Kansas City Chiefs v Los Angeles Chargers

2026-10-18 20:25 UTC — NFL

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Head to Head

2 sportsbooks (2 in analysis )

56%

44%

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: IQM

Kansas City Chiefs (Local)

Prediction 56.42%1.77fair odd

EV -1.82%

Edge -1.05%

Kelly -2.46%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.74

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

55.15%56.42%56.42%57.69%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Odds’ distribution

1.651.691.691.7461%59%59%57%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Los Angeles Chargers (Visit)

Prediction 43.58%2.29fair odd

EV -1.95%

Edge -0.868%

Kelly -1.56%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.25

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

42.31%43.58%43.58%44.85%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Odds’ distribution

2.142.202.202.2547%46%46%44%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Sportsbook Odds (2 sportsbooks)

Bookmaker	Local ▼	Visit	Margin	Updated
DraftKings	1.74I 57.47%NM 55.15%EV -1.82%E -1.05%K -2.46%G +0.000%	2.14I 46.73%NM 44.85%EV -6.75%E -3.15%K -5.92%G +0.000%	4.2%	2026-07-07 14:25
Caesars	1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -6.90%E -4.18%K -10.62%G +0.000%	2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -1.95%E -0.868%K -1.56%G +0.000%	5.1%	2026-06-22 22:37

Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.