La escuela de los momios

Los Angeles Chargers v Arizona Cardinals

2026-09-13 20:25 UTC — NFL

Resultado del partido

45 corredores (16 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Los Angeles Chargers (Local)

Predicción 82.43%1.21momio equitativo
EV -1.08%
Ventaja -0.899%
Kelly -5.40%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.20

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
79.31%82.36%82.47%84.27%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.031.161.161.2097.09%86.07%86.21%83.33%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Arizona Cardinals (Visitante)

Predicción 17.57%5.69momio equitativo
EV +5.40%
Ventaja +0.899%
Kelly +1.08%
Crecimiento +0.058%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 6.00

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
15.73%17.64%17.53%20.69%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
4.605.235.256.0021.74%19.13%19.05%16.67%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (45 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitante ▼MargenActualizado
theScore Bet1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -7.67%E -6.85%K -63.95%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV +5.40%E +0.899%K +1.08%G +0.058%6.0%2026-07-22 23:09
William Hill1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -7.67%E -6.85%K -63.95%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV +5.40%E +0.899%K +1.08%G +0.058%6.0%2026-07-22 23:39
Tipico (DE)1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -7.67%E -6.85%K -63.95%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV +5.40%E +0.899%K +1.08%G +0.058%6.0%2026-07-22 23:09
ReBet1.14I 87.72%NM 83.81%EV -6.03%E -5.29%K -43.04%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 16.19%EV +3.64%E +0.617%K +0.743%G +0.027%4.7%2026-07-23 00:09
Unibet (UK)1.14I 87.72%NM 83.57%EV -6.03%E -5.29%K -43.04%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.43%EV +1.88%E +0.325%K +0.392%G +0.007%5.0%2026-07-23 00:09
BetMGM1.15I 86.96%NM 83.33%EV -5.20%E -4.52%K -34.67%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.67%EV +1.01%E +0.175%K +0.212%G +0.002%4.3%2026-05-15 01:14
Fanatics1.14I 87.72%NM 83.45%EV -6.03%E -5.29%K -43.04%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.55%EV +1.01%E +0.175%K +0.212%G +0.002%5.1%2026-07-23 06:50
Coral1.14I 87.72%NM 83.45%EV -6.03%E -5.29%K -43.04%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.55%EV +1.01%E +0.175%K +0.212%G +0.002%5.1%2026-05-15 01:15
Ladbrokes (UK)1.14I 87.72%NM 83.45%EV -6.03%E -5.29%K -43.04%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.55%EV +1.01%E +0.175%K +0.212%G +0.002%5.1%2026-05-15 01:14
DraftKings1.16I 86.21%NM 82.71%EV -4.38%E -3.77%K -27.35%G +0.000%5.55I 18.02%NM 17.29%EV -2.51%E -0.452%K -0.551%G +0.000%4.2%2026-07-23 20:55
GTbets1.17I 85.47%NM 82.46%EV -3.55%E -3.04%K -20.90%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.54%EV -3.39%E -0.616%K -0.753%G +0.000%3.7%2026-07-25 18:10
BetUS1.17I 85.47%NM 82.46%EV -3.55%E -3.04%K -20.90%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.54%EV -3.39%E -0.616%K -0.753%G +0.000%3.7%2026-06-01 17:59
PointsBet (AU)1.16I 86.21%NM 82.58%EV -4.38%E -3.77%K -27.35%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.42%EV -3.39%E -0.616%K -0.753%G +0.000%4.4%2026-07-22 23:09
Betclic (FR)1.13I 88.50%NM 82.96%EV -6.85%E -6.06%K -52.69%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.04%EV -3.39%E -0.616%K -0.753%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-23 00:09
LowVig.ag1.17I 85.47%NM 82.35%EV -3.55%E -3.04%K -20.90%G +0.000%5.46I 18.32%NM 17.65%EV -4.09%E -0.749%K -0.917%G +0.000%3.8%2026-06-01 18:00
BetOnline.ag1.17I 85.47%NM 82.35%EV -3.55%E -3.04%K -20.90%G +0.000%5.46I 18.32%NM 17.65%EV -4.09%E -0.749%K -0.917%G +0.000%3.8%2026-06-01 17:59
FanDuel1.17I 85.47%NM 82.19%EV -3.55%E -3.04%K -20.90%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.81%EV -5.14%E -0.952%K -1.17%G +0.000%4.0%2026-06-29 22:50
Neds1.16I 86.21%NM 82.32%EV -4.38%E -3.77%K -27.35%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.68%EV -5.14%E -0.952%K -1.17%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-15 01:14
Ladbrokes (AU)1.16I 86.21%NM 82.32%EV -4.38%E -3.77%K -27.35%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.68%EV -5.14%E -0.952%K -1.17%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-15 01:14
SportsBet1.16I 86.21%NM 82.04%EV -4.38%E -3.77%K -27.35%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.96%EV -6.90%E -1.30%K -1.60%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-29 22:50
Caesars1.17I 85.47%NM 81.78%EV -3.55%E -3.04%K -20.90%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.22%EV -7.78%E -1.48%K -1.83%G +0.000%4.5%2026-07-20 13:20
Betr (AU)1.16I 86.21%NM 81.90%EV -4.38%E -3.77%K -27.35%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.10%EV -7.78%E -1.48%K -1.83%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-15 20:44
Hard Rock Bet1.15I 86.96%NM 82.03%EV -5.20%E -4.52%K -34.67%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.97%EV -7.78%E -1.48%K -1.83%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-25 09:05
Marathon Bet1.16I 86.21%NM 81.47%EV -4.38%E -3.77%K -27.35%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.53%EV -10.41%E -2.04%K -2.54%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-19 19:40
MyBookie.ag1.16I 86.21%NM 81.47%EV -4.38%E -3.77%K -27.35%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.53%EV -10.41%E -2.04%K -2.54%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-16 08:59
Coolbet1.16I 86.21%NM 81.47%EV -4.38%E -3.77%K -27.35%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.53%EV -10.41%E -2.04%K -2.54%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-25 18:20
Paddy Power1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -3.55%E -3.04%K -20.90%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -12.17%E -2.43%K -3.04%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-14 23:48
Bet Right1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -3.55%E -3.04%K -20.90%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -12.17%E -2.43%K -3.04%G +0.000%5.5%2026-07-25 18:10
NordicBet1.13I 88.50%NM 81.57%EV -6.85%E -6.06%K -52.69%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.43%EV -12.17%E -2.43%K -3.04%G +0.000%8.5%2026-07-05 20:04
Betsson1.13I 88.50%NM 81.57%EV -6.85%E -6.06%K -52.69%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.43%EV -12.17%E -2.43%K -3.04%G +0.000%8.5%2026-07-05 20:05
Pinnacle1.20I 83.33%NM 80.46%EV -1.08%E -0.899%K -5.40%G +0.000%4.94I 20.24%NM 19.54%EV -13.22%E -2.68%K -3.36%G +0.000%3.6%2026-06-27 01:29
TAB1.18I 84.75%NM 80.43%EV -2.73%E -2.31%K -15.16%G +0.000%4.85I 20.62%NM 19.57%EV -14.80%E -3.05%K -3.85%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-15 05:40
LeoVegas1.14I 87.72%NM 80.97%EV -6.03%E -5.29%K -43.04%G +0.000%4.85I 20.62%NM 19.03%EV -14.80%E -3.05%K -3.85%G +0.000%8.3%2026-07-25 21:10
NetBet (FR)1.03I 97.09%NM 82.33%EV -15.09%E -14.65%K -503.10%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 17.67%EV -15.68%E -3.27%K -4.13%G +0.000%17.9%2026-07-22 23:09
LeoVegas (SE)1.20I 83.33%NM 79.83%EV -1.08%E -0.899%K -5.40%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 20.17%EV -16.56%E -3.49%K -4.42%G +0.000%4.4%2026-06-10 11:10
Unibet (NL)1.20I 83.33%NM 79.83%EV -1.08%E -0.899%K -5.40%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 20.17%EV -16.56%E -3.49%K -4.42%G +0.000%4.4%2026-06-10 11:10
Unibet1.20I 83.33%NM 79.83%EV -1.08%E -0.899%K -5.40%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 20.17%EV -16.56%E -3.49%K -4.42%G +0.000%4.4%2026-06-10 11:10
Unibet (SE)1.20I 83.33%NM 79.83%EV -1.08%E -0.899%K -5.40%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 20.17%EV -16.56%E -3.49%K -4.42%G +0.000%4.4%2026-06-10 11:09
Svenska Spel1.20I 83.33%NM 79.83%EV -1.08%E -0.899%K -5.40%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 20.17%EV -16.56%E -3.49%K -4.42%G +0.000%4.4%2026-06-10 11:10
Bally Bet1.20I 83.33%NM 79.83%EV -1.08%E -0.899%K -5.40%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 20.17%EV -16.56%E -3.49%K -4.42%G +0.000%4.4%2026-06-10 11:10
ATG (SE)1.20I 83.33%NM 79.83%EV -1.08%E -0.899%K -5.40%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 20.17%EV -16.56%E -3.49%K -4.42%G +0.000%4.4%2026-06-10 11:10
betPARX1.20I 83.33%NM 79.83%EV -1.08%E -0.899%K -5.40%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 20.17%EV -16.56%E -3.49%K -4.42%G +0.000%4.4%2026-06-10 11:04
Bovada1.19I 84.03%NM 79.97%EV -1.90%E -1.60%K -10.02%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 20.03%EV -16.56%E -3.49%K -4.42%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-26 00:49
PlayUp1.19I 84.03%NM 79.97%EV -1.90%E -1.60%K -10.02%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 20.03%EV -16.56%E -3.49%K -4.42%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-21 02:10
BetRivers1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -1.08%E -0.899%K -5.40%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV -19.20%E -4.17%K -5.33%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-10 11:10
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (1)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
Smarkets1.12I 89.29%NM 82.55%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.45%8.2%2026-07-23 00:10