賠率學校

Melbourne Demons v Hawthorn Hawks

開賽時間: 2026-05-16 06:16 UTC

最終賽果: Melbourne Demons 120–81 Hawthorn Hawks

收盤賠率 — 在所選模型下,根據開賽前最後記錄的價格計算所得的機率與期望值。賽事已經開始,因此這些並非即時數據。 以所有已結算賽事的實際結果評估各模型機率預測的可靠度 →

獨贏

25 家博彩公司 (7 家納入分析 )

模型估計的各結果發生機率:IQM

Melbourne Demons (主隊)

預測 35.32%2.83公平賠率
EV +5.97%
優勢 +1.99%
Kelly +2.99%
成長率 +0.178%

假設最高賠率為 3.00

博彩公司預測分布
31.76%35.02%35.25%36.72%MIN平均值中位數MAX
賠率分布
2.522.722.703.0039.68%36.75%37.04%33.33%MIN平均值中位數MAX

Hawthorn Hawks (客隊)

預測 64.68%1.55公平賠率
EV -2.34%
優勢 -1.55%
Kelly -4.59%
成長率 +0.000%

假設最高賠率為 1.51

博彩公司預測分布
63.28%64.98%64.75%68.24%MIN平均值中位數MAX
賠率分布
1.351.441.441.5174.07%69.52%69.44%66.23%MIN平均值中位數MAX

有 2 家博彩公司為此市場提供的選項數量不同(3 個賽果,而分析採用 2 個賽果)。由於存在這項差異,解讀分析結果時應審慎。

博彩公司賠率 (25 家博彩公司)

本站與任何博彩公司均無關聯,也不會從使用者與其進行的任何操作中獲利。

博彩公司主隊 ▼客隊利潤率更新時間
BetUS3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV +5.97%E +1.99%K +2.99%G +0.178%1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -9.45%E -6.75%K -23.64%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-16 06:14
Tipico (DE)2.90I 34.48%NM 31.76%EV +2.44%E +0.842%K +1.28%G +0.031%1.35I 74.07%NM 68.24%EV -12.69%E -9.40%K -36.25%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-16 06:15
Dabble (AU)2.85I 35.09%NM 33.57%EV +0.674%E +0.237%K +0.364%G +0.002%1.44I 69.44%NM 66.43%EV -6.87%E -4.77%K -15.61%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-16 06:14
Neds2.85I 35.09%NM 33.26%EV +0.674%E +0.237%K +0.364%G +0.002%1.42I 70.42%NM 66.74%EV -8.16%E -5.75%K -19.43%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-16 06:14
Ladbrokes (AU)2.85I 35.09%NM 33.26%EV +0.674%E +0.237%K +0.364%G +0.002%1.42I 70.42%NM 66.74%EV -8.16%E -5.75%K -19.43%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-16 06:14
Betr (AU)2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -1.09%E -0.390%K -0.607%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -6.87%E -4.77%K -15.61%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-16 06:15
Bet Right2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -1.09%E -0.390%K -0.607%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -6.87%E -4.77%K -15.61%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-16 06:15
TAB2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -2.86%E -1.04%K -1.63%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -6.22%E -4.29%K -13.82%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-16 06:15
PlayUp2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -2.86%E -1.04%K -1.63%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -6.22%E -4.29%K -13.82%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-16 06:14
PointsBet (AU)2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -2.86%E -1.04%K -1.63%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -6.87%E -4.77%K -15.61%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-16 06:15
Coolbet2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -4.62%E -1.71%K -2.72%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -4.93%E -3.35%K -10.48%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-16 06:14
TABtouch2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -4.62%E -1.71%K -2.72%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -6.22%E -4.29%K -13.82%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-16 06:15
Unibet (NL)2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -4.62%E -1.71%K -2.72%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -6.22%E -4.29%K -13.82%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-16 06:15
Grosvenor2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -4.62%E -1.71%K -2.72%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -6.22%E -4.29%K -13.82%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-16 06:15
Casumo2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -4.62%E -1.71%K -2.72%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -6.22%E -4.29%K -13.82%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-16 06:15
SportsBet2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -4.62%E -1.71%K -2.72%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -6.22%E -4.29%K -13.82%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-16 06:15
Coral2.70I 37.04%NM 34.78%EV -4.62%E -1.71%K -2.72%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.22%EV -6.87%E -4.77%K -15.61%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-16 06:14
Ladbrokes (UK)2.70I 37.04%NM 34.78%EV -4.62%E -1.71%K -2.72%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.22%EV -6.87%E -4.77%K -15.61%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-16 06:14
Unibet2.65I 37.74%NM 35.37%EV -6.39%E -2.41%K -3.87%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 64.63%EV -6.22%E -4.29%K -13.82%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-16 06:15
Paddy Power2.62I 38.17%NM 36.41%EV -7.45%E -2.84%K -4.60%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.59%EV -2.99%E -1.99%K -5.97%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-16 06:15
Marathon Bet2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -7.45%E -2.84%K -4.60%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -6.87%E -4.77%K -15.61%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-16 06:14
Pinnacle2.61I 38.31%NM 36.65%EV -7.80%E -2.99%K -4.85%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 63.35%EV -2.34%E -1.55%K -4.59%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-16 06:14
DraftKings2.55I 39.22%NM 36.72%EV -9.92%E -3.89%K -6.40%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 63.28%EV -4.28%E -2.89%K -8.92%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-16 06:15
Unibet (FR)2.55I 39.22%NM 35.11%EV -9.92%E -3.89%K -6.40%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 64.89%EV -10.75%E -7.79%K -28.28%G +0.000%11.7%2026-05-16 06:14
NetBet (FR)2.52I 39.68%NM 34.88%EV -10.98%E -4.36%K -7.23%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 65.12%EV -12.69%E -9.40%K -36.25%G +0.000%13.8%2026-05-16 06:14
利潤率 = 利潤率(超額機率) · I = 隱含機率 · NM = 無利潤率機率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 優勢 · K = Kelly 準則 · G = 投注資金成長率

更新時間 表示各家公司最後一次調整賠率的時間,因此較早的時間只代表賠率未再變動,不表示價格已失效。通常會排除約 15 分鐘內未收到資料的博彩公司;只有當整個市場的資料來源均停止更新時,才改為顯示最新記錄的價格。

博彩交易所 (3)

博彩公司主隊客隊利潤率 ▲更新時間
Betfair Exchange (EU)3.05I 32.79%NM 32.52%1.47I 68.03%NM 67.48%0.8%2026-05-16 06:15
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.05I 32.79%NM 32.52%1.47I 68.03%NM 67.48%0.8%2026-05-16 06:15
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.10I 32.26%NM 31.87%1.45I 68.97%NM 68.13%1.2%2026-05-16 06:15

其他博彩公司 — 未納入分析 (2)

這些博彩公司為此市場提供的選項數量不同,因此未納入分析。其賠率僅供參考——相關投注的結算規則可能不同,因而帶來額外不確定性。

博彩公司選項 1選項 2選項 3利潤率 ▲更新時間
Betsson2.50I 40.00%NM 36.84%1.48I 67.57%NM 62.24%100.00I 1.00%NM 0.92%8.6%2026-05-16 06:15
NordicBet2.50I 40.00%NM 36.84%1.48I 67.57%NM 62.24%100.00I 1.00%NM 0.92%8.6%2026-05-16 06:15