Language:English
St Kilda Saints v Carlton Blues
Head to Head
St Kilda Saints (Local)
Prediction 44.49%2.25fair odd
EV -4.34%
Edge -2.02%
Kelly -3.77%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.15
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
44.00%44.48%44.49%45.45%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.972.102.102.1550.76%47.55%47.62%46.51%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Carlton Blues (Visit)
Prediction 55.51%1.80fair odd
EV -2.86%
Edge -1.64%
Kelly -3.82%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.75
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
54.55%55.52%55.51%56.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.581.701.701.7563.29%58.89%58.82%57.14%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: St Kilda Saints (Local): 44.49%; Carlton Blues (Visit): 55.51%. For Carlton Blues (Visit), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.80. No eligible bookmaker offers odds above that level: the best available odds are 1.75, with an expected value of -2.86%; they do not produce positive expected value.
1 bookmaker offers a different number of options for this market (3-way vs the 2-way used in analysis). Analysis results should be taken with caution due to this disparity.
Sportsbook Odds (27 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -4.34%E -2.02%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -5.08%E -2.97%K -7.16%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-08 02:00 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -4.34%E -2.02%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -5.64%E -3.32%K -8.06%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-06 22:55 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -4.34%E -2.02%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -5.64%E -3.32%K -8.06%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-05 02:49 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -4.34%E -2.02%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -5.64%E -3.32%K -8.06%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-05 02:49 |
| TAB🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -4.34%E -2.02%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -5.64%E -3.32%K -8.06%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-08 02:00 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -4.34%E -2.02%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -5.64%E -3.32%K -8.06%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-08 02:19 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -4.34%E -2.02%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -5.64%E -3.32%K -8.06%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-05 06:04 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -4.34%E -2.02%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -6.19%E -3.67%K -8.98%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-08 02:00 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.13I 46.95%NM 44.39%EV -5.23%E -2.45%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.61%EV -5.64%E -3.32%K -8.06%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-08 04:25 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.94%EV -5.67%E -2.68%K -5.06%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 55.06%EV -3.97%E -2.30%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-08 02:30 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -5.67%E -2.68%K -5.06%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -4.53%E -2.63%K -6.29%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-07 07:45 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -6.56%E -3.13%K -5.97%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -2.86%E -1.64%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-06 10:05 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -6.56%E -3.13%K -5.97%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -3.97%E -2.30%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-06 22:55 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -6.56%E -3.13%K -5.97%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -3.97%E -2.30%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-07 20:55 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -6.56%E -3.13%K -5.97%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -3.97%E -2.30%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-07 20:55 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -6.56%E -3.13%K -5.97%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -3.97%E -2.30%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-07 20:54 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -6.56%E -3.13%K -5.97%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -3.97%E -2.30%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-07 20:55 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -6.56%E -3.13%K -5.97%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -5.64%E -3.32%K -8.06%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-07 22:50 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -6.56%E -3.13%K -5.97%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -5.64%E -3.32%K -8.06%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-07 22:50 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -6.56%E -3.13%K -5.97%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -5.64%E -3.32%K -8.06%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-08 02:30 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.00%EV -6.56%E -3.13%K -5.97%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.00%EV -8.42%E -5.10%K -12.95%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-08-07 03:10 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 44.68%EV -7.45%E -3.58%K -6.90%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 55.32%EV -6.75%E -4.02%K -9.93%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-07 23:30 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.07I 48.31%NM 45.38%EV -7.90%E -3.82%K -7.38%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.62%EV -4.53%E -2.63%K -6.29%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-07 20:55 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.04%EV -8.79%E -4.29%K -8.37%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 54.96%EV -6.75%E -4.02%K -9.93%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-08-08 04:25 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.04%EV -8.79%E -4.29%K -8.37%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 54.96%EV -6.75%E -4.02%K -9.93%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-08-08 04:25 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.99I 50.25%NM 44.26%EV -11.46%E -5.76%K -11.57%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 55.74%EV -12.30%E -7.79%K -21.21%G +0.000% | 13.5% | 2026-08-08 01:59 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.97I 50.76%NM 44.97%EV -12.35%E -6.27%K -12.73%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 55.03%EV -10.64%E -6.61%K -17.43%G +0.000% | 12.9% | 2026-08-08 04:20 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (3)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.22I 45.05%NM 44.78% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 55.22% | 0.6% | 2026-08-08 06:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.22I 45.05%NM 44.78% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 55.22% | 0.6% | 2026-08-08 06:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.22I 45.05%NM 44.78% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 55.22% | 0.6% | 2026-08-08 06:10 |
Other bookmakers — not included in analysis (1)
These bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market and are excluded from the analysis. Their odds are shown for reference only — the settlement rules of their bets may differ and carry additional uncertainty.
| Bookmaker | Option 1 | Option 2 | Option 3 | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 44.02% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 54.83% | 80.00I 1.25%NM 1.14% | 9.2% | 2026-08-08 04:20 |