Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Las Vegas Raiders v Buffalo Bills

2026-10-18 20:25 UTC — NFL

Head to Head

2 sportsbooks (2 in analysis )

28%

72%

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Las Vegas Raiders (Local)

Prediction 27.87%3.59fair odd

EV +0.315%

Edge +0.088%

Kelly +0.121%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.60

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

26.23%27.87%27.87%29.50%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

3.253.423.423.6030.77%29.20%29.20%27.78%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Buffalo Bills (Visit)

Prediction 72.13%1.39fair odd

EV -1.90%

Edge -1.39%

Kelly -5.27%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.36

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

70.50%72.13%72.13%73.77%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

1.281.321.321.3678.13%75.76%75.76%73.53%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Las Vegas Raiders (Local): 27.87%; Buffalo Bills (Visit): 72.13%. For Las Vegas Raiders (Local), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.59. 1 bookmaker offers odds above that level; the best available odds are 3.60, producing a positive expected value of +0.315%.

Sportsbook Odds (2 sportsbooks)

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Bookmaker	Local ▼	Visit	Margin	Updated
Caesars🎯	3.60I 27.78%NM 26.23%EV +0.315%E +0.088%K +0.121%G +0.000%	1.28I 78.13%NM 73.77%EV -7.67%E -5.99%K -27.38%G +0.000%	5.9%	2026-06-22 22:48
DraftKings🎯	3.25I 30.77%NM 29.50%EV -9.44%E -2.90%K -4.19%G +0.000%	1.36I 73.53%NM 70.50%EV -1.90%E -1.39%K -5.27%G +0.000%	4.3%	2026-08-14 16:09

Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

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