Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Kansas City Chiefs v Los Angeles Chargers

Início: 2026-10-18 20:25 UTC

Final: Kansas City Chiefs 22–6 Los Angeles Chargers

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

57 casas de apostas (20 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Kansas City Chiefs (Local)

Previsão 76.48%1.31odd justa
EV -1.34%
Vantagem -1.04%
Kelly -4.61%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.29

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
73.40%76.29%76.56%78.67%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.121.241.251.2989.29%80.38%80.00%77.52%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Los Angeles Chargers (Visitante)

Previsão 23.52%4.25odd justa
EV +7.00%
Vantagem +1.54%
Kelly +1.97%
Crescimento +0.138%

pressupondo odds máximas de 4.55

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
21.33%23.71%23.44%26.60%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
3.554.074.104.5528.17%24.58%24.39%21.98%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Kansas City Chiefs (Local): 76.48%; Los Angeles Chargers (Visitante): 23.52%. Para Los Angeles Chargers (Visitante), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 4.25. 11 casas de apostas ofereciam odds de fecho acima desse nível; as melhores eram 4.55, correspondendo a um valor esperado positivo de +7.00%.

Odds das casas de apostas (57 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocalVisitante ▼MargemAtualização
Coolbet🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 78.45%EV -4.39%E -3.52%K -17.58%G +0.000%4.55I 21.98%NM 21.55%EV +7.00%E +1.54%K +1.97%G +0.138%2.0%2026-10-18 20:24
Everygame🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 78.67%EV -6.69%E -5.48%K -30.41%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.33%EV +5.82%E +1.29%K +1.66%G +0.097%4.2%2026-10-18 19:22
BetAnything🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 78.29%EV -6.69%E -5.48%K -30.41%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.71%EV +3.47%E +0.789%K +1.02%G +0.035%4.7%2026-10-18 19:00
Unibet (NL)🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 77.68%EV -4.39%E -3.52%K -17.58%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 22.32%EV +2.29%E +0.527%K +0.685%G +0.016%3.0%2026-10-16 19:25
Unibet (SE)🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 77.68%EV -4.39%E -3.52%K -17.58%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 22.32%EV +2.29%E +0.527%K +0.685%G +0.016%3.0%2026-10-16 19:24
Svenska Spel🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 77.68%EV -4.39%E -3.52%K -17.58%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 22.32%EV +2.29%E +0.527%K +0.685%G +0.016%3.0%2026-10-16 19:24
ATG (SE)🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 77.68%EV -4.39%E -3.52%K -17.58%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 22.32%EV +2.29%E +0.527%K +0.685%G +0.016%3.0%2026-10-16 19:25
MyBookie.ag🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 77.96%EV -5.92%E -4.82%K -25.76%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 22.04%EV +2.29%E +0.527%K +0.685%G +0.016%4.3%2026-10-18 20:25
BetMGM🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 77.74%EV -5.16%E -4.16%K -21.50%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 22.26%EV +1.82%E +0.421%K +0.548%G +0.010%3.7%2026-10-18 20:25
Coral🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 78.02%EV -6.69%E -5.48%K -30.41%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.98%EV +1.82%E +0.421%K +0.548%G +0.010%5.1%2026-10-18 20:25
DraftKings🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 77.62%EV -5.16%E -4.16%K -21.50%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.38%EV +1.12%E +0.260%K +0.339%G +0.004%3.9%2026-10-18 20:24
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 77.41%EV -5.16%E -4.16%K -21.50%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.59%EV -0.057%E -0.013%K -0.018%G +0.000%4.2%2026-10-16 19:25
Caesars🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 77.06%EV -4.39%E -3.52%K -17.58%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.94%EV -1.23%E -0.294%K -0.385%G +0.000%3.8%2026-10-16 18:35
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 77.06%EV -4.39%E -3.52%K -17.58%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.94%EV -1.23%E -0.294%K -0.385%G +0.000%3.8%2026-10-18 20:20
BetUS🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 77.06%EV -4.39%E -3.52%K -17.58%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.94%EV -1.23%E -0.294%K -0.385%G +0.000%3.8%2026-10-18 20:25
betfred_uk🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 77.21%EV -5.16%E -4.16%K -21.50%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.79%EV -1.23%E -0.294%K -0.385%G +0.000%4.5%2026-10-18 11:04
Unibet🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 77.21%EV -5.16%E -4.16%K -21.50%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.79%EV -1.23%E -0.294%K -0.385%G +0.000%4.5%2026-10-16 19:25
Bally Bet🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 77.21%EV -5.16%E -4.16%K -21.50%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.79%EV -1.23%E -0.294%K -0.385%G +0.000%4.5%2026-10-16 19:25
betPARX🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 77.21%EV -5.16%E -4.16%K -21.50%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.79%EV -1.23%E -0.294%K -0.385%G +0.000%4.5%2026-10-16 19:23
Betr (AU)🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 77.35%EV -5.92%E -4.82%K -25.76%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.65%EV -1.23%E -0.294%K -0.385%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-18 19:44
BetRivers🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -6.69%E -5.48%K -30.41%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -1.23%E -0.294%K -0.385%G +0.000%5.8%2026-10-18 20:25
GTbets🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 76.99%EV -5.16%E -4.16%K -21.50%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 23.01%EV -2.41%E -0.580%K -0.765%G +0.000%4.7%2026-10-18 20:25
NordicBet🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 77.09%EV -5.92%E -4.82%K -25.76%G +0.000%4.14I 24.15%NM 22.91%EV -2.64%E -0.639%K -0.842%G +0.000%5.5%2026-10-18 20:25
LowVig.ag🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 76.77%EV -4.39%E -3.52%K -17.58%G +0.000%4.13I 24.21%NM 23.23%EV -2.88%E -0.697%K -0.920%G +0.000%4.2%2026-10-18 20:24
BetOnline.ag🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 76.77%EV -4.39%E -3.52%K -17.58%G +0.000%4.13I 24.21%NM 23.23%EV -2.88%E -0.697%K -0.920%G +0.000%4.2%2026-10-18 20:25
FanDuel🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 76.49%EV -3.63%E -2.88%K -13.96%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.51%EV -3.58%E -0.874%K -1.16%G +0.000%3.8%2026-10-16 18:35
Fanatics🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 76.64%EV -4.39%E -3.52%K -17.58%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.36%EV -3.58%E -0.874%K -1.16%G +0.000%4.4%2026-10-18 20:24
SportsBet🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -5.16%E -4.16%K -21.50%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -3.58%E -0.874%K -1.16%G +0.000%5.0%2026-10-16 18:35
Tipico (DE)🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 77.07%EV -6.69%E -5.48%K -30.41%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.93%EV -3.58%E -0.874%K -1.16%G +0.000%6.4%2026-10-14 23:19
Pinnacle🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 75.94%EV -2.10%E -1.64%K -7.50%G +0.000%4.04I 24.75%NM 24.06%EV -5.00%E -1.24%K -1.64%G +0.000%2.9%2026-10-18 20:24
ReBet🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 75.76%EV -2.10%E -1.64%K -7.50%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.24%EV -5.94%E -1.48%K -1.98%G +0.000%3.1%2026-10-18 20:24
Paddy Power🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.39%E -3.52%K -17.58%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -5.94%E -1.48%K -1.98%G +0.000%5.0%2026-10-18 17:59
888sport🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.39%E -3.52%K -17.58%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -5.94%E -1.48%K -1.98%G +0.000%5.0%2026-10-17 18:45
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.39%E -3.52%K -17.58%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -5.94%E -1.48%K -1.98%G +0.000%5.0%2026-10-17 18:45
888sport (SE)🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.39%E -3.52%K -17.58%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -5.94%E -1.48%K -1.98%G +0.000%5.0%2026-10-17 18:45
Neds🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.39%E -3.52%K -17.58%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -5.94%E -1.48%K -1.98%G +0.000%5.0%2026-10-18 20:19
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.39%E -3.52%K -17.58%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -5.94%E -1.48%K -1.98%G +0.000%5.0%2026-10-18 20:19
theScore Bet🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.39%E -3.52%K -17.58%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -5.94%E -1.48%K -1.98%G +0.000%5.0%2026-10-18 20:20
William Hill🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.39%E -3.52%K -17.58%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -5.94%E -1.48%K -1.98%G +0.000%5.0%2026-10-17 18:45
TAB🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.39%E -3.52%K -17.58%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -5.94%E -1.48%K -1.98%G +0.000%5.0%2026-10-18 19:59
Bet Right🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.39%E -3.52%K -17.58%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -5.94%E -1.48%K -1.98%G +0.000%5.0%2026-10-18 20:25
Betway🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -6.69%E -5.48%K -30.41%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -5.94%E -1.48%K -1.98%G +0.000%7.0%2026-10-18 20:25
Bet Victor🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -6.69%E -5.48%K -30.41%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -5.94%E -1.48%K -1.98%G +0.000%7.0%2026-10-18 20:24
betano_uk🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -6.69%E -5.48%K -30.41%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -5.94%E -1.48%K -1.98%G +0.000%7.0%2026-10-18 20:24
picklebet_au🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 75.29%EV -2.10%E -1.64%K -7.50%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.71%EV -8.29%E -2.13%K -2.86%G +0.000%3.8%2026-10-18 20:24
Unibet (UK)🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 75.44%EV -2.87%E -2.26%K -10.61%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.56%EV -8.29%E -2.13%K -2.86%G +0.000%4.4%2026-10-18 20:23
Bovada🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 75.58%EV -3.63%E -2.88%K -13.96%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.42%EV -8.29%E -2.13%K -2.86%G +0.000%5.0%2026-10-18 20:23
Dabble (AU)🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 75.05%EV -2.10%E -1.64%K -7.50%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.95%EV -9.46%E -2.46%K -3.32%G +0.000%4.1%2026-10-18 20:20
NetBet (FR)🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 76.31%EV -9.75%E -8.26%K -54.16%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.69%EV -10.64%E -2.80%K -3.80%G +0.000%11.1%2026-10-18 20:25
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 74.40%EV -1.34%E -1.04%K -4.61%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.60%EV -11.82%E -3.15%K -4.30%G +0.000%4.2%2026-10-18 20:24
Codere (IT)🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 74.85%EV -3.63%E -2.88%K -13.96%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.15%EV -11.82%E -3.15%K -4.30%G +0.000%6.0%2026-10-18 20:24
LeoVegas🎯1.21I 82.64%NM 75.60%EV -7.45%E -6.16%K -35.50%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.40%EV -11.82%E -3.15%K -4.30%G +0.000%9.3%2026-10-18 20:24
Betclic (FR)🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 75.20%EV -6.69%E -5.48%K -30.41%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.80%EV -12.99%E -3.51%K -4.81%G +0.000%9.0%2026-10-18 19:59
PMU (FR)🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 76.76%EV -14.34%E -12.80%K -119.48%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 23.24%EV -12.99%E -3.51%K -4.81%G +0.000%16.3%2026-10-16 19:24
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -1.34%E -1.04%K -4.61%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -15.34%E -4.26%K -5.90%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-18 20:24
Marathon Bet🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 73.40%EV -1.34%E -1.04%K -4.61%G +0.000%3.56I 28.09%NM 26.60%EV -16.28%E -4.57%K -6.36%G +0.000%5.6%2026-10-18 20:24
Fliff🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 73.50%EV -2.10%E -1.64%K -7.50%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.50%EV -16.52%E -4.65%K -6.48%G +0.000%6.3%2026-10-18 20:25
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (9)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.29I 77.52%NM 77.33%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.67%0.2%2026-10-18 20:25
Novig◎1.30I 76.92%NM 76.62%4.26I 23.47%NM 23.38%0.4%2026-10-18 20:24
Matchbook◎1.29I 77.52%NM 76.92%4.30I 23.26%NM 23.08%0.8%2026-10-18 20:25
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.29I 77.52%NM 76.92%4.30I 23.26%NM 23.08%0.8%2026-10-18 20:25
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.29I 77.52%NM 76.92%4.30I 23.26%NM 23.08%0.8%2026-10-18 20:25
ProphetX◎1.29I 77.52%NM 76.71%4.25I 23.53%NM 23.29%1.0%2026-10-18 20:25
Polymarket◎1.28I 78.13%NM 77.26%4.35I 22.99%NM 22.74%1.1%2026-10-18 20:19
Smarkets◎1.28I 78.13%NM 77.06%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.94%1.4%2026-10-18 20:25
BetOpenly◎1.25I 80.00%NM 75.96%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.04%5.3%2026-10-18 20:24