La scuola delle quoteItaliano
Adelaide Crows v Carlton Blues
Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →
Testa a testa
Adelaide Crows (Casa)
Previsione 82.72%1.21quota equa
EV -3.22%
Vantaggio -2.75%
Kelly -18.92%
Crescita +0.000%
ipotizzando la quota massima 1.17
Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
78.80%82.59%82.75%84.80%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.061.141.141.1794.34%87.91%87.72%85.47%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Carlton Blues (Trasferta)
Previsione 17.28%5.79quota equa
EV +7.99%
Vantaggio +1.28%
Kelly +1.52%
Crescita +0.122%
ipotizzando la quota massima 6.25
Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
15.20%17.41%17.25%21.20%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
4.205.415.506.2523.81%18.50%18.18%16.00%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Quote dei bookmaker (28 bookmaker)
Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.
| Bookmaker | Casa | Trasferta ▼ | Margine | Aggiornamento |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Neds | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.80%EV -7.35%E -6.56%K -61.27%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.20%EV +7.99%E +1.28%K +1.52%G +0.122% | 5.3% | 2026-04-09 08:00 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.80%EV -7.35%E -6.56%K -61.27%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.20%EV +7.99%E +1.28%K +1.52%G +0.122% | 5.3% | 2026-04-09 08:00 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.10I 90.91%NM 84.72%EV -9.01%E -8.19%K -90.07%G +0.000% | 6.10I 16.39%NM 15.28%EV +5.40%E +0.885%K +1.06%G +0.057% | 7.3% | 2026-04-09 03:31 |
| PlayUp | 1.15I 86.96%NM 83.33%EV -4.87%E -4.24%K -32.47%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.67%EV -0.647%E -0.113%K -0.136%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-04-09 09:25 |
| Dabble (AU) | 1.14I 87.72%NM 83.45%EV -5.70%E -5.00%K -40.70%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.55%EV -0.647%E -0.113%K -0.136%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-09 06:09 |
| SportsBet | 1.13I 88.50%NM 83.58%EV -6.53%E -5.77%K -50.19%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.42%EV -0.647%E -0.113%K -0.136%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-04-09 08:14 |
| Pinnacle | 1.14I 87.72%NM 83.09%EV -5.70%E -5.00%K -40.70%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.91%EV -3.24%E -0.578%K -0.704%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-04-09 09:20 |
| Coolbet | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -4.87%E -4.24%K -32.47%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV -4.97%E -0.903%K -1.10%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-08 17:15 |
| TAB | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -4.87%E -4.24%K -32.47%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV -4.97%E -0.903%K -1.10%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-09 09:29 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -4.87%E -4.24%K -32.47%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV -4.97%E -0.903%K -1.10%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-09 07:25 |
| Paddy Power | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -5.70%E -5.00%K -40.70%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -4.97%E -0.903%K -1.10%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-04-09 08:14 |
| DraftKings | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -5.70%E -5.00%K -40.70%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -4.97%E -0.903%K -1.10%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-04-09 09:30 |
| BetUS | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -5.70%E -5.00%K -40.70%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -4.97%E -0.903%K -1.10%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-04-07 07:44 |
| Coral | 1.13I 88.50%NM 82.96%EV -6.53%E -5.77%K -50.19%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.04%EV -4.97%E -0.903%K -1.10%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-04-09 00:14 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.13I 88.50%NM 82.96%EV -6.53%E -5.77%K -50.19%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.04%EV -4.97%E -0.903%K -1.10%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-04-09 02:50 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.44%EV -4.87%E -4.24%K -32.47%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.56%EV -6.69%E -1.24%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-04-09 09:25 |
| TABtouch | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.44%EV -4.87%E -4.24%K -32.47%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.56%EV -6.69%E -1.24%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-04-09 09:25 |
| Casumo | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.44%EV -4.87%E -4.24%K -32.47%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.56%EV -6.69%E -1.24%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-04-09 09:25 |
| Grosvenor | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.44%EV -4.87%E -4.24%K -32.47%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.56%EV -6.69%E -1.24%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-04-09 09:25 |
| Tipico (DE) | 1.12I 89.29%NM 82.55%EV -7.35%E -6.56%K -61.27%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.45%EV -8.42%E -1.59%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-04-07 11:39 |
| Bet Right | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.78%EV -3.22%E -2.75%K -18.92%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 18.22%EV -9.29%E -1.77%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-04-09 09:25 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.03%EV -4.87%E -4.24%K -32.47%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.97%EV -9.29%E -1.77%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-04-09 09:30 |
| NetBet (FR) | 1.06I 94.34%NM 82.79%EV -12.32%E -11.62%K -205.26%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 17.21%EV -11.88%E -2.33%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 13.9% | 2026-04-08 22:24 |
| Unibet | 1.15I 86.96%NM 81.30%EV -4.87%E -4.24%K -32.47%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.70%EV -13.61%E -2.72%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-09 09:25 |
| Everygame | 1.14I 87.72%NM 81.43%EV -5.70%E -5.00%K -40.70%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57%EV -13.61%E -2.72%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-04-09 09:04 |
| NordicBet | 1.15I 86.96%NM 80.00%EV -4.87%E -4.24%K -32.47%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.00%EV -20.52%E -4.46%K -5.70%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-04-08 21:15 |
| Betsson | 1.15I 86.96%NM 80.00%EV -4.87%E -4.24%K -32.47%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.00%EV -20.52%E -4.46%K -5.70%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-04-08 21:10 |
| Unibet (FR) | 1.13I 88.50%NM 78.80%EV -6.53%E -5.77%K -50.19%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.20%EV -27.43%E -6.53%K -8.57%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-04-09 09:29 |
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale
Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.
Borse di scommesse (3)
| Bookmaker | Casa | Trasferta | Margine ▲ | Aggiornamento |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.19I 84.03%NM 83.45% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 16.55% | 0.7% | 2026-04-09 09:35 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.19I 84.03%NM 83.45% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 16.55% | 0.7% | 2026-04-09 09:35 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.19I 84.03%NM 83.45% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 16.55% | 0.7% | 2026-04-09 09:35 |