赔率学院Carlton Blues v Hawthorn Hawks
收盘赔率 — 按所选模型，根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始，因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →
胜负盘
Carlton Blues (主队)
预测 38.69%2.58公平赔率
EV +2.14%
优势 +0.810%
Kelly +1.30%
增长率 +0.028%
假设最高赔率为 2.64
博彩公司预测分布
36.23%38.93%38.70%44.01%MIN均值中位数MAX
赔率分布
2.152.402.402.6446.51%41.66%41.67%37.88%MIN均值中位数MAX
Hawthorn Hawks (客队)
预测 61.31%1.63公平赔率
EV +3.62%
优势 +2.14%
Kelly +5.24%
增长率 +0.189%
假设最高赔率为 1.69
博彩公司预测分布
55.99%61.07%61.30%63.77%MIN均值中位数MAX
赔率分布
1.421.551.531.6970.42%64.50%65.36%59.17%MIN均值中位数MAX
有 2 家博彩公司为该盘口提供了不同数量的选项（3 个赛果，而分析采用 2 个赛果）。由于这一差异，应谨慎看待分析结果。
博彩公司赔率 (26 家博彩公司)
我们与任何博彩公司均无关联，也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。
| 博彩公司 | 主队 | 客队 ▼ | 利润率 | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetUS | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -16.82%E -7.82%K -14.62%G +0.000% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV +3.62%E +2.14%K +5.24%G +0.189% | 5.7% | 2026-07-11 02:53 |
| Coral | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -16.82%E -7.82%K -14.62%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV +2.39%E +1.43%K +3.57%G +0.085% | 6.4% | 2026-07-11 03:25 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -16.82%E -7.82%K -14.62%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV +2.39%E +1.43%K +3.57%G +0.085% | 6.4% | 2026-07-11 03:19 |
| Tipico (DE) | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -14.88%E -6.77%K -12.40%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -1.90%E -1.19%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-07-11 01:59 |
| Grosvenor | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -7.15%E -2.98%K -5.10%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -3.74%E -2.38%K -6.57%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-11 09:09 |
| Casumo | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -7.15%E -2.98%K -5.10%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -3.74%E -2.38%K -6.57%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-11 09:09 |
| TABtouch | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -7.15%E -2.98%K -5.10%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -3.74%E -2.38%K -6.57%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-11 09:09 |
| Unibet (NL) | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -7.15%E -2.98%K -5.10%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -3.74%E -2.38%K -6.57%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-11 09:09 |
| Unibet | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -9.08%E -3.86%K -6.73%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -3.74%E -2.38%K -6.57%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-07-11 09:09 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -7.15%E -2.98%K -5.10%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -4.36%E -2.79%K -7.78%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-07-11 08:54 |
| Marathon Bet | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.41%EV -11.01%E -4.79%K -8.47%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 59.59%EV -4.36%E -2.79%K -7.78%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-07-11 09:29 |
| Coolbet | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -3.28%E -1.31%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -5.58%E -3.62%K -10.34%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-07-11 09:34 |
| Bet Right | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -1.34%E -0.526%K -0.866%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -6.19%E -4.05%K -11.69%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-07-11 09:29 |
| TAB | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -3.28%E -1.31%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -6.19%E -4.05%K -11.69%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-11 09:24 |
| Neds | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -3.28%E -1.31%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -6.19%E -4.05%K -11.69%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-11 09:29 |
| DraftKings | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -3.28%E -1.31%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -6.19%E -4.05%K -11.69%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-11 09:29 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -3.28%E -1.31%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -6.19%E -4.05%K -11.69%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-11 09:29 |
| Paddy Power | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -3.28%E -1.31%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -6.19%E -4.05%K -11.69%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-11 09:14 |
| Everygame | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.43%EV -9.08%E -3.86%K -6.73%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.57%EV -6.19%E -4.05%K -11.69%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-07-11 09:12 |
| PlayUp | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.35%EV -1.34%E -0.526%K -0.866%G +0.000% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 62.65%EV -6.81%E -4.48%K -13.09%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-07-11 09:14 |
| Betsson | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.28%EV -9.08%E -3.86%K -6.73%G +0.000% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 60.72%EV -6.81%E -4.48%K -13.09%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-07-11 09:20 |
| SportsBet | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.66%EV -3.28%E -1.31%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 1.51I 66.23%NM 62.34%EV -7.42%E -4.91%K -14.55%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-07-11 09:35 |
| Pinnacle | 2.64I 37.88%NM 36.23%EV +2.14%E +0.810%K +1.30%G +0.028% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.77%EV -8.03%E -5.36%K -16.07%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-07-11 09:24 |
| Betr (AU) | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV +0.592%E +0.228%K +0.370%G +0.002% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -8.03%E -5.36%K -16.07%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-11 09:24 |
| Unibet (FR) | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.84%EV -12.95%E -5.76%K -10.36%G +0.000% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 60.16%EV -8.65%E -5.80%K -17.65%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-07-11 09:24 |
| NetBet (FR) | 2.32I 43.10%NM 37.97%EV -10.24%E -4.41%K -7.76%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 62.03%EV -12.94%E -9.11%K -30.81%G +0.000% | 13.5% | 2026-07-11 09:34 |
利润率 = 利润率（超额概率） · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率
更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间，因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变，并不代表数据已经失效。通常，约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除；只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时，才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。
博彩交易所 (3)
| 博彩公司 | 主队 | 客队 | 利润率 ▲ | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 2.78I 35.97%NM 35.80% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 64.20% | 0.5% | 2026-07-11 09:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 2.74I 36.50%NM 36.28% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 63.72% | 0.6% | 2026-07-11 09:35 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 2.76I 36.23%NM 35.96% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 64.04% | 0.7% | 2026-07-11 09:35 |
其他博彩公司 — 未纳入分析 (2)
这些博彩公司为该盘口提供的选项数量不同，因而未纳入分析。其赔率仅供参考——相关投注的结算规则可能不同，并带来额外的不确定性。
| 博彩公司 | 选项 1 | 选项 2 | 选项 3 | 利润率 ▲ | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LeoVegas | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.92% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 59.78% | 70.00I 1.43%NM 1.31% | 9.3% | 2026-07-11 09:19 |
| NordicBet | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.80% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 59.99% | 75.00I 1.33%NM 1.22% | 9.7% | 2026-07-11 09:34 |