赔率学院

Essendon Bombers v Melbourne Demons

开赛时间: 2026-04-11 03:15 UTC

收盘赔率 — 按所选模型,根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始,因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →

胜负盘

28 家博彩公司 (8 家纳入分析 )

模型估计的各赛果概率:IQM

Essendon Bombers (主队)

预测 22.71%4.40公平赔率
EV +4.46%
优势 +0.969%
Kelly +1.24%
增长率 +0.055%

假设最高赔率为 4.60

博彩公司预测分布
20.69%22.89%22.87%26.37%MIN均值中位数MAX
赔率分布
3.354.074.104.6029.85%24.57%24.39%21.74%MIN均值中位数MAX

Melbourne Demons (客队)

预测 77.29%1.29公平赔率
EV -3.38%
优势 -2.71%
Kelly -13.54%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 1.25

博彩公司预测分布
73.63%77.11%77.13%79.31%MIN均值中位数MAX
赔率分布
1.151.221.231.2586.96%81.73%81.30%80.00%MIN均值中位数MAX

博彩公司赔率 (28 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联,也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司主队 ▼客队利润率更新时间
Neds4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV +4.46%E +0.969%K +1.24%G +0.055%1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -7.25%E -6.04%K -36.25%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-11 02:55
Ladbrokes (AU)4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV +4.46%E +0.969%K +1.24%G +0.055%1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -7.25%E -6.04%K -36.25%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-11 02:55
PlayUp4.50I 22.22%NM 21.33%EV +2.19%E +0.486%K +0.625%G +0.014%1.22I 81.97%NM 78.67%EV -5.70%E -4.68%K -25.93%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-11 02:45
Pinnacle4.32I 23.15%NM 21.88%EV -1.90%E -0.440%K -0.573%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 78.12%EV -6.48%E -5.35%K -30.84%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-11 02:20
Bet Right4.30I 23.26%NM 22.10%EV -2.36%E -0.548%K -0.714%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.90%EV -5.70%E -4.68%K -25.93%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-11 03:10
Marathon Bet4.30I 23.26%NM 21.68%EV -2.36%E -0.548%K -0.714%G +0.000%1.19I 84.03%NM 78.32%EV -8.02%E -6.74%K -42.22%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-11 03:10
Tipico (DE)4.30I 23.26%NM 21.53%EV -2.36%E -0.548%K -0.714%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 78.47%EV -8.80%E -7.45%K -48.86%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-07 11:44
BetUS4.25I 23.53%NM 22.59%EV -3.49%E -0.821%K -1.07%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 77.41%EV -4.16%E -3.35%K -17.32%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-10 01:34
Dabble (AU)4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV -3.49%E -0.821%K -1.07%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -5.70%E -4.68%K -25.93%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-11 02:50
PointsBet (AU)4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -4.63%E -1.10%K -1.45%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -5.70%E -4.68%K -25.93%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-11 03:10
DraftKings4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -6.90%E -1.68%K -2.22%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -4.16%E -3.35%K -17.32%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-10 23:45
Coolbet4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -6.90%E -1.68%K -2.22%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -4.16%E -3.35%K -17.32%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-10 06:30
Grosvenor4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -6.90%E -1.68%K -2.22%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -4.16%E -3.35%K -17.32%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-10 04:04
Unibet (NL)4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -6.90%E -1.68%K -2.22%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -4.16%E -3.35%K -17.32%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-10 04:04
TABtouch4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -6.90%E -1.68%K -2.22%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -4.16%E -3.35%K -17.32%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-10 04:05
Casumo4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -6.90%E -1.68%K -2.22%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -4.16%E -3.35%K -17.32%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-10 04:05
TAB4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -6.90%E -1.68%K -2.22%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -4.16%E -3.35%K -17.32%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-10 23:44
SportsBet4.05I 24.69%NM 23.30%EV -8.03%E -1.98%K -2.63%G +0.000%1.23I 81.30%NM 76.70%EV -4.93%E -4.01%K -21.44%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-11 03:10
Betr (AU)4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -9.17%E -2.29%K -3.06%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -3.38%E -2.71%K -13.54%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-10 02:20
Coral4.00I 25.00%NM 23.52%EV -9.17%E -2.29%K -3.06%G +0.000%1.23I 81.30%NM 76.48%EV -4.93%E -4.01%K -21.44%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-09 00:14
Ladbrokes (UK)4.00I 25.00%NM 23.52%EV -9.17%E -2.29%K -3.06%G +0.000%1.23I 81.30%NM 76.48%EV -4.93%E -4.01%K -21.44%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-09 02:50
Unibet3.80I 26.32%NM 24.60%EV -13.71%E -3.61%K -4.90%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 75.40%EV -4.16%E -3.35%K -17.32%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-10 13:15
Paddy Power3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -14.85%E -3.96%K -5.40%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -3.38%E -2.71%K -13.54%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-09 23:39
Everygame3.75I 26.67%NM 24.55%EV -14.85%E -3.96%K -5.40%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 75.45%EV -5.70%E -4.68%K -25.93%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-11 02:55
NetBet (FR)3.75I 26.67%NM 23.47%EV -14.85%E -3.96%K -5.40%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 76.53%EV -11.11%E -9.66%K -74.09%G +0.000%13.6%2026-04-10 06:35
Betsson3.60I 27.78%NM 25.62%EV -18.25%E -5.07%K -7.02%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 74.38%EV -4.16%E -3.35%K -17.32%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-09 10:15
NordicBet3.60I 27.78%NM 25.62%EV -18.25%E -5.07%K -7.02%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 74.38%EV -4.16%E -3.35%K -17.32%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-09 10:15
Unibet (FR)3.35I 29.85%NM 26.37%EV -23.93%E -7.14%K -10.18%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 73.63%EV -7.25%E -6.04%K -36.25%G +0.000%13.2%2026-04-11 03:05
利润率 = 利润率(超额概率) · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间,因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变,并不代表数据已经失效。通常,约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除;只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时,才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。

博彩交易所 (3)

博彩公司主队客队利润率 ▲更新时间
Betfair Exchange (UK)5.00I 20.00%NM 19.87%1.24I 80.65%NM 80.13%0.6%2026-04-11 03:10
Betfair Exchange (AU)5.00I 20.00%NM 19.87%1.24I 80.65%NM 80.13%0.6%2026-04-11 03:10
Betfair Exchange (EU)5.00I 20.00%NM 19.87%1.24I 80.65%NM 80.13%0.6%2026-04-11 03:05