The School of Odds

Fremantle Dockers v West Coast Eagles

2026-07-24 10:10 UTC — AFL

Head to Head

23 sportsbooks (7 in analysis )

1 bookmaker(s) offer a different number of options for this market (3-way vs the 2-way used in analysis). Analysis results should be taken with caution due to this disparity.

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: IQM

Fremantle Dockers (Local)

Prediction 87.54%1.14fair odd
EV -3.71%
Edge -3.37%
Kelly -37.11%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.10

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
83.97%87.32%87.39%89.46%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
1.011.081.081.1099%93%93%91%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

West Coast Eagles (Visit)

Prediction 12.46%8.02fair odd
EV +12.18%
Edge +1.35%
Kelly +1.52%
Growth +0.186%

assuming max odds 9.00

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
10.54%12.68%12.61%16.03%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
5.507.457.509.0018%13%13%11%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Sportsbook Odds (23 sportsbooks)

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼MarginUpdated
Betr (AU)1.06I 94.34%NM 89.46%EV -7.21%E -6.80%K -120.21%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.54%EV +12.18%E +1.35%K +1.52%G +0.186%5.5%2026-07-20 01:09
PointsBet (AU)1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -6.34%E -5.92%K -90.53%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV +5.95%E +0.700%K +0.794%G +0.047%5.2%2026-07-19 08:00
TAB1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -5.46%E -5.06%K -68.28%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV -0.281%E -0.035%K -0.040%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-20 00:29
Ladbrokes (AU)1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -5.46%E -5.06%K -68.28%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV -0.281%E -0.035%K -0.040%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-19 22:45
Bet Right1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -5.46%E -5.06%K -68.28%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV -0.281%E -0.035%K -0.040%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-20 00:30
Neds1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -5.46%E -5.06%K -68.28%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV -0.281%E -0.035%K -0.040%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-20 00:30
SportsBet1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -5.46%E -5.06%K -68.28%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV -0.281%E -0.035%K -0.040%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-20 00:30
PlayUp1.07I 93.46%NM 88.20%EV -6.34%E -5.92%K -90.53%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.80%EV -0.281%E -0.035%K -0.040%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-19 08:00
Tipico (DE)1.05I 95.24%NM 88.40%EV -8.09%E -7.70%K -161.76%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.60%EV -0.281%E -0.035%K -0.040%G +0.000%7.7%2026-07-19 17:39
Grosvenor1.09I 91.74%NM 87.31%EV -4.59%E -4.21%K -50.96%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV -6.51%E -0.868%K -1.00%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-20 02:00
TABtouch1.09I 91.74%NM 87.31%EV -4.59%E -4.21%K -50.96%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV -6.51%E -0.868%K -1.00%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-20 02:00
Unibet (NL)1.09I 91.74%NM 87.31%EV -4.59%E -4.21%K -50.96%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV -6.51%E -0.868%K -1.00%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-20 02:00
Casumo1.09I 91.74%NM 87.31%EV -4.59%E -4.21%K -50.96%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV -6.51%E -0.868%K -1.00%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-20 02:00
Coolbet1.09I 91.74%NM 87.31%EV -4.59%E -4.21%K -50.96%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV -6.51%E -0.868%K -1.00%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-20 01:05
Dabble (AU)1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -5.46%E -5.06%K -68.28%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -6.51%E -0.868%K -1.00%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-20 00:09
DraftKings1.07I 93.46%NM 87.51%EV -6.34%E -5.92%K -90.53%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.49%EV -6.51%E -0.868%K -1.00%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-20 00:30
Marathon Bet1.07I 93.46%NM 87.06%EV -6.34%E -5.92%K -90.53%G +0.000%7.20I 13.89%NM 12.94%EV -10.25%E -1.42%K -1.65%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-20 01:09
Paddy Power1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -3.71%E -3.37%K -37.11%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -12.75%E -1.82%K -2.12%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-20 00:25
NetBet (FR)1.01I 99.01%NM 87.39%EV -11.59%E -11.47%K -1158.95%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.61%EV -12.75%E -1.82%K -2.12%G +0.000%13.3%2026-07-20 01:05
Unibet1.09I 91.74%NM 86.10%EV -4.59%E -4.21%K -50.96%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.90%EV -15.86%E -2.35%K -2.76%G +0.000%6.6%2026-07-20 02:00
Betsson1.08I 92.59%NM 84.75%EV -5.46%E -5.06%K -68.28%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.25%EV -25.21%E -4.20%K -5.04%G +0.000%9.3%2026-07-20 02:45
NordicBet1.08I 92.59%NM 84.75%EV -5.46%E -5.06%K -68.28%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.25%EV -25.21%E -4.20%K -5.04%G +0.000%9.3%2026-07-20 02:45
Unibet (FR)1.05I 95.24%NM 83.97%EV -8.09%E -7.70%K -161.76%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.03%EV -31.44%E -5.72%K -6.99%G +0.000%13.4%2026-07-20 02:00
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (3)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.08I 92.59%NM 91.06%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.94%1.7%2026-07-20 02:00
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.08I 92.59%NM 91.06%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.94%1.7%2026-07-20 02:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.08I 92.59%NM 91.06%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.94%1.7%2026-07-20 02:00

Other bookmakers — not included in analysis (1)

These bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market and are excluded from the analysis. Their odds are shown for reference only — the settlement rules of their bets may differ and carry additional uncertainty.

BookmakerOption 1Option 2Option 3Margin ▲Updated
LeoVegas1.08I 92.59%NM 84.97%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.12%100.00I 1.00%NM 0.92%9.0%2026-07-20 02:45