Las Vegas Raiders v Buffalo Bills

2026-10-18 20:25 — NFL

Head to Head

2 sportsbooks (2 in analysis)

Option 1: Las Vegas Raiders (Local)

Odds

3.2530.77%Min

3.4229.20%Mean

3.4229.20%Median

3.6027.78%Max

Consensus probabilities

26.23%3.813Min

29.50%3.390Max

27.87%3.589Mean

27.87%3.589Median

27.87%3.589IQM

28.08%3.561Margin-weighted

Metrics for max odd 3.60 under the IQM model: 27.87%

EV +0.315%Edge +0.088%Kelly +0.121%Growth +0.000%

Option 2: Buffalo Bills (Visit)

Odds

1.2878.13%Min

1.3275.76%Mean

1.3275.76%Median

1.3673.53%Max

Consensus probabilities

70.50%1.418Min

73.77%1.356Max

72.13%1.386Mean

72.13%1.386Median

72.13%1.386IQM

71.92%1.390Margin-weighted

Metrics for max odd 1.36 under the IQM model: 72.13%

EV -1.90%Edge -1.39%Kelly -5.27%Growth +0.000%

Sportsbook Odds (2 sportsbooks)

Bookmaker	Las Vegas Raiders (Local) ▼	Buffalo Bills (Visit)	Margin	Updated
Caesars	3.60I 27.78% NM 26.23%EV +0.315% E +0.088% K +0.121% G +0.000%	1.28I 78.13% NM 73.77%EV -7.67% E -5.99% K -27.38% G +0.000%	5.9%	2026-06-22 22:48
DraftKings	3.25I 30.77% NM 29.50%EV -9.44% E -2.90% K -4.19% G +0.000%	1.36I 73.53% NM 70.50%EV -1.90% E -1.39% K -5.27% G +0.000%	4.3%	2026-06-22 22:49

Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth