The School of OddsMelbourne Demons v Geelong Cats
Head to Head
1 bookmaker(s) offer a different number of options for this market (3-way vs the 2-way used in analysis). Analysis results should be taken with caution due to this disparity.
Melbourne Demons (Local)
Prediction 51.65%1.94fair odd
EV -1.86%
Edge -0.979%
Kelly -2.07%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.90
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
50.00%51.57%51.44%52.70%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
1.701.811.831.9059%55%55%53%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Geelong Cats (Visit)
Prediction 48.35%2.07fair odd
EV -2.82%
Edge -1.40%
Kelly -2.79%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.01
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
47.30%48.43%48.56%50.00%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
1.821.951.952.0155%51%51%50%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Sportsbook Odds (23 sportsbooks)
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -1.86%E -0.979%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -8.14%E -4.28%K -9.04%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-19 23:20 |
| Coolbet | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.44%EV -4.44%E -2.40%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 48.56%EV -5.24%E -2.67%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-19 09:49 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -4.44%E -2.40%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -5.72%E -2.93%K -6.02%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-19 09:45 |
| Grosvenor | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -4.44%E -2.40%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -5.72%E -2.93%K -6.02%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-20 02:40 |
| PlayUp | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -4.44%E -2.40%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -5.72%E -2.93%K -6.02%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-19 10:05 |
| TABtouch | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -4.44%E -2.40%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -5.72%E -2.93%K -6.02%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-20 01:55 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -4.44%E -2.40%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -5.72%E -2.93%K -6.02%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-20 01:55 |
| Casumo | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -4.44%E -2.40%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -5.72%E -2.93%K -6.02%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-20 01:55 |
| Dabble (AU) | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -4.44%E -2.40%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -5.72%E -2.93%K -6.02%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-20 00:00 |
| SportsBet | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.34%EV -5.48%E -2.99%K -6.60%G +0.000% | 2.01I 49.75%NM 47.66%EV -2.82%E -1.40%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-07-20 02:40 |
| Bet Right | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -5.48%E -2.99%K -6.60%G +0.000% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -4.27%E -2.16%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-20 02:45 |
| Unibet | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.46%EV -5.48%E -2.99%K -6.60%G +0.000% | 1.94I 51.55%NM 48.54%EV -6.21%E -3.20%K -6.60%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-07-20 02:40 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -5.99%E -3.29%K -7.31%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -3.31%E -1.65%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-07-20 02:30 |
| Neds | 1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -5.99%E -3.29%K -7.31%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -3.31%E -1.65%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-07-20 02:30 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.81I 55.25%NM 51.34%EV -6.51%E -3.60%K -8.04%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.66%EV -7.66%E -4.01%K -8.41%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-07-20 02:00 |
| TAB | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -7.03%E -3.90%K -8.78%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -3.31%E -1.65%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-07-20 02:45 |
| Paddy Power | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -7.03%E -3.90%K -8.78%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -3.31%E -1.65%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-07-20 02:05 |
| Tipico (DE) | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.35%EV -7.03%E -3.90%K -8.78%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 48.65%EV -8.14%E -4.28%K -9.04%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-07-19 17:39 |
| DraftKings | 1.77I 56.50%NM 52.42%EV -8.57%E -4.84%K -11.14%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.58%EV -5.72%E -2.93%K -6.02%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-07-20 02:45 |
| NordicBet | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.70%EV -9.61%E -5.49%K -12.81%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.30%EV -5.72%E -2.93%K -6.02%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-07-20 02:34 |
| Betsson | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.70%EV -9.61%E -5.49%K -12.81%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.30%EV -5.72%E -2.93%K -6.02%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-07-20 02:34 |
| Unibet (FR) | 1.70I 58.82%NM 52.11%EV -12.19%E -7.17%K -17.42%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 47.89%EV -10.56%E -5.71%K -12.42%G +0.000% | 12.9% | 2026-07-20 02:35 |
| NetBet (FR) | 1.70I 58.82%NM 51.70%EV -12.19%E -7.17%K -17.42%G +0.000% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 48.30%EV -12.01%E -6.60%K -14.64%G +0.000% | 13.8% | 2026-07-20 02:05 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (3)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.87I 53.48%NM 52.17% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 47.83% | 2.5% | 2026-07-20 00:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.87I 53.48%NM 52.17% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 47.83% | 2.5% | 2026-07-20 00:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.68% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 48.32% | 3.5% | 2026-07-20 00:30 |
Other bookmakers — not included in analysis (1)
These bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market and are excluded from the analysis. Their odds are shown for reference only — the settlement rules of their bets may differ and carry additional uncertainty.
| Bookmaker | Option 1 | Option 2 | Option 3 | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LeoVegas | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.15% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 47.70% | 80.00I 1.25%NM 1.15% | 8.6% | 2026-07-20 02:35 |