Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Melbourne Demons v Fremantle Dockers

2026-08-08 03:15 UTC — AFL

Head to Head

5 sportsbooks (0 in analysis )

50%

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Melbourne Demons (Local)

Prediction 0.00%—fair odd

EV -100.00%

Edge -38.17%

Kelly -61.73%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.62

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

36.41%0.00%0.00%36.59%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

2.602.612.602.6238.46%38.34%38.46%38.17%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Fremantle Dockers (Visit)

Prediction 0.00%—fair odd

EV -100.00%

Edge -66.67%

Kelly -200.00%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.50

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

63.41%0.00%0.00%63.59%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

1.501.501.501.5066.67%66.67%66.67%66.67%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Sportsbook Odds (5 sportsbooks)

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Bookmaker	Local ▼	Visit	Margin	Updated
SportsBet	2.62I 38.17%NM 36.41%	1.50I 66.67%NM 63.59%	4.8%	2026-07-30 03:54
Paddy Power	2.62I 38.17%NM 36.41%	1.50I 66.67%NM 63.59%	4.8%	2026-07-30 03:54
Bet Right	2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%	1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%	5.1%	2026-07-30 04:00
Ladbrokes (AU)	2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%	1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%	5.1%	2026-07-30 04:19
Neds	2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%	1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%	5.1%	2026-07-30 04:19

Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (3)

Bookmaker	Local	Visit	Margin ▲	Updated
Betfair Exchange (UK)	2.22I 45.05%NM 37.64%	1.34I 74.63%NM 62.36%	19.7%	2026-07-30 05:30
Betfair Exchange (EU)	2.22I 45.05%NM 37.64%	1.34I 74.63%NM 62.36%	19.7%	2026-07-30 05:30
Betfair Exchange (AU)	2.22I 45.05%NM 37.64%	1.34I 74.63%NM 62.36%	19.7%	2026-07-30 05:30