Las Vegas Raiders v Buffalo Bills

2026-10-18 20:25 UTC — NFL

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Head to Head

2 sportsbooks (2 in analysis )

28%

72%

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: IQM

Las Vegas Raiders (Local)

Prediction 27.87%3.59fair odd

EV +0.315%

Edge +0.088%

Kelly +0.121%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.60

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

26.23%27.87%27.87%29.50%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Odds’ distribution

3.253.423.423.6031%29%29%28%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Buffalo Bills (Visit)

Prediction 72.13%1.39fair odd

EV -1.90%

Edge -1.39%

Kelly -5.27%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.36

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

70.50%72.13%72.13%73.77%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Odds’ distribution

1.281.321.321.3678%76%76%74%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Sportsbook Odds (2 sportsbooks)

Bookmaker	Local ▼	Visit	Margin	Updated
Caesars	3.60I 27.78%NM 26.23%EV +0.315%E +0.088%K +0.121%G +0.000%	1.28I 78.13%NM 73.77%EV -7.67%E -5.99%K -27.38%G +0.000%	5.9%	2026-06-22 22:48
DraftKings	3.25I 30.77%NM 29.50%EV -9.44%E -2.90%K -4.19%G +0.000%	1.36I 73.53%NM 70.50%EV -1.90%E -1.39%K -5.27%G +0.000%	4.3%	2026-06-22 22:49

Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.