Modelo predeterminadoMedia intercuartílica (Lista Curada)

Los Angeles Chargers v Arizona Cardinals

Inicio: 2026-09-13 20:25 UTC

Final: Los Angeles Chargers 14–26 Arizona Cardinals

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

59 corredores (21 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada)

Los Angeles Chargers (Local)

Predicción 79.50%1.26momio equitativo
EV -0.629%
Ventaja -0.503%
Kelly -2.52%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.25

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
76.15%79.31%79.53%81.36%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.091.191.201.2591.74%83.70%83.33%80.00%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Arizona Cardinals (Visitante)

Predicción 20.50%4.88momio equitativo
EV +6.62%
Ventaja +1.27%
Kelly +1.58%
Crecimiento +0.104%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 5.20

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
18.64%20.69%20.47%23.85%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
3.964.644.605.2025.25%21.54%21.74%19.23%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Con la última cotización anterior al inicio, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estimó estas probabilidades para Resultado del partido: Los Angeles Chargers (Local): 79.50%; Arizona Cardinals (Visitante): 20.50%. Para Arizona Cardinals (Visitante), esa estimación equivalía a momios decimales justos de 4.88. 13 corredores ofrecieron momios de cierre superiores a ese nivel; los mejores fueron 5.20, correspondientes a un valor esperado positivo de +6.62%.

Momios de las casas de apuestas (59 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitante ▼MargenActualizado
Coolbet🎯1.21I 82.64%NM 81.12%EV -3.81%E -3.15%K -18.14%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.88%EV +6.62%E +1.27%K +1.58%G +0.104%1.9%2026-09-13 20:25
LowVig.ag🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 81.36%EV -6.19%E -5.25%K -34.41%G +0.000%5.15I 19.42%NM 18.64%EV +5.59%E +1.09%K +1.35%G +0.075%4.2%2026-09-13 20:25
BetOnline.ag🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 81.36%EV -6.19%E -5.25%K -34.41%G +0.000%5.15I 19.42%NM 18.64%EV +5.59%E +1.09%K +1.35%G +0.075%4.2%2026-09-13 20:25
BetAnything🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 81.21%EV -6.19%E -5.25%K -34.41%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.79%EV +4.57%E +0.895%K +1.11%G +0.051%4.4%2026-09-13 20:25
Svenska Spel🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 80.65%EV -4.60%E -3.84%K -23.02%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.35%EV +2.52%E +0.503%K +0.629%G +0.016%3.3%2026-09-13 20:25
ReBet🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 80.65%EV -4.60%E -3.84%K -23.02%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.35%EV +2.52%E +0.503%K +0.629%G +0.016%3.3%2026-09-13 19:31
BetUS🎯1.19I 84.03%NM 80.78%EV -5.40%E -4.54%K -28.41%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.22%EV +2.52%E +0.503%K +0.629%G +0.016%4.0%2026-09-13 20:25
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 80.91%EV -6.19%E -5.25%K -34.41%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.09%EV +2.52%E +0.503%K +0.629%G +0.016%4.7%2026-09-13 17:05
Tipico (DE)🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 81.17%EV -7.78%E -6.71%K -48.65%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.83%EV +2.52%E +0.503%K +0.629%G +0.016%6.2%2026-09-13 13:50
Unibet (NL)🎯1.21I 82.64%NM 80.20%EV -3.81%E -3.15%K -18.14%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.80%EV +0.465%E +0.095%K +0.119%G +0.001%3.1%2026-09-13 12:40
Unibet (SE)🎯1.21I 82.64%NM 80.20%EV -3.81%E -3.15%K -18.14%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.80%EV +0.465%E +0.095%K +0.119%G +0.001%3.1%2026-09-13 12:40
ATG (SE)🎯1.21I 82.64%NM 80.20%EV -3.81%E -3.15%K -18.14%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.80%EV +0.465%E +0.095%K +0.119%G +0.001%3.1%2026-09-13 12:40
SportsBet🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 80.59%EV -6.19%E -5.25%K -34.41%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.41%EV +0.465%E +0.095%K +0.119%G +0.001%5.2%2026-09-13 12:55
NordicBet🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 80.40%EV -6.19%E -5.25%K -34.41%G +0.000%4.84I 20.66%NM 19.60%EV -0.765%E -0.158%K -0.199%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-13 20:25
Betsson🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 80.40%EV -6.19%E -5.25%K -34.41%G +0.000%4.84I 20.66%NM 19.60%EV -0.765%E -0.158%K -0.199%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-13 20:25
theScore Bet🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 80.27%EV -6.19%E -5.25%K -34.41%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.73%EV -1.59%E -0.330%K -0.417%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-13 20:25
betfred_uk🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 80.27%EV -6.19%E -5.25%K -34.41%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.73%EV -1.59%E -0.330%K -0.417%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-13 20:15
BetMGM🎯1.21I 82.64%NM 79.70%EV -3.81%E -3.15%K -18.14%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 20.30%EV -2.61%E -0.550%K -0.696%G +0.000%3.7%2026-09-13 19:39
Caesars🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 79.83%EV -4.60%E -3.84%K -23.02%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 20.17%EV -2.61%E -0.550%K -0.696%G +0.000%4.4%2026-09-13 19:31
Everygame🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 79.83%EV -4.60%E -3.84%K -23.02%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 20.17%EV -2.61%E -0.550%K -0.696%G +0.000%4.4%2026-09-08 19:03
Betr (AU)🎯1.19I 84.03%NM 79.97%EV -5.40%E -4.54%K -28.41%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 20.03%EV -2.61%E -0.550%K -0.696%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-13 20:24
Pinnacle🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 79.53%EV -3.01%E -2.47%K -13.70%G +0.000%4.74I 21.10%NM 20.47%EV -2.82%E -0.594%K -0.753%G +0.000%3.1%2026-09-13 19:00
DraftKings🎯1.21I 82.64%NM 79.53%EV -3.81%E -3.15%K -18.14%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.47%EV -3.64%E -0.774%K -0.983%G +0.000%3.9%2026-09-13 20:25
LeoVegas🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 79.66%EV -4.60%E -3.84%K -23.02%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.34%EV -3.64%E -0.774%K -0.983%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-13 13:45
Fanatics🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 79.66%EV -4.60%E -3.84%K -23.02%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.34%EV -3.64%E -0.774%K -0.983%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-13 19:40
GTbets🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 79.66%EV -4.60%E -3.84%K -23.02%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.34%EV -3.64%E -0.774%K -0.983%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-13 20:25
MyBookie.ag🎯1.19I 84.03%NM 79.80%EV -5.40%E -4.54%K -28.41%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.20%EV -3.64%E -0.774%K -0.983%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-13 13:44
Fliff🎯1.19I 84.03%NM 79.80%EV -5.40%E -4.54%K -28.41%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.20%EV -3.64%E -0.774%K -0.983%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-13 20:20
FanDuel🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 79.93%EV -6.19%E -5.25%K -34.41%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.07%EV -3.64%E -0.774%K -0.983%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-13 20:25
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.21I 82.64%NM 79.17%EV -3.81%E -3.15%K -18.14%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.83%EV -5.69%E -1.24%K -1.58%G +0.000%4.4%2026-09-13 12:40
Unibet🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -4.60%E -3.84%K -23.02%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV -5.69%E -1.24%K -1.58%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-13 16:15
Bally Bet🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -4.60%E -3.84%K -23.02%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV -5.69%E -1.24%K -1.58%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-13 16:15
betPARX🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -4.60%E -3.84%K -23.02%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV -5.69%E -1.24%K -1.58%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-13 16:15
Bovada🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -4.60%E -3.84%K -23.02%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV -5.69%E -1.24%K -1.58%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-13 19:06
Bet Right🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -4.60%E -3.84%K -23.02%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV -5.69%E -1.24%K -1.58%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-13 02:35
BetRivers🎯1.19I 84.03%NM 79.45%EV -5.40%E -4.54%K -28.41%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.55%EV -5.69%E -1.24%K -1.58%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-13 20:25
Codere (IT)🎯1.19I 84.03%NM 79.45%EV -5.40%E -4.54%K -28.41%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.55%EV -5.69%E -1.24%K -1.58%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-13 13:45
Bet Victor🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 79.58%EV -6.19%E -5.25%K -34.41%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.42%EV -5.69%E -1.24%K -1.58%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-13 18:29
betano_uk🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 79.72%EV -6.99%E -5.97%K -41.11%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.28%EV -5.69%E -1.24%K -1.58%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-13 20:24
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 78.67%EV -3.01%E -2.47%K -13.70%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.33%EV -7.74%E -1.72%K -2.21%G +0.000%4.2%2026-09-13 19:35
Paddy Power🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -4.60%E -3.84%K -23.02%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -7.74%E -1.72%K -2.21%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-12 14:20
Neds🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -4.60%E -3.84%K -23.02%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -7.74%E -1.72%K -2.21%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-13 20:25
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -4.60%E -3.84%K -23.02%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -7.74%E -1.72%K -2.21%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-13 20:25
TAB🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -4.60%E -3.84%K -23.02%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -7.74%E -1.72%K -2.21%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-13 19:04
William Hill🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -4.60%E -3.84%K -23.02%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -7.74%E -1.72%K -2.21%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-08 19:40
888sport (SE)🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -4.60%E -3.84%K -23.02%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -7.74%E -1.72%K -2.21%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-08 19:40
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -4.60%E -3.84%K -23.02%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -7.74%E -1.72%K -2.21%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-13 20:25
Dabble (AU)🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 78.29%EV -3.01%E -2.47%K -13.70%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.71%EV -9.79%E -2.22%K -2.88%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-13 13:20
PlayUp🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 78.57%EV -4.60%E -3.84%K -23.02%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.43%EV -9.79%E -2.22%K -2.88%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-13 20:24
NetBet (FR)🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 79.14%EV -7.78%E -6.71%K -48.65%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.86%EV -9.79%E -2.22%K -2.88%G +0.000%8.9%2026-09-13 19:35
Coral🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 78.58%EV -6.19%E -5.25%K -34.41%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.42%EV -11.22%E -2.59%K -3.37%G +0.000%7.8%2026-09-13 19:35
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 78.58%EV -6.19%E -5.25%K -34.41%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.42%EV -11.22%E -2.59%K -3.37%G +0.000%7.8%2026-09-13 19:40
Betway🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 78.18%EV -4.60%E -3.84%K -23.02%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.82%EV -11.84%E -2.75%K -3.59%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-13 20:25
Betclic (FR)🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 78.61%EV -6.99%E -5.97%K -41.11%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.39%EV -11.84%E -2.75%K -3.59%G +0.000%8.7%2026-09-13 20:00
888sport🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -3.01%E -2.47%K -13.70%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -13.89%E -3.31%K -4.34%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-13 20:24
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -3.01%E -2.47%K -13.70%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -13.89%E -3.31%K -4.34%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-13 20:24
Unibet (UK)🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -0.629%E -0.503%K -2.52%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -17.99%E -4.50%K -6.00%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-13 20:25
PMU (FR)🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 78.59%EV -13.35%E -12.25%K -148.31%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 21.41%EV -17.99%E -4.50%K -6.00%G +0.000%16.7%2026-09-13 16:15
Marathon Bet🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 76.15%EV -1.42%E -1.15%K -5.93%G +0.000%3.96I 25.25%NM 23.85%EV -18.81%E -4.75%K -6.35%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-13 18:05
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (9)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
BetOpenly◎1.23I 81.30%NM 81.11%5.28I 18.94%NM 18.89%0.2%2026-09-13 20:24
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.22I 81.97%NM 81.57%5.40I 18.52%NM 18.43%0.5%2026-09-13 20:25
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.22I 81.97%NM 81.29%5.30I 18.87%NM 18.71%0.8%2026-09-13 20:20
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.22I 81.97%NM 81.29%5.30I 18.87%NM 18.71%0.8%2026-09-13 20:20
Matchbook◎1.22I 81.97%NM 81.29%5.30I 18.87%NM 18.71%0.8%2026-09-13 20:25
Polymarket◎1.22I 81.97%NM 81.17%5.26I 19.01%NM 18.83%1.0%2026-09-13 20:15
Novig◎1.22I 81.97%NM 81.17%5.26I 19.01%NM 18.83%1.0%2026-09-13 20:25
ProphetX◎1.22I 81.97%NM 80.70%5.10I 19.61%NM 19.30%1.6%2026-09-13 20:25
Smarkets◎1.20I 83.33%NM 81.82%5.40I 18.52%NM 18.18%1.9%2026-09-13 20:25