语言:简体中文
Richmond Tigers v Melbourne Demons
收盘赔率 — 按所选模型，根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始，因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →
胜负盘
Richmond Tigers (主队)
预测 16.13%6.20公平赔率
EV +4.87%
优势 +0.749%
Kelly +0.885%
增长率 +0.043%
假设最高赔率为 6.50
博彩公司预测分布
14.25%16.05%16.13%18.78%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
4.805.836.006.5020.83%17.16%16.67%15.38%最小值均值中位数最大值
Melbourne Demons (客队)
预测 83.87%1.19公平赔率
EV -4.39%
优势 -3.85%
Kelly -31.38%
增长率 +0.000%
假设最高赔率为 1.14
博彩公司预测分布
81.22%83.95%83.87%85.75%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.051.121.121.1495.24%89.43%89.29%87.72%最小值均值中位数最大值
按开赛前最后一组赔率，四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为：Richmond Tigers (主队)：16.13%；Melbourne Demons (客队)：83.87%。 对于“Richmond Tigers (主队)”，该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为6.20。 当时有2家博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率；最佳赔率为6.50，对应+4.87%的正期望值。
博彩公司赔率 (28 家博彩公司)
我们与任何博彩公司均无关联，也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。
| 博彩公司 | 主队 ▼ | 客队 | 利润率 | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.25%EV +4.87%E +0.749%K +0.885%G +0.043% | 1.08I 92.59%NM 85.75%EV -9.42%E -8.73%K -117.81%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-04-24 02:45 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.25%EV +4.87%E +0.749%K +0.885%G +0.043% | 1.08I 92.59%NM 85.75%EV -9.42%E -8.73%K -117.81%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-04-23 06:45 |
| Casumo🎯 | 6.10I 16.39%NM 15.51%EV -1.58%E -0.260%K -0.311%G +0.000% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.49%EV -6.07%E -5.42%K -50.58%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-04-24 00:14 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 6.10I 16.39%NM 15.51%EV -1.58%E -0.260%K -0.311%G +0.000% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.49%EV -6.07%E -5.42%K -50.58%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-04-24 00:15 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 6.10I 16.39%NM 15.51%EV -1.58%E -0.260%K -0.311%G +0.000% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.49%EV -6.07%E -5.42%K -50.58%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-04-24 00:14 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 6.10I 16.39%NM 15.51%EV -1.58%E -0.260%K -0.311%G +0.000% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.49%EV -6.07%E -5.42%K -50.58%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-04-24 00:14 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 6.05I 16.53%NM 15.74%EV -2.39%E -0.395%K -0.473%G +0.000% | 1.13I 88.50%NM 84.26%EV -5.23%E -4.63%K -40.24%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-23 13:55 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -3.20%E -0.533%K -0.639%G +0.000% | 1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -5.23%E -4.63%K -40.24%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-23 14:29 |
| Neds🎯 | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -3.20%E -0.533%K -0.639%G +0.000% | 1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -5.23%E -4.63%K -40.24%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-20 03:00 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -3.20%E -0.533%K -0.639%G +0.000% | 1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -5.23%E -4.63%K -40.24%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-20 02:59 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -3.20%E -0.533%K -0.639%G +0.000% | 1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -5.23%E -4.63%K -40.24%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-24 02:50 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -3.20%E -0.533%K -0.639%G +0.000% | 1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -5.23%E -4.63%K -40.24%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-23 13:59 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -3.20%E -0.533%K -0.639%G +0.000% | 1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -5.23%E -4.63%K -40.24%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-23 06:34 |
| BetUS🎯 | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -3.20%E -0.533%K -0.639%G +0.000% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -6.07%E -5.42%K -50.58%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-04-23 02:30 |
| Coral🎯 | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.61%EV -3.20%E -0.533%K -0.639%G +0.000% | 1.11I 90.09%NM 84.39%EV -6.91%E -6.22%K -62.81%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-04-22 02:58 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.61%EV -3.20%E -0.533%K -0.639%G +0.000% | 1.11I 90.09%NM 84.39%EV -6.91%E -6.22%K -62.81%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-04-22 04:44 |
| Everygame🎯 | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.49%EV -3.20%E -0.533%K -0.639%G +0.000% | 1.10I 90.91%NM 84.51%EV -7.75%E -7.04%K -77.47%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-04-24 01:10 |
| TAB🎯 | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.43%EV -6.42%E -1.11%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 83.57%EV -4.39%E -3.85%K -31.38%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-24 03:30 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 5.78I 17.30%NM 16.23%EV -6.75%E -1.17%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 83.77%EV -6.07%E -5.42%K -50.58%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-04-24 03:00 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.55%EV -7.23%E -1.26%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 83.45%EV -4.39%E -3.85%K -31.38%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-24 03:40 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.42%EV -7.23%E -1.26%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 1.13I 88.50%NM 83.58%EV -5.23%E -4.63%K -40.24%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-04-24 03:30 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -11.26%E -2.05%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -4.39%E -3.85%K -31.38%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-04-23 13:54 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.04%EV -11.26%E -2.05%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 1.13I 88.50%NM 82.96%EV -5.23%E -4.63%K -40.24%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-04-24 03:29 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.03%EV -11.26%E -2.05%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 1.05I 95.24%NM 83.97%EV -11.94%E -11.37%K -238.81%G +0.000% | 13.4% | 2026-04-23 14:30 |
| Unibet🎯 | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.45%EV -14.49%E -2.73%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 82.55%EV -6.07%E -5.42%K -50.58%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-04-24 00:14 |
| Betsson🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.30%EV -19.33%E -3.87%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 81.70%EV -6.07%E -5.42%K -50.58%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-04-24 01:45 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.30%EV -19.33%E -3.87%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 81.70%EV -6.07%E -5.42%K -50.58%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-04-24 01:44 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.78%EV -22.56%E -4.70%K -5.94%G +0.000% | 1.11I 90.09%NM 81.22%EV -6.91%E -6.22%K -62.81%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-04-24 01:45 |
利润率 = 利润率（超额概率） · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率
更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间，因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变，并不代表数据已经失效。通常，约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除；只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时，才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。
博彩交易所 (3)
| 博彩公司 | 主队 | 客队 | 利润率 ▲ | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 6.40I 15.63%NM 15.57% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 84.43% | 0.4% | 2026-04-24 03:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 6.20I 16.13%NM 15.99% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 84.01% | 0.9% | 2026-04-24 03:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 6.20I 16.13%NM 15.99% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 84.01% | 0.9% | 2026-04-24 03:45 |