Kansas City Chiefs v Los Angeles Chargers

2026-10-18 20:25 — NFL

Head to Head

2 sportsbooks (2 in analysis)

Option 1: Kansas City Chiefs (Local)

Odds

1.6560.61%Min

1.6759.70%Mean

1.6759.70%Median

1.7058.82%Max

Consensus probabilities

56.41%1.773Min

57.69%1.733Max

57.05%1.753Mean

57.05%1.753Median

57.05%1.753IQM

57.01%1.754Margin-weighted

Metrics for max odd 1.70 under the IQM model: 57.05%

EV -3.01%Edge -1.77%Kelly -4.30%Growth +0.000%

Option 2: Los Angeles Chargers (Visit)

Odds

2.2045.45%Min

2.2344.94%Mean

2.2344.94%Median

2.2544.44%Max

Consensus probabilities

42.31%2.364Min

43.59%2.294Max

42.95%2.328Mean

42.95%2.328Median

42.95%2.328IQM

42.99%2.326Margin-weighted

Metrics for max odd 2.25 under the IQM model: 42.95%

EV -3.37%Edge -1.50%Kelly -2.69%Growth +0.000%

Sportsbook Odds (2 sportsbooks)

Bookmaker	Kansas City Chiefs (Local) ▼	Los Angeles Chargers (Visit)	Margin	Updated
DraftKings	1.70I 58.82% NM 56.41%EV -3.01% E -1.77% K -4.30% G +0.000%	2.20I 45.45% NM 43.59%EV -5.51% E -2.51% K -4.59% G +0.000%	4.3%	2026-06-26 09:59
Caesars	1.65I 60.61% NM 57.69%EV -5.87% E -3.55% K -9.02% G +0.000%	2.25I 44.44% NM 42.31%EV -3.37% E -1.50% K -2.69% G +0.000%	5.1%	2026-06-22 22:37

Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth