语言:简体中文
Collingwood Magpies v North Melbourne Kangaroos
收盘赔率 — 按所选模型，根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始，因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →
胜负盘
Collingwood Magpies (主队)
预测 68.32%1.46公平赔率
EV -0.250%
优势 -0.171%
Kelly -0.543%
增长率 +0.000%
假设最高赔率为 1.46
博彩公司预测分布
65.32%68.12%68.41%70.14%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.281.381.381.4678.13%72.44%72.46%68.49%最小值均值中位数最大值
North Melbourne Kangaroos (客队)
预测 31.68%3.16公平赔率
EV -1.80%
优势 -0.580%
Kelly -0.856%
增长率 +0.000%
假设最高赔率为 3.10
博彩公司预测分布
29.86%31.88%31.59%34.68%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
2.752.952.973.1036.36%33.87%33.67%32.26%最小值均值中位数最大值
按开赛前最后一组赔率，四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为：Collingwood Magpies (主队)：68.32%；North Melbourne Kangaroos (客队)：31.68%。 对于“Collingwood Magpies (主队)”，该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为1.464。 当时没有符合条件的博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率：最佳赔率为1.460，期望值为-0.250%，未产生正期望值。
有 3 家博彩公司为该盘口提供了不同数量的选项（3 个赛果，而分析采用 2 个赛果）。由于这一差异，应谨慎看待分析结果。
博彩公司赔率 (24 家博彩公司)
我们与任何博彩公司均无关联，也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。
| 博彩公司 | 主队 ▼ | 客队 | 利润率 | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.46I 68.49%NM 65.32%EV -0.250%E -0.171%K -0.543%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.68%EV -12.89%E -4.69%K -7.36%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-07-10 09:30 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -2.98%E -2.10%K -7.10%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV -8.13%E -2.80%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-07-10 09:39 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -2.98%E -2.10%K -7.10%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV -8.13%E -2.80%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-07-10 09:29 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -4.35%E -3.11%K -10.87%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -4.97%E -1.66%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-07-10 09:39 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -4.35%E -3.11%K -10.87%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -6.55%E -2.22%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-10 09:40 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.29%EV -4.35%E -3.11%K -10.87%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.71%EV -8.77%E -3.04%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-07-10 06:18 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.06%EV -4.35%E -3.11%K -10.87%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.94%EV -9.72%E -3.41%K -5.25%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-07-10 09:40 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -4.35%E -3.11%K -10.87%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -12.89%E -4.69%K -7.36%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-07-10 08:59 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.39I 71.94%NM 68.34%EV -5.03%E -3.62%K -12.90%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.66%EV -4.97%E -1.66%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-10 09:19 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -5.72%E -4.14%K -15.04%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -1.80%E -0.580%K -0.856%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-07-08 12:35 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -5.72%E -4.14%K -15.04%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -3.38%E -1.11%K -1.65%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-09 22:49 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -5.72%E -4.14%K -15.04%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -3.38%E -1.11%K -1.65%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-09 22:49 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -5.72%E -4.14%K -15.04%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -3.38%E -1.11%K -1.65%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-09 22:49 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -5.72%E -4.14%K -15.04%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -3.38%E -1.11%K -1.65%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-09 22:49 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -5.72%E -4.14%K -15.04%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -4.97%E -1.66%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-07-08 02:20 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -5.72%E -4.14%K -15.04%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -4.97%E -1.66%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-07-08 02:20 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.42%EV -5.72%E -4.14%K -15.04%G +0.000% | 2.99I 33.44%NM 31.58%EV -5.28%E -1.77%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-07-10 09:35 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.13%EV -5.72%E -4.14%K -15.04%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.87%EV -6.55%E -2.22%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-07-09 22:49 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 67.76%EV -5.72%E -4.14%K -15.04%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.24%EV -8.13%E -2.80%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-07-08 01:24 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 67.76%EV -5.72%E -4.14%K -15.04%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.24%EV -8.13%E -2.80%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-07-08 04:14 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 69.41%EV -8.45%E -6.30%K -24.85%G +0.000% | 3.04I 32.89%NM 30.59%EV -3.70%E -1.22%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-07-06 02:35 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 70.14%EV -9.81%E -7.44%K -30.67%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.86%EV -1.80%E -0.580%K -0.856%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-07-09 04:25 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 68.35%EV -9.81%E -7.44%K -30.67%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.65%EV -9.72%E -3.41%K -5.25%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-07-10 09:29 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 69.01%EV -12.55%E -9.80%K -44.81%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 30.99%EV -9.72%E -3.41%K -5.25%G +0.000% | 13.2% | 2026-07-10 04:45 |
利润率 = 利润率（超额概率） · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率
更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间，因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变，并不代表数据已经失效。通常，约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除；只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时，才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。
博彩交易所 (3)
| 博彩公司 | 主队 | 客队 | 利润率 ▲ | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.47I 68.03%NM 67.48% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 32.52% | 0.8% | 2026-07-10 09:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.47I 68.03%NM 67.48% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 32.52% | 0.8% | 2026-07-10 09:35 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.48I 67.57%NM 66.96% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 33.04% | 0.9% | 2026-07-10 09:35 |
其他博彩公司 — 未纳入分析 (3)
这些博彩公司为该盘口提供的选项数量不同，因而未纳入分析。其赔率仅供参考——相关投注的结算规则可能不同，并带来额外的不确定性。
| 博彩公司 | 选项 1 | 选项 2 | 选项 3 | 利润率 ▲ | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 65.66% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.42% | 100.00I 1.00%NM 0.92% | 8.8% | 2026-07-10 09:39 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 65.66% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.42% | 100.00I 1.00%NM 0.92% | 8.8% | 2026-07-10 09:39 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 65.51% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.35% | 80.00I 1.25%NM 1.15% | 9.0% | 2026-07-09 09:25 |