Modelo predeterminadoMedia intercuartílica (Lista Curada)

Los Angeles Rams v San Francisco 49ers

Inicio: 2026-09-11 00:35 UTC

Final: Los Angeles Rams 7–27 San Francisco 49ers

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

59 corredores (22 en el análisis )

65%

35%

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada)

Los Angeles Rams (Local)

Predicción 64.51%1.55momio equitativo

EV +7.73%

Ventaja +4.63%

Kelly +11.53%

Crecimiento +0.891%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.67

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores

56.85%64.19%64.52%65.88%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Distribución de los momios

1.351.481.481.6774.07%67.71%67.57%59.88%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

San Francisco 49ers (Visitante)

Predicción 35.49%2.82momio equitativo

EV +0.444%

Ventaja +0.157%

Kelly +0.243%

Crecimiento +0.001%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.83

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores

34.12%35.81%35.48%43.15%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Distribución de los momios

2.202.672.652.8345.45%37.48%37.74%35.34%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Con la última cotización anterior al inicio, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estimó estas probabilidades para Resultado del partido: Los Angeles Rams (Local): 64.51%; San Francisco 49ers (Visitante): 35.49%. Para Los Angeles Rams (Local), esa estimación equivalía a momios decimales justos de 1.55. 1 corredor ofreció momios de cierre superiores a ese nivel; los mejores fueron 1.67, correspondientes a un valor esperado positivo de +7.73%.

Momios de las casas de apuestas (59 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

Corredor	Local ▼	Visitante	Margen	Actualizado
BoyleSports🎯	1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV +7.73%E +4.63%K +11.53%G +0.891%	2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -21.92%E -9.96%K -18.26%G +0.000%	5.3%	2026-05-19 06:00
SportsBet🎯	1.51I 66.23%NM 64.47%EV -2.59%E -1.72%K -5.09%G +0.000%	2.74I 36.50%NM 35.53%EV -2.75%E -1.00%K -1.58%G +0.000%	2.7%	2026-09-09 16:10
Unibet (SE)🎯	1.51I 66.23%NM 63.70%EV -2.59%E -1.72%K -5.09%G +0.000%	2.65I 37.74%NM 36.30%EV -5.94%E -2.24%K -3.60%G +0.000%	4.0%	2026-08-31 18:10
Unibet (NL)🎯	1.51I 66.23%NM 63.70%EV -2.59%E -1.72%K -5.09%G +0.000%	2.65I 37.74%NM 36.30%EV -5.94%E -2.24%K -3.60%G +0.000%	4.0%	2026-09-09 11:55
Svenska Spel🎯	1.51I 66.23%NM 63.70%EV -2.59%E -1.72%K -5.09%G +0.000%	2.65I 37.74%NM 36.30%EV -5.94%E -2.24%K -3.60%G +0.000%	4.0%	2026-08-31 18:10
ATG (SE)🎯	1.51I 66.23%NM 63.70%EV -2.59%E -1.72%K -5.09%G +0.000%	2.65I 37.74%NM 36.30%EV -5.94%E -2.24%K -3.60%G +0.000%	4.0%	2026-08-31 18:09
DraftKings🎯	1.51I 66.23%NM 63.61%EV -2.59%E -1.72%K -5.09%G +0.000%	2.64I 37.88%NM 36.39%EV -6.30%E -2.39%K -3.84%G +0.000%	4.1%	2026-09-09 10:10
Pinnacle🎯	1.50I 66.67%NM 64.71%EV -3.24%E -2.16%K -6.48%G +0.000%	2.75I 36.36%NM 35.29%EV -2.40%E -0.871%K -1.37%G +0.000%	3.0%	2026-09-09 14:05
FanDuel🎯	1.50I 66.67%NM 64.45%EV -3.24%E -2.16%K -6.48%G +0.000%	2.72I 36.76%NM 35.55%EV -3.46%E -1.27%K -2.01%G +0.000%	3.4%	2026-09-09 16:05
theScore Bet🎯	1.50I 66.67%NM 64.29%EV -3.24%E -2.16%K -6.48%G +0.000%	2.70I 37.04%NM 35.71%EV -4.17%E -1.54%K -2.45%G +0.000%	3.7%	2026-09-09 17:10
PointsBet (AU)🎯	1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -3.24%E -2.16%K -6.48%G +0.000%	2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -5.94%E -2.24%K -3.60%G +0.000%	4.4%	2026-09-09 12:40
Fanatics🎯	1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -3.24%E -2.16%K -6.48%G +0.000%	2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -5.94%E -2.24%K -3.60%G +0.000%	4.4%	2026-09-01 19:25
Betr (AU)🎯	1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -3.24%E -2.16%K -6.48%G +0.000%	2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -5.94%E -2.24%K -3.60%G +0.000%	4.4%	2026-09-09 16:45
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯	1.50I 66.67%NM 63.68%EV -3.24%E -2.16%K -6.48%G +0.000%	2.63I 38.02%NM 36.32%EV -6.65%E -2.53%K -4.08%G +0.000%	4.7%	2026-09-09 17:15
Paddy Power🎯	1.50I 66.67%NM 63.59%EV -3.24%E -2.16%K -6.48%G +0.000%	2.62I 38.17%NM 36.41%EV -7.01%E -2.68%K -4.33%G +0.000%	4.8%	2026-08-21 01:38
betPARX🎯	1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -3.24%E -2.16%K -6.48%G +0.000%	2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -7.72%E -2.97%K -4.82%G +0.000%	5.1%	2026-08-31 18:08
LeoVegas (SE)🎯	1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -3.24%E -2.16%K -6.48%G +0.000%	2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -7.72%E -2.97%K -4.82%G +0.000%	5.1%	2026-08-31 18:10
Bally Bet🎯	1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -3.24%E -2.16%K -6.48%G +0.000%	2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -7.72%E -2.97%K -4.82%G +0.000%	5.1%	2026-08-31 18:10
Unibet🎯	1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -3.24%E -2.16%K -6.48%G +0.000%	2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -7.72%E -2.97%K -4.82%G +0.000%	5.1%	2026-08-31 18:10
BetOnline.ag🎯	1.49I 67.11%NM 65.02%EV -3.88%E -2.61%K -7.93%G +0.000%	2.77I 36.10%NM 34.98%EV -1.69%E -0.609%K -0.952%G +0.000%	3.2%	2026-09-09 11:55
LowVig.ag🎯	1.49I 67.11%NM 65.02%EV -3.88%E -2.61%K -7.93%G +0.000%	2.77I 36.10%NM 34.98%EV -1.69%E -0.609%K -0.952%G +0.000%	3.2%	2026-09-09 11:54
Caesars🎯	1.49I 67.11%NM 64.61%EV -3.88%E -2.61%K -7.93%G +0.000%	2.72I 36.76%NM 35.39%EV -3.46%E -1.27%K -2.01%G +0.000%	3.9%	2026-09-08 16:04
ReBet🎯	1.49I 67.11%NM 64.61%EV -3.88%E -2.61%K -7.93%G +0.000%	2.72I 36.76%NM 35.39%EV -3.46%E -1.27%K -2.01%G +0.000%	3.9%	2026-09-08 23:24
MyBookie.ag🎯	1.49I 67.11%NM 64.10%EV -3.88%E -2.61%K -7.93%G +0.000%	2.66I 37.59%NM 35.90%EV -5.59%E -2.10%K -3.37%G +0.000%	4.7%	2026-09-08 16:20
BetRivers🎯	1.49I 67.11%NM 63.57%EV -3.88%E -2.61%K -7.93%G +0.000%	2.60I 38.46%NM 36.43%EV -7.72%E -2.97%K -4.82%G +0.000%	5.6%	2026-08-31 18:10
Bovada🎯	1.48I 67.57%NM 65.01%EV -4.53%E -3.06%K -9.44%G +0.000%	2.75I 36.36%NM 34.99%EV -2.40%E -0.871%K -1.37%G +0.000%	3.9%	2026-09-08 16:09
GTbets🎯	1.48I 67.57%NM 65.01%EV -4.53%E -3.06%K -9.44%G +0.000%	2.75I 36.36%NM 34.99%EV -2.40%E -0.871%K -1.37%G +0.000%	3.9%	2026-09-08 20:05
Hard Rock Bet🎯	1.48I 67.57%NM 65.01%EV -4.53%E -3.06%K -9.44%G +0.000%	2.75I 36.36%NM 34.99%EV -2.40%E -0.871%K -1.37%G +0.000%	3.9%	2026-09-09 10:03
Coolbet🎯	1.48I 67.57%NM 65.01%EV -4.53%E -3.06%K -9.44%G +0.000%	2.75I 36.36%NM 34.99%EV -2.40%E -0.871%K -1.37%G +0.000%	3.9%	2026-09-09 16:45
BetMGM🎯	1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -4.53%E -3.06%K -9.44%G +0.000%	2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -4.17%E -1.54%K -2.45%G +0.000%	4.6%	2026-09-09 15:15
Unibet (UK)🎯	1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -4.53%E -3.06%K -9.44%G +0.000%	2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -4.17%E -1.54%K -2.45%G +0.000%	4.6%	2026-09-08 23:25
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯	1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -4.53%E -3.06%K -9.44%G +0.000%	2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -5.94%E -2.24%K -3.60%G +0.000%	5.3%	2026-09-09 10:10
Neds🎯	1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -4.53%E -3.06%K -9.44%G +0.000%	2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -5.94%E -2.24%K -3.60%G +0.000%	5.3%	2026-09-09 10:09
Bet Right🎯	1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -4.53%E -3.06%K -9.44%G +0.000%	2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -5.94%E -2.24%K -3.60%G +0.000%	5.3%	2026-09-08 18:00
PlayUp🎯	1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -4.53%E -3.06%K -9.44%G +0.000%	2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -5.94%E -2.24%K -3.60%G +0.000%	5.3%	2026-09-09 14:10
Dabble (AU)🎯	1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -4.53%E -3.06%K -9.44%G +0.000%	2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -5.94%E -2.24%K -3.60%G +0.000%	5.3%	2026-09-08 19:15
BetUS🎯	1.47I 68.03%NM 65.81%EV -5.17%E -3.52%K -11.01%G +0.000%	2.83I 35.34%NM 34.19%EV +0.444%E +0.157%K +0.243%G +0.001%	3.4%	2026-09-08 16:05
TAB🎯	1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -5.17%E -3.52%K -11.01%G +0.000%	2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -4.17%E -1.54%K -2.45%G +0.000%	5.1%	2026-09-09 02:43
LeoVegas🎯	1.47I 68.03%NM 64.32%EV -5.17%E -3.52%K -11.01%G +0.000%	2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%EV -5.94%E -2.24%K -3.60%G +0.000%	5.8%	2026-09-09 17:30
Codere (IT)🎯	1.47I 68.03%NM 64.32%EV -5.17%E -3.52%K -11.01%G +0.000%	2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%EV -5.94%E -2.24%K -3.60%G +0.000%	5.8%	2026-09-08 23:24
Marathon Bet🎯	1.47I 68.03%NM 64.23%EV -5.17%E -3.52%K -11.01%G +0.000%	2.64I 37.88%NM 35.77%EV -6.30%E -2.39%K -3.84%G +0.000%	5.9%	2026-09-09 17:30
Everygame🎯	1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -6.46%E -4.46%K -14.36%G +0.000%	2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -0.621%E -0.222%K -0.345%G +0.000%	4.7%	2026-09-08 23:24
BetAnything🎯	1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -6.46%E -4.46%K -14.36%G +0.000%	2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -0.621%E -0.222%K -0.345%G +0.000%	4.7%	2026-09-08 23:24
Tipico (DE)🎯	1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -6.46%E -4.46%K -14.36%G +0.000%	2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -4.17%E -1.54%K -2.45%G +0.000%	6.0%	2026-09-08 23:23
Bet Victor🎯	1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -6.46%E -4.46%K -14.36%G +0.000%	2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -4.17%E -1.54%K -2.45%G +0.000%	6.0%	2026-09-09 17:30
betano_uk🎯	1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -6.46%E -4.46%K -14.36%G +0.000%	2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -4.17%E -1.54%K -2.45%G +0.000%	6.0%	2026-09-09 17:34
Betclic (FR)🎯	1.45I 68.97%NM 64.20%EV -6.46%E -4.46%K -14.36%G +0.000%	2.60I 38.46%NM 35.80%EV -7.72%E -2.97%K -4.82%G +0.000%	7.4%	2026-09-08 23:22
William Hill🎯	1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -7.11%E -4.94%K -16.16%G +0.000%	2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -2.40%E -0.871%K -1.37%G +0.000%	5.8%	2026-09-08 19:14
Betway🎯	1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -7.11%E -4.94%K -16.16%G +0.000%	2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -2.40%E -0.871%K -1.37%G +0.000%	5.8%	2026-09-09 14:40
888sport🎯	1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -7.11%E -4.94%K -16.16%G +0.000%	2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -2.40%E -0.871%K -1.37%G +0.000%	5.8%	2026-09-08 19:15
888sport (SE)🎯	1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -7.11%E -4.94%K -16.16%G +0.000%	2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -2.40%E -0.871%K -1.37%G +0.000%	5.8%	2026-09-08 19:14
Mr Green (SE)🎯	1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -7.11%E -4.94%K -16.16%G +0.000%	2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -2.40%E -0.871%K -1.37%G +0.000%	5.8%	2026-09-08 19:15
Fliff🎯	1.44I 69.44%NM 65.22%EV -7.11%E -4.94%K -16.16%G +0.000%	2.70I 37.04%NM 34.78%EV -4.17%E -1.54%K -2.45%G +0.000%	6.5%	2026-09-08 20:55
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯	1.44I 69.44%NM 64.36%EV -7.11%E -4.94%K -16.16%G +0.000%	2.60I 38.46%NM 35.64%EV -7.72%E -2.97%K -4.82%G +0.000%	7.9%	2026-09-09 10:10
Coral🎯	1.44I 69.44%NM 64.36%EV -7.11%E -4.94%K -16.16%G +0.000%	2.60I 38.46%NM 35.64%EV -7.72%E -2.97%K -4.82%G +0.000%	7.9%	2026-09-09 10:09
Betsson🎯	1.43I 69.93%NM 64.69%EV -7.75%E -5.42%K -18.03%G +0.000%	2.62I 38.17%NM 35.31%EV -7.01%E -2.68%K -4.33%G +0.000%	8.1%	2026-09-09 17:35
NordicBet🎯	1.43I 69.93%NM 64.69%EV -7.75%E -5.42%K -18.03%G +0.000%	2.62I 38.17%NM 35.31%EV -7.01%E -2.68%K -4.33%G +0.000%	8.1%	2026-09-09 17:35
NetBet (FR)🎯	1.41I 70.92%NM 64.39%EV -9.04%E -6.41%K -22.06%G +0.000%	2.55I 39.22%NM 35.61%EV -9.49%E -3.72%K -6.13%G +0.000%	10.1%	2026-09-09 05:19
PMU (FR)🎯	1.35I 74.07%NM 63.51%EV -12.91%E -9.57%K -36.90%G +0.000%	2.35I 42.55%NM 36.49%EV -16.59%E -7.06%K -12.29%G +0.000%	16.6%	2026-09-07 09:34

Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (10)

Corredor	Local	Visitante	Margen ▲	Actualizado
BetOpenly◎	1.53I 65.36%NM 65.31%	2.88I 34.72%NM 34.69%	0.1%	2026-09-09 17:14
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎	1.54I 64.94%NM 64.68%	2.82I 35.46%NM 35.32%	0.4%	2026-09-09 16:40
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎	1.54I 64.94%NM 64.68%	2.82I 35.46%NM 35.32%	0.4%	2026-09-09 16:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎	1.54I 64.94%NM 64.68%	2.82I 35.46%NM 35.32%	0.4%	2026-09-09 16:55
Matchbook◎	1.54I 64.94%NM 64.68%	2.82I 35.46%NM 35.32%	0.4%	2026-09-09 16:35
ProphetX◎	1.54I 64.94%NM 64.52%	2.80I 35.71%NM 35.48%	0.6%	2026-09-09 15:00
Novig◎	1.53I 65.36%NM 64.83%	2.82I 35.46%NM 35.17%	0.8%	2026-09-09 17:12
Kalshi◎	1.54I 64.94%NM 64.35%	2.78I 35.97%NM 35.65%	0.9%	2026-09-08 09:20
Polymarket◎	1.54I 64.94%NM 64.35%	2.78I 35.97%NM 35.65%	0.9%	2026-09-09 11:19
Smarkets◎	1.52I 65.79%NM 64.98%	2.82I 35.46%NM 35.02%	1.3%	2026-09-09 17:25