赔率学院Hawthorn Hawks v Melbourne Demons
收盘赔率 — 按所选模型，根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始，因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →
胜负盘
Hawthorn Hawks (主队)
预测 66.38%1.51公平赔率
EV +4.22%
优势 +2.69%
Kelly +7.40%
增长率 +0.312%
假设最高赔率为 1.57
博彩公司预测分布
60.95%66.29%66.54%67.38%MIN均值中位数MAX
赔率分布
1.321.421.421.5775.76%70.28%70.42%63.69%MIN均值中位数MAX
Melbourne Demons (客队)
预测 33.62%2.97公平赔率
EV -2.51%
优势 -0.865%
Kelly -1.32%
增长率 +0.000%
假设最高赔率为 2.90
博彩公司预测分布
32.62%33.71%33.46%39.05%MIN均值中位数MAX
赔率分布
2.452.782.802.9040.82%36.00%35.71%34.48%MIN均值中位数MAX
有 1 家博彩公司为该盘口提供了不同数量的选项（3 个赛果，而分析采用 2 个赛果）。由于这一差异，应谨慎看待分析结果。
博彩公司赔率 (27 家博彩公司)
我们与任何博彩公司均无关联，也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。
| 博彩公司 | 主队 ▼ | 客队 | 利润率 | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetUS | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV +4.22%E +2.69%K +7.40%G +0.312% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -17.64%E -7.20%K -12.16%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-07-03 12:40 |
| Pinnacle | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.83%EV -2.42%E -1.65%K -5.15%G +0.000% | 2.71I 36.90%NM 35.17%EV -8.90%E -3.28%K -5.20%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-07-04 03:05 |
| PlayUp | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -3.75%E -2.58%K -8.32%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -7.55%E -2.75%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-04 02:50 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -4.41%E -3.06%K -10.02%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -5.87%E -2.10%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-07-04 02:15 |
| Neds | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -4.41%E -3.06%K -10.02%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -5.87%E -2.10%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-07-04 02:15 |
| Paddy Power | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -4.41%E -3.06%K -10.02%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -7.55%E -2.75%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-07-04 01:20 |
| Coral | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.22%EV -4.41%E -3.06%K -10.02%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.78%EV -9.23%E -3.42%K -5.43%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-07-04 02:05 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.22%EV -4.41%E -3.06%K -10.02%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.78%EV -9.23%E -3.42%K -5.43%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-07-04 02:05 |
| DraftKings | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -5.07%E -3.55%K -11.80%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -4.19%E -1.47%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-07-04 03:05 |
| Coolbet | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -5.07%E -3.55%K -11.80%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -4.19%E -1.47%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-07-04 03:05 |
| TAB | 1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -5.74%E -4.04%K -13.66%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV -2.51%E -0.865%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-07-04 03:05 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -5.74%E -4.04%K -13.66%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV -2.51%E -0.865%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-07-04 02:25 |
| Casumo | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.98%EV -5.74%E -4.04%K -13.66%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 33.02%EV -3.18%E -1.10%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-04 02:55 |
| TABtouch | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.98%EV -5.74%E -4.04%K -13.66%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 33.02%EV -3.18%E -1.10%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-04 02:55 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.98%EV -5.74%E -4.04%K -13.66%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 33.02%EV -3.18%E -1.10%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-04 02:55 |
| Grosvenor | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.98%EV -5.74%E -4.04%K -13.66%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 33.02%EV -3.18%E -1.10%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-04 02:55 |
| Bet Right | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.98%EV -5.74%E -4.04%K -13.66%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 33.02%EV -3.18%E -1.10%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-04 03:05 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.74%EV -5.74%E -4.04%K -13.66%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.26%EV -4.19%E -1.47%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-07-04 02:20 |
| Unibet | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -5.74%E -4.04%K -13.66%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -5.87%E -2.10%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-07-04 02:20 |
| SportsBet | 1.41I 70.92%NM 66.98%EV -6.40%E -4.54%K -15.61%G +0.000% | 2.86I 34.97%NM 33.02%EV -3.85%E -1.35%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-07-04 03:10 |
| Everygame | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -7.06%E -5.05%K -17.66%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -7.55%E -2.75%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-07-04 03:05 |
| NordicBet | 1.40I 71.43%NM 65.85%EV -7.06%E -5.05%K -17.66%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.15%EV -9.23%E -3.42%K -5.43%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-07-04 02:05 |
| Betsson | 1.40I 71.43%NM 65.85%EV -7.06%E -5.05%K -17.66%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.15%EV -9.23%E -3.42%K -5.43%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-07-04 02:05 |
| Tipico (DE) | 1.40I 71.43%NM 65.85%EV -7.06%E -5.05%K -17.66%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.15%EV -9.23%E -3.42%K -5.43%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-06-30 10:19 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.38I 72.46%NM 67.38%EV -8.39%E -6.08%K -22.09%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.62%EV -4.19%E -1.47%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-07-04 03:05 |
| Unibet (FR) | 1.38I 72.46%NM 65.33%EV -8.39%E -6.08%K -22.09%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.67%EV -12.59%E -4.84%K -7.87%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-07-04 03:05 |
| NetBet (FR) | 1.32I 75.76%NM 66.50%EV -12.38%E -9.38%K -38.67%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 33.50%EV -11.92%E -4.55%K -7.36%G +0.000% | 13.9% | 2026-07-04 03:10 |
利润率 = 利润率（超额概率） · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率
更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间，因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变，并不代表数据已经失效。通常，约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除；只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时，才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。
博彩交易所 (3)
| 博彩公司 | 主队 | 客队 | 利润率 ▲ | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.48I 67.57%NM 66.96% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 33.04% | 0.9% | 2026-07-04 03:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.48I 67.57%NM 66.96% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 33.04% | 0.9% | 2026-07-04 03:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.48I 67.57%NM 66.82% | 2.98I 33.56%NM 33.18% | 1.1% | 2026-07-04 03:10 |
其他博彩公司 — 未纳入分析 (1)
这些博彩公司为该盘口提供的选项数量不同，因而未纳入分析。其赔率仅供参考——相关投注的结算规则可能不同，并带来额外的不确定性。
| 博彩公司 | 选项 1 | 选项 2 | 选项 3 | 利润率 ▲ | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LeoVegas | 1.40I 71.43%NM 65.51% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.35% | 80.00I 1.25%NM 1.15% | 9.0% | 2026-07-04 02:05 |