The School of Odds

Tennessee Titans v Jacksonville Jaguars

2026-11-15 18:00 — NFL

Head to Head

2 sportsbooks (2 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: IQM

Tennessee Titans (Local)

Prediction 41.01%2.44fair odd
EV +2.52%
Edge +1.01%
Kelly +1.68%
Growth +0.042%

assuming max odds 2.50

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
38.42%41.01%41.01%43.59%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
2.202.352.352.50MINMEANMEDIANMAX
All estimators
38.42%2.603Min
43.59%2.294Max
41.01%2.439Mean
41.01%2.439Median
41.01%2.439IQM
40.96%2.441Margin-weighted

Jacksonville Jaguars (Visit)

Prediction 58.99%1.70fair odd
EV +0.289%
Edge +0.170%
Kelly +0.412%
Growth +0.001%

assuming max odds 1.70

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
56.41%58.99%58.99%61.58%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
1.561.631.631.70MINMEANMEDIANMAX
All estimators
56.41%1.773Min
61.58%1.624Max
58.99%1.695Mean
58.99%1.695Median
58.99%1.695IQM
59.04%1.694Margin-weighted

Sportsbook Odds (2 sportsbooks)

BookmakerTennessee Titans (Local) ▼Jacksonville Jaguars (Visit)MarginUpdated
Caesars2.50I 40.00% NM 38.42%EV +2.52% E +1.01% K +1.68% G +0.042%1.56I 64.10% NM 61.58%EV -7.97% E -5.11% K -14.23% G +0.000%4.1%2026-06-22 22:48
DraftKings2.20I 45.45% NM 43.59%EV -9.79% E -4.45% K -8.15% G +0.000%1.70I 58.82% NM 56.41%EV +0.289% E +0.170% K +0.412% G +0.001%4.3%2026-06-22 22:38
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Arbitrage (1 combination) +1.19%Caesars 2.50 (40.5%) / DraftKings 1.70 (59.5%)Show details
Tennessee Titans (Local)Jacksonville Jaguars (Visit)Margin
Caesars 2.50 (40.5%)DraftKings 1.70 (59.5%)+1.19%