語言:繁體中文
Fremantle Dockers v Carlton Blues
收盤賠率 — 在所選模型下，根據開賽前最後記錄的價格計算所得的機率與期望值。賽事已經開始，因此這些並非即時數據。 以所有已結算賽事的實際結果評估各模型機率預測的可靠度 →
獨贏
Fremantle Dockers (主隊)
預測 85.98%1.16公平賠率
EV -1.98%
優勢 -1.73%
Kelly -14.13%
成長率 +0.000%
假設最高賠率為 1.14
博彩公司預測分布
81.17%86.13%85.83%88.65%最小值平均值中位數最大值
賠率分布
1.021.101.101.1498.04%91.18%91.32%87.72%最小值平均值中位數最大值
Carlton Blues (客隊)
預測 14.02%7.14公平賠率
EV +14.93%
優勢 +1.82%
Kelly +2.07%
成長率 +0.309%
假設最高賠率為 8.20
博彩公司預測分布
11.35%13.87%14.17%18.83%最小值平均值中位數最大值
賠率分布
4.706.516.508.2021.28%15.36%15.38%12.20%最小值平均值中位數最大值
依開賽前最後一組賠率，四分位數間平均值 (精選名單)對獨贏的機率估計為：Fremantle Dockers (主隊)：85.98%；Carlton Blues (客隊)：14.02%。 對於「Carlton Blues (客隊)」，該估計相當於7.14的公平十進位賠率。 當時有2家博彩公司提供高於該水準的收盤賠率；最佳賠率為8.20，對應+14.93%的正期望值。
博彩公司賠率 (28 家博彩公司)
本站與任何博彩公司均無關聯，也不會從使用者與其進行的任何操作中獲利。
| 博彩公司 | 主隊 | 客隊 ▼ | 利潤率 | 更新時間 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.05I 95.24%NM 88.65%EV -9.72%E -9.25%K -194.32%G +0.000% | 8.20I 12.20%NM 11.35%EV +14.93%E +1.82%K +2.07%G +0.309% | 7.4% | 2026-04-23 22:59 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.07I 93.46%NM 87.74%EV -8.00%E -7.47%K -114.23%G +0.000% | 7.66I 13.05%NM 12.26%EV +7.36%E +0.961%K +1.10%G +0.081% | 6.5% | 2026-04-23 23:10 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -5.42%E -4.92%K -54.17%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -1.89%E -0.270%K -0.315%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-23 11:59 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -5.42%E -4.92%K -54.17%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -1.89%E -0.270%K -0.315%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-24 01:00 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.09I 91.74%NM 86.53%EV -6.28%E -5.76%K -69.74%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.47%EV -1.89%E -0.270%K -0.315%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-04-23 20:35 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.09I 91.74%NM 86.53%EV -6.28%E -5.76%K -69.74%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.47%EV -1.89%E -0.270%K -0.315%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-04-24 00:04 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.09I 91.74%NM 86.53%EV -6.28%E -5.76%K -69.74%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.47%EV -1.89%E -0.270%K -0.315%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-04-24 00:05 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.09I 91.74%NM 86.53%EV -6.28%E -5.76%K -69.74%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.47%EV -1.89%E -0.270%K -0.315%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-04-24 00:04 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.09I 91.74%NM 86.53%EV -6.28%E -5.76%K -69.74%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.47%EV -1.89%E -0.270%K -0.315%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-04-24 00:05 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.88%EV -4.56%E -4.11%K -41.43%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 14.12%EV -5.40%E -0.799%K -0.938%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-04-23 12:04 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.79%EV -4.56%E -4.11%K -41.43%G +0.000% | 6.70I 14.93%NM 14.21%EV -6.10%E -0.910%K -1.07%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-23 12:00 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.79%EV -4.56%E -4.11%K -41.43%G +0.000% | 6.70I 14.93%NM 14.21%EV -6.10%E -0.910%K -1.07%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-24 00:09 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 85.30%EV -3.70%E -3.30%K -30.81%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.70%EV -8.90%E -1.37%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-23 08:19 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -4.56%E -4.11%K -41.43%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV -8.90%E -1.37%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-04-23 06:54 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 85.53%EV -5.42%E -4.92%K -54.17%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.47%EV -8.90%E -1.37%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-04-23 20:15 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.09I 91.74%NM 85.64%EV -6.28%E -5.76%K -69.74%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.36%EV -8.90%E -1.37%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-23 23:09 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.09I 91.74%NM 85.64%EV -6.28%E -5.76%K -69.74%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.36%EV -8.90%E -1.37%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-23 23:05 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 85.75%EV -7.14%E -6.61%K -89.21%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.25%EV -8.90%E -1.37%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-04-23 15:24 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 85.75%EV -7.14%E -6.61%K -89.21%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.25%EV -8.90%E -1.37%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-04-24 02:34 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 84.58%EV -2.84%E -2.51%K -21.83%G +0.000% | 6.20I 16.13%NM 15.42%EV -13.10%E -2.11%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-04-22 20:20 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 84.58%EV -2.84%E -2.51%K -21.83%G +0.000% | 6.20I 16.13%NM 15.42%EV -13.10%E -2.11%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-04-22 20:20 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.02I 98.04%NM 85.87%EV -12.30%E -12.05%K -614.78%G +0.000% | 6.20I 16.13%NM 14.13%EV -13.10%E -2.11%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 14.2% | 2026-04-24 00:09 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -3.70%E -3.30%K -30.81%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -15.91%E -2.65%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-04-23 03:35 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.09I 91.74%NM 84.63%EV -6.28%E -5.76%K -69.74%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.37%EV -15.91%E -2.65%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-04-24 00:04 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -1.98%E -1.73%K -14.13%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -22.92%E -4.17%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-04-20 01:50 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 83.21%EV -4.56%E -4.11%K -41.43%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.79%EV -22.92%E -4.17%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-04-23 13:40 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 83.21%EV -4.56%E -4.11%K -41.43%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.79%EV -22.92%E -4.17%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-04-23 13:40 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.09I 91.74%NM 81.17%EV -6.28%E -5.76%K -69.74%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 18.83%EV -34.13%E -7.26%K -9.22%G +0.000% | 13.0% | 2026-04-23 13:40 |
利潤率 = 利潤率（超額機率） · I = 隱含機率 · NM = 無利潤率機率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 優勢 · K = Kelly 準則 · G = 投注資金成長率
更新時間 表示各家公司最後一次調整賠率的時間，因此較早的時間只代表賠率未再變動，不表示價格已失效。通常會排除約 15 分鐘內未收到資料的博彩公司；只有當整個市場的資料來源均停止更新時，才改為顯示最新記錄的價格。
博彩交易所 (3)
| 博彩公司 | 主隊 | 客隊 | 利潤率 ▲ | 更新時間 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.14I 87.72%NM 87.53% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 12.47% | 0.2% | 2026-04-24 01:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.14I 87.72%NM 87.53% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 12.47% | 0.2% | 2026-04-24 01:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.14I 87.72%NM 87.53% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 12.47% | 0.2% | 2026-04-24 01:25 |