语言:简体中文
Brisbane Lions v Adelaide Crows
收盘赔率 — 按所选模型，根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始，因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →
胜负盘
Brisbane Lions (主队)
预测 72.41%1.38公平赔率
EV -3.69%
优势 -2.77%
Kelly -11.18%
增长率 +0.000%
假设最高赔率为 1.33
博彩公司预测分布
69.38%72.33%72.40%73.77%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.221.301.301.3381.97%76.73%76.92%75.19%最小值均值中位数最大值
Adelaide Crows (客队)
预测 27.59%3.62公平赔率
EV -0.688%
优势 -0.191%
Kelly -0.264%
增长率 +0.000%
假设最高赔率为 3.60
博彩公司预测分布
26.23%27.67%27.60%30.62%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
2.903.383.403.6034.48%29.62%29.41%27.78%最小值均值中位数最大值
按开赛前最后一组赔率，四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为：Brisbane Lions (主队)：72.41%；Adelaide Crows (客队)：27.59%。 对于“Adelaide Crows (客队)”，该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为3.62。 当时没有符合条件的博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率：最佳赔率为3.60，期望值为-0.688%，未产生正期望值。
有 1 家博彩公司为该盘口提供了不同数量的选项（3 个赛果，而分析采用 2 个赛果）。由于这一差异，应谨慎看待分析结果。
博彩公司赔率 (27 家博彩公司)
我们与任何博彩公司均无关联，也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。
| 博彩公司 | 主队 ▼ | 客队 | 利润率 | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Neds🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58%EV -3.69%E -2.77%K -11.18%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV -7.58%E -2.26%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-07 09:04 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58%EV -3.69%E -2.77%K -11.18%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV -7.58%E -2.26%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-07 09:04 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -3.69%E -2.77%K -11.18%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -8.96%E -2.72%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-09-08 00:30 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -3.69%E -2.77%K -11.18%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -10.34%E -3.18%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-09 03:04 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -3.69%E -2.77%K -11.18%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -11.72%E -3.66%K -5.33%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-09-09 00:24 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -3.69%E -2.77%K -11.18%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -11.72%E -3.66%K -5.33%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-09-09 02:24 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.09%EV -4.41%E -3.34%K -13.80%G +0.000% | 3.41I 29.33%NM 27.91%EV -5.93%E -1.74%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-09 03:04 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -4.41%E -3.34%K -13.80%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -6.21%E -1.83%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-09 01:39 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -4.41%E -3.34%K -13.80%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -6.21%E -1.83%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-09 08:44 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.31I 76.34%NM 72.77%EV -5.14%E -3.92%K -16.58%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.23%EV -3.45%E -0.985%K -1.38%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-09-08 06:25 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -5.86%E -4.51%K -19.54%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -2.07%E -0.582%K -0.811%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-09 01:39 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -5.86%E -4.51%K -19.54%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -2.07%E -0.582%K -0.811%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-09 01:39 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -5.86%E -4.51%K -19.54%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -2.07%E -0.582%K -0.811%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-09 01:39 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -5.86%E -4.51%K -19.54%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -2.07%E -0.582%K -0.811%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-09 01:35 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -5.86%E -4.51%K -19.54%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -2.07%E -0.582%K -0.811%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-09 01:35 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -5.86%E -4.51%K -19.54%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -3.45%E -0.985%K -1.38%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-09-09 00:14 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.40%EV -5.86%E -4.51%K -19.54%G +0.000% | 3.41I 29.33%NM 27.60%EV -5.93%E -1.74%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-09 08:34 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -5.86%E -4.51%K -19.54%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -6.21%E -1.83%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-09-09 01:34 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -5.86%E -4.51%K -19.54%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -6.21%E -1.83%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-09-09 01:39 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 70.45%EV -5.86%E -4.51%K -19.54%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.55%EV -14.48%E -4.67%K -6.90%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-09-08 05:24 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 70.45%EV -5.86%E -4.51%K -19.54%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.55%EV -14.48%E -4.67%K -6.90%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-09-08 05:25 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -6.59%E -5.11%K -22.71%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -0.688%E -0.191%K -0.264%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-09 10:45 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 72.78%EV -6.59%E -5.11%K -22.71%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.22%EV -4.83%E -1.40%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-09-09 10:45 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 73.77%EV -7.31%E -5.71%K -26.11%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.23%EV -0.688%E -0.191%K -0.264%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-09-09 10:44 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 72.77%EV -7.31%E -5.71%K -26.11%G +0.000% | 3.42I 29.24%NM 27.23%EV -5.65%E -1.65%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-09-09 15:45 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 69.38%EV -7.31%E -5.71%K -26.11%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.62%EV -20.00%E -6.90%K -10.53%G +0.000% | 12.6% | 2026-09-08 05:25 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 72.08%EV -11.66%E -9.55%K -52.98%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 27.92%EV -13.10%E -4.16%K -6.09%G +0.000% | 13.7% | 2026-09-09 01:44 |
利润率 = 利润率（超额概率） · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率
更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间，因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变，并不代表数据已经失效。通常，约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除；只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时，才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。
博彩交易所 (3)
| 博彩公司 | 主队 | 客队 | 利润率 ▲ | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.36I 73.53%NM 73.12% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.88% | 0.6% | 2026-09-09 09:39 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.36I 73.53%NM 73.12% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.88% | 0.6% | 2026-09-09 09:59 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.36I 73.53%NM 73.12% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.88% | 0.6% | 2026-09-09 09:59 |
其他博彩公司 — 未纳入分析 (1)
这些博彩公司为该盘口提供的选项数量不同，因而未纳入分析。其赔率仅供参考——相关投注的结算规则可能不同，并带来额外的不确定性。
| 博彩公司 | 选项 1 | 选项 2 | 选项 3 | 利润率 ▲ | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.50% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.34% | 80.00I 1.25%NM 1.16% | 8.2% | 2026-09-08 05:25 |