賠率學校

Hawthorn Hawks v Melbourne Demons

開賽時間: 2026-07-04 03:15 UTC

最終賽果: Hawthorn Hawks 90–125 Melbourne Demons

收盤賠率 — 在所選模型下,根據開賽前最後記錄的價格計算所得的機率與期望值。賽事已經開始,因此這些並非即時數據。 以所有已結算賽事的實際結果評估各模型機率預測的可靠度 →

獨贏

27 家博彩公司 (8 家納入分析 )

模型估計的各結果發生機率:IQM

Hawthorn Hawks (主隊)

預測 66.38%1.51公平賠率
EV +4.22%
優勢 +2.69%
Kelly +7.40%
成長率 +0.312%

假設最高賠率為 1.57

博彩公司預測分布
60.95%66.29%66.54%67.38%MIN平均值中位數MAX
賠率分布
1.321.421.421.5775.76%70.28%70.42%63.69%MIN平均值中位數MAX

Melbourne Demons (客隊)

預測 33.62%2.97公平賠率
EV -2.51%
優勢 -0.865%
Kelly -1.32%
成長率 +0.000%

假設最高賠率為 2.90

博彩公司預測分布
32.62%33.71%33.46%39.05%MIN平均值中位數MAX
賠率分布
2.452.782.802.9040.82%36.00%35.71%34.48%MIN平均值中位數MAX

有 1 家博彩公司為此市場提供的選項數量不同(3 個賽果,而分析採用 2 個賽果)。由於存在這項差異,解讀分析結果時應審慎。

博彩公司賠率 (27 家博彩公司)

本站與任何博彩公司均無關聯,也不會從使用者與其進行的任何操作中獲利。

博彩公司主隊 ▼客隊利潤率更新時間
BetUS1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV +4.22%E +2.69%K +7.40%G +0.312%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -17.64%E -7.20%K -12.16%G +0.000%4.5%2026-07-03 12:40
Pinnacle1.47I 68.03%NM 64.83%EV -2.42%E -1.65%K -5.15%G +0.000%2.71I 36.90%NM 35.17%EV -8.90%E -3.28%K -5.20%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-04 03:05
PlayUp1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -3.75%E -2.58%K -8.32%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -7.55%E -2.75%K -4.31%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-04 02:50
Ladbrokes (AU)1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -4.41%E -3.06%K -10.02%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -5.87%E -2.10%K -3.26%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-04 02:15
Neds1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -4.41%E -3.06%K -10.02%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -5.87%E -2.10%K -3.26%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-04 02:15
Paddy Power1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -4.41%E -3.06%K -10.02%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -7.55%E -2.75%K -4.31%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-04 01:20
Coral1.44I 69.44%NM 65.22%EV -4.41%E -3.06%K -10.02%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.78%EV -9.23%E -3.42%K -5.43%G +0.000%6.5%2026-07-04 02:05
Ladbrokes (UK)1.44I 69.44%NM 65.22%EV -4.41%E -3.06%K -10.02%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.78%EV -9.23%E -3.42%K -5.43%G +0.000%6.5%2026-07-04 02:05
DraftKings1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -5.07%E -3.55%K -11.80%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -4.19%E -1.47%K -2.26%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-04 03:05
Coolbet1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -5.07%E -3.55%K -11.80%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -4.19%E -1.47%K -2.26%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-04 03:05
TAB1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -5.74%E -4.04%K -13.66%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV -2.51%E -0.865%K -1.32%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-04 03:05
Betr (AU)1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -5.74%E -4.04%K -13.66%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV -2.51%E -0.865%K -1.32%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-04 02:25
Casumo1.42I 70.42%NM 66.98%EV -5.74%E -4.04%K -13.66%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 33.02%EV -3.18%E -1.10%K -1.69%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-04 02:55
TABtouch1.42I 70.42%NM 66.98%EV -5.74%E -4.04%K -13.66%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 33.02%EV -3.18%E -1.10%K -1.69%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-04 02:55
Unibet (NL)1.42I 70.42%NM 66.98%EV -5.74%E -4.04%K -13.66%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 33.02%EV -3.18%E -1.10%K -1.69%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-04 02:55
Grosvenor1.42I 70.42%NM 66.98%EV -5.74%E -4.04%K -13.66%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 33.02%EV -3.18%E -1.10%K -1.69%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-04 02:55
Bet Right1.42I 70.42%NM 66.98%EV -5.74%E -4.04%K -13.66%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 33.02%EV -3.18%E -1.10%K -1.69%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-04 03:05
PointsBet (AU)1.42I 70.42%NM 66.74%EV -5.74%E -4.04%K -13.66%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.26%EV -4.19%E -1.47%K -2.26%G +0.000%5.5%2026-07-04 02:20
Unibet1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -5.74%E -4.04%K -13.66%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -5.87%E -2.10%K -3.26%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-04 02:20
SportsBet1.41I 70.92%NM 66.98%EV -6.40%E -4.54%K -15.61%G +0.000%2.86I 34.97%NM 33.02%EV -3.85%E -1.35%K -2.07%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-04 03:10
Everygame1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -7.06%E -5.05%K -17.66%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -7.55%E -2.75%K -4.31%G +0.000%7.8%2026-07-04 03:05
NordicBet1.40I 71.43%NM 65.85%EV -7.06%E -5.05%K -17.66%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.15%EV -9.23%E -3.42%K -5.43%G +0.000%8.5%2026-07-04 02:05
Betsson1.40I 71.43%NM 65.85%EV -7.06%E -5.05%K -17.66%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.15%EV -9.23%E -3.42%K -5.43%G +0.000%8.5%2026-07-04 02:05
Tipico (DE)1.40I 71.43%NM 65.85%EV -7.06%E -5.05%K -17.66%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.15%EV -9.23%E -3.42%K -5.43%G +0.000%8.5%2026-06-30 10:19
Marathon Bet1.38I 72.46%NM 67.38%EV -8.39%E -6.08%K -22.09%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.62%EV -4.19%E -1.47%K -2.26%G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-04 03:05
Unibet (FR)1.38I 72.46%NM 65.33%EV -8.39%E -6.08%K -22.09%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.67%EV -12.59%E -4.84%K -7.87%G +0.000%10.9%2026-07-04 03:05
NetBet (FR)1.32I 75.76%NM 66.50%EV -12.38%E -9.38%K -38.67%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 33.50%EV -11.92%E -4.55%K -7.36%G +0.000%13.9%2026-07-04 03:10
利潤率 = 利潤率(超額機率) · I = 隱含機率 · NM = 無利潤率機率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 優勢 · K = Kelly 準則 · G = 投注資金成長率

更新時間 表示各家公司最後一次調整賠率的時間,因此較早的時間只代表賠率未再變動,不表示價格已失效。通常會排除約 15 分鐘內未收到資料的博彩公司;只有當整個市場的資料來源均停止更新時,才改為顯示最新記錄的價格。

博彩交易所 (3)

博彩公司主隊客隊利潤率 ▲更新時間
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.48I 67.57%NM 66.96%3.00I 33.33%NM 33.04%0.9%2026-07-04 03:10
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.48I 67.57%NM 66.96%3.00I 33.33%NM 33.04%0.9%2026-07-04 03:10
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.48I 67.57%NM 66.82%2.98I 33.56%NM 33.18%1.1%2026-07-04 03:10

其他博彩公司 — 未納入分析 (1)

這些博彩公司為此市場提供的選項數量不同,因此未納入分析。其賠率僅供參考——相關投注的結算規則可能不同,因而帶來額外不確定性。

博彩公司選項 1選項 2選項 3利潤率 ▲更新時間
LeoVegas1.40I 71.43%NM 65.51%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.35%80.00I 1.25%NM 1.15%9.0%2026-07-04 02:05