Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Las Vegas Raiders v Buffalo Bills

Início: 2026-10-18 20:25 UTC

Final: Las Vegas Raiders 30–33 Buffalo Bills

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

59 casas de apostas (21 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Las Vegas Raiders (Local)

Previsão 32.50%3.08odd justa
EV +1.41%
Vantagem +0.453%
Kelly +0.666%
Crescimento +0.009%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.12

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
30.34%32.51%32.49%35.77%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
2.642.942.953.1237.88%34.01%33.90%32.05%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Buffalo Bills (Visitante)

Previsão 67.50%1.48odd justa
EV -0.781%
Vantagem -0.531%
Kelly -1.66%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.47

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
64.23%67.49%67.51%69.66%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.261.411.411.4779.37%71.14%70.92%68.03%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Las Vegas Raiders (Local): 32.50%; Buffalo Bills (Visitante): 67.50%. Para Las Vegas Raiders (Local), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 3.08. 7 casas de apostas ofereciam odds de fecho acima desse nível; as melhores eram 3.12, correspondendo a um valor esperado positivo de +1.41%.

Odds das casas de apostas (59 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteMargemAtualização
ReBet🎯3.12I 32.05%NM 31.13%EV +1.41%E +0.453%K +0.666%G +0.009%1.41I 70.92%NM 68.87%EV -4.83%E -3.43%K -11.78%G +0.000%3.0%2026-10-18 19:37
Hard Rock Bet🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 31.11%EV +0.762%E +0.246%K +0.363%G +0.003%1.40I 71.43%NM 68.89%EV -5.51%E -3.93%K -13.76%G +0.000%3.7%2026-10-18 16:19
888sport🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV +0.762%E +0.246%K +0.363%G +0.003%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -8.21%E -6.03%K -22.79%G +0.000%5.8%2026-10-18 19:30
Mr Green (SE)🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV +0.762%E +0.246%K +0.363%G +0.003%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -8.21%E -6.03%K -22.79%G +0.000%5.8%2026-10-18 19:29
888sport (SE)🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV +0.762%E +0.246%K +0.363%G +0.003%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -8.21%E -6.03%K -22.79%G +0.000%5.8%2026-10-18 19:34
William Hill🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV +0.762%E +0.246%K +0.363%G +0.003%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -8.21%E -6.03%K -22.79%G +0.000%5.8%2026-10-18 19:30
Tipico (DE)🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.34%EV +0.762%E +0.246%K +0.363%G +0.003%1.35I 74.07%NM 69.66%EV -8.88%E -6.58%K -25.37%G +0.000%6.3%2026-10-18 19:29
MyBookie.ag🎯3.06I 32.68%NM 31.39%EV -0.538%E -0.176%K -0.261%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 68.61%EV -5.51%E -3.93%K -13.76%G +0.000%4.1%2026-10-18 19:39
SportsBet🎯3.06I 32.68%NM 31.08%EV -0.538%E -0.176%K -0.261%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.92%EV -6.86%E -4.97%K -18.04%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-18 20:24
Unibet (SE)🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 31.77%EV -0.863%E -0.283%K -0.421%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 68.23%EV -4.16%E -2.93%K -9.89%G +0.000%3.2%2026-10-15 22:00
Unibet (NL)🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 31.77%EV -0.863%E -0.283%K -0.421%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 68.23%EV -4.16%E -2.93%K -9.89%G +0.000%3.2%2026-10-15 21:59
Svenska Spel🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 31.77%EV -0.863%E -0.283%K -0.421%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 68.23%EV -4.16%E -2.93%K -9.89%G +0.000%3.2%2026-10-15 22:00
ATG (SE)🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 31.77%EV -0.863%E -0.283%K -0.421%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 68.23%EV -4.16%E -2.93%K -9.89%G +0.000%3.2%2026-10-15 22:00
FanDuel🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 31.46%EV -0.863%E -0.283%K -0.421%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 68.54%EV -5.51%E -3.93%K -13.76%G +0.000%4.2%2026-10-18 20:25
Unibet (UK)🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 31.46%EV -0.863%E -0.283%K -0.421%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 68.54%EV -5.51%E -3.93%K -13.76%G +0.000%4.2%2026-10-18 19:29
BetMGM🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 32.28%EV -2.49%E -0.830%K -1.24%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 67.72%EV -3.48%E -2.43%K -8.09%G +0.000%3.3%2026-10-18 20:25
theScore Bet🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 32.13%EV -2.49%E -0.830%K -1.24%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 67.87%EV -4.16%E -2.93%K -9.89%G +0.000%3.8%2026-10-18 20:24
BetAnything🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 32.13%EV -2.49%E -0.830%K -1.24%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 67.87%EV -4.16%E -2.93%K -9.89%G +0.000%3.8%2026-10-18 20:19
DraftKings🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.97%EV -2.49%E -0.830%K -1.24%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 68.03%EV -4.83%E -3.43%K -11.78%G +0.000%4.3%2026-10-18 20:24
LeoVegas (SE)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.97%EV -2.49%E -0.830%K -1.24%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 68.03%EV -4.83%E -3.43%K -11.78%G +0.000%4.3%2026-10-15 22:00
Paddy Power🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -2.49%E -0.830%K -1.24%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -5.51%E -3.93%K -13.76%G +0.000%4.8%2026-10-18 17:59
BetRivers🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -2.49%E -0.830%K -1.24%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -5.51%E -3.93%K -13.76%G +0.000%4.8%2026-10-15 22:00
Unibet🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -2.49%E -0.830%K -1.24%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -5.51%E -3.93%K -13.76%G +0.000%4.8%2026-10-15 22:00
betPARX🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -2.49%E -0.830%K -1.24%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -5.51%E -3.93%K -13.76%G +0.000%4.8%2026-10-15 22:00
Bally Bet🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -2.49%E -0.830%K -1.24%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -5.51%E -3.93%K -13.76%G +0.000%4.8%2026-10-15 22:00
Coral🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -2.49%E -0.830%K -1.24%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -5.51%E -3.93%K -13.76%G +0.000%4.8%2026-10-18 20:25
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -2.49%E -0.830%K -1.24%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -5.51%E -3.93%K -13.76%G +0.000%4.8%2026-10-18 17:59
Coolbet🎯2.98I 33.56%NM 32.88%EV -3.14%E -1.05%K -1.59%G +0.000%1.46I 68.49%NM 67.12%EV -1.46%E -0.997%K -3.16%G +0.000%2.1%2026-10-18 20:24
Everygame🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 32.65%EV -4.11%E -1.39%K -2.11%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 67.35%EV -3.48%E -2.43%K -8.09%G +0.000%3.8%2026-10-16 19:00
Caesars🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 32.49%EV -4.11%E -1.39%K -2.11%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 67.51%EV -4.16%E -2.93%K -9.89%G +0.000%4.3%2026-10-14 03:35
Dabble (AU)🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 32.49%EV -4.11%E -1.39%K -2.11%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 67.51%EV -4.16%E -2.93%K -9.89%G +0.000%4.3%2026-10-18 20:24
GTbets🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 32.34%EV -4.11%E -1.39%K -2.11%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 67.66%EV -4.83%E -3.43%K -11.78%G +0.000%4.8%2026-10-18 14:00
Codere (IT)🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 31.87%EV -4.11%E -1.39%K -2.11%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.13%EV -6.86%E -4.97%K -18.04%G +0.000%6.4%2026-10-18 19:34
Betsson🎯2.91I 34.36%NM 32.64%EV -5.41%E -1.86%K -2.83%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 67.36%EV -4.83%E -3.43%K -11.78%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-18 20:24
Fanatics🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 33.03%EV -5.74%E -1.98%K -3.02%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.97%EV -3.48%E -2.43%K -8.09%G +0.000%4.4%2026-10-18 20:09
Betr (AU)🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV -5.74%E -1.98%K -3.02%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -4.16%E -2.93%K -9.89%G +0.000%4.9%2026-10-18 20:24
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV -5.74%E -1.98%K -3.02%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -4.16%E -2.93%K -9.89%G +0.000%4.9%2026-10-18 20:25
Neds🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV -5.74%E -1.98%K -3.02%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -4.16%E -2.93%K -9.89%G +0.000%4.9%2026-10-18 20:25
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV -5.74%E -1.98%K -3.02%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -4.16%E -2.93%K -9.89%G +0.000%4.9%2026-10-18 02:14
TAB🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV -5.74%E -1.98%K -3.02%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -4.16%E -2.93%K -9.89%G +0.000%4.9%2026-10-18 06:20
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -5.74%E -1.98%K -3.02%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -5.51%E -3.93%K -13.76%G +0.000%5.9%2026-10-18 20:24
LowVig.ag🎯2.89I 34.60%NM 33.26%EV -6.06%E -2.10%K -3.21%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 66.74%EV -2.81%E -1.95%K -6.38%G +0.000%4.0%2026-10-18 20:24
BetOnline.ag🎯2.89I 34.60%NM 33.26%EV -6.06%E -2.10%K -3.21%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 66.74%EV -2.81%E -1.95%K -6.38%G +0.000%4.0%2026-10-18 20:25
NordicBet🎯2.89I 34.60%NM 32.79%EV -6.06%E -2.10%K -3.21%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 67.21%EV -4.83%E -3.43%K -11.78%G +0.000%5.5%2026-10-18 20:25
Pinnacle🎯2.87I 34.84%NM 33.87%EV -6.71%E -2.34%K -3.59%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 66.13%EV -0.781%E -0.531%K -1.66%G +0.000%2.9%2026-10-18 20:24
BetUS🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 33.72%EV -7.36%E -2.58%K -3.98%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 66.28%EV -2.13%E -1.47%K -4.73%G +0.000%4.1%2026-10-18 20:25
Bovada🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 33.57%EV -7.36%E -2.58%K -3.98%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 66.43%EV -2.81%E -1.95%K -6.38%G +0.000%4.5%2026-10-18 20:19
Bet Right🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -7.36%E -2.58%K -3.98%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -3.48%E -2.43%K -8.09%G +0.000%5.0%2026-10-18 20:25
betfred_uk🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 33.26%EV -7.36%E -2.58%K -3.98%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 66.74%EV -4.16%E -2.93%K -9.89%G +0.000%5.5%2026-10-18 20:24
Betway🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 32.94%EV -7.36%E -2.58%K -3.98%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.06%EV -5.51%E -3.93%K -13.76%G +0.000%6.5%2026-10-18 20:25
Bet Victor🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -8.99%E -3.21%K -4.99%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -5.51%E -3.93%K -13.76%G +0.000%7.1%2026-10-18 20:24
betano_uk🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -8.99%E -3.21%K -4.99%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -5.51%E -3.93%K -13.76%G +0.000%7.1%2026-10-18 20:24
NetBet (FR)🎯2.77I 36.10%NM 32.44%EV -9.96%E -3.60%K -5.63%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 67.56%EV -10.23%E -7.69%K -31.00%G +0.000%11.3%2026-10-18 20:04
Betclic (FR)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.41%EV -10.61%E -3.86%K -6.07%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 66.59%EV -6.86%E -4.97%K -18.04%G +0.000%8.8%2026-10-18 19:59
LeoVegas🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.09%EV -10.61%E -3.86%K -6.07%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 66.91%EV -8.21%E -6.03%K -22.79%G +0.000%9.9%2026-10-18 20:24
Fliff🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.62%EV -12.24%E -4.53%K -7.20%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 65.38%EV -3.48%E -2.43%K -8.09%G +0.000%7.0%2026-10-18 20:25
picklebet_au🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.15%EV -12.24%E -4.53%K -7.20%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 65.85%EV -5.51%E -3.93%K -13.76%G +0.000%8.5%2026-10-18 19:29
PMU (FR)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 31.82%EV -12.24%E -4.53%K -7.20%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 68.18%EV -14.95%E -11.87%K -57.52%G +0.000%16.4%2026-10-15 22:00
Marathon Bet🎯2.64I 37.88%NM 35.77%EV -14.19%E -5.37%K -8.65%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 64.23%EV -0.781%E -0.531%K -1.66%G +0.000%5.9%2026-10-18 20:24
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (10)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
Matchbook◎3.10I 32.26%NM 32.17%1.47I 68.03%NM 67.83%0.3%2026-10-18 20:25
Novig◎3.13I 31.95%NM 31.81%1.46I 68.49%NM 68.19%0.4%2026-10-18 20:24
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎3.10I 32.26%NM 32.02%1.46I 68.49%NM 67.98%0.8%2026-10-18 20:20
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎3.10I 32.26%NM 32.02%1.46I 68.49%NM 67.98%0.8%2026-10-18 20:25
ProphetX◎3.05I 32.79%NM 32.52%1.47I 68.03%NM 67.48%0.8%2026-10-18 20:25
Polymarket◎3.12I 32.05%NM 31.73%1.45I 68.97%NM 68.27%1.0%2026-10-18 16:19
Kalshi◎3.03I 33.00%NM 32.67%1.47I 68.03%NM 67.33%1.0%2026-10-18 20:25
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎3.05I 32.79%NM 32.37%1.46I 68.49%NM 67.63%1.3%2026-10-18 20:25
BetOpenly◎3.06I 32.68%NM 32.15%1.45I 68.97%NM 67.85%1.6%2026-10-18 20:24
Smarkets◎3.05I 32.79%NM 32.07%1.44I 69.44%NM 67.93%2.2%2026-10-18 20:25