Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Los Angeles Chargers v Arizona Cardinals

2026-09-13 20:25 UTC — NFL

Head to Head

43 sportsbooks (16 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Los Angeles Chargers (Local)

Prediction 81.58%1.23fair odd
EV +1.16%
Edge +0.934%
Kelly +4.83%
Growth +0.056%

assuming max odds 1.24

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
77.62%81.42%81.60%82.83%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.041.171.171.2496.15%85.79%85.47%80.65%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Arizona Cardinals (Visit)

Prediction 18.42%5.43fair odd
EV +1.31%
Edge +0.239%
Kelly +0.292%
Growth +0.004%

assuming max odds 5.50

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
17.17%18.58%18.40%22.38%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.305.145.255.5023.26%19.45%19.05%18.18%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Los Angeles Chargers (Local): 81.58%; Arizona Cardinals (Visit): 18.42%. For Arizona Cardinals (Visit), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 5.43. 5 bookmakers offer odds above that level; the best available odds are 5.50, producing a positive expected value of +1.31%.

Sportsbook Odds (43 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 77.62%EV +1.16%E +0.934%K +4.83%G +0.056%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.38%EV -20.79%E -4.84%K -6.30%G +0.000%3.9%2026-08-16 20:39
Pinnacle🎯1.19I 84.03%NM 80.78%EV -2.92%E -2.45%K -15.37%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.22%EV -7.90%E -1.58%K -1.97%G +0.000%4.0%2026-08-16 03:19
PlayUp🎯1.19I 84.03%NM 80.30%EV -2.92%E -2.45%K -15.37%G +0.000%4.85I 20.62%NM 19.70%EV -10.66%E -2.20%K -2.77%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-18 18:15
Bovada🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 80.59%EV -3.74%E -3.17%K -20.76%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.41%EV -9.74%E -1.99%K -2.50%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-18 07:04
Bet Right🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 80.59%EV -3.74%E -3.17%K -20.76%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.41%EV -9.74%E -1.99%K -2.50%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-18 17:00
TAB🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 80.43%EV -3.74%E -3.17%K -20.76%G +0.000%4.85I 20.62%NM 19.57%EV -10.66%E -2.20%K -2.77%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-15 05:40
FanDuel🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 82.46%EV -4.55%E -3.89%K -26.78%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.54%EV +1.31%E +0.239%K +0.292%G +0.004%3.7%2026-08-07 19:05
BetMGM🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 82.46%EV -4.55%E -3.89%K -26.78%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.54%EV +1.31%E +0.239%K +0.292%G +0.004%3.7%2026-07-31 17:29
BetUS🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 82.33%EV -4.55%E -3.89%K -26.78%G +0.000%5.45I 18.35%NM 17.67%EV +0.393%E +0.072%K +0.088%G +0.000%3.8%2026-07-30 16:55
Everygame🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 82.19%EV -4.55%E -3.89%K -26.78%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.81%EV -0.528%E -0.098%K -0.120%G +0.000%4.0%2026-08-17 11:04
LowVig.ag🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 82.11%EV -4.55%E -3.89%K -26.78%G +0.000%5.37I 18.62%NM 17.89%EV -1.08%E -0.201%K -0.247%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-17 11:45
BetOnline.ag🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 82.11%EV -4.55%E -3.89%K -26.78%G +0.000%5.37I 18.62%NM 17.89%EV -1.08%E -0.201%K -0.247%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-17 11:44
DraftKings🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 81.78%EV -4.55%E -3.89%K -26.78%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.22%EV -3.29%E -0.627%K -0.774%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-18 18:14
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 81.78%EV -4.55%E -3.89%K -26.78%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.22%EV -3.29%E -0.627%K -0.774%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-18 16:59
Unibet (NL)🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 81.78%EV -4.55%E -3.89%K -26.78%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.22%EV -3.29%E -0.627%K -0.774%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-18 17:00
Unibet🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 81.78%EV -4.55%E -3.89%K -26.78%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.22%EV -3.29%E -0.627%K -0.774%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-18 17:00
Unibet (SE)🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 81.78%EV -4.55%E -3.89%K -26.78%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.22%EV -3.29%E -0.627%K -0.774%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-18 17:00
Svenska Spel🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 81.78%EV -4.55%E -3.89%K -26.78%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.22%EV -3.29%E -0.627%K -0.774%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-18 17:00
Bally Bet🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 81.78%EV -4.55%E -3.89%K -26.78%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.22%EV -3.29%E -0.627%K -0.774%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-18 16:59
ATG (SE)🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 81.78%EV -4.55%E -3.89%K -26.78%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.22%EV -3.29%E -0.627%K -0.774%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-18 17:00
betPARX🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 81.78%EV -4.55%E -3.89%K -26.78%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.22%EV -3.29%E -0.627%K -0.774%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-18 16:59
Caesars🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 81.78%EV -4.55%E -3.89%K -26.78%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.22%EV -3.29%E -0.627%K -0.774%G +0.000%4.5%2026-07-20 13:20
GTbets🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 81.78%EV -4.55%E -3.89%K -26.78%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.22%EV -3.29%E -0.627%K -0.774%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-18 18:15
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 81.78%EV -4.55%E -3.89%K -26.78%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.22%EV -3.29%E -0.627%K -0.774%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-07 00:45
Betway🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 81.78%EV -4.55%E -3.89%K -26.78%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.22%EV -3.29%E -0.627%K -0.774%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-12 09:50
Neds🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 81.63%EV -4.55%E -3.89%K -26.78%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.37%EV -4.21%E -0.810%K -1.00%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-08 22:15
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 81.63%EV -4.55%E -3.89%K -26.78%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.37%EV -4.21%E -0.810%K -1.00%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-08 22:14
Unibet (UK)🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 81.63%EV -4.55%E -3.89%K -26.78%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.37%EV -4.21%E -0.810%K -1.00%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-11 19:54
ReBet🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 81.63%EV -4.55%E -3.89%K -26.78%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.37%EV -4.21%E -0.810%K -1.00%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-11 19:54
BetRivers🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -4.55%E -3.89%K -26.78%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -7.90%E -1.58%K -1.97%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-18 17:00
Paddy Power🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -4.55%E -3.89%K -26.78%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -7.90%E -1.58%K -1.97%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-14 23:48
Betr (AU)🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 81.90%EV -5.37%E -4.63%K -33.55%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.10%EV -3.29%E -0.627%K -0.774%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-18 17:49
Marathon Bet🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 81.47%EV -5.37%E -4.63%K -33.55%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.53%EV -6.05%E -1.19%K -1.48%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-19 19:40
Coolbet🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 81.47%EV -5.37%E -4.63%K -33.55%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.53%EV -6.05%E -1.19%K -1.48%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-16 12:59
Tipico (DE)🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 81.17%EV -5.37%E -4.63%K -33.55%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.83%EV -7.90%E -1.58%K -1.97%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-10 05:30
MyBookie.ag🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 81.17%EV -5.37%E -4.63%K -33.55%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.83%EV -7.90%E -1.58%K -1.97%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-11 19:59
Betclic (FR)🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 80.86%EV -5.37%E -4.63%K -33.55%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.14%EV -9.74%E -1.99%K -2.50%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-11 19:54
LeoVegas🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 80.03%EV -5.37%E -4.63%K -33.55%G +0.000%4.65I 21.51%NM 19.97%EV -14.34%E -3.08%K -3.93%G +0.000%7.7%2026-08-18 17:49
SportsBet🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -6.18%E -5.38%K -41.23%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV +1.31%E +0.239%K +0.292%G +0.004%5.1%2026-08-07 19:10
theScore Bet🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -7.00%E -6.14%K -50.00%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV +1.31%E +0.239%K +0.292%G +0.004%5.9%2026-08-14 19:24
NordicBet🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 81.57%EV -7.82%E -6.92%K -60.12%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.43%EV -7.90%E -1.58%K -1.97%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-16 13:00
Betsson🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 81.57%EV -7.82%E -6.92%K -60.12%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.43%EV -7.90%E -1.58%K -1.97%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-16 12:57
NetBet (FR)🎯1.04I 96.15%NM 81.56%EV -15.16%E -14.57%K -378.94%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 18.44%EV -15.26%E -3.32%K -4.24%G +0.000%17.9%2026-08-18 17:49
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (7)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.20I 83.33%NM 81.54%5.30I 18.87%NM 18.46%2.2%2026-08-18 15:25
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.20I 83.33%NM 81.54%5.30I 18.87%NM 18.46%2.2%2026-08-18 15:20
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.20I 83.33%NM 81.54%5.30I 18.87%NM 18.46%2.2%2026-08-18 15:20
Kalshi1.20I 83.33%NM 81.42%5.26I 19.01%NM 18.58%2.3%2026-08-18 04:55
Smarkets1.19I 84.03%NM 81.08%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.92%3.6%2026-08-18 19:10
Polymarket1.19I 84.03%NM 80.78%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.22%4.0%2026-08-17 02:00
Novig1.18I 84.75%NM 81.30%5.13I 19.49%NM 18.70%4.2%2026-08-18 19:10
Arbitrage (26 combinations) +1.19%PointsBet (AU) 1.24 (81.6%) / SportsBet 5.50 (18.4%)Show all 26 combinations
Los Angeles Chargers (Local)Arizona Cardinals (Visit)Margin
PointsBet (AU)🎯 1.24 (81.6%)FanDuel🎯 5.50 (18.4%)+1.19%
PointsBet (AU)🎯 1.24 (81.6%)BetMGM🎯 5.50 (18.4%)+1.19%
PointsBet (AU)🎯 1.24 (81.6%)SportsBet🎯 5.50 (18.4%)+1.19%
PointsBet (AU)🎯 1.24 (81.6%)theScore Bet🎯 5.50 (18.4%)+1.19%
PointsBet (AU)🎯 1.24 (81.5%)BetUS🎯 5.45 (18.5%)+1.02%
PointsBet (AU)🎯 1.24 (81.3%)Everygame🎯 5.40 (18.7%)+0.843%
PointsBet (AU)🎯 1.24 (81.2%)LowVig.ag🎯 5.37 (18.8%)+0.738%
PointsBet (AU)🎯 1.24 (81.2%)BetOnline.ag🎯 5.37 (18.8%)+0.738%
PointsBet (AU)🎯 1.24 (80.9%)DraftKings🎯 5.25 (19.1%)+0.308%
PointsBet (AU)🎯 1.24 (80.9%)LeoVegas (SE)🎯 5.25 (19.1%)+0.308%
PointsBet (AU)🎯 1.24 (80.9%)Unibet (NL)🎯 5.25 (19.1%)+0.308%
PointsBet (AU)🎯 1.24 (80.9%)Unibet🎯 5.25 (19.1%)+0.308%
PointsBet (AU)🎯 1.24 (80.9%)Unibet (SE)🎯 5.25 (19.1%)+0.308%
PointsBet (AU)🎯 1.24 (80.9%)Svenska Spel🎯 5.25 (19.1%)+0.308%
PointsBet (AU)🎯 1.24 (80.9%)Bally Bet🎯 5.25 (19.1%)+0.308%
PointsBet (AU)🎯 1.24 (80.9%)ATG (SE)🎯 5.25 (19.1%)+0.308%
PointsBet (AU)🎯 1.24 (80.9%)betPARX🎯 5.25 (19.1%)+0.308%
PointsBet (AU)🎯 1.24 (80.9%)Caesars🎯 5.25 (19.1%)+0.308%
PointsBet (AU)🎯 1.24 (80.9%)GTbets🎯 5.25 (19.1%)+0.308%
PointsBet (AU)🎯 1.24 (80.9%)Hard Rock Bet🎯 5.25 (19.1%)+0.308%
PointsBet (AU)🎯 1.24 (80.9%)Betway🎯 5.25 (19.1%)+0.308%
PointsBet (AU)🎯 1.24 (80.9%)Betr (AU)🎯 5.25 (19.1%)+0.308%
PointsBet (AU)🎯 1.24 (80.7%)Neds🎯 5.20 (19.3%)+0.124%
PointsBet (AU)🎯 1.24 (80.7%)Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 5.20 (19.3%)+0.124%
PointsBet (AU)🎯 1.24 (80.7%)Unibet (UK)🎯 5.20 (19.3%)+0.124%
PointsBet (AU)🎯 1.24 (80.7%)ReBet🎯 5.20 (19.3%)+0.124%

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