The School of Odds
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
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Las Vegas Raiders v Buffalo Bills

Kickoff: 2026-10-18 20:25 UTC

Final: Las Vegas Raiders 30–33 Buffalo Bills

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

59 sportsbooks (21 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Las Vegas Raiders (Local)

Prediction 32.50%3.08fair odd
EV +1.41%
Edge +0.453%
Kelly +0.666%
Growth +0.009%

assuming max odds 3.12

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
30.34%32.51%32.49%35.77%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.642.942.953.1237.88%34.01%33.90%32.05%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Buffalo Bills (Visit)

Prediction 67.50%1.48fair odd
EV -0.781%
Edge -0.531%
Kelly -1.66%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.47

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
64.23%67.49%67.51%69.66%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.261.411.411.4779.37%71.14%70.92%68.03%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Las Vegas Raiders (Local): 32.50%; Buffalo Bills (Visit): 67.50%. For Las Vegas Raiders (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.08. 7 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.12, corresponding to a positive expected value of +1.41%.

Sportsbook Odds (59 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
ReBet🎯3.12I 32.05%NM 31.13%EV +1.41%E +0.453%K +0.666%G +0.009%1.41I 70.92%NM 68.87%EV -4.83%E -3.43%K -11.78%G +0.000%3.0%2026-10-18 19:37
Hard Rock Bet🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 31.11%EV +0.762%E +0.246%K +0.363%G +0.003%1.40I 71.43%NM 68.89%EV -5.51%E -3.93%K -13.76%G +0.000%3.7%2026-10-18 16:19
888sport🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV +0.762%E +0.246%K +0.363%G +0.003%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -8.21%E -6.03%K -22.79%G +0.000%5.8%2026-10-18 19:30
Mr Green (SE)🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV +0.762%E +0.246%K +0.363%G +0.003%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -8.21%E -6.03%K -22.79%G +0.000%5.8%2026-10-18 19:29
888sport (SE)🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV +0.762%E +0.246%K +0.363%G +0.003%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -8.21%E -6.03%K -22.79%G +0.000%5.8%2026-10-18 19:34
William Hill🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV +0.762%E +0.246%K +0.363%G +0.003%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -8.21%E -6.03%K -22.79%G +0.000%5.8%2026-10-18 19:30
Tipico (DE)🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.34%EV +0.762%E +0.246%K +0.363%G +0.003%1.35I 74.07%NM 69.66%EV -8.88%E -6.58%K -25.37%G +0.000%6.3%2026-10-18 19:29
MyBookie.ag🎯3.06I 32.68%NM 31.39%EV -0.538%E -0.176%K -0.261%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 68.61%EV -5.51%E -3.93%K -13.76%G +0.000%4.1%2026-10-18 19:39
SportsBet🎯3.06I 32.68%NM 31.08%EV -0.538%E -0.176%K -0.261%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.92%EV -6.86%E -4.97%K -18.04%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-18 20:24
Unibet (SE)🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 31.77%EV -0.863%E -0.283%K -0.421%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 68.23%EV -4.16%E -2.93%K -9.89%G +0.000%3.2%2026-10-15 22:00
Unibet (NL)🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 31.77%EV -0.863%E -0.283%K -0.421%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 68.23%EV -4.16%E -2.93%K -9.89%G +0.000%3.2%2026-10-15 21:59
Svenska Spel🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 31.77%EV -0.863%E -0.283%K -0.421%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 68.23%EV -4.16%E -2.93%K -9.89%G +0.000%3.2%2026-10-15 22:00
ATG (SE)🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 31.77%EV -0.863%E -0.283%K -0.421%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 68.23%EV -4.16%E -2.93%K -9.89%G +0.000%3.2%2026-10-15 22:00
FanDuel🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 31.46%EV -0.863%E -0.283%K -0.421%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 68.54%EV -5.51%E -3.93%K -13.76%G +0.000%4.2%2026-10-18 20:25
Unibet (UK)🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 31.46%EV -0.863%E -0.283%K -0.421%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 68.54%EV -5.51%E -3.93%K -13.76%G +0.000%4.2%2026-10-18 19:29
BetMGM🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 32.28%EV -2.49%E -0.830%K -1.24%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 67.72%EV -3.48%E -2.43%K -8.09%G +0.000%3.3%2026-10-18 20:25
theScore Bet🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 32.13%EV -2.49%E -0.830%K -1.24%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 67.87%EV -4.16%E -2.93%K -9.89%G +0.000%3.8%2026-10-18 20:24
BetAnything🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 32.13%EV -2.49%E -0.830%K -1.24%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 67.87%EV -4.16%E -2.93%K -9.89%G +0.000%3.8%2026-10-18 20:19
DraftKings🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.97%EV -2.49%E -0.830%K -1.24%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 68.03%EV -4.83%E -3.43%K -11.78%G +0.000%4.3%2026-10-18 20:24
LeoVegas (SE)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.97%EV -2.49%E -0.830%K -1.24%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 68.03%EV -4.83%E -3.43%K -11.78%G +0.000%4.3%2026-10-15 22:00
Paddy Power🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -2.49%E -0.830%K -1.24%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -5.51%E -3.93%K -13.76%G +0.000%4.8%2026-10-18 17:59
BetRivers🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -2.49%E -0.830%K -1.24%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -5.51%E -3.93%K -13.76%G +0.000%4.8%2026-10-15 22:00
Unibet🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -2.49%E -0.830%K -1.24%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -5.51%E -3.93%K -13.76%G +0.000%4.8%2026-10-15 22:00
betPARX🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -2.49%E -0.830%K -1.24%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -5.51%E -3.93%K -13.76%G +0.000%4.8%2026-10-15 22:00
Bally Bet🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -2.49%E -0.830%K -1.24%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -5.51%E -3.93%K -13.76%G +0.000%4.8%2026-10-15 22:00
Coral🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -2.49%E -0.830%K -1.24%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -5.51%E -3.93%K -13.76%G +0.000%4.8%2026-10-18 20:25
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -2.49%E -0.830%K -1.24%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -5.51%E -3.93%K -13.76%G +0.000%4.8%2026-10-18 17:59
Coolbet🎯2.98I 33.56%NM 32.88%EV -3.14%E -1.05%K -1.59%G +0.000%1.46I 68.49%NM 67.12%EV -1.46%E -0.997%K -3.16%G +0.000%2.1%2026-10-18 20:24
Everygame🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 32.65%EV -4.11%E -1.39%K -2.11%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 67.35%EV -3.48%E -2.43%K -8.09%G +0.000%3.8%2026-10-16 19:00
Caesars🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 32.49%EV -4.11%E -1.39%K -2.11%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 67.51%EV -4.16%E -2.93%K -9.89%G +0.000%4.3%2026-10-14 03:35
Dabble (AU)🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 32.49%EV -4.11%E -1.39%K -2.11%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 67.51%EV -4.16%E -2.93%K -9.89%G +0.000%4.3%2026-10-18 20:24
GTbets🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 32.34%EV -4.11%E -1.39%K -2.11%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 67.66%EV -4.83%E -3.43%K -11.78%G +0.000%4.8%2026-10-18 14:00
Codere (IT)🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 31.87%EV -4.11%E -1.39%K -2.11%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.13%EV -6.86%E -4.97%K -18.04%G +0.000%6.4%2026-10-18 19:34
Betsson🎯2.91I 34.36%NM 32.64%EV -5.41%E -1.86%K -2.83%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 67.36%EV -4.83%E -3.43%K -11.78%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-18 20:24
Fanatics🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 33.03%EV -5.74%E -1.98%K -3.02%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.97%EV -3.48%E -2.43%K -8.09%G +0.000%4.4%2026-10-18 20:09
Betr (AU)🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV -5.74%E -1.98%K -3.02%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -4.16%E -2.93%K -9.89%G +0.000%4.9%2026-10-18 20:24
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV -5.74%E -1.98%K -3.02%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -4.16%E -2.93%K -9.89%G +0.000%4.9%2026-10-18 20:25
Neds🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV -5.74%E -1.98%K -3.02%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -4.16%E -2.93%K -9.89%G +0.000%4.9%2026-10-18 20:25
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV -5.74%E -1.98%K -3.02%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -4.16%E -2.93%K -9.89%G +0.000%4.9%2026-10-18 02:14
TAB🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV -5.74%E -1.98%K -3.02%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -4.16%E -2.93%K -9.89%G +0.000%4.9%2026-10-18 06:20
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -5.74%E -1.98%K -3.02%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -5.51%E -3.93%K -13.76%G +0.000%5.9%2026-10-18 20:24
LowVig.ag🎯2.89I 34.60%NM 33.26%EV -6.06%E -2.10%K -3.21%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 66.74%EV -2.81%E -1.95%K -6.38%G +0.000%4.0%2026-10-18 20:24
BetOnline.ag🎯2.89I 34.60%NM 33.26%EV -6.06%E -2.10%K -3.21%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 66.74%EV -2.81%E -1.95%K -6.38%G +0.000%4.0%2026-10-18 20:25
NordicBet🎯2.89I 34.60%NM 32.79%EV -6.06%E -2.10%K -3.21%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 67.21%EV -4.83%E -3.43%K -11.78%G +0.000%5.5%2026-10-18 20:25
Pinnacle🎯2.87I 34.84%NM 33.87%EV -6.71%E -2.34%K -3.59%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 66.13%EV -0.781%E -0.531%K -1.66%G +0.000%2.9%2026-10-18 20:24
BetUS🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 33.72%EV -7.36%E -2.58%K -3.98%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 66.28%EV -2.13%E -1.47%K -4.73%G +0.000%4.1%2026-10-18 20:25
Bovada🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 33.57%EV -7.36%E -2.58%K -3.98%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 66.43%EV -2.81%E -1.95%K -6.38%G +0.000%4.5%2026-10-18 20:19
Bet Right🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -7.36%E -2.58%K -3.98%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -3.48%E -2.43%K -8.09%G +0.000%5.0%2026-10-18 20:25
betfred_uk🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 33.26%EV -7.36%E -2.58%K -3.98%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 66.74%EV -4.16%E -2.93%K -9.89%G +0.000%5.5%2026-10-18 20:24
Betway🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 32.94%EV -7.36%E -2.58%K -3.98%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.06%EV -5.51%E -3.93%K -13.76%G +0.000%6.5%2026-10-18 20:25
Bet Victor🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -8.99%E -3.21%K -4.99%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -5.51%E -3.93%K -13.76%G +0.000%7.1%2026-10-18 20:24
betano_uk🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -8.99%E -3.21%K -4.99%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -5.51%E -3.93%K -13.76%G +0.000%7.1%2026-10-18 20:24
NetBet (FR)🎯2.77I 36.10%NM 32.44%EV -9.96%E -3.60%K -5.63%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 67.56%EV -10.23%E -7.69%K -31.00%G +0.000%11.3%2026-10-18 20:04
Betclic (FR)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.41%EV -10.61%E -3.86%K -6.07%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 66.59%EV -6.86%E -4.97%K -18.04%G +0.000%8.8%2026-10-18 19:59
LeoVegas🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.09%EV -10.61%E -3.86%K -6.07%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 66.91%EV -8.21%E -6.03%K -22.79%G +0.000%9.9%2026-10-18 20:24
Fliff🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.62%EV -12.24%E -4.53%K -7.20%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 65.38%EV -3.48%E -2.43%K -8.09%G +0.000%7.0%2026-10-18 20:25
picklebet_au🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.15%EV -12.24%E -4.53%K -7.20%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 65.85%EV -5.51%E -3.93%K -13.76%G +0.000%8.5%2026-10-18 19:29
PMU (FR)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 31.82%EV -12.24%E -4.53%K -7.20%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 68.18%EV -14.95%E -11.87%K -57.52%G +0.000%16.4%2026-10-15 22:00
Marathon Bet🎯2.64I 37.88%NM 35.77%EV -14.19%E -5.37%K -8.65%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 64.23%EV -0.781%E -0.531%K -1.66%G +0.000%5.9%2026-10-18 20:24
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (10)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Matchbook◎3.10I 32.26%NM 32.17%1.47I 68.03%NM 67.83%0.3%2026-10-18 20:25
Novig◎3.13I 31.95%NM 31.81%1.46I 68.49%NM 68.19%0.4%2026-10-18 20:24
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎3.10I 32.26%NM 32.02%1.46I 68.49%NM 67.98%0.8%2026-10-18 20:20
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎3.10I 32.26%NM 32.02%1.46I 68.49%NM 67.98%0.8%2026-10-18 20:25
ProphetX◎3.05I 32.79%NM 32.52%1.47I 68.03%NM 67.48%0.8%2026-10-18 20:25
Polymarket◎3.12I 32.05%NM 31.73%1.45I 68.97%NM 68.27%1.0%2026-10-18 16:19
Kalshi◎3.03I 33.00%NM 32.67%1.47I 68.03%NM 67.33%1.0%2026-10-18 20:25
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎3.05I 32.79%NM 32.37%1.46I 68.49%NM 67.63%1.3%2026-10-18 20:25
BetOpenly◎3.06I 32.68%NM 32.15%1.45I 68.97%NM 67.85%1.6%2026-10-18 20:24
Smarkets◎3.05I 32.79%NM 32.07%1.44I 69.44%NM 67.93%2.2%2026-10-18 20:25