语言:简体中文
St Kilda Saints v Carlton Blues
收盘赔率 — 按所选模型，根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始，因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →
胜负盘
St Kilda Saints (主队)
预测 49.20%2.03公平赔率
EV +3.33%
优势 +1.58%
Kelly +3.03%
增长率 +0.101%
假设最高赔率为 2.10
博彩公司预测分布
44.00%48.57%49.61%50.00%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.751.921.912.1057.14%51.96%52.36%47.62%最小值均值中位数最大值
Carlton Blues (客队)
预测 50.80%1.97公平赔率
EV -2.98%
优势 -1.56%
Kelly -3.27%
增长率 +0.000%
假设最高赔率为 1.91
博彩公司预测分布
50.00%51.43%50.39%56.00%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.651.851.881.9160.61%54.08%53.19%52.36%最小值均值中位数最大值
按开赛前最后一组赔率，四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为：St Kilda Saints (主队)：49.20%；Carlton Blues (客队)：50.80%。 对于“St Kilda Saints (主队)”，该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为2.03。 当时有3家博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率；最佳赔率为2.10，对应+3.33%的正期望值。
有 3 家博彩公司为该盘口提供了不同数量的选项（3 个赛果，而分析采用 2 个赛果）。由于这一差异，应谨慎看待分析结果。
博彩公司赔率 (25 家博彩公司)
我们与任何博彩公司均无关联，也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。
| 博彩公司 | 主队 ▼ | 客队 | 利润率 | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV +3.33%E +1.58%K +3.03%G +0.101% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -13.65%E -8.03%K -19.49%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-07 22:50 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV +3.33%E +1.58%K +3.03%G +0.101% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -13.65%E -8.03%K -19.49%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-07 22:50 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.00%EV +3.33%E +1.58%K +3.03%G +0.101% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.00%EV -16.19%E -9.81%K -24.90%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-08-07 03:10 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.96I 51.02%NM 48.42%EV -3.56%E -1.82%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 1.84I 54.35%NM 51.58%EV -6.53%E -3.55%K -7.78%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-09 07:35 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 49.48%EV -4.05%E -2.08%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.52%EV -2.98%E -1.56%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-08-09 09:15 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.94I 51.55%NM 47.99%EV -4.54%E -2.34%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 52.01%EV -9.07%E -5.07%K -11.49%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-08-09 09:10 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 49.61%EV -5.04%E -2.61%K -5.42%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.39%EV -3.49%E -1.84%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-08-09 09:15 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV -5.53%E -2.88%K -6.01%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV -4.50%E -2.40%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-09 09:10 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV -5.53%E -2.88%K -6.01%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV -4.50%E -2.40%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-09 09:10 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV -5.53%E -2.88%K -6.01%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV -4.50%E -2.40%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-09 09:10 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV -5.53%E -2.88%K -6.01%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV -4.50%E -2.40%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-09 09:10 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -6.02%E -3.15%K -6.62%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -2.98%E -1.56%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-09 09:18 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -6.02%E -3.15%K -6.62%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -7.04%E -3.85%K -8.49%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-09 09:20 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -6.51%E -3.43%K -7.24%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -3.49%E -1.84%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-09 09:05 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -6.51%E -3.43%K -7.24%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -3.49%E -1.84%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-09 09:04 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -6.51%E -3.43%K -7.24%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -3.49%E -1.84%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-09 09:10 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -6.51%E -3.43%K -7.24%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -3.49%E -1.84%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-09 08:15 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -6.51%E -3.43%K -7.24%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -3.49%E -1.84%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-09 08:15 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -6.51%E -3.43%K -7.24%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -3.49%E -1.84%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-09 09:10 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -6.51%E -3.43%K -7.24%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -3.49%E -1.84%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-09 09:15 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -6.51%E -3.43%K -7.24%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -3.49%E -1.84%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-09 09:05 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 49.47%EV -6.51%E -3.43%K -7.24%G +0.000% | 1.86I 53.76%NM 50.53%EV -5.52%E -2.97%K -6.42%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-09 09:09 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -7.99%E -4.27%K -9.18%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -5.01%E -2.68%K -5.76%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-09 09:05 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.81I 55.25%NM 49.86%EV -10.94%E -6.04%K -13.51%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.14%EV -8.57%E -4.76%K -10.71%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-08-09 09:10 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 50.00%EV -13.89%E -7.94%K -18.52%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 50.00%EV -11.11%E -6.35%K -14.81%G +0.000% | 14.3% | 2026-08-09 09:19 |
利润率 = 利润率（超额概率） · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率
更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间，因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变，并不代表数据已经失效。通常，约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除；只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时，才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。
博彩交易所 (3)
| 博彩公司 | 主队 | 客队 | 利润率 ▲ | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.00I 50.00%NM 49.87% | 1.99I 50.25%NM 50.13% | 0.3% | 2026-08-09 09:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.00I 50.00%NM 49.87% | 1.99I 50.25%NM 50.13% | 0.3% | 2026-08-09 09:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.00I 50.00%NM 49.87% | 1.99I 50.25%NM 50.13% | 0.3% | 2026-08-09 09:20 |
其他博彩公司 — 未纳入分析 (3)
这些博彩公司为该盘口提供的选项数量不同，因而未纳入分析。其赔率仅供参考——相关投注的结算规则可能不同，并带来额外的不确定性。
| 博彩公司 | 选项 1 | 选项 2 | 选项 3 | 利润率 ▲ | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 48.88% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.20% | 100.00I 1.00%NM 0.93% | 7.7% | 2026-08-09 09:20 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 48.88% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.20% | 100.00I 1.00%NM 0.93% | 7.7% | 2026-08-09 09:20 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.43% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.43% | 80.00I 1.25%NM 1.14% | 9.4% | 2026-08-09 09:10 |