Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
assuming max odds 1.78
assuming max odds 2.40
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Philadelphia Eagles (Local): 56.30%; Cincinnati Bengals (Visit): 43.70%. For Cincinnati Bengals (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.29. 6 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.40, corresponding to a positive expected value of +4.87%.
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Everygame🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.70%EV -8.79%E -5.42%K -14.17%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.30%EV +4.87%E +2.03%K +3.48%G +0.170% | 3.4% | 2026-08-28 23:44 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.50%EV -8.79%E -5.42%K -14.17%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 40.50%EV +4.00%E +1.68%K +2.90%G +0.116% | 3.7% | 2026-08-28 22:50 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.75%EV -7.10%E -4.30%K -10.92%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 41.25%EV +2.69%E +1.14%K +1.99%G +0.053% | 3.2% | 2026-08-28 23:49 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.33%EV -7.10%E -4.30%K -10.92%G +0.000% | 2.31I 43.29%NM 41.67%EV +0.939%E +0.407%K +0.717%G +0.007% | 3.9% | 2026-08-28 23:55 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -5.97%E -3.58%K -8.92%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV +0.502%E +0.218%K +0.386%G +0.002% | 3.4% | 2026-08-28 23:00 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -8.79%E -5.42%K -14.17%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV +0.502%E +0.218%K +0.386%G +0.002% | 5.2% | 2026-08-29 00:05 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -4.85%E -2.87%K -7.02%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -1.68%E -0.748%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-08-29 00:00 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -5.97%E -3.58%K -8.92%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -1.68%E -0.748%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-08-28 23:55 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -5.97%E -3.58%K -8.92%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -1.68%E -0.748%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-08-28 23:55 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -7.10%E -4.30%K -10.92%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -1.68%E -0.748%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-28 23:55 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -7.10%E -4.30%K -10.92%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -3.87%E -1.76%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-29 00:06 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -9.91%E -6.20%K -16.52%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -3.87%E -1.76%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-08-28 23:20 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -9.91%E -6.20%K -16.52%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -3.87%E -1.76%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-08-29 00:05 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 56.44%EV -4.85%E -2.87%K -7.02%G +0.000% | 2.19I 45.66%NM 43.56%EV -4.30%E -1.97%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-29 00:05 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.19%EV -4.28%E -2.52%K -6.12%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.81%EV -4.74%E -2.18%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-29 00:04 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.19%EV -4.28%E -2.52%K -6.12%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.81%EV -4.74%E -2.18%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-28 21:00 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 56.33%EV -4.85%E -2.87%K -7.02%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.67%EV -4.74%E -2.18%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-28 23:59 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.92%EV -7.10%E -4.30%K -10.92%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.08%EV -4.74%E -2.18%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-08-29 00:00 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.93%EV -3.72%E -2.18%K -5.24%G +0.000% | 2.17I 46.08%NM 44.07%EV -5.18%E -2.39%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-08-29 00:04 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 56.96%EV -7.66%E -4.67%K -11.97%G +0.000% | 2.17I 46.08%NM 43.04%EV -5.18%E -2.39%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-29 00:05 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.25%EV -5.41%E -3.22%K -7.96%G +0.000% | 2.16I 46.30%NM 43.75%EV -5.62%E -2.60%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-29 00:05 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 56.73%EV -7.66%E -4.67%K -11.97%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.27%EV -6.05%E -2.82%K -5.26%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-08-28 23:55 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 56.73%EV -7.66%E -4.67%K -11.97%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.27%EV -6.05%E -2.82%K -5.26%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-08-28 23:59 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 55.79%EV -5.41%E -3.22%K -7.96%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.21%EV -7.36%E -3.47%K -6.57%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-29 00:05 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 56.68%EV -8.79%E -5.42%K -14.17%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 43.32%EV -7.36%E -3.47%K -6.57%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-08-29 00:06 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -2.60%E -1.50%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -8.24%E -3.92%K -7.49%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-29 00:05 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -3.72%E -2.18%K -5.24%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -8.24%E -3.92%K -7.49%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-29 00:05 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -5.97%E -3.58%K -8.92%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -8.24%E -3.92%K -7.49%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-08-29 00:05 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.89%EV +0.220%E +0.124%K +0.282%G +0.001% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 46.11%EV -9.11%E -4.38%K -8.44%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-08-29 00:05 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 55.32%EV -5.41%E -3.22%K -7.96%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 44.68%EV -9.11%E -4.38%K -8.44%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-29 00:05 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 54.52%EV -3.72%E -2.18%K -5.24%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.48%EV -10.42%E -5.08%K -9.93%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-08-29 00:05 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 54.59%EV -5.41%E -3.22%K -7.96%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 45.41%EV -11.73%E -5.81%K -11.50%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-08-29 00:05 |
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.67I 59.88%NM 59.17% | 2.42I 41.32%NM 40.83% | 1.2% | 2026-08-28 23:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.67I 59.88%NM 59.17% | 2.42I 41.32%NM 40.83% | 1.2% | 2026-08-28 23:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.67I 59.88%NM 59.17% | 2.42I 41.32%NM 40.83% | 1.2% | 2026-08-28 23:00 |
| Novig◎ | 1.67I 59.88%NM 59.07% | 2.41I 41.49%NM 40.93% | 1.4% | 2026-08-29 00:05 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.64I 60.98%NM 59.61% | 2.42I 41.32%NM 40.39% | 2.3% | 2026-08-29 00:05 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.44% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 41.56% | 3.7% | 2026-08-28 23:55 |