語言:繁體中文
Adelaide Crows v Western Bulldogs
收盤賠率 — 在所選模型下，根據開賽前最後記錄的價格計算所得的機率與期望值。賽事已經開始，因此這些並非即時數據。 以所有已結算賽事的實際結果評估各模型機率預測的可靠度 →
獨贏
Adelaide Crows (主隊)
預測 68.33%1.46公平賠率
EV -2.98%
優勢 -2.10%
Kelly -7.09%
成長率 +0.000%
假設最高賠率為 1.42
博彩公司預測分布
65.95%68.33%68.24%69.41%最小值平均值中位數最大值
賠率分布
1.291.381.381.4277.52%72.66%72.46%70.42%最小值平均值中位數最大值
Western Bulldogs (客隊)
預測 31.67%3.16公平賠率
EV -1.81%
優勢 -0.584%
Kelly -0.862%
成長率 +0.000%
假設最高賠率為 3.10
博彩公司預測分布
30.59%31.67%31.76%34.05%最小值平均值中位數最大值
賠率分布
2.752.973.003.1036.36%33.67%33.33%32.26%最小值平均值中位數最大值
依開賽前最後一組賠率，四分位數間平均值 (精選名單)對獨贏的機率估計為：Adelaide Crows (主隊)：68.33%；Western Bulldogs (客隊)：31.67%。 對於「Western Bulldogs (客隊)」，該估計相當於3.16的公平十進位賠率。 當時沒有符合條件的博彩公司提供高於該水準的收盤賠率：最佳賠率為3.10，期望值為-1.81%，未產生正期望值。
有 1 家博彩公司為此市場提供的選項數量不同（3 個賽果，而分析採用 2 個賽果）。由於存在這項差異，解讀分析結果時應審慎。
博彩公司賠率 (27 家博彩公司)
本站與任何博彩公司均無關聯，也不會從使用者與其進行的任何操作中獲利。
| 博彩公司 | 主隊 ▼ | 客隊 | 利潤率 | 更新時間 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 65.95%EV -2.98%E -2.10%K -7.09%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.05%EV -12.90%E -4.69%K -7.37%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-09-02 02:20 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 65.95%EV -2.98%E -2.10%K -7.09%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.05%EV -12.90%E -4.69%K -7.37%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-09-02 05:40 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -4.34%E -3.10%K -10.86%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -4.98%E -1.66%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-09-03 21:05 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.29%EV -4.34%E -3.10%K -10.86%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.71%EV -8.78%E -3.05%K -4.67%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-01 23:39 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.29%EV -4.34%E -3.10%K -10.86%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.71%EV -8.78%E -3.05%K -4.67%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-04 08:50 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.39I 71.94%NM 68.48%EV -5.03%E -3.62%K -12.89%G +0.000% | 3.02I 33.11%NM 31.52%EV -4.34%E -1.44%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-03 13:43 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.39I 71.94%NM 68.34%EV -5.03%E -3.62%K -12.89%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.66%EV -4.98%E -1.66%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-04 01:25 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -5.71%E -4.14%K -15.03%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -1.81%E -0.584%K -0.862%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-09-03 09:14 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -5.71%E -4.14%K -15.03%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -3.39%E -1.11%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-04 03:29 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -5.71%E -4.14%K -15.03%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -3.39%E -1.11%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-04 03:30 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -5.71%E -4.14%K -15.03%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -3.39%E -1.11%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-04 03:30 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -5.71%E -4.14%K -15.03%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -3.39%E -1.11%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-04 03:29 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -5.71%E -4.14%K -15.03%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -3.39%E -1.11%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-04 03:30 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -5.71%E -4.14%K -15.03%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -3.39%E -1.11%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-03 23:10 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -5.71%E -4.14%K -15.03%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -3.39%E -1.11%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-03 23:09 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -5.71%E -4.14%K -15.03%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -3.39%E -1.11%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-03 23:15 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -5.71%E -4.14%K -15.03%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -3.39%E -1.11%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-04 02:50 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -5.71%E -4.14%K -15.03%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -4.98%E -1.66%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-03 20:50 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -5.71%E -4.14%K -15.03%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -4.98%E -1.66%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-04 13:09 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.13%EV -5.71%E -4.14%K -15.03%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.87%EV -6.56%E -2.22%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-09-04 03:29 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.13%EV -5.71%E -4.14%K -15.03%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.87%EV -6.56%E -2.22%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-09-04 03:30 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 1.37I 72.99%NM 69.35%EV -6.39%E -4.67%K -17.28%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.65%EV -1.81%E -0.584%K -0.862%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-03 08:30 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 68.24%EV -7.76%E -5.75%K -22.17%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.76%EV -8.15%E -2.81%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-09-03 14:33 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 68.24%EV -7.76%E -5.75%K -22.17%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.76%EV -8.15%E -2.81%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-09-03 14:34 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 69.41%EV -8.44%E -6.30%K -24.83%G +0.000% | 3.04I 32.89%NM 30.59%EV -3.71%E -1.22%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-09-04 01:59 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 67.57%EV -9.81%E -7.43%K -30.66%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.43%EV -12.90%E -4.69%K -7.37%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-09-04 09:39 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 68.23%EV -11.86%E -9.19%K -40.89%G +0.000% | 2.77I 36.10%NM 31.77%EV -12.26%E -4.43%K -6.93%G +0.000% | 13.6% | 2026-09-03 21:04 |
利潤率 = 利潤率（超額機率） · I = 隱含機率 · NM = 無利潤率機率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 優勢 · K = Kelly 準則 · G = 投注資金成長率
更新時間 表示各家公司最後一次調整賠率的時間，因此較早的時間只代表賠率未再變動，不表示價格已失效。通常會排除約 15 分鐘內未收到資料的博彩公司；只有當整個市場的資料來源均停止更新時，才改為顯示最新記錄的價格。
博彩交易所 (3)
| 博彩公司 | 主隊 | 客隊 | 利潤率 ▲ | 更新時間 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.41I 70.92%NM 70.38% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.62% | 0.8% | 2026-09-04 14:15 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.41I 70.92%NM 70.38% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.62% | 0.8% | 2026-09-04 14:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.41I 70.92%NM 70.38% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.62% | 0.8% | 2026-09-04 14:20 |
其他博彩公司 — 未納入分析 (1)
這些博彩公司為此市場提供的選項數量不同，因此未納入分析。其賠率僅供參考——相關投注的結算規則可能不同，因而帶來額外不確定性。
| 博彩公司 | 選項 1 | 選項 2 | 選項 3 | 利潤率 ▲ | 更新時間 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 65.51% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.35% | 80.00I 1.25%NM 1.15% | 9.0% | 2026-09-02 08:15 |