赔率学院Melbourne Demons v Hawthorn Hawks
收盘赔率 — 按所选模型，根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始，因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →
胜负盘
Melbourne Demons (主队)
预测 35.32%2.83公平赔率
EV +5.97%
优势 +1.99%
Kelly +2.99%
增长率 +0.178%
假设最高赔率为 3.00
博彩公司预测分布
31.76%35.02%35.25%36.72%MIN均值中位数MAX
赔率分布
2.522.722.703.0039.68%36.75%37.04%33.33%MIN均值中位数MAX
Hawthorn Hawks (客队)
预测 64.68%1.55公平赔率
EV -2.34%
优势 -1.55%
Kelly -4.59%
增长率 +0.000%
假设最高赔率为 1.51
博彩公司预测分布
63.28%64.98%64.75%68.24%MIN均值中位数MAX
赔率分布
1.351.441.441.5174.07%69.52%69.44%66.23%MIN均值中位数MAX
有 2 家博彩公司为该盘口提供了不同数量的选项（3 个赛果，而分析采用 2 个赛果）。由于这一差异，应谨慎看待分析结果。
博彩公司赔率 (25 家博彩公司)
我们与任何博彩公司均无关联，也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。
| 博彩公司 | 主队 ▼ | 客队 | 利润率 | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetUS | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV +5.97%E +1.99%K +2.99%G +0.178% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -9.45%E -6.75%K -23.64%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-16 06:14 |
| Tipico (DE) | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.76%EV +2.44%E +0.842%K +1.28%G +0.031% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 68.24%EV -12.69%E -9.40%K -36.25%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-05-16 06:15 |
| Dabble (AU) | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.57%EV +0.674%E +0.237%K +0.364%G +0.002% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.43%EV -6.87%E -4.77%K -15.61%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-05-16 06:14 |
| Neds | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.26%EV +0.674%E +0.237%K +0.364%G +0.002% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.74%EV -8.16%E -5.75%K -19.43%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-16 06:14 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.26%EV +0.674%E +0.237%K +0.364%G +0.002% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.74%EV -8.16%E -5.75%K -19.43%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-16 06:14 |
| Betr (AU) | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -1.09%E -0.390%K -0.607%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -6.87%E -4.77%K -15.61%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-16 06:15 |
| Bet Right | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -1.09%E -0.390%K -0.607%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -6.87%E -4.77%K -15.61%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-16 06:15 |
| TAB | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -2.86%E -1.04%K -1.63%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -6.22%E -4.29%K -13.82%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-16 06:15 |
| PlayUp | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -2.86%E -1.04%K -1.63%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -6.22%E -4.29%K -13.82%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-16 06:14 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -2.86%E -1.04%K -1.63%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -6.87%E -4.77%K -15.61%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-16 06:15 |
| Coolbet | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -4.62%E -1.71%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -4.93%E -3.35%K -10.48%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-16 06:14 |
| TABtouch | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -4.62%E -1.71%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -6.22%E -4.29%K -13.82%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-16 06:15 |
| Unibet (NL) | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -4.62%E -1.71%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -6.22%E -4.29%K -13.82%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-16 06:15 |
| Grosvenor | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -4.62%E -1.71%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -6.22%E -4.29%K -13.82%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-16 06:15 |
| Casumo | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -4.62%E -1.71%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -6.22%E -4.29%K -13.82%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-16 06:15 |
| SportsBet | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -4.62%E -1.71%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -6.22%E -4.29%K -13.82%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-16 06:15 |
| Coral | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.78%EV -4.62%E -1.71%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.22%EV -6.87%E -4.77%K -15.61%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-16 06:14 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.78%EV -4.62%E -1.71%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.22%EV -6.87%E -4.77%K -15.61%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-16 06:14 |
| Unibet | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.37%EV -6.39%E -2.41%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 64.63%EV -6.22%E -4.29%K -13.82%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-16 06:15 |
| Paddy Power | 2.62I 38.17%NM 36.41%EV -7.45%E -2.84%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.59%EV -2.99%E -1.99%K -5.97%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-16 06:15 |
| Marathon Bet | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -7.45%E -2.84%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -6.87%E -4.77%K -15.61%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-05-16 06:14 |
| Pinnacle | 2.61I 38.31%NM 36.65%EV -7.80%E -2.99%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 1.51I 66.23%NM 63.35%EV -2.34%E -1.55%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-05-16 06:14 |
| DraftKings | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.72%EV -9.92%E -3.89%K -6.40%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.28%EV -4.28%E -2.89%K -8.92%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-16 06:15 |
| Unibet (FR) | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.11%EV -9.92%E -3.89%K -6.40%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 64.89%EV -10.75%E -7.79%K -28.28%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-05-16 06:14 |
| NetBet (FR) | 2.52I 39.68%NM 34.88%EV -10.98%E -4.36%K -7.23%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 65.12%EV -12.69%E -9.40%K -36.25%G +0.000% | 13.8% | 2026-05-16 06:14 |
利润率 = 利润率（超额概率） · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率
更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间，因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变，并不代表数据已经失效。通常，约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除；只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时，才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。
博彩交易所 (3)
| 博彩公司 | 主队 | 客队 | 利润率 ▲ | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 3.05I 32.79%NM 32.52% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 67.48% | 0.8% | 2026-05-16 06:15 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 3.05I 32.79%NM 32.52% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 67.48% | 0.8% | 2026-05-16 06:15 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.87% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 68.13% | 1.2% | 2026-05-16 06:15 |
其他博彩公司 — 未纳入分析 (2)
这些博彩公司为该盘口提供的选项数量不同，因而未纳入分析。其赔率仅供参考——相关投注的结算规则可能不同，并带来额外的不确定性。
| 博彩公司 | 选项 1 | 选项 2 | 选项 3 | 利润率 ▲ | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betsson | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.84% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 62.24% | 100.00I 1.00%NM 0.92% | 8.6% | 2026-05-16 06:15 |
| NordicBet | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.84% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 62.24% | 100.00I 1.00%NM 0.92% | 8.6% | 2026-05-16 06:15 |