La scuola delle quoteLingua:Italiano
Essendon Bombers v Melbourne Demons
Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →
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Essendon Bombers (Casa)
Previsione 22.71%4.40quota equa
EV +4.46%
Vantaggio +0.969%
Kelly +1.24%
Crescita +0.055%
ipotizzando la quota massima 4.60
Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
20.69%22.89%22.87%26.37%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
3.354.074.104.6029.85%24.57%24.39%21.74%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Melbourne Demons (Trasferta)
Previsione 77.29%1.29quota equa
EV -3.38%
Vantaggio -2.71%
Kelly -13.54%
Crescita +0.000%
ipotizzando la quota massima 1.25
Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
73.63%77.11%77.13%79.31%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.151.221.231.2586.96%81.73%81.30%80.00%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Quote dei bookmaker (28 bookmaker)
Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.
| Bookmaker | Casa ▼ | Trasferta | Margine | Aggiornamento |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Neds | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV +4.46%E +0.969%K +1.24%G +0.055% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -7.25%E -6.04%K -36.25%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-11 02:55 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV +4.46%E +0.969%K +1.24%G +0.055% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -7.25%E -6.04%K -36.25%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-11 02:55 |
| PlayUp | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.33%EV +2.19%E +0.486%K +0.625%G +0.014% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.67%EV -5.70%E -4.68%K -25.93%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-04-11 02:45 |
| Pinnacle | 4.32I 23.15%NM 21.88%EV -1.90%E -0.440%K -0.573%G +0.000% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.12%EV -6.48%E -5.35%K -30.84%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-04-11 02:20 |
| Bet Right | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.10%EV -2.36%E -0.548%K -0.714%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.90%EV -5.70%E -4.68%K -25.93%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-11 03:10 |
| Marathon Bet | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.68%EV -2.36%E -0.548%K -0.714%G +0.000% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 78.32%EV -8.02%E -6.74%K -42.22%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-04-11 03:10 |
| Tipico (DE) | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.53%EV -2.36%E -0.548%K -0.714%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 78.47%EV -8.80%E -7.45%K -48.86%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-04-07 11:44 |
| BetUS | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.59%EV -3.49%E -0.821%K -1.07%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 77.41%EV -4.16%E -3.35%K -17.32%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-04-10 01:34 |
| Dabble (AU) | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV -3.49%E -0.821%K -1.07%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -5.70%E -4.68%K -25.93%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-04-11 02:50 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -4.63%E -1.10%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -5.70%E -4.68%K -25.93%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-04-11 03:10 |
| DraftKings | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -6.90%E -1.68%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -4.16%E -3.35%K -17.32%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-10 23:45 |
| Coolbet | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -6.90%E -1.68%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -4.16%E -3.35%K -17.32%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-10 06:30 |
| Grosvenor | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -6.90%E -1.68%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -4.16%E -3.35%K -17.32%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-10 04:04 |
| Unibet (NL) | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -6.90%E -1.68%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -4.16%E -3.35%K -17.32%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-10 04:04 |
| TABtouch | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -6.90%E -1.68%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -4.16%E -3.35%K -17.32%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-10 04:05 |
| Casumo | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -6.90%E -1.68%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -4.16%E -3.35%K -17.32%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-10 04:05 |
| TAB | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -6.90%E -1.68%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -4.16%E -3.35%K -17.32%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-10 23:44 |
| SportsBet | 4.05I 24.69%NM 23.30%EV -8.03%E -1.98%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 76.70%EV -4.93%E -4.01%K -21.44%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-04-11 03:10 |
| Betr (AU) | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -9.17%E -2.29%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -3.38%E -2.71%K -13.54%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-10 02:20 |
| Coral | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.52%EV -9.17%E -2.29%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 76.48%EV -4.93%E -4.01%K -21.44%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-04-09 00:14 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.52%EV -9.17%E -2.29%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 76.48%EV -4.93%E -4.01%K -21.44%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-04-09 02:50 |
| Unibet | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.60%EV -13.71%E -3.61%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 75.40%EV -4.16%E -3.35%K -17.32%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-10 13:15 |
| Paddy Power | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -14.85%E -3.96%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -3.38%E -2.71%K -13.54%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-04-09 23:39 |
| Everygame | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.55%EV -14.85%E -3.96%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 75.45%EV -5.70%E -4.68%K -25.93%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-04-11 02:55 |
| NetBet (FR) | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.47%EV -14.85%E -3.96%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 76.53%EV -11.11%E -9.66%K -74.09%G +0.000% | 13.6% | 2026-04-10 06:35 |
| Betsson | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.62%EV -18.25%E -5.07%K -7.02%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 74.38%EV -4.16%E -3.35%K -17.32%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-04-09 10:15 |
| NordicBet | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.62%EV -18.25%E -5.07%K -7.02%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 74.38%EV -4.16%E -3.35%K -17.32%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-04-09 10:15 |
| Unibet (FR) | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.37%EV -23.93%E -7.14%K -10.18%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 73.63%EV -7.25%E -6.04%K -36.25%G +0.000% | 13.2% | 2026-04-11 03:05 |
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale
Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.
Borse di scommesse (3)
| Bookmaker | Casa | Trasferta | Margine ▲ | Aggiornamento |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.87% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 80.13% | 0.6% | 2026-04-11 03:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.87% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 80.13% | 0.6% | 2026-04-11 03:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.87% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 80.13% | 0.6% | 2026-04-11 03:05 |