The School of OddsCollingwood Magpies v North Melbourne Kangaroos
Head to Head
1 bookmaker(s) offer a different number of options for this market (3-way vs the 2-way used in analysis). Analysis results should be taken with caution due to this disparity.
Option 1: Collingwood Magpies (Local)
Odds
1.3076.92%Min
1.3872.36%Mean
1.4071.43%Median
1.4270.42%Max
Consensus probabilities
65.99%1.515Min
69.51%1.439Max
67.63%1.479Mean
67.66%1.478Median
67.72%1.477IQM
67.63%1.479Margin-weighted
Metrics for max odd 1.42 under the IQM model: 67.72%
EV -3.84%Edge -2.71%Kelly -9.15%Growth +0.000%
Option 2: North Melbourne Kangaroos (Visit)
Odds
2.6038.46%Min
2.9034.50%Mean
2.9334.13%Median
3.1032.26%Max
Consensus probabilities
30.49%3.279Min
34.01%2.940Max
32.37%3.089Mean
32.34%3.092Median
32.28%3.098IQM
32.37%3.089Margin-weighted
Metrics for max odd 3.10 under the IQM model: 32.28%
EV +0.077%Edge +0.025%Kelly +0.037%Growth +0.000%
Sportsbook Odds (21 sportsbooks)
| Bookmaker | Collingwood Magpies (Local) | North Melbourne Kangaroos (Visit) ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Neds | 1.36I 73.53% NM 69.51%EV -7.90% E -5.81% K -21.96% G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26% NM 30.49%EV +0.077% E +0.025% K +0.037% G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-07-05 10:15 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.36I 73.53% NM 69.51%EV -7.90% E -5.81% K -21.96% G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26% NM 30.49%EV +0.077% E +0.025% K +0.037% G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-07-05 10:15 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.38I 72.46% NM 68.85%EV -6.55% E -4.75% K -17.24% G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79% NM 31.15%EV -1.54% E -0.504% K -0.750% G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-05 09:35 |
| SportsBet | 1.40I 71.43% NM 67.96%EV -5.20% E -3.71% K -12.99% G +0.000% | 2.97I 33.67% NM 32.04%EV -4.12% E -1.39% K -2.09% G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-05 09:34 |
| TAB | 1.40I 71.43% NM 67.82%EV -5.20% E -3.71% K -12.99% G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90% NM 32.18%EV -4.77% E -1.62% K -2.44% G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-05 09:33 |
| TABtouch | 1.40I 71.43% NM 67.82%EV -5.20% E -3.71% K -12.99% G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90% NM 32.18%EV -4.77% E -1.62% K -2.44% G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-05 12:25 |
| Casumo | 1.40I 71.43% NM 67.82%EV -5.20% E -3.71% K -12.99% G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90% NM 32.18%EV -4.77% E -1.62% K -2.44% G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-05 12:24 |
| Grosvenor | 1.40I 71.43% NM 67.82%EV -5.20% E -3.71% K -12.99% G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90% NM 32.18%EV -4.77% E -1.62% K -2.44% G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-05 12:24 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.40I 71.43% NM 67.82%EV -5.20% E -3.71% K -12.99% G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90% NM 32.18%EV -4.77% E -1.62% K -2.44% G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-05 12:24 |
| DraftKings | 1.38I 72.46% NM 68.13%EV -6.55% E -4.75% K -17.24% G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90% NM 31.87%EV -4.77% E -1.62% K -2.44% G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-07-05 10:05 |
| Coolbet | 1.41I 70.92% NM 67.51%EV -4.52% E -3.20% K -11.02% G +0.000% | 2.93I 34.13% NM 32.49%EV -5.41% E -1.85% K -2.80% G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-05 10:00 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.36I 73.53% NM 68.22%EV -7.90% E -5.81% K -21.96% G +0.000% | 2.92I 34.25% NM 31.78%EV -5.73% E -1.96% K -2.99% G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-07-05 13:05 |
| Tipico (DE) | 1.35I 74.07% NM 68.24%EV -8.58% E -6.36% K -24.52% G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48% NM 31.76%EV -6.38% E -2.20% K -3.36% G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-07-05 11:00 |
| Paddy Power | 1.40I 71.43% NM 67.29%EV -5.20% E -3.71% K -12.99% G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72% NM 32.71%EV -7.03% E -2.44% K -3.74% G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-07-05 09:33 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.40I 71.43% NM 67.06%EV -5.20% E -3.71% K -12.99% G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09% NM 32.94%EV -7.99% E -2.80% K -4.32% G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-07-05 09:35 |
| Unibet | 1.40I 71.43% NM 67.06%EV -5.20% E -3.71% K -12.99% G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09% NM 32.94%EV -7.99% E -2.80% K -4.32% G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-07-05 12:25 |
| PlayUp | 1.42I 70.42% NM 66.35%EV -3.84% E -2.71% K -9.15% G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71% NM 33.65%EV -9.61% E -3.43% K -5.34% G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-07-05 09:34 |
| NordicBet | 1.38I 72.46% NM 66.59%EV -6.55% E -4.75% K -17.24% G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36% NM 33.41%EV -11.22% E -4.08% K -6.41% G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-07-05 10:50 |
| Betsson | 1.38I 72.46% NM 66.59%EV -6.55% E -4.75% K -17.24% G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36% NM 33.41%EV -11.22% E -4.08% K -6.41% G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-07-05 10:50 |
| NetBet (FR) | 1.30I 76.92% NM 67.66%EV -11.97% E -9.21% K -39.89% G +0.000% | 2.72I 36.76% NM 32.34%EV -12.19% E -4.48% K -7.09% G +0.000% | 13.7% | 2026-07-05 09:34 |
| Unibet (FR) | 1.34I 74.63% NM 65.99%EV -9.26% E -6.91% K -27.23% G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46% NM 34.01%EV -16.06% E -6.18% K -10.04% G +0.000% | 13.1% | 2026-07-05 10:50 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Exchanges (3)
| Bookmaker | Collingwood Magpies (Local) | North Melbourne Kangaroos (Visit) | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.40I 71.43% | 3.05I 32.79% | 4.2% | 2026-07-05 11:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.40I 71.43% | 3.05I 32.79% | 4.2% | 2026-07-05 11:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.40I 71.43% | 3.05I 32.79% | 4.2% | 2026-07-05 11:30 |
Other bookmakers — not included in analysis (1)
These bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market and are excluded from the analysis. Their odds are shown for reference only — the settlement rules of their bets may differ and carry additional uncertainty.
| Bookmaker | Option 1 | Option 2 | Option 3 | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LeoVegas | 1.40I 71.43% | 2.80I 35.71% | 80.00I 1.25% | 8.4% | 2026-07-05 11:04 |