La escuela de los momios

Los Angeles Rams v San Francisco 49ers

2026-09-11 00:35 UTC — NFL

Resultado del partido

47 corredores (16 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Los Angeles Rams (Local)

Predicción 63.11%1.58momio equitativo
EV +0.979%
Ventaja +0.612%
Kelly +1.63%
Crecimiento +0.016%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.60

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
59.08%63.02%62.96%65.63%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.351.501.501.6074.07%66.63%66.67%62.50%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

San Francisco 49ers (Visitante)

Predicción 36.89%2.71momio equitativo
EV +1.81%
Ventaja +0.656%
Kelly +1.03%
Crecimiento +0.019%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.76

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
34.37%36.98%37.04%40.92%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.302.582.592.7643.48%38.75%38.61%36.23%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (47 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitante ▼MargenActualizado
FanDuel1.48I 67.57%NM 65.09%EV -6.59%E -4.46%K -13.74%G +0.000%2.76I 36.23%NM 34.91%EV +1.81%E +0.656%K +1.03%G +0.019%3.8%2026-07-13 16:25
SportsBet1.46I 68.49%NM 65.32%EV -7.86%E -5.38%K -17.08%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.68%EV +1.44%E +0.524%K +0.824%G +0.012%4.9%2026-07-13 16:20
William Hill1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -9.12%E -6.33%K -20.72%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV +1.44%E +0.524%K +0.824%G +0.012%5.8%2026-06-09 03:48
Pinnacle1.51I 66.23%NM 64.13%EV -4.70%E -3.11%K -9.22%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.87%EV -0.403%E -0.149%K -0.237%G +0.000%3.3%2026-06-24 21:40
Bovada1.50I 66.67%NM 64.29%EV -5.33%E -3.55%K -10.66%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.71%EV -0.403%E -0.149%K -0.237%G +0.000%3.7%2026-07-25 18:00
Hard Rock Bet1.50I 66.67%NM 64.29%EV -5.33%E -3.55%K -10.66%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.71%EV -0.403%E -0.149%K -0.237%G +0.000%3.7%2026-07-21 08:34
BetMGM1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -5.33%E -3.55%K -10.66%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -2.25%E -0.848%K -1.36%G +0.000%4.4%2026-06-01 20:29
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.50I 66.67%NM 63.68%EV -5.33%E -3.55%K -10.66%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 36.32%EV -2.98%E -1.13%K -1.83%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-01 19:18
Caesars1.51I 66.23%NM 63.44%EV -4.70%E -3.11%K -9.22%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 36.56%EV -3.35%E -1.28%K -2.07%G +0.000%4.4%2026-07-20 19:03
Ladbrokes (UK)1.50I 66.67%NM 63.59%EV -5.33%E -3.55%K -10.66%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 36.41%EV -3.35%E -1.28%K -2.07%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-01 20:29
Coral1.50I 66.67%NM 63.59%EV -5.33%E -3.55%K -10.66%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 36.41%EV -3.35%E -1.28%K -2.07%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-01 20:29
Paddy Power1.50I 66.67%NM 63.59%EV -5.33%E -3.55%K -10.66%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 36.41%EV -3.35%E -1.28%K -2.07%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-01 19:20
BetOnline.ag1.54I 64.94%NM 62.89%EV -2.81%E -1.82%K -5.20%G +0.000%2.61I 38.31%NM 37.11%EV -3.72%E -1.43%K -2.31%G +0.000%3.2%2026-07-20 19:05
LowVig.ag1.54I 64.94%NM 62.89%EV -2.81%E -1.82%K -5.20%G +0.000%2.61I 38.31%NM 37.11%EV -3.72%E -1.43%K -2.31%G +0.000%3.2%2026-07-20 19:05
theScore Bet1.53I 65.36%NM 62.95%EV -3.44%E -2.25%K -6.49%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 37.05%EV -4.09%E -1.57%K -2.56%G +0.000%3.8%2026-07-14 16:00
PointsBet (AU)1.53I 65.36%NM 62.95%EV -3.44%E -2.25%K -6.49%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 37.05%EV -4.09%E -1.57%K -2.56%G +0.000%3.8%2026-07-20 19:05
Ladbrokes (AU)1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -5.33%E -3.55%K -10.66%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -4.09%E -1.57%K -2.56%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-01 20:29
Neds1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -5.33%E -3.55%K -10.66%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -4.09%E -1.57%K -2.56%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-01 20:30
TAB1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -5.33%E -3.55%K -10.66%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -4.09%E -1.57%K -2.56%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-01 20:19
Betr (AU)1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -5.33%E -3.55%K -10.66%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -4.09%E -1.57%K -2.56%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-20 13:15
Coolbet1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -6.59%E -4.46%K -13.74%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -4.09%E -1.57%K -2.56%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-20 19:20
Bet Victor1.45I 68.97%NM 64.20%EV -8.49%E -5.85%K -18.86%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.80%EV -4.09%E -1.57%K -2.56%G +0.000%7.4%2026-07-20 19:20
betano_uk1.45I 68.97%NM 64.20%EV -8.49%E -5.85%K -18.86%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.80%EV -4.09%E -1.57%K -2.56%G +0.000%7.4%2026-07-20 19:20
BetUS1.54I 64.94%NM 62.71%EV -2.81%E -1.82%K -5.20%G +0.000%2.59I 38.61%NM 37.29%EV -4.46%E -1.72%K -2.81%G +0.000%3.5%2026-07-20 19:05
Bet Right1.51I 66.23%NM 63.08%EV -4.70%E -3.11%K -9.22%G +0.000%2.58I 38.76%NM 36.92%EV -4.83%E -1.87%K -3.06%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-26 01:55
ReBet1.51I 66.23%NM 62.99%EV -4.70%E -3.11%K -9.22%G +0.000%2.57I 38.91%NM 37.01%EV -5.20%E -2.02%K -3.31%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-20 19:05
GTbets1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV -2.81%E -1.82%K -5.20%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV -5.94%E -2.33%K -3.83%G +0.000%4.2%2026-07-25 21:40
Unibet (UK)1.52I 65.79%NM 62.65%EV -4.07%E -2.68%K -7.83%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.35%EV -5.94%E -2.33%K -3.83%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-14 15:59
Unibet1.52I 65.79%NM 62.65%EV -4.07%E -2.68%K -7.83%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.35%EV -5.94%E -2.33%K -3.83%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-14 16:00
PlayUp1.52I 65.79%NM 62.65%EV -4.07%E -2.68%K -7.83%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.35%EV -5.94%E -2.33%K -3.83%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-21 02:10
betPARX1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -4.70%E -3.11%K -9.22%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -5.94%E -2.33%K -3.83%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-14 15:59
LeoVegas (SE)1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -4.70%E -3.11%K -9.22%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -5.94%E -2.33%K -3.83%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-14 15:59
Unibet (SE)1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -4.70%E -3.11%K -9.22%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -5.94%E -2.33%K -3.83%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-14 15:59
Unibet (NL)1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -4.70%E -3.11%K -9.22%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -5.94%E -2.33%K -3.83%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-14 15:59
Svenska Spel1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -4.70%E -3.11%K -9.22%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -5.94%E -2.33%K -3.83%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-14 15:59
Bally Bet1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -4.70%E -3.11%K -9.22%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -5.94%E -2.33%K -3.83%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-14 15:59
ATG (SE)1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -4.70%E -3.11%K -9.22%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -5.94%E -2.33%K -3.83%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-14 15:59
Tipico (DE)1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -5.33%E -3.55%K -10.66%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -5.94%E -2.33%K -3.83%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-20 13:20
DraftKings1.54I 64.94%NM 62.25%EV -2.81%E -1.82%K -5.20%G +0.000%2.54I 39.37%NM 37.75%EV -6.30%E -2.48%K -4.09%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-20 19:04
MyBookie.ag1.50I 66.67%NM 62.78%EV -5.33%E -3.55%K -10.66%G +0.000%2.53I 39.53%NM 37.22%EV -6.67%E -2.64%K -4.36%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-20 19:05
Betsson1.46I 68.49%NM 63.32%EV -7.86%E -5.38%K -17.08%G +0.000%2.52I 39.68%NM 36.68%EV -7.04%E -2.79%K -4.63%G +0.000%8.2%2026-07-20 13:15
NordicBet1.46I 68.49%NM 63.32%EV -7.86%E -5.38%K -17.08%G +0.000%2.52I 39.68%NM 36.68%EV -7.04%E -2.79%K -4.63%G +0.000%8.2%2026-07-20 13:15
BetRivers1.51I 66.23%NM 62.34%EV -4.70%E -3.11%K -9.22%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.66%EV -7.78%E -3.11%K -5.19%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-14 15:59
Betclic (FR)1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -5.33%E -3.55%K -10.66%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -7.78%E -3.11%K -5.19%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-20 19:08
LeoVegas1.47I 68.03%NM 62.97%EV -7.23%E -4.92%K -15.37%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.03%EV -7.78%E -3.11%K -5.19%G +0.000%8.0%2026-07-12 22:14
Marathon Bet1.60I 62.50%NM 59.08%EV +0.979%E +0.612%K +1.63%G +0.016%2.31I 43.29%NM 40.92%EV -14.79%E -6.40%K -11.29%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-24 21:40
NetBet (FR)1.35I 74.07%NM 63.01%EV -14.80%E -10.96%K -42.28%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 36.99%EV -15.16%E -6.59%K -11.66%G +0.000%17.6%2026-07-22 13:29
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (2)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
Kalshi1.59I 62.89%NM 62.94%2.70I 37.04%NM 37.06%-0.1%2026-07-25 13:20
Smarkets1.48I 67.57%NM 62.44%2.46I 40.65%NM 37.56%8.2%2026-07-20 13:15
Arbitraje (6 combinaciones) +1.28%Marathon Bet 1.60 (63.3%) / FanDuel 2.76 (36.7%)Ver las 6 combinaciones
Los Angeles Rams (Local)San Francisco 49ers (Visitante)Margen
Marathon Bet 1.60 (63.3%)FanDuel 2.76 (36.7%)+1.28%
Marathon Bet 1.60 (63.2%)SportsBet 2.75 (36.8%)+1.15%
Marathon Bet 1.60 (63.2%)William Hill 2.75 (36.8%)+1.15%
Marathon Bet 1.60 (62.8%)Pinnacle 2.70 (37.2%)+0.465%
Marathon Bet 1.60 (62.8%)Bovada 2.70 (37.2%)+0.465%
Marathon Bet 1.60 (62.8%)Hard Rock Bet 2.70 (37.2%)+0.465%