Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Kansas City Chiefs v Los Angeles Chargers

Coup d’envoi : 2026-10-18 20:25 UTC

Score final : Kansas City Chiefs 22–6 Los Angeles Chargers

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

57 opérateurs (20 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Kansas City Chiefs (Local)

Prévision 76.48%1.31cote équitable
EV -1.34%
Avantage -1.04%
Kelly -4.61%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.29

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
73.40%76.29%76.56%78.67%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.121.241.251.2989.29%80.38%80.00%77.52%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Los Angeles Chargers (Visiteur)

Prévision 23.52%4.25cote équitable
EV +7.00%
Avantage +1.54%
Kelly +1.97%
Croissance +0.138%

avec la cote maximale 4.55

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
21.33%23.71%23.44%26.60%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
3.554.074.104.5528.17%24.58%24.39%21.98%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Kansas City Chiefs (Local) : 76.48% ; Los Angeles Chargers (Visiteur) : 23.52%. Pour Los Angeles Chargers (Visiteur), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 4.25. 11 opérateurs proposaient une cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure était 4.55, soit une espérance positive de +7.00%.

Cotes des opérateurs (57 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼MargeMise à jour
Coolbet🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 78.45%EV -4.39%E -3.52%K -17.58%G +0.000%4.55I 21.98%NM 21.55%EV +7.00%E +1.54%K +1.97%G +0.138%2.0%2026-10-18 20:24
Everygame🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 78.67%EV -6.69%E -5.48%K -30.41%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.33%EV +5.82%E +1.29%K +1.66%G +0.097%4.2%2026-10-18 19:22
BetAnything🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 78.29%EV -6.69%E -5.48%K -30.41%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.71%EV +3.47%E +0.789%K +1.02%G +0.035%4.7%2026-10-18 19:00
Unibet (NL)🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 77.68%EV -4.39%E -3.52%K -17.58%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 22.32%EV +2.29%E +0.527%K +0.685%G +0.016%3.0%2026-10-16 19:25
Unibet (SE)🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 77.68%EV -4.39%E -3.52%K -17.58%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 22.32%EV +2.29%E +0.527%K +0.685%G +0.016%3.0%2026-10-16 19:24
Svenska Spel🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 77.68%EV -4.39%E -3.52%K -17.58%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 22.32%EV +2.29%E +0.527%K +0.685%G +0.016%3.0%2026-10-16 19:24
ATG (SE)🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 77.68%EV -4.39%E -3.52%K -17.58%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 22.32%EV +2.29%E +0.527%K +0.685%G +0.016%3.0%2026-10-16 19:25
MyBookie.ag🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 77.96%EV -5.92%E -4.82%K -25.76%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 22.04%EV +2.29%E +0.527%K +0.685%G +0.016%4.3%2026-10-18 20:25
BetMGM🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 77.74%EV -5.16%E -4.16%K -21.50%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 22.26%EV +1.82%E +0.421%K +0.548%G +0.010%3.7%2026-10-18 20:25
Coral🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 78.02%EV -6.69%E -5.48%K -30.41%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.98%EV +1.82%E +0.421%K +0.548%G +0.010%5.1%2026-10-18 20:25
DraftKings🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 77.62%EV -5.16%E -4.16%K -21.50%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.38%EV +1.12%E +0.260%K +0.339%G +0.004%3.9%2026-10-18 20:24
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 77.41%EV -5.16%E -4.16%K -21.50%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.59%EV -0.057%E -0.013%K -0.018%G +0.000%4.2%2026-10-16 19:25
Caesars🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 77.06%EV -4.39%E -3.52%K -17.58%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.94%EV -1.23%E -0.294%K -0.385%G +0.000%3.8%2026-10-16 18:35
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 77.06%EV -4.39%E -3.52%K -17.58%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.94%EV -1.23%E -0.294%K -0.385%G +0.000%3.8%2026-10-18 20:20
BetUS🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 77.06%EV -4.39%E -3.52%K -17.58%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.94%EV -1.23%E -0.294%K -0.385%G +0.000%3.8%2026-10-18 20:25
betfred_uk🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 77.21%EV -5.16%E -4.16%K -21.50%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.79%EV -1.23%E -0.294%K -0.385%G +0.000%4.5%2026-10-18 11:04
Unibet🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 77.21%EV -5.16%E -4.16%K -21.50%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.79%EV -1.23%E -0.294%K -0.385%G +0.000%4.5%2026-10-16 19:25
Bally Bet🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 77.21%EV -5.16%E -4.16%K -21.50%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.79%EV -1.23%E -0.294%K -0.385%G +0.000%4.5%2026-10-16 19:25
betPARX🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 77.21%EV -5.16%E -4.16%K -21.50%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.79%EV -1.23%E -0.294%K -0.385%G +0.000%4.5%2026-10-16 19:23
Betr (AU)🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 77.35%EV -5.92%E -4.82%K -25.76%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.65%EV -1.23%E -0.294%K -0.385%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-18 19:44
BetRivers🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -6.69%E -5.48%K -30.41%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -1.23%E -0.294%K -0.385%G +0.000%5.8%2026-10-18 20:25
GTbets🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 76.99%EV -5.16%E -4.16%K -21.50%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 23.01%EV -2.41%E -0.580%K -0.765%G +0.000%4.7%2026-10-18 20:25
NordicBet🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 77.09%EV -5.92%E -4.82%K -25.76%G +0.000%4.14I 24.15%NM 22.91%EV -2.64%E -0.639%K -0.842%G +0.000%5.5%2026-10-18 20:25
LowVig.ag🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 76.77%EV -4.39%E -3.52%K -17.58%G +0.000%4.13I 24.21%NM 23.23%EV -2.88%E -0.697%K -0.920%G +0.000%4.2%2026-10-18 20:24
BetOnline.ag🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 76.77%EV -4.39%E -3.52%K -17.58%G +0.000%4.13I 24.21%NM 23.23%EV -2.88%E -0.697%K -0.920%G +0.000%4.2%2026-10-18 20:25
FanDuel🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 76.49%EV -3.63%E -2.88%K -13.96%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.51%EV -3.58%E -0.874%K -1.16%G +0.000%3.8%2026-10-16 18:35
Fanatics🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 76.64%EV -4.39%E -3.52%K -17.58%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.36%EV -3.58%E -0.874%K -1.16%G +0.000%4.4%2026-10-18 20:24
SportsBet🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -5.16%E -4.16%K -21.50%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -3.58%E -0.874%K -1.16%G +0.000%5.0%2026-10-16 18:35
Tipico (DE)🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 77.07%EV -6.69%E -5.48%K -30.41%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.93%EV -3.58%E -0.874%K -1.16%G +0.000%6.4%2026-10-14 23:19
Pinnacle🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 75.94%EV -2.10%E -1.64%K -7.50%G +0.000%4.04I 24.75%NM 24.06%EV -5.00%E -1.24%K -1.64%G +0.000%2.9%2026-10-18 20:24
ReBet🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 75.76%EV -2.10%E -1.64%K -7.50%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.24%EV -5.94%E -1.48%K -1.98%G +0.000%3.1%2026-10-18 20:24
Paddy Power🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.39%E -3.52%K -17.58%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -5.94%E -1.48%K -1.98%G +0.000%5.0%2026-10-18 17:59
888sport🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.39%E -3.52%K -17.58%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -5.94%E -1.48%K -1.98%G +0.000%5.0%2026-10-17 18:45
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.39%E -3.52%K -17.58%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -5.94%E -1.48%K -1.98%G +0.000%5.0%2026-10-17 18:45
888sport (SE)🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.39%E -3.52%K -17.58%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -5.94%E -1.48%K -1.98%G +0.000%5.0%2026-10-17 18:45
Neds🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.39%E -3.52%K -17.58%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -5.94%E -1.48%K -1.98%G +0.000%5.0%2026-10-18 20:19
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.39%E -3.52%K -17.58%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -5.94%E -1.48%K -1.98%G +0.000%5.0%2026-10-18 20:19
theScore Bet🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.39%E -3.52%K -17.58%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -5.94%E -1.48%K -1.98%G +0.000%5.0%2026-10-18 20:20
William Hill🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.39%E -3.52%K -17.58%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -5.94%E -1.48%K -1.98%G +0.000%5.0%2026-10-17 18:45
TAB🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.39%E -3.52%K -17.58%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -5.94%E -1.48%K -1.98%G +0.000%5.0%2026-10-18 19:59
Bet Right🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.39%E -3.52%K -17.58%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -5.94%E -1.48%K -1.98%G +0.000%5.0%2026-10-18 20:25
Betway🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -6.69%E -5.48%K -30.41%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -5.94%E -1.48%K -1.98%G +0.000%7.0%2026-10-18 20:25
Bet Victor🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -6.69%E -5.48%K -30.41%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -5.94%E -1.48%K -1.98%G +0.000%7.0%2026-10-18 20:24
betano_uk🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -6.69%E -5.48%K -30.41%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -5.94%E -1.48%K -1.98%G +0.000%7.0%2026-10-18 20:24
picklebet_au🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 75.29%EV -2.10%E -1.64%K -7.50%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.71%EV -8.29%E -2.13%K -2.86%G +0.000%3.8%2026-10-18 20:24
Unibet (UK)🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 75.44%EV -2.87%E -2.26%K -10.61%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.56%EV -8.29%E -2.13%K -2.86%G +0.000%4.4%2026-10-18 20:23
Bovada🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 75.58%EV -3.63%E -2.88%K -13.96%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.42%EV -8.29%E -2.13%K -2.86%G +0.000%5.0%2026-10-18 20:23
Dabble (AU)🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 75.05%EV -2.10%E -1.64%K -7.50%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.95%EV -9.46%E -2.46%K -3.32%G +0.000%4.1%2026-10-18 20:20
NetBet (FR)🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 76.31%EV -9.75%E -8.26%K -54.16%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.69%EV -10.64%E -2.80%K -3.80%G +0.000%11.1%2026-10-18 20:25
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 74.40%EV -1.34%E -1.04%K -4.61%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.60%EV -11.82%E -3.15%K -4.30%G +0.000%4.2%2026-10-18 20:24
Codere (IT)🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 74.85%EV -3.63%E -2.88%K -13.96%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.15%EV -11.82%E -3.15%K -4.30%G +0.000%6.0%2026-10-18 20:24
LeoVegas🎯1.21I 82.64%NM 75.60%EV -7.45%E -6.16%K -35.50%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.40%EV -11.82%E -3.15%K -4.30%G +0.000%9.3%2026-10-18 20:24
Betclic (FR)🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 75.20%EV -6.69%E -5.48%K -30.41%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.80%EV -12.99%E -3.51%K -4.81%G +0.000%9.0%2026-10-18 19:59
PMU (FR)🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 76.76%EV -14.34%E -12.80%K -119.48%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 23.24%EV -12.99%E -3.51%K -4.81%G +0.000%16.3%2026-10-16 19:24
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -1.34%E -1.04%K -4.61%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -15.34%E -4.26%K -5.90%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-18 20:24
Marathon Bet🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 73.40%EV -1.34%E -1.04%K -4.61%G +0.000%3.56I 28.09%NM 26.60%EV -16.28%E -4.57%K -6.36%G +0.000%5.6%2026-10-18 20:24
Fliff🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 73.50%EV -2.10%E -1.64%K -7.50%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.50%EV -16.52%E -4.65%K -6.48%G +0.000%6.3%2026-10-18 20:25
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (9)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.29I 77.52%NM 77.33%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.67%0.2%2026-10-18 20:25
Novig◎1.30I 76.92%NM 76.62%4.26I 23.47%NM 23.38%0.4%2026-10-18 20:24
Matchbook◎1.29I 77.52%NM 76.92%4.30I 23.26%NM 23.08%0.8%2026-10-18 20:25
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.29I 77.52%NM 76.92%4.30I 23.26%NM 23.08%0.8%2026-10-18 20:25
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.29I 77.52%NM 76.92%4.30I 23.26%NM 23.08%0.8%2026-10-18 20:25
ProphetX◎1.29I 77.52%NM 76.71%4.25I 23.53%NM 23.29%1.0%2026-10-18 20:25
Polymarket◎1.28I 78.13%NM 77.26%4.35I 22.99%NM 22.74%1.1%2026-10-18 20:19
Smarkets◎1.28I 78.13%NM 77.06%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.94%1.4%2026-10-18 20:25
BetOpenly◎1.25I 80.00%NM 75.96%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.04%5.3%2026-10-18 20:24