The School of OddsCarlton Blues v Hawthorn Hawks
Head to Head
1 bookmaker(s) offer a different number of options for this market (3-way vs the 2-way used in analysis). Analysis results should be taken with caution due to this disparity.
Option 1: Carlton Blues (Local)
Odds
2.4041.67%Min
2.7236.77%Mean
2.7536.36%Median
2.9034.48%Max
Consensus probabilities
32.56%3.071Min
36.84%2.714Max
34.68%2.883Mean
34.21%2.923Median
34.51%2.898IQM
34.64%2.886Margin-weighted
Metrics for max odd 2.90 under the IQM model: 34.51%
EV +0.079%Edge +0.027%Kelly +0.042%Growth +0.000%
Option 2: Hawthorn Hawks (Visit)
Odds
1.3574.07%Min
1.4369.77%Mean
1.4369.93%Median
1.5066.67%Max
Consensus probabilities
63.16%1.583Min
67.44%1.483Max
65.32%1.531Mean
65.79%1.520Median
65.49%1.527IQM
65.36%1.530Margin-weighted
Metrics for max odd 1.50 under the IQM model: 65.49%
EV -1.77%Edge -1.18%Kelly -3.53%Growth +0.000%
Sportsbook Odds (22 sportsbooks)
| Bookmaker | Carlton Blues (Local) ▼ | Hawthorn Hawks (Visit) | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Neds | 2.90I 34.48% NM 32.87%EV +0.079% E +0.027% K +0.042% G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42% NM 67.13%EV -7.00% E -4.93% K -16.68% G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-07-05 10:00 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 2.90I 34.48% NM 32.87%EV +0.079% E +0.027% K +0.042% G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42% NM 67.13%EV -7.00% E -4.93% K -16.68% G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-07-05 10:05 |
| PlayUp | 2.90I 34.48% NM 32.56%EV +0.079% E +0.027% K +0.042% G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43% NM 67.44%EV -8.31% E -5.94% K -20.79% G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-07-05 04:30 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 2.80I 35.71% NM 33.96%EV -3.37% E -1.20% K -1.87% G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44% NM 66.04%EV -5.69% E -3.95% K -12.94% G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-07-05 09:55 |
| Grosvenor | 2.80I 35.71% NM 33.81%EV -3.37% E -1.20% K -1.87% G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93% NM 66.19%EV -6.35% E -4.44% K -14.77% G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-07-05 04:30 |
| Casumo | 2.80I 35.71% NM 33.81%EV -3.37% E -1.20% K -1.87% G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93% NM 66.19%EV -6.35% E -4.44% K -14.77% G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-07-05 04:30 |
| TABtouch | 2.80I 35.71% NM 33.81%EV -3.37% E -1.20% K -1.87% G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93% NM 66.19%EV -6.35% E -4.44% K -14.77% G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-07-05 04:30 |
| Unibet (NL) | 2.80I 35.71% NM 33.81%EV -3.37% E -1.20% K -1.87% G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93% NM 66.19%EV -6.35% E -4.44% K -14.77% G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-07-05 04:30 |
| TAB | 2.75I 36.36% NM 34.52%EV -5.10% E -1.85% K -2.91% G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97% NM 65.48%EV -5.04% E -3.48% K -11.20% G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-05 10:00 |
| Bet Right | 2.75I 36.36% NM 34.52%EV -5.10% E -1.85% K -2.91% G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97% NM 65.48%EV -5.04% E -3.48% K -11.20% G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-05 10:05 |
| Betr (AU) | 2.75I 36.36% NM 34.52%EV -5.10% E -1.85% K -2.91% G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97% NM 65.48%EV -5.04% E -3.48% K -11.20% G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-05 09:39 |
| DraftKings | 2.75I 36.36% NM 34.21%EV -5.10% E -1.85% K -2.91% G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93% NM 65.79%EV -6.35% E -4.44% K -14.77% G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-07-05 10:05 |
| Marathon Bet | 2.73I 36.63% NM 34.06%EV -5.79% E -2.12% K -3.35% G +0.000% | 1.41I 70.92% NM 65.94%EV -7.66% E -5.43% K -18.68% G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-07-05 09:59 |
| Coolbet | 2.70I 37.04% NM 35.25%EV -6.82% E -2.53% K -4.01% G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03% NM 64.75%EV -3.73% E -2.54% K -7.94% G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-05 10:05 |
| Unibet | 2.70I 37.04% NM 34.78%EV -6.82% E -2.53% K -4.01% G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44% NM 65.22%EV -5.69% E -3.95% K -12.94% G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-07-05 04:30 |
| Tipico (DE) | 2.70I 37.04% NM 34.15%EV -6.82% E -2.53% K -4.01% G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43% NM 65.85%EV -8.31% E -5.94% K -20.79% G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-07-05 11:00 |
| SportsBet | 2.66I 37.59% NM 35.75%EV -8.20% E -3.08% K -4.94% G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57% NM 64.25%EV -3.07% E -2.08% K -6.41% G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-07-05 10:00 |
| Paddy Power | 2.62I 38.17% NM 36.41%EV -9.58% E -3.66% K -5.92% G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67% NM 63.59%EV -1.77% E -1.18% K -3.53% G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-07-05 09:58 |
| NordicBet | 2.55I 39.22% NM 36.25%EV -12.00% E -4.71% K -7.74% G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97% NM 63.75%EV -5.04% E -3.48% K -11.20% G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-07-05 14:14 |
| Betsson | 2.55I 39.22% NM 36.25%EV -12.00% E -4.71% K -7.74% G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97% NM 63.75%EV -5.04% E -3.48% K -11.20% G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-07-05 14:15 |
| NetBet (FR) | 2.52I 39.68% NM 34.88%EV -13.03% E -5.17% K -8.58% G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07% NM 65.12%EV -11.59% E -8.58% K -33.11% G +0.000% | 13.8% | 2026-07-05 10:05 |
| Unibet (FR) | 2.40I 41.67% NM 36.84%EV -17.18% E -7.16% K -12.27% G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43% NM 63.16%EV -8.31% E -5.94% K -20.79% G +0.000% | 13.1% | 2026-07-05 14:14 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Exchanges (3)
| Bookmaker | Carlton Blues (Local) | Hawthorn Hawks (Visit) | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 2.88I 34.72% | 1.50I 66.67% | 1.4% | 2026-07-05 11:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 2.88I 34.72% | 1.50I 66.67% | 1.4% | 2026-07-05 11:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 2.88I 34.72% | 1.50I 66.67% | 1.4% | 2026-07-05 11:55 |
Other bookmakers — not included in analysis (1)
These bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market and are excluded from the analysis. Their odds are shown for reference only — the settlement rules of their bets may differ and carry additional uncertainty.
| Bookmaker | Option 1 | Option 2 | Option 3 | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LeoVegas | 2.65I 37.74% | 1.44I 69.44% | 80.00I 1.25% | 8.4% | 2026-07-05 10:04 |