預設模型四分位數間平均值 (精選名單)

Brisbane Lions v Adelaide Crows

2026-09-12 09:35 UTC — AFL

獨贏

23 家博彩公司 (5 家納入分析 )

模型估計的各結果發生機率:四分位數間平均值 (精選名單)

Brisbane Lions (主隊)

預測 69.20%1.44公平賠率
EV -3.11%
優勢 -2.22%
Kelly -7.79%
成長率 +0.000%

假設最高賠率為 1.40

博彩公司預測分布
67.82%69.28%69.16%70.64%最小值平均值中位數最大值
賠率分布
1.281.361.361.4078.13%73.65%73.53%71.43%最小值平均值中位數最大值

Adelaide Crows (客隊)

預測 30.80%3.25公平賠率
EV -1.45%
優勢 -0.454%
Kelly -0.661%
成長率 +0.000%

假設最高賠率為 3.20

博彩公司預測分布
29.36%30.72%30.84%32.18%最小值平均值中位數最大值
賠率分布
2.803.053.053.2035.71%32.81%32.79%31.25%最小值平均值中位數最大值

對於獨贏,四分位數間平均值 (精選名單)估計各選項的機率為:Brisbane Lions (主隊):69.20%;Adelaide Crows (客隊):30.80%。 對於「Adelaide Crows (客隊)」,該估計相當於3.25的公平十進位賠率。 沒有符合條件的博彩公司提供高於該水準的賠率:目前最佳賠率為3.20,期望值為-1.45%,未產生正期望值。

有 1 家博彩公司為此市場提供的選項數量不同(3 個賽果,而分析採用 2 個賽果)。由於存在這項差異,解讀分析結果時應審慎。

博彩公司賠率 (23 家博彩公司)

本站與任何博彩公司均無關聯,也不會從使用者與其進行的任何操作中獲利。

博彩公司主隊 ▼客隊利潤率更新時間
TAB🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -3.11%E -2.22%K -7.79%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -7.61%E -2.54%K -3.81%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-06 00:24
Neds🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -3.11%E -2.22%K -7.79%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -7.61%E -2.54%K -3.81%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-06 00:20
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -3.11%E -2.22%K -7.79%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -7.61%E -2.54%K -3.81%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-06 00:20
Bet Right🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -3.11%E -2.22%K -7.79%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -9.15%E -3.10%K -4.69%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-06 00:25
Coolbet🎯1.39I 71.94%NM 68.55%EV -3.81%E -2.74%K -9.76%G +0.000%3.03I 33.00%NM 31.45%EV -6.69%E -2.21%K -3.29%G +0.000%4.9%2026-09-06 00:45
PlayUp🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -4.50%E -3.26%K -11.84%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -7.61%E -2.54%K -3.81%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-06 01:00
SportsBet🎯1.37I 72.99%NM 69.62%EV -5.19%E -3.79%K -14.03%G +0.000%3.14I 31.85%NM 30.38%EV -3.30%E -1.05%K -1.54%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-05 23:04
Betr (AU)🎯1.37I 72.99%NM 69.35%EV -5.19%E -3.79%K -14.03%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.65%EV -4.53%E -1.46%K -2.16%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-05 23:40
Grosvenor🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -5.88%E -4.33%K -16.34%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -2.99%E -0.950%K -1.39%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-05 23:04
TABtouch🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -5.88%E -4.33%K -16.34%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -2.99%E -0.950%K -1.39%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-05 23:04
Casumo🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -5.88%E -4.33%K -16.34%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -2.99%E -0.950%K -1.39%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-05 23:05
Unibet (NL)🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -5.88%E -4.33%K -16.34%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -2.99%E -0.950%K -1.39%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-05 23:05
Virgin Bet🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -5.88%E -4.33%K -16.34%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -2.99%E -0.950%K -1.39%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-05 23:05
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.16%EV -5.88%E -4.33%K -16.34%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.84%EV -6.07%E -1.99%K -2.96%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-05 23:30
LiveScore Bet🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.16%EV -5.88%E -4.33%K -16.34%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.84%EV -6.07%E -1.99%K -2.96%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-05 23:04
Unibet🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.16%EV -5.88%E -4.33%K -16.34%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.84%EV -6.07%E -1.99%K -2.96%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-05 23:05
Paddy Power🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -5.88%E -4.33%K -16.34%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -7.61%E -2.54%K -3.81%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-05 23:05
Dabble (AU)🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -7.96%E -5.98%K -24.12%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -1.45%E -0.454%K -0.661%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-05 23:04
Marathon Bet🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 70.25%EV -7.96%E -5.98%K -24.12%G +0.000%3.14I 31.85%NM 29.75%EV -3.30%E -1.05%K -1.54%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-06 00:50
NordicBet🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 69.44%EV -8.65%E -6.55%K -27.03%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -7.61%E -2.54%K -3.81%G +0.000%9.1%2026-09-05 23:05
Betsson🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 69.44%EV -8.65%E -6.55%K -27.03%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -7.61%E -2.54%K -3.81%G +0.000%9.1%2026-09-05 23:04
Unibet (FR)🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 68.29%EV -10.03%E -7.72%K -33.45%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.71%EV -13.77%E -4.92%K -7.65%G +0.000%12.6%2026-09-05 23:04
NetBet (FR)🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 69.01%EV -11.42%E -8.92%K -40.78%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 30.99%EV -12.23%E -4.29%K -6.61%G +0.000%13.2%2026-09-06 00:25
利潤率 = 利潤率(超額機率) · I = 隱含機率 · NM = 無利潤率機率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 優勢 · K = Kelly 準則 · G = 投注資金成長率

更新時間 表示各家公司最後一次調整賠率的時間,因此較早的時間只代表賠率未再變動,不表示價格已失效。通常會排除約 15 分鐘內未收到資料的博彩公司;只有當整個市場的資料來源均停止更新時,才改為顯示最新記錄的價格。

博彩交易所 (3)

博彩公司主隊客隊利潤率 ▲更新時間
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.38I 72.46%NM 70.51%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.49%2.8%2026-09-06 02:20
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.38I 72.46%NM 70.51%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.49%2.8%2026-09-06 02:20
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.37I 72.99%NM 70.66%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.34%3.3%2026-09-06 01:40

其他博彩公司 — 未納入分析 (1)

這些博彩公司為此市場提供的選項數量不同,因此未納入分析。其賠率僅供參考——相關投注的結算規則可能不同,因而帶來額外不確定性。

博彩公司選項 1選項 2選項 3利潤率 ▲更新時間
LeoVegas🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 67.30%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.56%80.00I 1.25%NM 1.14%9.3%2026-09-05 23:05