Modelo predeterminadoMedia intercuartílica (Lista Curada)

Los Angeles Chargers v Arizona Cardinals

2026-09-13 20:25 UTC — NFL

Resultado del partido

55 corredores (20 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada)

Los Angeles Chargers (Local)

Predicción 80.01%1.25momio equitativo
EV -2.39%
Ventaja -1.96%
Kelly -10.87%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.22

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
77.49%79.86%80.05%81.21%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.081.191.191.2292.59%84.12%84.03%81.97%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Arizona Cardinals (Visitante)

Predicción 19.99%5.00momio equitativo
EV +1.96%
Ventaja +0.385%
Kelly +0.478%
Crecimiento +0.009%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 5.10

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
18.79%20.14%19.95%22.51%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
4.204.744.805.1023.81%21.08%20.83%19.61%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Para Resultado del partido, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estima estas probabilidades: Los Angeles Chargers (Local): 80.01%; Arizona Cardinals (Visitante): 19.99%. Para Arizona Cardinals (Visitante), esa estimación equivale a momios decimales justos de 5.00. 2 corredores ofrecen momios superiores a ese nivel; los mejores momios disponibles son 5.10, lo que produce un valor esperado positivo de +1.96%.

Momios de las casas de apuestas (55 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitante ▼MargenActualizado
SportsBet🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 80.95%EV -3.99%E -3.33%K -19.95%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 19.05%EV +1.96%E +0.385%K +0.478%G +0.009%2.9%2026-09-08 18:50
FanDuel🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 81.21%EV -5.59%E -4.74%K -31.06%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.79%EV +1.96%E +0.385%K +0.478%G +0.009%4.4%2026-09-08 18:49
Unibet (SE)🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 80.65%EV -3.99%E -3.33%K -19.95%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.35%EV -0.038%E -0.008%K -0.010%G +0.000%3.3%2026-09-07 19:35
Svenska Spel🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 80.65%EV -3.99%E -3.33%K -19.95%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.35%EV -0.038%E -0.008%K -0.010%G +0.000%3.3%2026-09-07 19:35
ATG (SE)🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 80.65%EV -3.99%E -3.33%K -19.95%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.35%EV -0.038%E -0.008%K -0.010%G +0.000%3.3%2026-09-07 19:35
Caesars🎯1.19I 84.03%NM 80.78%EV -4.79%E -4.03%K -25.22%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.22%EV -0.038%E -0.008%K -0.010%G +0.000%4.0%2026-09-07 00:35
BetMGM🎯1.19I 84.03%NM 80.78%EV -4.79%E -4.03%K -25.22%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.22%EV -0.038%E -0.008%K -0.010%G +0.000%4.0%2026-09-09 00:58
BetUS🎯1.19I 84.03%NM 80.78%EV -4.79%E -4.03%K -25.22%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.22%EV -0.038%E -0.008%K -0.010%G +0.000%4.0%2026-09-08 18:54
Coolbet🎯1.19I 84.03%NM 80.78%EV -4.79%E -4.03%K -25.22%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.22%EV -0.038%E -0.008%K -0.010%G +0.000%4.0%2026-09-09 00:59
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 80.91%EV -5.59%E -4.74%K -31.06%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.09%EV -0.038%E -0.008%K -0.010%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-08 18:25
Betway🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 80.91%EV -5.59%E -4.74%K -31.06%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.09%EV -0.038%E -0.008%K -0.010%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-09 00:59
Betr (AU)🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 80.75%EV -5.59%E -4.74%K -31.06%G +0.000%4.95I 20.20%NM 19.25%EV -1.04%E -0.210%K -0.263%G +0.000%4.9%2026-09-09 01:00
Fliff🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 81.01%EV -7.19%E -6.20%K -44.94%G +0.000%4.95I 20.20%NM 18.99%EV -1.04%E -0.210%K -0.263%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-09 02:05
LowVig.ag🎯1.19I 84.03%NM 80.56%EV -4.79%E -4.03%K -25.22%G +0.000%4.93I 20.28%NM 19.44%EV -1.44%E -0.292%K -0.366%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-08 18:50
BetOnline.ag🎯1.19I 84.03%NM 80.56%EV -4.79%E -4.03%K -25.22%G +0.000%4.93I 20.28%NM 19.44%EV -1.44%E -0.292%K -0.366%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-08 18:50
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 80.33%EV -3.99%E -3.33%K -19.95%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.67%EV -2.04%E -0.416%K -0.522%G +0.000%3.7%2026-09-07 19:35
Unibet (NL)🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 80.33%EV -3.99%E -3.33%K -19.95%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.67%EV -2.04%E -0.416%K -0.522%G +0.000%3.7%2026-09-07 19:35
DraftKings🎯1.19I 84.03%NM 80.46%EV -4.79%E -4.03%K -25.22%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.54%EV -2.04%E -0.416%K -0.522%G +0.000%4.4%2026-09-09 00:57
GTbets🎯1.19I 84.03%NM 80.46%EV -4.79%E -4.03%K -25.22%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.54%EV -2.04%E -0.416%K -0.522%G +0.000%4.4%2026-09-09 02:40
BetAnything🎯1.19I 84.03%NM 80.46%EV -4.79%E -4.03%K -25.22%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.54%EV -2.04%E -0.416%K -0.522%G +0.000%4.4%2026-09-08 21:00
LeoVegas🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 80.00%EV -3.99%E -3.33%K -19.95%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.00%EV -4.04%E -0.841%K -1.06%G +0.000%4.2%2026-09-09 00:59
Unibet🎯1.19I 84.03%NM 80.13%EV -4.79%E -4.03%K -25.22%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.87%EV -4.04%E -0.841%K -1.06%G +0.000%4.9%2026-09-07 19:35
Bally Bet🎯1.19I 84.03%NM 80.13%EV -4.79%E -4.03%K -25.22%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.87%EV -4.04%E -0.841%K -1.06%G +0.000%4.9%2026-09-07 19:35
betPARX🎯1.19I 84.03%NM 80.13%EV -4.79%E -4.03%K -25.22%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.87%EV -4.04%E -0.841%K -1.06%G +0.000%4.9%2026-09-07 19:35
Neds🎯1.19I 84.03%NM 80.13%EV -4.79%E -4.03%K -25.22%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.87%EV -4.04%E -0.841%K -1.06%G +0.000%4.9%2026-09-09 00:59
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.19I 84.03%NM 80.13%EV -4.79%E -4.03%K -25.22%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.87%EV -4.04%E -0.841%K -1.06%G +0.000%4.9%2026-09-09 00:59
BetRivers🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 80.27%EV -5.59%E -4.74%K -31.06%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.73%EV -4.04%E -0.841%K -1.06%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-07 19:35
theScore Bet🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 80.27%EV -5.59%E -4.74%K -31.06%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.73%EV -4.04%E -0.841%K -1.06%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-08 18:49
TAB🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 80.27%EV -5.59%E -4.74%K -31.06%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.73%EV -4.04%E -0.841%K -1.06%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-09 02:43
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 79.83%EV -3.99%E -3.33%K -19.95%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 20.17%EV -5.04%E -1.06%K -1.34%G +0.000%4.4%2026-09-08 16:34
Everygame🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 79.83%EV -3.99%E -3.33%K -19.95%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 20.17%EV -5.04%E -1.06%K -1.34%G +0.000%4.4%2026-09-08 19:03
Pinnacle🎯1.21I 82.64%NM 79.63%EV -3.19%E -2.64%K -15.19%G +0.000%4.73I 21.14%NM 20.37%EV -5.44%E -1.15%K -1.46%G +0.000%3.8%2026-09-08 23:00
NordicBet🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 80.44%EV -7.99%E -6.95%K -53.27%G +0.000%4.73I 21.14%NM 19.56%EV -5.44%E -1.15%K -1.46%G +0.000%8.1%2026-09-09 04:24
Betsson🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 80.44%EV -7.99%E -6.95%K -53.27%G +0.000%4.73I 21.14%NM 19.56%EV -5.44%E -1.15%K -1.46%G +0.000%8.1%2026-09-09 04:24
ReBet🎯1.21I 82.64%NM 79.53%EV -3.19%E -2.64%K -15.19%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.47%EV -6.04%E -1.28%K -1.63%G +0.000%3.9%2026-09-08 19:59
Fanatics🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 79.66%EV -3.99%E -3.33%K -19.95%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.34%EV -6.04%E -1.28%K -1.63%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-09 00:53
Unibet (UK)🎯1.21I 82.64%NM 79.17%EV -3.19%E -2.64%K -15.19%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.83%EV -8.04%E -1.75%K -2.23%G +0.000%4.4%2026-09-08 20:25
Bovada🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -3.99%E -3.33%K -19.95%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV -8.04%E -1.75%K -2.23%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-08 23:53
Bet Right🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -3.99%E -3.33%K -19.95%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV -8.04%E -1.75%K -2.23%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-08 19:45
PlayUp🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -3.99%E -3.33%K -19.95%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV -8.04%E -1.75%K -2.23%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-06 16:45
Paddy Power🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -3.99%E -3.33%K -19.95%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -10.03%E -2.23%K -2.87%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-06 18:19
William Hill🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -3.99%E -3.33%K -19.95%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -10.03%E -2.23%K -2.87%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-08 19:40
MyBookie.ag🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -3.99%E -3.33%K -19.95%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -10.03%E -2.23%K -2.87%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-08 20:43
Dabble (AU)🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -3.99%E -3.33%K -19.95%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -10.03%E -2.23%K -2.87%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-09 00:49
Codere (IT)🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -3.99%E -3.33%K -19.95%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -10.03%E -2.23%K -2.87%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-08 20:40
888sport🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -3.99%E -3.33%K -19.95%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -10.03%E -2.23%K -2.87%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-08 19:40
888sport (SE)🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -3.99%E -3.33%K -19.95%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -10.03%E -2.23%K -2.87%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-08 19:40
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -3.99%E -3.33%K -19.95%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -10.03%E -2.23%K -2.87%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-08 19:39
Coral🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 79.37%EV -6.39%E -5.46%K -37.59%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV -10.03%E -2.23%K -2.87%G +0.000%7.7%2026-09-09 01:04
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 79.37%EV -6.39%E -5.46%K -37.59%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV -10.03%E -2.23%K -2.87%G +0.000%7.7%2026-09-09 00:59
NetBet (FR)🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 79.79%EV -8.79%E -7.71%K -62.80%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.21%EV -10.03%E -2.23%K -2.87%G +0.000%9.9%2026-09-09 00:59
Tipico (DE)🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 78.57%EV -3.99%E -3.33%K -19.95%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.43%EV -12.03%E -2.73%K -3.54%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-08 19:38
Betclic (FR)🎯1.19I 84.03%NM 78.71%EV -4.79%E -4.03%K -25.22%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.29%EV -12.03%E -2.73%K -3.54%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-08 20:39
Marathon Bet🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -2.39%E -1.96%K -10.87%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -16.03%E -3.82%K -5.01%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-09 06:05
PMU (FR)🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 79.55%EV -13.59%E -12.58%K -169.90%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 20.45%EV -16.03%E -3.82%K -5.01%G +0.000%16.4%2026-09-07 19:34
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (10)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
BetOpenly1.24I 80.65%NM 80.86%5.24I 19.08%NM 19.14%-0.3%2026-09-09 03:49
ProphetX1.24I 80.65%NM 80.59%5.15I 19.42%NM 19.41%0.1%2026-09-09 04:24
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.23I 81.30%NM 80.57%5.10I 19.61%NM 19.43%0.9%2026-09-09 03:49
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.23I 81.30%NM 80.57%5.10I 19.61%NM 19.43%0.9%2026-09-09 03:49
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.23I 81.30%NM 80.57%5.10I 19.61%NM 19.43%0.9%2026-09-09 03:55
Matchbook1.23I 81.30%NM 80.57%5.10I 19.61%NM 19.43%0.9%2026-09-09 03:49
Kalshi1.22I 81.97%NM 81.17%5.26I 19.01%NM 18.83%1.0%2026-09-08 14:50
Novig1.22I 81.97%NM 81.17%5.26I 19.01%NM 18.83%1.0%2026-09-09 04:14
Polymarket1.23I 81.30%NM 80.26%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.74%1.3%2026-09-09 04:24
Smarkets1.18I 84.75%NM 78.47%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.53%8.0%2026-09-09 05:44