offer a different number of options for this market (3-way vs the 2-way used in analysis). Analysis results should be taken with caution due to this disparity.
Sydney Swans (Local)
Prediction 62.84%1.59fair odd
EV -3.85%
Edge -2.51%
Kelly -7.26%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.53
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
61.50%62.87%62.80%63.97%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
1.381.501.511.5372%67%66%65%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Adelaide Crows (Visit)
Prediction 37.16%2.69fair odd
EV -3.40%
Edge -1.31%
Kelly -2.12%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.60
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
36.03%37.13%37.20%38.50%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
2.302.492.502.6043%40%40%38%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Sportsbook Odds (20 sportsbooks)
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Paddy Power | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -3.85%E -2.51%K -7.26%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -7.11%E -2.84%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-12 06:29 |
| PlayUp | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -3.85%E -2.51%K -7.26%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -8.97%E -3.66%K -6.19%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-07-12 08:04 |
| TAB | 1.52I 65.79%NM 62.65%EV -4.48%E -2.94%K -8.61%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.35%EV -5.25%E -2.06%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-07-12 06:29 |
| SportsBet | 1.52I 65.79%NM 62.38%EV -4.48%E -2.94%K -8.61%G +0.000% | 2.52I 39.68%NM 37.62%EV -6.37%E -2.53%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-07-12 09:14 |
| Neds | 1.52I 65.79%NM 62.19%EV -4.48%E -2.94%K -8.61%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.81%EV -7.11%E -2.84%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-07-12 06:29 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.52I 65.79%NM 62.19%EV -4.48%E -2.94%K -8.61%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.81%EV -7.11%E -2.84%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-07-12 06:29 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.52I 65.79%NM 62.19%EV -4.48%E -2.94%K -8.61%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.81%EV -7.11%E -2.84%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-07-12 09:19 |
| Unibet | 1.52I 65.79%NM 62.00%EV -4.48%E -2.94%K -8.61%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.00%EV -7.85%E -3.17%K -5.31%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-07-12 09:40 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -5.10%E -3.38%K -10.01%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -5.25%E -2.06%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-12 09:39 |
| Grosvenor | 1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -5.10%E -3.38%K -10.01%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -5.25%E -2.06%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-12 09:35 |
| Casumo | 1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -5.10%E -3.38%K -10.01%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -5.25%E -2.06%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-12 09:35 |
| TABtouch | 1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -5.10%E -3.38%K -10.01%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -5.25%E -2.06%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-12 09:40 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.51I 66.23%NM 62.34%EV -5.10%E -3.38%K -10.01%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.66%EV -7.11%E -2.84%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-07-12 06:29 |
| Coolbet | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -5.73%E -3.82%K -11.47%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -3.40%E -1.31%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-12 06:39 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.03%EV -5.73%E -3.82%K -11.47%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%EV -8.97%E -3.66%K -6.19%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-07-12 12:24 |
| NordicBet | 1.48I 67.57%NM 61.86%EV -6.99%E -4.72%K -14.56%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.14%EV -10.83%E -4.51%K -7.73%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-07-12 06:29 |
| Betsson | 1.48I 67.57%NM 61.86%EV -6.99%E -4.72%K -14.56%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.14%EV -10.83%E -4.51%K -7.73%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-07-12 06:29 |
| Tipico (DE) | 1.45I 68.97%NM 63.75%EV -8.88%E -6.12%K -19.72%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.25%EV -5.25%E -2.06%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-07-12 12:49 |
| Unibet (FR) | 1.44I 69.44%NM 61.50%EV -9.50%E -6.60%K -21.60%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.50%EV -14.54%E -6.32%K -11.19%G +0.000% | 12.9% | 2026-07-12 06:34 |
| NetBet (FR) | 1.38I 72.46%NM 63.97%EV -13.27%E -9.62%K -34.93%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.03%EV -8.97%E -3.66%K -6.19%G +0.000% | 13.3% | 2026-07-12 09:50 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (3)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.25% | 2.66I 37.59%NM 35.75% | 5.2% | 2026-07-12 13:59 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.25% | 2.66I 37.59%NM 35.75% | 5.2% | 2026-07-12 14:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.25% | 2.66I 37.59%NM 35.75% | 5.2% | 2026-07-12 14:05 |
Other bookmakers — not included in analysis (1)
These bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market and are excluded from the analysis. Their odds are shown for reference only — the settlement rules of their bets may differ and carry additional uncertainty.
| Bookmaker | Option 1 | Option 2 | Option 3 | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LeoVegas | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.31% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.54% | 80.00I 1.25%NM 1.15% | 8.7% | 2026-07-12 06:29 |