La scuola delle quoteQuote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →
ipotizzando la quota massima 1.06
ipotizzando la quota massima 12.50
4 bookmaker offrono un numero diverso di opzioni per questo mercato (3 esiti rispetto al formato 2 esiti usato nell’analisi). La disparità impone cautela nell’interpretare i risultati.
Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.
| Bookmaker | Casa | Trasferta ▼ | Margine | Aggiornamento |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bet Right | 1.04I 96.15%NM 92.32%EV -5.55%E -5.33%K -138.63%G +0.000% | 12.50I 8.00%NM 7.68%EV +14.73%E +1.18%K +1.28%G +0.189% | 4.2% | 2026-07-24 06:35 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.00I 100.00%NM 92.59%EV -9.18%E -9.18%K +0.000%G +0.000% | 12.50I 8.00%NM 7.41%EV +14.73%E +1.18%K +1.28%G +0.189% | 8.0% | 2026-07-24 10:09 |
| PlayUp | 1.03I 97.09%NM 92.10%EV -6.45%E -6.27%K -215.11%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.90%EV +10.14%E +0.845%K +0.922%G +0.093% | 5.4% | 2026-07-24 08:15 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.03I 97.09%NM 92.10%EV -6.45%E -6.27%K -215.11%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.90%EV +10.14%E +0.845%K +0.922%G +0.093% | 5.4% | 2026-07-24 09:55 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.05I 95.24%NM 91.63%EV -4.64%E -4.42%K -92.74%G +0.000% | 11.50I 8.70%NM 8.37%EV +5.55%E +0.482%K +0.528%G +0.029% | 3.9% | 2026-07-24 09:35 |
| TAB | 1.04I 96.15%NM 91.36%EV -5.55%E -5.33%K -138.63%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.64%EV +0.959%E +0.087%K +0.096%G +0.001% | 5.2% | 2026-07-24 09:35 |
| Paddy Power | 1.04I 96.15%NM 91.36%EV -5.55%E -5.33%K -138.63%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.64%EV +0.959%E +0.087%K +0.096%G +0.001% | 5.2% | 2026-07-24 10:10 |
| Dabble (AU) | 1.04I 96.15%NM 91.36%EV -5.55%E -5.33%K -138.63%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.64%EV +0.959%E +0.087%K +0.096%G +0.001% | 5.2% | 2026-07-24 09:55 |
| Pinnacle | 1.04I 96.15%NM 91.16%EV -5.55%E -5.33%K -138.63%G +0.000% | 10.72I 9.33%NM 8.84%EV -1.61%E -0.150%K -0.166%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-07-24 10:09 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.05I 95.24%NM 90.50%EV -4.64%E -4.42%K -92.74%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.50%EV -8.22%E -0.822%K -0.913%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-07-23 09:20 |
| Neds | 1.05I 95.24%NM 90.50%EV -4.64%E -4.42%K -92.74%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.50%EV -8.22%E -0.822%K -0.913%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-07-23 09:19 |
| SportsBet | 1.04I 96.15%NM 90.58%EV -5.55%E -5.33%K -138.63%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.42%EV -8.22%E -0.822%K -0.913%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-07-24 09:45 |
| Tipico (DE) | 1.02I 98.04%NM 90.74%EV -7.36%E -7.22%K -368.08%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.26%EV -8.22%E -0.822%K -0.913%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-07-24 04:45 |
| NetBet (FR) | 1.01I 99.01%NM 90.61%EV -8.27%E -8.19%K -826.99%G +0.000% | 9.75I 10.26%NM 9.39%EV -10.51%E -1.08%K -1.20%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-07-24 10:10 |
| Coolbet | 1.06I 94.34%NM 89.96%EV -3.73%E -3.52%K -62.15%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 10.04%EV -12.81%E -1.35%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-07-23 22:15 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.05I 95.24%NM 90.05%EV -4.64%E -4.42%K -92.74%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.95%EV -12.81%E -1.35%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-07-24 10:10 |
| Casumo | 1.05I 95.24%NM 90.05%EV -4.64%E -4.42%K -92.74%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.95%EV -12.81%E -1.35%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-07-24 10:10 |
| Grosvenor | 1.04I 96.15%NM 90.13%EV -5.55%E -5.33%K -138.63%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.87%EV -12.81%E -1.35%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-07-24 10:10 |
| TABtouch | 1.04I 96.15%NM 90.13%EV -5.55%E -5.33%K -138.63%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.87%EV -12.81%E -1.35%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-07-24 10:10 |
| Coral | 1.05I 95.24%NM 89.55%EV -4.64%E -4.42%K -92.74%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.45%EV -17.40%E -1.93%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-07-23 23:04 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.05I 95.24%NM 89.55%EV -4.64%E -4.42%K -92.74%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.45%EV -17.40%E -1.93%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-07-23 23:05 |
| Everygame | 1.03I 97.09%NM 89.73%EV -6.45%E -6.27%K -215.11%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.27%EV -17.40%E -1.93%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-07-24 09:45 |
| DraftKings | 1.06I 94.34%NM 88.30%EV -3.73%E -3.52%K -62.15%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.70%EV -26.58%E -3.32%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-07-24 10:10 |
| Unibet (FR) | 1.03I 97.09%NM 87.33%EV -6.45%E -6.27%K -215.11%G +0.000% | 7.10I 14.08%NM 12.67%EV -34.84%E -4.91%K -5.71%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-07-24 09:55 |
Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.
| Bookmaker | Casa | Trasferta | Margine ▲ | Aggiornamento |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.04I 96.15%NM 95.49% | 22.00I 4.55%NM 4.51% | 0.7% | 2026-07-24 09:45 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.04I 96.15%NM 95.49% | 22.00I 4.55%NM 4.51% | 0.7% | 2026-07-24 10:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.04I 96.15%NM 95.28% | 21.00I 4.76%NM 4.72% | 0.9% | 2026-07-24 10:10 |
Questi bookmaker offrono un numero diverso di opzioni e sono esclusi dall’analisi. Le loro quote sono mostrate solo come riferimento: le regole di regolamento possono differire e comportare ulteriore incertezza.
| Bookmaker | Opzione 1 | Opzione 2 | Opzione 3 | Margine ▲ | Aggiornamento |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Unibet | 1.05I 95.24%NM 88.67% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.31% | 46.00I 2.17%NM 2.02% | 7.4% | 2026-07-24 10:10 |
| LeoVegas | 1.04I 96.15%NM 88.28% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.80% | 100.00I 1.00%NM 0.92% | 8.9% | 2026-07-24 02:49 |
| Betsson | 1.05I 95.24%NM 86.17% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 12.93% | 100.00I 1.00%NM 0.90% | 10.5% | 2026-07-24 10:09 |
| NordicBet | 1.05I 95.24%NM 86.17% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 12.93% | 100.00I 1.00%NM 0.90% | 10.5% | 2026-07-24 10:10 |