La scuola delle quote

Fremantle Dockers v Carlton Blues

Inizio: 2026-04-25 10:15 UTC

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

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28 bookmaker (8 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: IQM

Fremantle Dockers (Casa)

Previsione 85.98%1.16quota equa
EV -1.98%
Vantaggio -1.73%
Kelly -14.13%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.14

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
81.17%86.13%85.83%88.65%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.021.101.101.1498.04%91.18%91.32%87.72%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Carlton Blues (Trasferta)

Previsione 14.02%7.14quota equa
EV +14.93%
Vantaggio +1.82%
Kelly +2.07%
Crescita +0.309%

ipotizzando la quota massima 8.20

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
11.35%13.87%14.17%18.83%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
4.706.516.508.2021.28%15.36%15.38%12.20%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Quote dei bookmaker (28 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasaTrasferta ▼MargineAggiornamento
Marathon Bet1.05I 95.24%NM 88.65%EV -9.72%E -9.25%K -194.32%G +0.000%8.20I 12.20%NM 11.35%EV +14.93%E +1.82%K +2.07%G +0.309%7.4%2026-04-23 22:59
Pinnacle1.07I 93.46%NM 87.74%EV -8.00%E -7.47%K -114.23%G +0.000%7.66I 13.05%NM 12.26%EV +7.36%E +0.961%K +1.10%G +0.081%6.5%2026-04-23 23:10
TAB1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -5.42%E -4.92%K -54.17%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -1.89%E -0.270%K -0.315%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-23 11:59
PlayUp1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -5.42%E -4.92%K -54.17%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -1.89%E -0.270%K -0.315%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-24 01:00
PointsBet (AU)1.09I 91.74%NM 86.53%EV -6.28%E -5.76%K -69.74%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.47%EV -1.89%E -0.270%K -0.315%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-23 20:35
Casumo1.09I 91.74%NM 86.53%EV -6.28%E -5.76%K -69.74%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.47%EV -1.89%E -0.270%K -0.315%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-24 00:04
Grosvenor1.09I 91.74%NM 86.53%EV -6.28%E -5.76%K -69.74%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.47%EV -1.89%E -0.270%K -0.315%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-24 00:05
Unibet (NL)1.09I 91.74%NM 86.53%EV -6.28%E -5.76%K -69.74%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.47%EV -1.89%E -0.270%K -0.315%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-24 00:04
TABtouch1.09I 91.74%NM 86.53%EV -6.28%E -5.76%K -69.74%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.47%EV -1.89%E -0.270%K -0.315%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-24 00:05
Bet Right1.11I 90.09%NM 85.88%EV -4.56%E -4.11%K -41.43%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 14.12%EV -5.40%E -0.799%K -0.938%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-23 12:04
SportsBet1.11I 90.09%NM 85.79%EV -4.56%E -4.11%K -41.43%G +0.000%6.70I 14.93%NM 14.21%EV -6.10%E -0.910%K -1.07%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-23 12:00
Coolbet1.11I 90.09%NM 85.79%EV -4.56%E -4.11%K -41.43%G +0.000%6.70I 14.93%NM 14.21%EV -6.10%E -0.910%K -1.07%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-24 00:09
Dabble (AU)1.12I 89.29%NM 85.30%EV -3.70%E -3.30%K -30.81%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.70%EV -8.90%E -1.37%K -1.62%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-23 08:19
Betr (AU)1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -4.56%E -4.11%K -41.43%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV -8.90%E -1.37%K -1.62%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-23 06:54
DraftKings1.10I 90.91%NM 85.53%EV -5.42%E -4.92%K -54.17%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.47%EV -8.90%E -1.37%K -1.62%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-23 20:15
Coral1.09I 91.74%NM 85.64%EV -6.28%E -5.76%K -69.74%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.36%EV -8.90%E -1.37%K -1.62%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-23 23:09
Ladbrokes (UK)1.09I 91.74%NM 85.64%EV -6.28%E -5.76%K -69.74%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.36%EV -8.90%E -1.37%K -1.62%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-23 23:05
Tipico (DE)1.08I 92.59%NM 85.75%EV -7.14%E -6.61%K -89.21%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.25%EV -8.90%E -1.37%K -1.62%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-23 15:24
Everygame1.08I 92.59%NM 85.75%EV -7.14%E -6.61%K -89.21%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.25%EV -8.90%E -1.37%K -1.62%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-24 02:34
Ladbrokes (AU)1.13I 88.50%NM 84.58%EV -2.84%E -2.51%K -21.83%G +0.000%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.42%EV -13.10%E -2.11%K -2.52%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-22 20:20
Neds1.13I 88.50%NM 84.58%EV -2.84%E -2.51%K -21.83%G +0.000%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.42%EV -13.10%E -2.11%K -2.52%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-22 20:20
NetBet (FR)1.02I 98.04%NM 85.87%EV -12.30%E -12.05%K -614.78%G +0.000%6.20I 16.13%NM 14.13%EV -13.10%E -2.11%K -2.52%G +0.000%14.2%2026-04-24 00:09
Paddy Power1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -3.70%E -3.30%K -30.81%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -15.91%E -2.65%K -3.18%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-23 03:35
Unibet1.09I 91.74%NM 84.63%EV -6.28%E -5.76%K -69.74%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.37%EV -15.91%E -2.65%K -3.18%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-24 00:04
BetUS1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -1.98%E -1.73%K -14.13%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -22.92%E -4.17%K -5.09%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-20 01:50
Betsson1.11I 90.09%NM 83.21%EV -4.56%E -4.11%K -41.43%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.79%EV -22.92%E -4.17%K -5.09%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-23 13:40
NordicBet1.11I 90.09%NM 83.21%EV -4.56%E -4.11%K -41.43%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.79%EV -22.92%E -4.17%K -5.09%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-23 13:40
Unibet (FR)1.09I 91.74%NM 81.17%EV -6.28%E -5.76%K -69.74%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 18.83%EV -34.13%E -7.26%K -9.22%G +0.000%13.0%2026-04-23 13:40
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (3)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.14I 87.72%NM 87.53%8.00I 12.50%NM 12.47%0.2%2026-04-24 01:25
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.14I 87.72%NM 87.53%8.00I 12.50%NM 12.47%0.2%2026-04-24 01:25
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.14I 87.72%NM 87.53%8.00I 12.50%NM 12.47%0.2%2026-04-24 01:25