The School of OddsMelbourne Demons v Richmond Tigers
Head to Head
1 bookmaker(s) offer a different number of options for this market (3-way vs the 2-way used in analysis). Analysis results should be taken with caution due to this disparity.
Option 1: Melbourne Demons (Local)
Odds
1.0298.04%Min
1.0991.66%Mean
1.1090.91%Median
1.1190.09%Max
Consensus probabilities
82.66%1.210Min
86.74%1.153Max
86.08%1.162Mean
86.42%1.157Median
86.24%1.160IQM
86.12%1.161Margin-weighted
Metrics for max odd 1.11 under the IQM model: 86.24%
EV -4.27%Edge -3.85%Kelly -38.85%Growth +0.000%
Option 2: Richmond Tigers (Visit)
Odds
5.1019.61%Min
6.7014.93%Mean
7.0014.29%Median
7.1014.08%Max
Consensus probabilities
13.26%7.542Min
17.34%5.766Max
13.92%7.184Mean
13.58%7.364Median
13.76%7.267IQM
13.88%7.205Margin-weighted
Metrics for max odd 7.10 under the IQM model: 13.76%
EV -2.30%Edge -0.324%Kelly -0.377%Growth +0.000%
Sportsbook Odds (21 sportsbooks)
| Bookmaker | Melbourne Demons (Local) ▼ | Richmond Tigers (Visit) | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Paddy Power | 1.11I 90.09% NM 85.41%EV -4.27% E -3.85% K -38.85% G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38% NM 14.59%EV -10.56% E -1.62% K -1.92% G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-07-05 04:44 |
| Coolbet | 1.10I 90.91% NM 86.59%EV -5.14% E -4.67% K -51.36% G +0.000% | 7.10I 14.08% NM 13.41%EV -2.30% E -0.324% K -0.377% G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-07-05 05:45 |
| TAB | 1.10I 90.91% NM 86.42%EV -5.14% E -4.67% K -51.36% G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29% NM 13.58%EV -3.68% E -0.525% K -0.613% G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-07-05 04:40 |
| Casumo | 1.10I 90.91% NM 86.42%EV -5.14% E -4.67% K -51.36% G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29% NM 13.58%EV -3.68% E -0.525% K -0.613% G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-07-05 04:40 |
| Grosvenor | 1.10I 90.91% NM 86.42%EV -5.14% E -4.67% K -51.36% G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29% NM 13.58%EV -3.68% E -0.525% K -0.613% G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-07-05 04:40 |
| TABtouch | 1.10I 90.91% NM 86.42%EV -5.14% E -4.67% K -51.36% G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29% NM 13.58%EV -3.68% E -0.525% K -0.613% G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-07-05 04:40 |
| Neds | 1.10I 90.91% NM 86.42%EV -5.14% E -4.67% K -51.36% G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29% NM 13.58%EV -3.68% E -0.525% K -0.613% G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-07-05 10:00 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.10I 90.91% NM 86.42%EV -5.14% E -4.67% K -51.36% G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29% NM 13.58%EV -3.68% E -0.525% K -0.613% G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-07-05 04:40 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.10I 90.91% NM 86.42%EV -5.14% E -4.67% K -51.36% G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29% NM 13.58%EV -3.68% E -0.525% K -0.613% G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-07-05 09:59 |
| SportsBet | 1.10I 90.91% NM 86.42%EV -5.14% E -4.67% K -51.36% G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29% NM 13.58%EV -3.68% E -0.525% K -0.613% G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-07-05 09:10 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.10I 90.91% NM 86.42%EV -5.14% E -4.67% K -51.36% G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29% NM 13.58%EV -3.68% E -0.525% K -0.613% G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-07-05 09:39 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.10I 90.91% NM 86.42%EV -5.14% E -4.67% K -51.36% G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29% NM 13.58%EV -3.68% E -0.525% K -0.613% G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-07-05 10:10 |
| Unibet | 1.10I 90.91% NM 85.03%EV -5.14% E -4.67% K -51.36% G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00% NM 14.97%EV -14.00% E -2.24% K -2.67% G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-07-05 04:40 |
| PlayUp | 1.09I 91.74% NM 86.53%EV -6.00% E -5.50% K -66.65% G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29% NM 13.47%EV -3.68% E -0.525% K -0.613% G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-07-05 04:40 |
| DraftKings | 1.09I 91.74% NM 85.64%EV -6.00% E -5.50% K -66.65% G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38% NM 14.36%EV -10.56% E -1.62% K -1.92% G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-07-05 04:45 |
| NordicBet | 1.09I 91.74% NM 84.63%EV -6.00% E -5.50% K -66.65% G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67% NM 15.37%EV -17.44% E -2.91% K -3.49% G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-07-05 09:15 |
| Betsson | 1.09I 91.74% NM 84.63%EV -6.00% E -5.50% K -66.65% G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67% NM 15.37%EV -17.44% E -2.91% K -3.49% G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-07-05 09:15 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.08I 92.59% NM 86.12%EV -6.86% E -6.35% K -85.76% G +0.000% | 6.70I 14.93% NM 13.88%EV -7.81% E -1.17% K -1.37% G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-07-05 09:15 |
| Tipico (DE) | 1.07I 93.46% NM 86.74%EV -7.72% E -7.22% K -110.34% G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29% NM 13.26%EV -3.68% E -0.525% K -0.613% G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-07-05 11:00 |
| Unibet (FR) | 1.07I 93.46% NM 82.66%EV -7.72% E -7.22% K -110.34% G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61% NM 17.34%EV -29.82% E -5.85% K -7.27% G +0.000% | 13.1% | 2026-07-05 09:15 |
| NetBet (FR) | 1.02I 98.04% NM 86.44%EV -12.04% E -11.80% K -601.77% G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38% NM 13.56%EV -10.56% E -1.62% K -1.92% G +0.000% | 13.4% | 2026-07-05 04:45 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Exchanges (3)
| Bookmaker | Melbourne Demons (Local) | Richmond Tigers (Visit) | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.11I 90.09% | 7.20I 13.89% | 4.0% | 2026-07-05 10:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.11I 90.09% | 7.20I 13.89% | 4.0% | 2026-07-05 10:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.11I 90.09% | 7.00I 14.29% | 4.4% | 2026-07-05 04:40 |
Other bookmakers — not included in analysis (1)
These bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market and are excluded from the analysis. Their odds are shown for reference only — the settlement rules of their bets may differ and carry additional uncertainty.
| Bookmaker | Option 1 | Option 2 | Option 3 | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LeoVegas | 1.09I 91.74% | 6.00I 16.67% | 100.00I 1.00% | 9.4% | 2026-07-05 09:15 |