语言:简体中文
Adelaide Crows v Western Bulldogs
收盘赔率 — 按所选模型，根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始，因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →
胜负盘
Adelaide Crows (主队)
预测 68.33%1.46公平赔率
EV -2.98%
优势 -2.10%
Kelly -7.09%
增长率 +0.000%
假设最高赔率为 1.42
博彩公司预测分布
65.95%68.33%68.24%69.41%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.291.381.381.4277.52%72.66%72.46%70.42%最小值均值中位数最大值
Western Bulldogs (客队)
预测 31.67%3.16公平赔率
EV -1.81%
优势 -0.584%
Kelly -0.862%
增长率 +0.000%
假设最高赔率为 3.10
博彩公司预测分布
30.59%31.67%31.76%34.05%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
2.752.973.003.1036.36%33.67%33.33%32.26%最小值均值中位数最大值
按开赛前最后一组赔率，四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为：Adelaide Crows (主队)：68.33%；Western Bulldogs (客队)：31.67%。 对于“Western Bulldogs (客队)”，该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为3.16。 当时没有符合条件的博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率：最佳赔率为3.10，期望值为-1.81%，未产生正期望值。
有 1 家博彩公司为该盘口提供了不同数量的选项（3 个赛果，而分析采用 2 个赛果）。由于这一差异，应谨慎看待分析结果。
博彩公司赔率 (27 家博彩公司)
我们与任何博彩公司均无关联，也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。
| 博彩公司 | 主队 ▼ | 客队 | 利润率 | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 65.95%EV -2.98%E -2.10%K -7.09%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.05%EV -12.90%E -4.69%K -7.37%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-09-02 02:20 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 65.95%EV -2.98%E -2.10%K -7.09%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.05%EV -12.90%E -4.69%K -7.37%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-09-02 05:40 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -4.34%E -3.10%K -10.86%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -4.98%E -1.66%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-09-03 21:05 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.29%EV -4.34%E -3.10%K -10.86%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.71%EV -8.78%E -3.05%K -4.67%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-01 23:39 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.29%EV -4.34%E -3.10%K -10.86%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.71%EV -8.78%E -3.05%K -4.67%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-04 08:50 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.39I 71.94%NM 68.48%EV -5.03%E -3.62%K -12.89%G +0.000% | 3.02I 33.11%NM 31.52%EV -4.34%E -1.44%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-03 13:43 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.39I 71.94%NM 68.34%EV -5.03%E -3.62%K -12.89%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.66%EV -4.98%E -1.66%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-04 01:25 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -5.71%E -4.14%K -15.03%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -1.81%E -0.584%K -0.862%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-09-03 09:14 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -5.71%E -4.14%K -15.03%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -3.39%E -1.11%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-04 03:29 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -5.71%E -4.14%K -15.03%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -3.39%E -1.11%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-04 03:30 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -5.71%E -4.14%K -15.03%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -3.39%E -1.11%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-04 03:30 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -5.71%E -4.14%K -15.03%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -3.39%E -1.11%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-04 03:29 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -5.71%E -4.14%K -15.03%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -3.39%E -1.11%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-04 03:30 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -5.71%E -4.14%K -15.03%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -3.39%E -1.11%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-03 23:10 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -5.71%E -4.14%K -15.03%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -3.39%E -1.11%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-03 23:09 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -5.71%E -4.14%K -15.03%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -3.39%E -1.11%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-03 23:15 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -5.71%E -4.14%K -15.03%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -3.39%E -1.11%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-04 02:50 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -5.71%E -4.14%K -15.03%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -4.98%E -1.66%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-03 20:50 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -5.71%E -4.14%K -15.03%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -4.98%E -1.66%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-04 13:09 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.13%EV -5.71%E -4.14%K -15.03%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.87%EV -6.56%E -2.22%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-09-04 03:29 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.13%EV -5.71%E -4.14%K -15.03%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.87%EV -6.56%E -2.22%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-09-04 03:30 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 1.37I 72.99%NM 69.35%EV -6.39%E -4.67%K -17.28%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.65%EV -1.81%E -0.584%K -0.862%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-03 08:30 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 68.24%EV -7.76%E -5.75%K -22.17%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.76%EV -8.15%E -2.81%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-09-03 14:33 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 68.24%EV -7.76%E -5.75%K -22.17%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.76%EV -8.15%E -2.81%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-09-03 14:34 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 69.41%EV -8.44%E -6.30%K -24.83%G +0.000% | 3.04I 32.89%NM 30.59%EV -3.71%E -1.22%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-09-04 01:59 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 67.57%EV -9.81%E -7.43%K -30.66%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.43%EV -12.90%E -4.69%K -7.37%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-09-04 09:39 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 68.23%EV -11.86%E -9.19%K -40.89%G +0.000% | 2.77I 36.10%NM 31.77%EV -12.26%E -4.43%K -6.93%G +0.000% | 13.6% | 2026-09-03 21:04 |
利润率 = 利润率（超额概率） · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率
更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间，因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变，并不代表数据已经失效。通常，约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除；只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时，才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。
博彩交易所 (3)
| 博彩公司 | 主队 | 客队 | 利润率 ▲ | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.41I 70.92%NM 70.38% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.62% | 0.8% | 2026-09-04 14:15 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.41I 70.92%NM 70.38% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.62% | 0.8% | 2026-09-04 14:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.41I 70.92%NM 70.38% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.62% | 0.8% | 2026-09-04 14:20 |
其他博彩公司 — 未纳入分析 (1)
这些博彩公司为该盘口提供的选项数量不同，因而未纳入分析。其赔率仅供参考——相关投注的结算规则可能不同，并带来额外的不确定性。
| 博彩公司 | 选项 1 | 选项 2 | 选项 3 | 利润率 ▲ | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 65.51% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.35% | 80.00I 1.25%NM 1.15% | 9.0% | 2026-09-02 08:15 |