The School of Odds

Los Angeles Chargers v Arizona Cardinals

2026-09-13 20:25 — NFL

Head to Head

43 sportsbooks (16 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: IQM

Los Angeles Chargers (Local)

Prediction 82.24%1.22fair odd
EV +0.332%
Edge +0.272%
Kelly +1.51%
Growth +0.005%

assuming max odds 1.22

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
78.67%82.12%82.19%84.27%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
1.031.161.161.22MINMEANMEDIANMAX
All estimators
Consensus probabilities
78.67%1.271Min
84.27%1.187Max
82.12%1.218Mean
82.19%1.217Median
82.24%1.216IQM
82.03%1.219Margin-weighted

Arizona Cardinals (Visit)

Prediction 17.76%5.63fair odd
EV +6.57%
Edge +1.09%
Kelly +1.31%
Growth +0.086%

assuming max odds 6.00

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
15.73%17.88%17.81%21.33%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
4.505.255.306.00MINMEANMEDIANMAX
All estimators
Consensus probabilities
15.73%6.357Min
21.33%4.689Max
17.88%5.591Mean
17.81%5.615Median
17.76%5.630IQM
17.97%5.564Margin-weighted

Sportsbook Odds (43 sportsbooks)

BookmakerLos Angeles Chargers (Local)Arizona Cardinals (Visit) ▼MarginUpdated
Unibet (UK)1.13I 88.50% NM 84.15%EV -7.07% E -6.26% K -54.38% G +0.000%6.00I 16.67% NM 15.85%EV +6.57% E +1.09% K +1.31% G +0.086%5.2%2026-07-06 12:30
ReBet1.13I 88.50% NM 84.15%EV -7.07% E -6.26% K -54.38% G +0.000%6.00I 16.67% NM 15.85%EV +6.57% E +1.09% K +1.31% G +0.086%5.2%2026-07-06 12:29
theScore Bet1.12I 89.29% NM 84.27%EV -7.89% E -7.05% K -65.77% G +0.000%6.00I 16.67% NM 15.73%EV +6.57% E +1.09% K +1.31% G +0.086%6.0%2026-06-30 09:59
William Hill1.12I 89.29% NM 84.27%EV -7.89% E -7.05% K -65.77% G +0.000%6.00I 16.67% NM 15.73%EV +6.57% E +1.09% K +1.31% G +0.086%6.0%2026-06-30 10:19
Tipico (DE)1.12I 89.29% NM 84.27%EV -7.89% E -7.05% K -65.77% G +0.000%6.00I 16.67% NM 15.73%EV +6.57% E +1.09% K +1.31% G +0.086%6.0%2026-07-03 15:40
MyBookie.ag1.12I 89.29% NM 83.82%EV -7.89% E -7.05% K -65.77% G +0.000%5.80I 17.24% NM 16.18%EV +3.01% E +0.519% K +0.628% G +0.019%6.5%2026-07-06 12:34
BetMGM1.15I 86.96% NM 83.33%EV -5.43% E -4.72% K -36.17% G +0.000%5.75I 17.39% NM 16.67%EV +2.13% E +0.370% K +0.447% G +0.010%4.3%2026-05-15 01:14
Coral1.14I 87.72% NM 83.45%EV -6.25% E -5.48% K -44.62% G +0.000%5.75I 17.39% NM 16.55%EV +2.13% E +0.370% K +0.447% G +0.010%5.1%2026-05-15 01:15
Ladbrokes (UK)1.14I 87.72% NM 83.45%EV -6.25% E -5.48% K -44.62% G +0.000%5.75I 17.39% NM 16.55%EV +2.13% E +0.370% K +0.447% G +0.010%5.1%2026-05-15 01:14
GTbets1.17I 85.47% NM 82.46%EV -3.78% E -3.23% K -22.24% G +0.000%5.50I 18.18% NM 17.54%EV -2.32% E -0.421% K -0.514% G +0.000%3.7%2026-07-07 14:20
BetUS1.17I 85.47% NM 82.46%EV -3.78% E -3.23% K -22.24% G +0.000%5.50I 18.18% NM 17.54%EV -2.32% E -0.421% K -0.514% G +0.000%3.7%2026-06-01 17:59
Fanatics1.16I 86.21% NM 82.58%EV -4.60% E -3.97% K -28.77% G +0.000%5.50I 18.18% NM 17.42%EV -2.32% E -0.421% K -0.514% G +0.000%4.4%2026-07-07 14:19
Bovada1.15I 86.96% NM 82.71%EV -5.43% E -4.72% K -36.17% G +0.000%5.50I 18.18% NM 17.29%EV -2.32% E -0.421% K -0.514% G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-07 14:19
Betclic (FR)1.12I 89.29% NM 83.08%EV -7.89% E -7.05% K -65.77% G +0.000%5.50I 18.18% NM 16.92%EV -2.32% E -0.421% K -0.514% G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-06 12:35
LowVig.ag1.17I 85.47% NM 82.35%EV -3.78% E -3.23% K -22.24% G +0.000%5.46I 18.32% NM 17.65%EV -3.03% E -0.554% K -0.678% G +0.000%3.8%2026-06-01 18:00
BetOnline.ag1.17I 85.47% NM 82.35%EV -3.78% E -3.23% K -22.24% G +0.000%5.46I 18.32% NM 17.65%EV -3.03% E -0.554% K -0.678% G +0.000%3.8%2026-06-01 17:59
DraftKings1.17I 85.47% NM 82.19%EV -3.78% E -3.23% K -22.24% G +0.000%5.40I 18.52% NM 17.81%EV -4.09% E -0.758% K -0.930% G +0.000%4.0%2026-07-07 14:19
FanDuel1.17I 85.47% NM 82.19%EV -3.78% E -3.23% K -22.24% G +0.000%5.40I 18.52% NM 17.81%EV -4.09% E -0.758% K -0.930% G +0.000%4.0%2026-06-29 22:50
Neds1.16I 86.21% NM 82.32%EV -4.60% E -3.97% K -28.77% G +0.000%5.40I 18.52% NM 17.68%EV -4.09% E -0.758% K -0.930% G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-15 01:14
Ladbrokes (AU)1.16I 86.21% NM 82.32%EV -4.60% E -3.97% K -28.77% G +0.000%5.40I 18.52% NM 17.68%EV -4.09% E -0.758% K -0.930% G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-15 01:14
SportsBet1.16I 86.21% NM 82.04%EV -4.60% E -3.97% K -28.77% G +0.000%5.30I 18.87% NM 17.96%EV -5.87% E -1.11% K -1.36% G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-29 22:50
Coolbet1.15I 86.96% NM 82.17%EV -5.43% E -4.72% K -36.17% G +0.000%5.30I 18.87% NM 17.83%EV -5.87% E -1.11% K -1.36% G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-06 11:30
Caesars1.17I 85.47% NM 81.78%EV -3.78% E -3.23% K -22.24% G +0.000%5.25I 19.05% NM 18.22%EV -6.76% E -1.29% K -1.59% G +0.000%4.5%2026-07-07 14:29
Hard Rock Bet1.15I 86.96% NM 82.03%EV -5.43% E -4.72% K -36.17% G +0.000%5.25I 19.05% NM 17.97%EV -6.76% E -1.29% K -1.59% G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-08 10:05
Marathon Bet1.16I 86.21% NM 81.47%EV -4.60% E -3.97% K -28.77% G +0.000%5.10I 19.61% NM 18.53%EV -9.42% E -1.85% K -2.30% G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-19 19:40
Paddy Power1.17I 85.47% NM 81.04%EV -3.78% E -3.23% K -22.24% G +0.000%5.00I 20.00% NM 18.96%EV -11.20% E -2.24% K -2.80% G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-14 23:48
Bet Right1.17I 85.47% NM 81.04%EV -3.78% E -3.23% K -22.24% G +0.000%5.00I 20.00% NM 18.96%EV -11.20% E -2.24% K -2.80% G +0.000%5.5%2026-07-06 09:34
NordicBet1.13I 88.50% NM 81.57%EV -7.07% E -6.26% K -54.38% G +0.000%5.00I 20.00% NM 18.43%EV -11.20% E -2.24% K -2.80% G +0.000%8.5%2026-07-05 20:04
Betsson1.13I 88.50% NM 81.57%EV -7.07% E -6.26% K -54.38% G +0.000%5.00I 20.00% NM 18.43%EV -11.20% E -2.24% K -2.80% G +0.000%8.5%2026-07-05 20:05
Pinnacle1.20I 83.33% NM 80.46%EV -1.31% E -1.09% K -6.57% G +0.000%4.94I 20.24% NM 19.54%EV -12.26% E -2.48% K -3.11% G +0.000%3.6%2026-06-27 01:29
TAB1.18I 84.75% NM 80.43%EV -2.96% E -2.51% K -16.43% G +0.000%4.85I 20.62% NM 19.57%EV -13.86% E -2.86% K -3.60% G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-15 05:40
LeoVegas1.14I 87.72% NM 80.97%EV -6.25% E -5.48% K -44.62% G +0.000%4.85I 20.62% NM 19.03%EV -13.86% E -2.86% K -3.60% G +0.000%8.3%2026-07-08 20:44
NetBet (FR)1.03I 97.09% NM 82.33%EV -15.29% E -14.85% K -509.79% G +0.000%4.80I 20.83% NM 17.67%EV -14.75% E -3.07% K -3.88% G +0.000%17.9%2026-07-06 11:14
LeoVegas (SE)1.20I 83.33% NM 79.83%EV -1.31% E -1.09% K -6.57% G +0.000%4.75I 21.05% NM 20.17%EV -15.64% E -3.29% K -4.17% G +0.000%4.4%2026-06-10 11:10
Unibet (NL)1.20I 83.33% NM 79.83%EV -1.31% E -1.09% K -6.57% G +0.000%4.75I 21.05% NM 20.17%EV -15.64% E -3.29% K -4.17% G +0.000%4.4%2026-06-10 11:10
Unibet1.20I 83.33% NM 79.83%EV -1.31% E -1.09% K -6.57% G +0.000%4.75I 21.05% NM 20.17%EV -15.64% E -3.29% K -4.17% G +0.000%4.4%2026-06-10 11:10
Unibet (SE)1.20I 83.33% NM 79.83%EV -1.31% E -1.09% K -6.57% G +0.000%4.75I 21.05% NM 20.17%EV -15.64% E -3.29% K -4.17% G +0.000%4.4%2026-06-10 11:09
Svenska Spel1.20I 83.33% NM 79.83%EV -1.31% E -1.09% K -6.57% G +0.000%4.75I 21.05% NM 20.17%EV -15.64% E -3.29% K -4.17% G +0.000%4.4%2026-06-10 11:10
Bally Bet1.20I 83.33% NM 79.83%EV -1.31% E -1.09% K -6.57% G +0.000%4.75I 21.05% NM 20.17%EV -15.64% E -3.29% K -4.17% G +0.000%4.4%2026-06-10 11:10
ATG (SE)1.20I 83.33% NM 79.83%EV -1.31% E -1.09% K -6.57% G +0.000%4.75I 21.05% NM 20.17%EV -15.64% E -3.29% K -4.17% G +0.000%4.4%2026-06-10 11:10
betPARX1.20I 83.33% NM 79.83%EV -1.31% E -1.09% K -6.57% G +0.000%4.75I 21.05% NM 20.17%EV -15.64% E -3.29% K -4.17% G +0.000%4.4%2026-06-10 11:04
BetRivers1.20I 83.33% NM 79.31%EV -1.31% E -1.09% K -6.57% G +0.000%4.60I 21.74% NM 20.69%EV -18.30% E -3.98% K -5.08% G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-10 11:10
PointsBet (AU)1.22I 81.97% NM 78.67%EV +0.332% E +0.272% K +1.51% G +0.005%4.50I 22.22% NM 21.33%EV -20.08% E -4.46% K -5.74% G +0.000%4.2%2026-07-07 14:24
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Exchanges (1)

BookmakerLos Angeles Chargers (Local)Arizona Cardinals (Visit)Margin ▲Updated
Smarkets1.11I 90.09% NM 82.95%5.40I 18.52% NM 17.05%8.6%2026-07-06 12:30
Arbitrage (9 combinations) +1.39%PointsBet (AU) 1.22 (83.1%) / theScore Bet 6.00 (16.9%)Show all 9 combinations
Los Angeles Chargers (Local)Arizona Cardinals (Visit)Margin
PointsBet (AU) 1.22 (83.1%)Unibet (UK) 6.00 (16.9%)+1.39%
PointsBet (AU) 1.22 (83.1%)ReBet 6.00 (16.9%)+1.39%
PointsBet (AU) 1.22 (83.1%)theScore Bet 6.00 (16.9%)+1.39%
PointsBet (AU) 1.22 (83.1%)William Hill 6.00 (16.9%)+1.39%
PointsBet (AU) 1.22 (83.1%)Tipico (DE) 6.00 (16.9%)+1.39%
PointsBet (AU) 1.22 (82.6%)MyBookie.ag 5.80 (17.4%)+0.798%
PointsBet (AU) 1.22 (82.5%)BetMGM 5.75 (17.5%)+0.646%
PointsBet (AU) 1.22 (82.5%)Coral 5.75 (17.5%)+0.646%
PointsBet (AU) 1.22 (82.5%)Ladbrokes (UK) 5.75 (17.5%)+0.646%