语言:简体中文
Adelaide Crows v Carlton Blues
收盘赔率 — 按所选模型，根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始，因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →
胜负盘
Adelaide Crows (主队)
预测 82.72%1.21公平赔率
EV -3.22%
优势 -2.75%
Kelly -18.92%
增长率 +0.000%
假设最高赔率为 1.17
博彩公司预测分布
78.80%82.59%82.75%84.80%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.061.141.141.1794.34%87.91%87.72%85.47%最小值均值中位数最大值
Carlton Blues (客队)
预测 17.28%5.79公平赔率
EV +7.99%
优势 +1.28%
Kelly +1.52%
增长率 +0.122%
假设最高赔率为 6.25
博彩公司预测分布
15.20%17.41%17.25%21.20%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
4.205.415.506.2523.81%18.50%18.18%16.00%最小值均值中位数最大值
按开赛前最后一组赔率，四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为：Adelaide Crows (主队)：82.72%；Carlton Blues (客队)：17.28%。 对于“Carlton Blues (客队)”，该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为5.79。 当时有3家博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率；最佳赔率为6.25，对应+7.99%的正期望值。
博彩公司赔率 (28 家博彩公司)
我们与任何博彩公司均无关联，也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。
| 博彩公司 | 主队 | 客队 ▼ | 利润率 | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Neds🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.80%EV -7.35%E -6.56%K -61.27%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.20%EV +7.99%E +1.28%K +1.52%G +0.122% | 5.3% | 2026-04-09 08:00 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.80%EV -7.35%E -6.56%K -61.27%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.20%EV +7.99%E +1.28%K +1.52%G +0.122% | 5.3% | 2026-04-09 08:00 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 84.72%EV -9.01%E -8.19%K -90.07%G +0.000% | 6.10I 16.39%NM 15.28%EV +5.40%E +0.885%K +1.06%G +0.057% | 7.3% | 2026-04-09 03:31 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 83.33%EV -4.87%E -4.24%K -32.47%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.67%EV -0.647%E -0.113%K -0.136%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-04-09 09:25 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 83.45%EV -5.70%E -5.00%K -40.70%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.55%EV -0.647%E -0.113%K -0.136%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-09 06:09 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 83.58%EV -6.53%E -5.77%K -50.19%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.42%EV -0.647%E -0.113%K -0.136%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-04-09 08:14 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 83.09%EV -5.70%E -5.00%K -40.70%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.91%EV -3.24%E -0.578%K -0.704%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-04-09 09:20 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -4.87%E -4.24%K -32.47%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV -4.97%E -0.903%K -1.10%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-08 17:15 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -4.87%E -4.24%K -32.47%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV -4.97%E -0.903%K -1.10%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-09 09:29 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -4.87%E -4.24%K -32.47%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV -4.97%E -0.903%K -1.10%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-09 07:25 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -5.70%E -5.00%K -40.70%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -4.97%E -0.903%K -1.10%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-04-09 08:14 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -5.70%E -5.00%K -40.70%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -4.97%E -0.903%K -1.10%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-04-09 09:30 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -5.70%E -5.00%K -40.70%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -4.97%E -0.903%K -1.10%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-04-07 07:44 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 82.96%EV -6.53%E -5.77%K -50.19%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.04%EV -4.97%E -0.903%K -1.10%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-04-09 00:14 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 82.96%EV -6.53%E -5.77%K -50.19%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.04%EV -4.97%E -0.903%K -1.10%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-04-09 02:50 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.44%EV -4.87%E -4.24%K -32.47%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.56%EV -6.69%E -1.24%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-04-09 09:25 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.44%EV -4.87%E -4.24%K -32.47%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.56%EV -6.69%E -1.24%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-04-09 09:25 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.44%EV -4.87%E -4.24%K -32.47%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.56%EV -6.69%E -1.24%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-04-09 09:25 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.44%EV -4.87%E -4.24%K -32.47%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.56%EV -6.69%E -1.24%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-04-09 09:25 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 82.55%EV -7.35%E -6.56%K -61.27%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.45%EV -8.42%E -1.59%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-04-07 11:39 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.78%EV -3.22%E -2.75%K -18.92%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 18.22%EV -9.29%E -1.77%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-04-09 09:25 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.03%EV -4.87%E -4.24%K -32.47%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.97%EV -9.29%E -1.77%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-04-09 09:30 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.06I 94.34%NM 82.79%EV -12.32%E -11.62%K -205.26%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 17.21%EV -11.88%E -2.33%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 13.9% | 2026-04-08 22:24 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 81.30%EV -4.87%E -4.24%K -32.47%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.70%EV -13.61%E -2.72%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-09 09:25 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 81.43%EV -5.70%E -5.00%K -40.70%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57%EV -13.61%E -2.72%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-04-09 09:04 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 80.00%EV -4.87%E -4.24%K -32.47%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.00%EV -20.52%E -4.46%K -5.70%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-04-08 21:15 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 80.00%EV -4.87%E -4.24%K -32.47%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.00%EV -20.52%E -4.46%K -5.70%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-04-08 21:10 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 78.80%EV -6.53%E -5.77%K -50.19%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.20%EV -27.43%E -6.53%K -8.57%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-04-09 09:29 |
利润率 = 利润率（超额概率） · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率
更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间，因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变，并不代表数据已经失效。通常，约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除；只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时，才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。
博彩交易所 (3)
| 博彩公司 | 主队 | 客队 | 利润率 ▲ | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.19I 84.03%NM 83.45% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 16.55% | 0.7% | 2026-04-09 09:35 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.19I 84.03%NM 83.45% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 16.55% | 0.7% | 2026-04-09 09:35 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.19I 84.03%NM 83.45% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 16.55% | 0.7% | 2026-04-09 09:35 |