The School of Odds

Los Angeles Rams v San Francisco 49ers

2026-09-11 00:35 — NFL

Head to Head

45 sportsbooks (17 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: IQM

Los Angeles Rams (Local)

Prediction 62.27%1.61fair odd
EV +1.50%
Edge +0.920%
Kelly +2.38%
Growth +0.036%

assuming max odds 1.63

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
58.67%62.10%62.23%65.63%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
1.361.531.531.63MINMEANMEDIANMAX
All estimators
58.67%1.704Min
65.63%1.524Max
62.10%1.610Mean
62.23%1.607Median
62.27%1.606IQM
62.13%1.609Margin-weighted

San Francisco 49ers (Visit)

Prediction 37.73%2.65fair odd
EV +3.76%
Edge +1.37%
Kelly +2.15%
Growth +0.081%

assuming max odds 2.75

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
34.37%37.90%37.77%41.33%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
2.252.532.502.75MINMEANMEDIANMAX
All estimators
34.37%2.910Min
41.33%2.420Max
37.90%2.638Mean
37.77%2.647Median
37.73%2.650IQM
37.87%2.641Margin-weighted

Sportsbook Odds (46 sportsbooks)

BookmakerLos Angeles Rams (Local)San Francisco 49ers (Visit) ▼MarginUpdated
William Hill1.44I 69.44% NM 65.63%EV -10.33% E -7.17% K -23.48% G +0.000%2.75I 36.36% NM 34.37%EV +3.76% E +1.37% K +2.15% G +0.081%5.8%2026-06-09 03:48
Pinnacle1.51I 66.23% NM 64.13%EV -5.97% E -3.96% K -11.71% G +0.000%2.70I 37.04% NM 35.87%EV +1.87% E +0.693% K +1.10% G +0.021%3.3%2026-06-24 21:40
FanDuel1.51I 66.23% NM 63.79%EV -5.97% E -3.96% K -11.71% G +0.000%2.66I 37.59% NM 36.21%EV +0.361% E +0.136% K +0.218% G +0.001%3.8%2026-06-29 22:50
SportsBet1.48I 67.57% NM 64.25%EV -7.84% E -5.30% K -16.33% G +0.000%2.66I 37.59% NM 35.75%EV +0.361% E +0.136% K +0.218% G +0.001%5.2%2026-06-01 19:19
BetMGM1.50I 66.67% NM 63.86%EV -6.59% E -4.40% K -13.19% G +0.000%2.65I 37.74% NM 36.14%EV -0.016% E -0.006% K -0.010% G +0.000%4.4%2026-06-01 20:29
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.50I 66.67% NM 63.68%EV -6.59% E -4.40% K -13.19% G +0.000%2.63I 38.02% NM 36.32%EV -0.770% E -0.293% K -0.473% G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-01 19:18
Ladbrokes (UK)1.50I 66.67% NM 63.59%EV -6.59% E -4.40% K -13.19% G +0.000%2.62I 38.17% NM 36.41%EV -1.15% E -0.438% K -0.708% G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-01 20:29
Coral1.50I 66.67% NM 63.59%EV -6.59% E -4.40% K -13.19% G +0.000%2.62I 38.17% NM 36.41%EV -1.15% E -0.438% K -0.708% G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-01 20:29
Paddy Power1.50I 66.67% NM 63.59%EV -6.59% E -4.40% K -13.19% G +0.000%2.62I 38.17% NM 36.41%EV -1.15% E -0.438% K -0.708% G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-01 19:20
Hard Rock Bet1.53I 65.36% NM 62.95%EV -4.73% E -3.09% K -8.92% G +0.000%2.60I 38.46% NM 37.05%EV -1.90% E -0.732% K -1.19% G +0.000%3.8%2026-07-08 08:35
Ladbrokes (AU)1.50I 66.67% NM 63.41%EV -6.59% E -4.40% K -13.19% G +0.000%2.60I 38.46% NM 36.59%EV -1.90% E -0.732% K -1.19% G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-01 20:29
Neds1.50I 66.67% NM 63.41%EV -6.59% E -4.40% K -13.19% G +0.000%2.60I 38.46% NM 36.59%EV -1.90% E -0.732% K -1.19% G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-01 20:30
TAB1.50I 66.67% NM 63.41%EV -6.59% E -4.40% K -13.19% G +0.000%2.60I 38.46% NM 36.59%EV -1.90% E -0.732% K -1.19% G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-01 20:19
BetOnline.ag1.56I 64.10% NM 62.23%EV -2.86% E -1.83% K -5.10% G +0.000%2.57I 38.91% NM 37.77%EV -3.03% E -1.18% K -1.93% G +0.000%3.0%2026-06-01 17:29
LowVig.ag1.56I 64.10% NM 62.23%EV -2.86% E -1.83% K -5.10% G +0.000%2.57I 38.91% NM 37.77%EV -3.03% E -1.18% K -1.93% G +0.000%3.0%2026-06-01 17:30
Caesars1.53I 65.36% NM 62.59%EV -4.73% E -3.09% K -8.92% G +0.000%2.56I 39.06% NM 37.41%EV -3.41% E -1.33% K -2.19% G +0.000%4.4%2026-06-22 22:48
BetUS1.56I 64.10% NM 62.04%EV -2.86% E -1.83% K -5.10% G +0.000%2.55I 39.22% NM 37.96%EV -3.79% E -1.49% K -2.44% G +0.000%3.3%2026-06-01 17:29
theScore Bet1.54I 64.94% NM 62.35%EV -4.10% E -2.66% K -7.60% G +0.000%2.55I 39.22% NM 37.65%EV -3.79% E -1.49% K -2.44% G +0.000%4.2%2026-06-09 03:09
GTbets1.54I 64.94% NM 62.35%EV -4.10% E -2.66% K -7.60% G +0.000%2.55I 39.22% NM 37.65%EV -3.79% E -1.49% K -2.44% G +0.000%4.2%2026-06-30 10:00
Coolbet1.50I 66.67% NM 62.87%EV -6.59% E -4.40% K -13.19% G +0.000%2.54I 39.37% NM 37.13%EV -4.17% E -1.64% K -2.71% G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-30 10:08
ReBet1.53I 65.36% NM 62.22%EV -4.73% E -3.09% K -8.92% G +0.000%2.52I 39.68% NM 37.78%EV -4.92% E -1.95% K -3.24% G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-07 14:35
Fanatics1.56I 64.10% NM 61.58%EV -2.86% E -1.83% K -5.10% G +0.000%2.50I 40.00% NM 38.42%EV -5.68% E -2.27% K -3.78% G +0.000%4.1%2026-06-01 18:10
betPARX1.55I 64.52% NM 61.73%EV -3.48% E -2.25% K -6.33% G +0.000%2.50I 40.00% NM 38.27%EV -5.68% E -2.27% K -3.78% G +0.000%4.5%2026-06-01 17:29
LeoVegas (SE)1.55I 64.52% NM 61.73%EV -3.48% E -2.25% K -6.33% G +0.000%2.50I 40.00% NM 38.27%EV -5.68% E -2.27% K -3.78% G +0.000%4.5%2026-06-01 17:29
Unibet (SE)1.55I 64.52% NM 61.73%EV -3.48% E -2.25% K -6.33% G +0.000%2.50I 40.00% NM 38.27%EV -5.68% E -2.27% K -3.78% G +0.000%4.5%2026-06-01 17:30
Unibet (NL)1.55I 64.52% NM 61.73%EV -3.48% E -2.25% K -6.33% G +0.000%2.50I 40.00% NM 38.27%EV -5.68% E -2.27% K -3.78% G +0.000%4.5%2026-06-01 17:29
Svenska Spel1.55I 64.52% NM 61.73%EV -3.48% E -2.25% K -6.33% G +0.000%2.50I 40.00% NM 38.27%EV -5.68% E -2.27% K -3.78% G +0.000%4.5%2026-06-01 17:30
Bally Bet1.55I 64.52% NM 61.73%EV -3.48% E -2.25% K -6.33% G +0.000%2.50I 40.00% NM 38.27%EV -5.68% E -2.27% K -3.78% G +0.000%4.5%2026-06-01 17:29
ATG (SE)1.55I 64.52% NM 61.73%EV -3.48% E -2.25% K -6.33% G +0.000%2.50I 40.00% NM 38.27%EV -5.68% E -2.27% K -3.78% G +0.000%4.5%2026-06-01 17:30
Unibet1.55I 64.52% NM 61.73%EV -3.48% E -2.25% K -6.33% G +0.000%2.50I 40.00% NM 38.27%EV -5.68% E -2.27% K -3.78% G +0.000%4.5%2026-06-01 17:30
Unibet (UK)1.52I 65.79% NM 62.19%EV -5.35% E -3.52% K -10.29% G +0.000%2.50I 40.00% NM 37.81%EV -5.68% E -2.27% K -3.78% G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-07 14:35
Tipico (DE)1.52I 65.79% NM 62.19%EV -5.35% E -3.52% K -10.29% G +0.000%2.50I 40.00% NM 37.81%EV -5.68% E -2.27% K -3.78% G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-09 03:19
Bet Victor1.50I 66.67% NM 62.50%EV -6.59% E -4.40% K -13.19% G +0.000%2.50I 40.00% NM 37.50%EV -5.68% E -2.27% K -3.78% G +0.000%6.7%2026-06-30 10:09
LeoVegas1.47I 68.03% NM 62.97%EV -8.46% E -5.76% K -18.01% G +0.000%2.50I 40.00% NM 37.03%EV -5.68% E -2.27% K -3.78% G +0.000%8.0%2026-07-02 10:14
MyBookie.ag1.52I 65.79% NM 62.09%EV -5.35% E -3.52% K -10.29% G +0.000%2.49I 40.16% NM 37.91%EV -6.05% E -2.43% K -4.06% G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-07 14:40
BetRivers1.55I 64.52% NM 61.54%EV -3.48% E -2.25% K -6.33% G +0.000%2.48I 40.32% NM 38.46%EV -6.43% E -2.59% K -4.34% G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-01 17:29
Betsson1.47I 68.03% NM 62.78%EV -8.46% E -5.76% K -18.01% G +0.000%2.48I 40.32% NM 37.22%EV -6.43% E -2.59% K -4.34% G +0.000%8.3%2026-07-06 11:35
NordicBet1.47I 68.03% NM 62.78%EV -8.46% E -5.76% K -18.01% G +0.000%2.48I 40.32% NM 37.22%EV -6.43% E -2.59% K -4.34% G +0.000%8.3%2026-07-06 11:35
Bovada1.59I 62.89% NM 60.64%EV -0.991% E -0.623% K -1.68% G +0.000%2.45I 40.82% NM 39.36%EV -7.56% E -3.09% K -5.22% G +0.000%3.7%2026-07-07 14:19
DraftKings1.57I 63.69% NM 60.95%EV -2.24% E -1.42% K -3.92% G +0.000%2.45I 40.82% NM 39.05%EV -7.56% E -3.09% K -5.22% G +0.000%4.5%2026-07-07 14:19
Betclic (FR)1.50I 66.67% NM 62.03%EV -6.59% E -4.40% K -13.19% G +0.000%2.45I 40.82% NM 37.97%EV -7.56% E -3.09% K -5.22% G +0.000%7.5%2026-06-09 03:09
PointsBet (AU)1.63I 61.35% NM 59.05%EV +1.50% E +0.920% K +2.38% G +0.036%2.35I 42.55% NM 40.95%EV -11.33% E -4.82% K -8.40% G +0.000%3.9%2026-07-07 14:19
Marathon Bet1.60I 62.50% NM 59.08%EV -0.368% E -0.230% K -0.613% G +0.000%2.31I 43.29% NM 40.92%EV -12.84% E -5.56% K -9.80% G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-24 21:40
Bet Right1.62I 61.73% NM 58.67%EV +0.878% E +0.542% K +1.42% G +0.012%2.30I 43.48% NM 41.33%EV -13.22% E -5.75% K -10.17% G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-07 14:24
NetBet (FR)1.36I 73.53% NM 62.33%EV -15.31% E -11.26% K -42.54% G +0.000%2.25I 44.44% NM 37.67%EV -15.11% E -6.71% K -12.09% G +0.000%18.0%2026-07-08 09:00
BoyleSports1.67I 59.88% NM 56.85%EV +3.99% E +2.39% K +5.96% G +0.238%2.20I 45.45% NM 43.15%EV -16.99% E -7.72% K -14.16% G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-19 06:00
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Exchanges (2)

BookmakerLos Angeles Rams (Local)San Francisco 49ers (Visit)Margin ▲Updated
Smarkets1.49I 67.11% NM 61.89%2.42I 41.32% NM 38.11%8.4%2026-07-07 14:35
Kalshi1.54I 64.94% NM 59.04%2.22I 45.05% NM 40.96%10.0%2026-07-09 04:35
Arbitrage (26 combinations) +2.34%PointsBet (AU) 1.63 (62.8%) / William Hill 2.75 (37.2%)Show all 26 combinations
Los Angeles Rams (Local)San Francisco 49ers (Visit)Margin
BoyleSports 1.67 (62.2%)William Hill 2.75 (37.8%)+3.90%
BoyleSports 1.67 (61.8%)Pinnacle 2.70 (38.2%)+3.18%
BoyleSports 1.67 (61.4%)FanDuel 2.66 (38.6%)+2.59%
BoyleSports 1.67 (61.4%)SportsBet 2.66 (38.6%)+2.59%
BoyleSports 1.67 (61.3%)BetMGM 2.65 (38.7%)+2.44%
PointsBet (AU) 1.63 (62.8%)William Hill 2.75 (37.2%)+2.34%
BoyleSports 1.67 (61.2%)Betfair Sportsbook (UK) 2.63 (38.8%)+2.14%
BoyleSports 1.67 (61.1%)Ladbrokes (UK) 2.62 (38.9%)+1.99%
BoyleSports 1.67 (61.1%)Coral 2.62 (38.9%)+1.99%
BoyleSports 1.67 (61.1%)Paddy Power 2.62 (38.9%)+1.99%
Bet Right 1.62 (62.9%)William Hill 2.75 (37.1%)+1.95%
BoyleSports 1.67 (60.9%)Hard Rock Bet 2.60 (39.1%)+1.69%
BoyleSports 1.67 (60.9%)Ladbrokes (AU) 2.60 (39.1%)+1.69%
BoyleSports 1.67 (60.9%)Neds 2.60 (39.1%)+1.69%
BoyleSports 1.67 (60.9%)TAB 2.60 (39.1%)+1.69%
PointsBet (AU) 1.63 (62.4%)Pinnacle 2.70 (37.6%)+1.64%
Bet Right 1.62 (62.5%)Pinnacle 2.70 (37.5%)+1.25%
BoyleSports 1.67 (60.6%)BetOnline.ag 2.57 (39.4%)+1.22%
BoyleSports 1.67 (60.6%)LowVig.ag 2.57 (39.4%)+1.22%
Marathon Bet 1.60 (63.2%)William Hill 2.75 (36.8%)+1.15%
BoyleSports 1.67 (60.5%)Caesars 2.56 (39.5%)+1.07%
PointsBet (AU) 1.63 (62.0%)FanDuel 2.66 (38.0%)+1.07%
PointsBet (AU) 1.63 (62.0%)SportsBet 2.66 (38.0%)+1.07%
PointsBet (AU) 1.63 (61.9%)BetMGM 2.65 (38.1%)+0.923%
BoyleSports 1.67 (60.4%)BetUS 2.55 (39.6%)+0.912%
BoyleSports 1.67 (60.4%)theScore Bet 2.55 (39.6%)+0.912%
BoyleSports 1.67 (60.4%)GTbets 2.55 (39.6%)+0.912%
BoyleSports 1.67 (60.3%)Coolbet 2.54 (39.7%)+0.755%
Bovada 1.59 (63.4%)William Hill 2.75 (36.6%)+0.749%
Bet Right 1.62 (62.1%)FanDuel 2.66 (37.9%)+0.682%
Bet Right 1.62 (62.1%)SportsBet 2.66 (37.9%)+0.682%
PointsBet (AU) 1.63 (61.7%)Betfair Sportsbook (UK) 2.63 (38.3%)+0.631%
Bet Right 1.62 (62.1%)BetMGM 2.65 (37.9%)+0.539%
PointsBet (AU) 1.63 (61.6%)Ladbrokes (UK) 2.62 (38.4%)+0.485%
PointsBet (AU) 1.63 (61.6%)Coral 2.62 (38.4%)+0.485%
PointsBet (AU) 1.63 (61.6%)Paddy Power 2.62 (38.4%)+0.485%
Marathon Bet 1.60 (62.8%)Pinnacle 2.70 (37.2%)+0.465%
BoyleSports 1.67 (60.1%)ReBet 2.52 (39.9%)+0.439%
Bet Right 1.62 (61.9%)Betfair Sportsbook (UK) 2.63 (38.1%)+0.249%
PointsBet (AU) 1.63 (61.5%)Hard Rock Bet 2.60 (38.5%)+0.189%
PointsBet (AU) 1.63 (61.5%)Ladbrokes (AU) 2.60 (38.5%)+0.189%
PointsBet (AU) 1.63 (61.5%)Neds 2.60 (38.5%)+0.189%
PointsBet (AU) 1.63 (61.5%)TAB 2.60 (38.5%)+0.189%
BoyleSports 1.67 (60.0%)Fanatics 2.50 (40.0%)+0.120%
BoyleSports 1.67 (60.0%)betPARX 2.50 (40.0%)+0.120%
BoyleSports 1.67 (60.0%)LeoVegas (SE) 2.50 (40.0%)+0.120%
BoyleSports 1.67 (60.0%)Unibet (SE) 2.50 (40.0%)+0.120%
BoyleSports 1.67 (60.0%)Unibet (NL) 2.50 (40.0%)+0.120%
BoyleSports 1.67 (60.0%)Svenska Spel 2.50 (40.0%)+0.120%
BoyleSports 1.67 (60.0%)Bally Bet 2.50 (40.0%)+0.120%

Showing 50 of 60 combinations