預設模型四分位數間平均值 (精選名單)

Richmond Tigers v Melbourne Demons

開賽時間: 2026-04-24 09:40 UTC

收盤賠率 — 在所選模型下,根據開賽前最後記錄的價格計算所得的機率與期望值。賽事已經開始,因此這些並非即時數據。 以所有已結算賽事的實際結果評估各模型機率預測的可靠度 →

獨贏

28 家博彩公司 (8 家納入分析 )

模型估計的各結果發生機率:四分位數間平均值 (精選名單)

Richmond Tigers (主隊)

預測 16.13%6.20公平賠率
EV +4.87%
優勢 +0.749%
Kelly +0.885%
成長率 +0.043%

假設最高賠率為 6.50

博彩公司預測分布
14.25%16.05%16.13%18.78%最小值平均值中位數最大值
賠率分布
4.805.836.006.5020.83%17.16%16.67%15.38%最小值平均值中位數最大值

Melbourne Demons (客隊)

預測 83.87%1.19公平賠率
EV -4.39%
優勢 -3.85%
Kelly -31.38%
成長率 +0.000%

假設最高賠率為 1.14

博彩公司預測分布
81.22%83.95%83.87%85.75%最小值平均值中位數最大值
賠率分布
1.051.121.121.1495.24%89.43%89.29%87.72%最小值平均值中位數最大值

依開賽前最後一組賠率,四分位數間平均值 (精選名單)對獨贏的機率估計為:Richmond Tigers (主隊):16.13%;Melbourne Demons (客隊):83.87%。 對於「Richmond Tigers (主隊)」,該估計相當於6.20的公平十進位賠率。 當時有2家博彩公司提供高於該水準的收盤賠率;最佳賠率為6.50,對應+4.87%的正期望值。

博彩公司賠率 (28 家博彩公司)

本站與任何博彩公司均無關聯,也不會從使用者與其進行的任何操作中獲利。

博彩公司主隊 ▼客隊利潤率更新時間
Marathon Bet🎯6.50I 15.38%NM 14.25%EV +4.87%E +0.749%K +0.885%G +0.043%1.08I 92.59%NM 85.75%EV -9.42%E -8.73%K -117.81%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-24 02:45
Tipico (DE)🎯6.50I 15.38%NM 14.25%EV +4.87%E +0.749%K +0.885%G +0.043%1.08I 92.59%NM 85.75%EV -9.42%E -8.73%K -117.81%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-23 06:45
Casumo🎯6.10I 16.39%NM 15.51%EV -1.58%E -0.260%K -0.311%G +0.000%1.12I 89.29%NM 84.49%EV -6.07%E -5.42%K -50.58%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-24 00:14
Unibet (NL)🎯6.10I 16.39%NM 15.51%EV -1.58%E -0.260%K -0.311%G +0.000%1.12I 89.29%NM 84.49%EV -6.07%E -5.42%K -50.58%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-24 00:15
Grosvenor🎯6.10I 16.39%NM 15.51%EV -1.58%E -0.260%K -0.311%G +0.000%1.12I 89.29%NM 84.49%EV -6.07%E -5.42%K -50.58%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-24 00:14
TABtouch🎯6.10I 16.39%NM 15.51%EV -1.58%E -0.260%K -0.311%G +0.000%1.12I 89.29%NM 84.49%EV -6.07%E -5.42%K -50.58%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-24 00:14
SportsBet🎯6.05I 16.53%NM 15.74%EV -2.39%E -0.395%K -0.473%G +0.000%1.13I 88.50%NM 84.26%EV -5.23%E -4.63%K -40.24%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-23 13:55
Coolbet🎯6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -3.20%E -0.533%K -0.639%G +0.000%1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -5.23%E -4.63%K -40.24%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-23 14:29
Neds🎯6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -3.20%E -0.533%K -0.639%G +0.000%1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -5.23%E -4.63%K -40.24%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-20 03:00
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -3.20%E -0.533%K -0.639%G +0.000%1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -5.23%E -4.63%K -40.24%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-20 02:59
PlayUp🎯6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -3.20%E -0.533%K -0.639%G +0.000%1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -5.23%E -4.63%K -40.24%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-24 02:50
Bet Right🎯6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -3.20%E -0.533%K -0.639%G +0.000%1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -5.23%E -4.63%K -40.24%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-23 13:59
Dabble (AU)🎯6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -3.20%E -0.533%K -0.639%G +0.000%1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -5.23%E -4.63%K -40.24%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-23 06:34
BetUS🎯6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -3.20%E -0.533%K -0.639%G +0.000%1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -6.07%E -5.42%K -50.58%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-23 02:30
Coral🎯6.00I 16.67%NM 15.61%EV -3.20%E -0.533%K -0.639%G +0.000%1.11I 90.09%NM 84.39%EV -6.91%E -6.22%K -62.81%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-22 02:58
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯6.00I 16.67%NM 15.61%EV -3.20%E -0.533%K -0.639%G +0.000%1.11I 90.09%NM 84.39%EV -6.91%E -6.22%K -62.81%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-22 04:44
Everygame🎯6.00I 16.67%NM 15.49%EV -3.20%E -0.533%K -0.639%G +0.000%1.10I 90.91%NM 84.51%EV -7.75%E -7.04%K -77.47%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-24 01:10
TAB🎯5.80I 17.24%NM 16.43%EV -6.42%E -1.11%K -1.34%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 83.57%EV -4.39%E -3.85%K -31.38%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-24 03:30
Pinnacle🎯5.78I 17.30%NM 16.23%EV -6.75%E -1.17%K -1.41%G +0.000%1.12I 89.29%NM 83.77%EV -6.07%E -5.42%K -50.58%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-24 03:00
Betr (AU)🎯5.75I 17.39%NM 16.55%EV -7.23%E -1.26%K -1.52%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 83.45%EV -4.39%E -3.85%K -31.38%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-24 03:40
DraftKings🎯5.75I 17.39%NM 16.42%EV -7.23%E -1.26%K -1.52%G +0.000%1.13I 88.50%NM 83.58%EV -5.23%E -4.63%K -40.24%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-24 03:30
Paddy Power🎯5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -11.26%E -2.05%K -2.50%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -4.39%E -3.85%K -31.38%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-23 13:54
PointsBet (AU)🎯5.50I 18.18%NM 17.04%EV -11.26%E -2.05%K -2.50%G +0.000%1.13I 88.50%NM 82.96%EV -5.23%E -4.63%K -40.24%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-24 03:29
NetBet (FR)🎯5.50I 18.18%NM 16.03%EV -11.26%E -2.05%K -2.50%G +0.000%1.05I 95.24%NM 83.97%EV -11.94%E -11.37%K -238.81%G +0.000%13.4%2026-04-23 14:30
Unibet🎯5.30I 18.87%NM 17.45%EV -14.49%E -2.73%K -3.37%G +0.000%1.12I 89.29%NM 82.55%EV -6.07%E -5.42%K -50.58%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-24 00:14
Betsson🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.30%EV -19.33%E -3.87%K -4.83%G +0.000%1.12I 89.29%NM 81.70%EV -6.07%E -5.42%K -50.58%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-24 01:45
NordicBet🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.30%EV -19.33%E -3.87%K -4.83%G +0.000%1.12I 89.29%NM 81.70%EV -6.07%E -5.42%K -50.58%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-24 01:44
Unibet (FR)🎯4.80I 20.83%NM 18.78%EV -22.56%E -4.70%K -5.94%G +0.000%1.11I 90.09%NM 81.22%EV -6.91%E -6.22%K -62.81%G +0.000%10.9%2026-04-24 01:45
利潤率 = 利潤率(超額機率) · I = 隱含機率 · NM = 無利潤率機率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 優勢 · K = Kelly 準則 · G = 投注資金成長率

更新時間 表示各家公司最後一次調整賠率的時間,因此較早的時間只代表賠率未再變動,不表示價格已失效。通常會排除約 15 分鐘內未收到資料的博彩公司;只有當整個市場的資料來源均停止更新時,才改為顯示最新記錄的價格。

博彩交易所 (3)

博彩公司主隊客隊利潤率 ▲更新時間
Betfair Exchange (UK)6.40I 15.63%NM 15.57%1.18I 84.75%NM 84.43%0.4%2026-04-24 03:20
Betfair Exchange (EU)6.20I 16.13%NM 15.99%1.18I 84.75%NM 84.01%0.9%2026-04-24 03:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)6.20I 16.13%NM 15.99%1.18I 84.75%NM 84.01%0.9%2026-04-24 03:45