赔率学院

Melbourne Demons v Richmond Tigers

开赛时间: 2026-07-12 05:15 UTC

最终结果: Melbourne Demons 111–65 Richmond Tigers

收盘赔率 — 按所选模型,根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始,因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →

胜负盘

23 家博彩公司 (6 家纳入分析 )

模型估计的各赛果概率:IQM

Melbourne Demons (主队)

预测 86.20%1.16公平赔率
EV -3.46%
优势 -3.09%
Kelly -28.84%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 1.12

博彩公司预测分布
83.94%86.47%86.20%88.52%MIN均值中位数MAX
赔率分布
1.021.091.101.1298.04%91.45%90.91%89.29%MIN均值中位数MAX

Richmond Tigers (客队)

预测 13.80%7.24公平赔率
EV +11.81%
优势 +1.46%
Kelly +1.66%
增长率 +0.197%

假设最高赔率为 8.10

博彩公司预测分布
11.48%13.53%13.80%16.06%MIN均值中位数MAX
赔率分布
5.756.586.568.1017.39%15.20%15.24%12.35%MIN均值中位数MAX

有 3 家博彩公司为该盘口提供了不同数量的选项(3 个赛果,而分析采用 2 个赛果)。由于这一差异,应谨慎看待分析结果。

博彩公司赔率 (23 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联,也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司主队客队 ▼利润率更新时间
Marathon Bet1.05I 95.24%NM 88.52%EV -9.49%E -9.04%K -189.88%G +0.000%8.10I 12.35%NM 11.48%EV +11.81%E +1.46%K +1.66%G +0.197%7.6%2026-07-12 05:14
Betr (AU)1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -5.18%E -4.71%K -51.84%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -3.37%E -0.482%K -0.562%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-12 05:04
Tipico (DE)1.07I 93.46%NM 86.74%EV -7.77%E -7.26%K -111.00%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.26%EV -3.37%E -0.482%K -0.562%G +0.000%7.7%2026-07-05 11:00
PointsBet (AU)1.11I 90.09%NM 85.97%EV -4.32%E -3.89%K -39.29%G +0.000%6.80I 14.71%NM 14.03%EV -6.13%E -0.902%K -1.06%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-12 05:09
Bet Right1.11I 90.09%NM 85.88%EV -4.32%E -3.89%K -39.29%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 14.12%EV -6.82%E -1.01%K -1.19%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-12 05:04
Casumo1.10I 90.91%NM 85.99%EV -5.18%E -4.71%K -51.84%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 14.01%EV -6.82%E -1.01%K -1.19%G +0.000%5.7%2026-07-12 05:14
Grosvenor1.10I 90.91%NM 85.99%EV -5.18%E -4.71%K -51.84%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 14.01%EV -6.82%E -1.01%K -1.19%G +0.000%5.7%2026-07-12 05:14
TABtouch1.10I 90.91%NM 85.99%EV -5.18%E -4.71%K -51.84%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 14.01%EV -6.82%E -1.01%K -1.19%G +0.000%5.7%2026-07-12 05:14
Unibet (NL)1.10I 90.91%NM 85.99%EV -5.18%E -4.71%K -51.84%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 14.01%EV -6.82%E -1.01%K -1.19%G +0.000%5.7%2026-07-12 05:14
Neds1.10I 90.91%NM 85.71%EV -5.18%E -4.71%K -51.84%G +0.000%6.60I 15.15%NM 14.29%EV -8.89%E -1.35%K -1.59%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-12 05:09
Ladbrokes (AU)1.10I 90.91%NM 85.71%EV -5.18%E -4.71%K -51.84%G +0.000%6.60I 15.15%NM 14.29%EV -8.89%E -1.35%K -1.59%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-12 05:09
Pinnacle1.10I 90.91%NM 85.64%EV -5.18%E -4.71%K -51.84%G +0.000%6.56I 15.24%NM 14.36%EV -9.45%E -1.44%K -1.70%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-12 05:05
PlayUp1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -4.32%E -3.89%K -39.29%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV -10.27%E -1.58%K -1.87%G +0.000%5.5%2026-07-12 05:09
TAB1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -4.32%E -3.89%K -39.29%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV -10.27%E -1.58%K -1.87%G +0.000%5.5%2026-07-12 05:04
DraftKings1.10I 90.91%NM 85.53%EV -5.18%E -4.71%K -51.84%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.47%EV -10.27%E -1.58%K -1.87%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-12 05:04
Coral1.09I 91.74%NM 85.64%EV -6.05%E -5.55%K -67.18%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.36%EV -10.27%E -1.58%K -1.87%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-08 01:24
Ladbrokes (UK)1.09I 91.74%NM 85.64%EV -6.05%E -5.55%K -67.18%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.36%EV -10.27%E -1.58%K -1.87%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-08 04:14
NetBet (FR)1.02I 98.04%NM 86.44%EV -12.08%E -11.84%K -604.00%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.56%EV -10.27%E -1.58%K -1.87%G +0.000%13.4%2026-07-12 05:14
SportsBet1.11I 90.09%NM 84.92%EV -4.32%E -3.89%K -39.29%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.08%EV -13.73%E -2.20%K -2.61%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-12 05:09
Paddy Power1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -3.46%E -3.09%K -28.84%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -17.18%E -2.86%K -3.44%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-12 05:10
Everygame1.10I 90.91%NM 84.51%EV -5.18%E -4.71%K -51.84%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.49%EV -17.18%E -2.86%K -3.44%G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-12 02:24
Unibet (FR)1.06I 94.34%NM 84.77%EV -8.63%E -8.14%K -143.87%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 15.23%EV -18.56%E -3.15%K -3.79%G +0.000%11.3%2026-07-12 05:04
Unibet1.10I 90.91%NM 83.94%EV -5.18%E -4.71%K -51.84%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.06%EV -20.63%E -3.59%K -4.34%G +0.000%8.3%2026-07-12 05:14
利润率 = 利润率(超额概率) · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间,因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变,并不代表数据已经失效。通常,约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除;只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时,才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。

博彩交易所 (3)

博彩公司主队客队利润率 ▲更新时间
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.13I 88.50%NM 87.89%8.20I 12.20%NM 12.11%0.7%2026-07-12 05:09
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.14I 87.72%NM 86.96%7.60I 13.16%NM 13.04%0.9%2026-07-12 05:14
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.14I 87.72%NM 86.96%7.60I 13.16%NM 13.04%0.9%2026-07-12 05:14

其他博彩公司 — 未纳入分析 (3)

这些博彩公司为该盘口提供的选项数量不同,因而未纳入分析。其赔率仅供参考——相关投注的结算规则可能不同,并带来额外的不确定性。

博彩公司选项 1选项 2选项 3利润率 ▲更新时间
NordicBet1.11I 90.09%NM 82.60%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.67%125.00I 0.80%NM 0.73%9.1%2026-07-12 05:14
Betsson1.11I 90.09%NM 82.60%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.67%125.00I 0.80%NM 0.73%9.1%2026-07-12 05:14
LeoVegas1.07I 93.46%NM 85.08%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.01%100.00I 1.00%NM 0.91%9.8%2026-07-12 04:24