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Górnik Zabrze v Piast Gliwice
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Górnik Zabrze (Local)
Prediction 59.42%1.68fair odd
EV -3.14%
Edge -1.93%
Kelly -4.99%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.63
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
57.13%59.42%59.38%61.86%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.431.561.551.6369.93%64.30%64.52%61.35%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Piast Gliwice (Visit)
Prediction 17.72%5.64fair odd
EV +0.991%
Edge +0.174%
Kelly +0.211%
Growth +0.002%
assuming max odds 5.70
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
15.95%17.73%17.71%19.25%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.605.065.005.7021.74%19.76%20.00%17.54%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 22.86%4.37fair odd
EV -3.99%
Edge -0.949%
Kelly -1.25%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 4.20
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
22.14%22.85%22.91%23.92%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.753.944.004.2026.67%25.35%25.00%23.81%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Górnik Zabrze (Local): 59.42%; Piast Gliwice (Visit): 17.72%; Draw: 22.86%. For Piast Gliwice (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 5.64. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 5.70, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.991%.
Sportsbook Odds (53 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 61.86%EV -12.65%E -8.61%K -26.91%G +0.000% | 5.70I 17.54%NM 15.95%EV +0.991%E +0.174%K +0.211%G +0.002% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.18%EV -6.27%E -1.53%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-10-18 03:20 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 60.58%EV -8.49%E -5.51%K -15.72%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.66%EV -0.781%E -0.139%K -0.170%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.76%EV -6.27%E -1.53%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-10-18 10:14 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.44%EV -4.33%E -2.69%K -7.10%G +0.000% | 5.56I 17.99%NM 17.21%EV -1.49%E -0.268%K -0.327%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.34%EV -6.27%E -1.53%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-10-18 09:59 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.94%EV -6.71%E -4.27%K -11.77%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.11%EV -2.55%E -0.464%K -0.567%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.95%EV -6.27%E -1.53%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-10-18 09:49 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.07%EV -4.33%E -2.69%K -7.10%G +0.000% | 5.45I 18.35%NM 17.45%EV -3.44%E -0.631%K -0.773%G +0.000% | 4.05I 24.69%NM 23.48%EV -7.42%E -1.83%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-10-18 10:14 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 59.90%EV -7.30%E -4.68%K -13.04%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.31%EV -4.32%E -0.801%K -0.983%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.79%EV -6.27%E -1.53%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-10-18 09:59 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 59.90%EV -7.30%E -4.68%K -13.04%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.31%EV -4.32%E -0.801%K -0.983%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.79%EV -6.27%E -1.53%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-10-18 10:04 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.03%EV -9.08%E -5.94%K -17.14%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.01%EV -4.32%E -0.801%K -0.983%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.96%EV -8.56%E -2.14%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-10-18 10:14 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.17%EV -9.08%E -5.94%K -17.14%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.37%EV -6.10%E -1.15%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.46%EV -6.27%E -1.53%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-10-17 23:10 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 59.82%EV -9.68%E -6.37%K -18.61%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.16%EV -6.10%E -1.15%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.02%EV -9.70%E -2.46%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-10-18 04:00 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 59.82%EV -9.68%E -6.37%K -18.61%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.16%EV -6.10%E -1.15%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.02%EV -9.70%E -2.46%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-10-18 03:58 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.32%EV -4.92%E -3.08%K -8.21%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 18.08%EV -6.98%E -1.33%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.60%EV -3.99%E -0.949%K -1.25%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-10-18 08:20 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.09%EV -7.90%E -5.09%K -14.36%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.74%EV -6.98%E -1.33%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.17%EV -3.99%E -0.949%K -1.25%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-10-18 03:58 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.12%EV -6.71%E -4.27%K -11.77%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.68%EV -6.98%E -1.33%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.20%EV -8.56%E -2.14%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-10-18 10:15 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.77%EV -6.71%E -4.27%K -11.77%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.57%EV -6.98%E -1.33%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.66%EV -10.84%E -2.78%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-10-18 09:48 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.77%EV -6.71%E -4.27%K -11.77%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.57%EV -6.98%E -1.33%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.66%EV -10.84%E -2.78%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-10-18 09:49 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 59.74%EV -9.08%E -5.94%K -17.14%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.41%EV -6.98%E -1.33%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.85%EV -8.56%E -2.14%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-10-18 04:05 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 59.74%EV -9.08%E -5.94%K -17.14%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.41%EV -6.98%E -1.33%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.85%EV -8.56%E -2.14%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-10-18 04:00 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 59.48%EV -8.49%E -5.51%K -15.72%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.62%EV -7.87%E -1.51%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.90%EV -8.56%E -2.14%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-10-18 04:00 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 57.69%EV -3.14%E -1.93%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.81%EV -11.41%E -2.28%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.51%EV -8.56%E -2.14%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-10-18 09:55 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 57.69%EV -3.14%E -1.93%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.81%EV -11.41%E -2.28%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.51%EV -8.56%E -2.14%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-10-18 09:54 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 57.69%EV -3.14%E -1.93%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.81%EV -11.41%E -2.28%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.51%EV -8.56%E -2.14%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-10-18 09:55 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 57.69%EV -3.14%E -1.93%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.81%EV -11.41%E -2.28%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.51%EV -8.56%E -2.14%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-10-18 09:54 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 57.69%EV -3.14%E -1.93%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.81%EV -11.41%E -2.28%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.51%EV -8.56%E -2.14%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-10-18 09:55 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 57.69%EV -3.14%E -1.93%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.81%EV -11.41%E -2.28%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.51%EV -8.56%E -2.14%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-10-18 09:55 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 57.69%EV -3.14%E -1.93%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.81%EV -11.41%E -2.28%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.51%EV -8.56%E -2.14%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-10-18 09:55 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 57.69%EV -3.14%E -1.93%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.81%EV -11.41%E -2.28%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.51%EV -8.56%E -2.14%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-10-18 09:55 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 58.29%EV -5.52%E -3.47%K -9.35%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.54%EV -11.41%E -2.28%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.17%EV -8.56%E -2.14%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-10-17 15:35 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.60%EV -6.71%E -4.27%K -11.77%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.40%EV -11.41%E -2.28%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.00%EV -8.56%E -2.14%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-10-18 10:14 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 57.90%EV -6.71%E -4.27%K -11.77%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.18%EV -11.41%E -2.28%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.92%EV -13.13%E -3.46%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-10-18 09:49 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 57.90%EV -6.71%E -4.27%K -11.77%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.18%EV -11.41%E -2.28%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.92%EV -13.13%E -3.46%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-10-18 09:49 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 57.90%EV -6.71%E -4.27%K -11.77%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.18%EV -11.41%E -2.28%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.92%EV -13.13%E -3.46%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-10-18 09:49 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 58.57%EV -7.90%E -5.09%K -14.36%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.16%EV -11.41%E -2.28%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.28%EV -10.84%E -2.78%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-10-17 23:10 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 59.71%EV -9.68%E -6.37%K -18.61%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.15%EV -11.41%E -2.28%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.14%EV -6.27%E -1.53%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-10-18 03:59 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 58.39%EV -7.90%E -5.09%K -14.36%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.10%EV -11.41%E -2.28%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.51%EV -11.99%E -3.11%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-10-18 10:14 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 58.34%EV -9.08%E -5.94%K -17.14%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.85%EV -11.41%E -2.28%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.80%EV -14.27%E -3.81%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-10-17 23:10 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 59.36%EV -10.87%E -7.24%K -21.73%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.81%EV -11.41%E -2.28%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.83%EV -10.84%E -2.78%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-10-18 10:14 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 59.01%EV -10.87%E -7.24%K -21.73%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.70%EV -11.41%E -2.28%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.29%EV -13.13%E -3.46%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 13.0% | 2026-10-18 10:14 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 60.33%EV -15.03%E -10.51%K -34.95%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.26%EV -11.41%E -2.28%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 22.41%EV -11.99%E -3.11%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 15.9% | 2026-10-18 09:50 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 59.33%EV -12.06%E -8.15%K -25.12%G +0.000% | 4.95I 20.20%NM 17.74%EV -12.30%E -2.48%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 3.83I 26.11%NM 22.93%EV -12.44%E -3.25%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 13.9% | 2026-10-18 09:49 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 58.31%EV -9.08%E -5.94%K -17.14%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.21%EV -13.18%E -2.69%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.48%EV -13.13%E -3.46%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-10-18 07:25 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 58.13%EV -7.90%E -5.09%K -14.36%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.77%EV -14.96%E -3.12%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.10%EV -10.84%E -2.78%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-10-18 10:05 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 58.13%EV -7.90%E -5.09%K -14.36%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.77%EV -14.96%E -3.12%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.10%EV -10.84%E -2.78%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-10-18 10:04 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 59.26%EV -10.87%E -7.24%K -21.73%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.52%EV -14.96%E -3.12%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.22%EV -8.56%E -2.14%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-10-18 04:00 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 58.09%EV -9.08%E -5.94%K -17.14%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.52%EV -14.96%E -3.12%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.39%EV -13.13%E -3.46%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-10-17 23:14 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 58.90%EV -12.06%E -8.15%K -25.12%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.16%EV -14.96%E -3.12%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 22.94%EV -13.13%E -3.46%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 14.7% | 2026-10-18 09:55 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 59.14%EV -10.87%E -7.24%K -21.73%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 18.68%EV -15.84%E -3.33%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.18%EV -8.56%E -2.14%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 12.7% | 2026-10-18 09:10 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 57.41%EV -6.71%E -4.27%K -11.77%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.18%EV -16.73%E -3.56%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.41%EV -11.99%E -3.11%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-10-18 09:55 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 57.39%EV -7.30%E -4.68%K -13.04%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.05%EV -16.73%E -3.56%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.56%EV -13.13%E -3.46%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-10-18 09:55 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 57.13%EV -7.90%E -5.09%K -14.36%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.25%EV -18.50%E -4.02%K -5.14%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.62%EV -14.27%E -3.81%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 12.9% | 2026-10-18 09:55 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 57.13%EV -7.90%E -5.09%K -14.36%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.25%EV -18.50%E -4.02%K -5.14%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.62%EV -14.27%E -3.81%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 12.9% | 2026-10-18 09:55 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 57.13%EV -7.90%E -5.09%K -14.36%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.25%EV -18.50%E -4.02%K -5.14%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.62%EV -14.27%E -3.81%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 12.9% | 2026-10-18 09:54 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 57.13%EV -7.90%E -5.09%K -14.36%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.25%EV -18.50%E -4.02%K -5.14%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.62%EV -14.27%E -3.81%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 12.9% | 2026-10-18 09:55 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (6)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.62I 61.73%NM 61.04% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 16.48% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.48% | 1.1% | 2026-10-18 09:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.62I 61.73%NM 61.04% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 16.48% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.48% | 1.1% | 2026-10-18 10:15 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.62I 61.73%NM 61.04% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 16.48% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.48% | 1.1% | 2026-10-18 09:55 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.62I 61.73%NM 61.04% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 16.48% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.48% | 1.1% | 2026-10-18 10:15 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.61I 62.11%NM 60.87% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 16.33% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.79% | 2.0% | 2026-10-18 10:15 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.61I 62.11%NM 60.83% | 5.88I 17.01%NM 16.66% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 22.51% | 2.1% | 2026-10-18 09:49 |