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默认模型四分位数间均值 (精选名单)
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Philadelphia Eagles v Cincinnati Bengals

开赛时间： 2026-08-29 00:07 UTC

最终结果： Philadelphia Eagles 13–30 Cincinnati Bengals

收盘赔率 — 按所选模型，根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始，因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →

胜负盘

32 家博彩公司 (9 家纳入分析 )

模型估计的各赛果概率：四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Philadelphia Eagles (主队)

预测 56.30%1.78公平赔率
EV +0.220%
优势 +0.124%
Kelly +0.282%
增长率 +0.001%

假设最高赔率为 1.78

博彩公司预测分布
53.89%56.16%56.19%59.70%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.601.671.671.7862.50%59.97%59.88%56.18%最小值均值中位数最大值

Cincinnati Bengals (客队)

预测 43.70%2.29公平赔率
EV +4.87%
优势 +2.03%
Kelly +3.48%
增长率 +0.170%

假设最高赔率为 2.40

博彩公司预测分布
40.30%43.84%43.81%46.11%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
2.022.192.182.4049.50%45.64%45.87%41.67%最小值均值中位数最大值

按开赛前最后一组赔率，四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为：Philadelphia Eagles (主队)：56.30%；Cincinnati Bengals (客队)：43.70%。 对于“Cincinnati Bengals (客队)”，该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为2.29。 当时有6家博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率；最佳赔率为2.40，对应+4.87%的正期望值。

博彩公司赔率 (32 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联，也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司主队客队 ▼利润率更新时间
Everygame🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 59.70%EV -8.79%E -5.42%K -14.17%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.30%EV +4.87%E +2.03%K +3.48%G +0.170%3.4%2026-08-28 23:44
BetUS🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 59.50%EV -8.79%E -5.42%K -14.17%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 40.50%EV +4.00%E +1.68%K +2.90%G +0.116%3.7%2026-08-28 22:50
BetAnything🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 58.75%EV -7.10%E -4.30%K -10.92%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 41.25%EV +2.69%E +1.14%K +1.99%G +0.053%3.2%2026-08-28 23:49
Pinnacle🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 58.33%EV -7.10%E -4.30%K -10.92%G +0.000%2.31I 43.29%NM 41.67%EV +0.939%E +0.407%K +0.717%G +0.007%3.9%2026-08-28 23:55
Bovada🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -5.97%E -3.58%K -8.92%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV +0.502%E +0.218%K +0.386%G +0.002%3.4%2026-08-28 23:00
TAB🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -8.79%E -5.42%K -14.17%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV +0.502%E +0.218%K +0.386%G +0.002%5.2%2026-08-29 00:05
BetMGM🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -4.85%E -2.87%K -7.02%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -1.68%E -0.748%K -1.35%G +0.000%3.6%2026-08-29 00:00
Neds🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -5.97%E -3.58%K -8.92%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -1.68%E -0.748%K -1.35%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-28 23:55
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -5.97%E -3.58%K -8.92%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -1.68%E -0.748%K -1.35%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-28 23:55
PlayUp🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -7.10%E -4.30%K -10.92%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -1.68%E -0.748%K -1.35%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-28 23:55
theScore Bet🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -7.10%E -4.30%K -10.92%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -3.87%E -1.76%K -3.22%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-29 00:06
Paddy Power🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -9.91%E -6.20%K -16.52%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -3.87%E -1.76%K -3.22%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-28 23:20
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -9.91%E -6.20%K -16.52%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -3.87%E -1.76%K -3.22%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-29 00:05
GTbets🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 56.44%EV -4.85%E -2.87%K -7.02%G +0.000%2.19I 45.66%NM 43.56%EV -4.30%E -1.97%K -3.62%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-29 00:05
DraftKings🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 56.19%EV -4.28%E -2.52%K -6.12%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.81%EV -4.74%E -2.18%K -4.02%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-29 00:04
BetRivers🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 56.19%EV -4.28%E -2.52%K -6.12%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.81%EV -4.74%E -2.18%K -4.02%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-28 21:00
MyBookie.ag🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 56.33%EV -4.85%E -2.87%K -7.02%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.67%EV -4.74%E -2.18%K -4.02%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-28 23:59
NordicBet🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 56.92%EV -7.10%E -4.30%K -10.92%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.08%EV -4.74%E -2.18%K -4.02%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-29 00:00
betPARX🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.93%EV -3.72%E -2.18%K -5.24%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 44.07%EV -5.18%E -2.39%K -4.43%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-29 00:04
SportsBet🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 56.96%EV -7.66%E -4.67%K -11.97%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 43.04%EV -5.18%E -2.39%K -4.43%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-29 00:05
FanDuel🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.25%EV -5.41%E -3.22%K -7.96%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 43.75%EV -5.62%E -2.60%K -4.84%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-29 00:05
Dabble (AU)🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 56.73%EV -7.66%E -4.67%K -11.97%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.27%EV -6.05%E -2.82%K -5.26%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-28 23:55
Betr (AU)🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 56.73%EV -7.66%E -4.67%K -11.97%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.27%EV -6.05%E -2.82%K -5.26%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-28 23:59
Betsson🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 55.79%EV -5.41%E -3.22%K -7.96%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.21%EV -7.36%E -3.47%K -6.57%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-29 00:05
LeoVegas🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 56.68%EV -8.79%E -5.42%K -14.17%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 43.32%EV -7.36%E -3.47%K -6.57%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-29 00:06
Unibet (SE)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -2.60%E -1.50%K -3.55%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -8.24%E -3.92%K -7.49%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-29 00:05
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -3.72%E -2.18%K -5.24%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -8.24%E -3.92%K -7.49%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-29 00:05
Fliff🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -5.97%E -3.58%K -8.92%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -8.24%E -3.92%K -7.49%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-29 00:05
Caesars🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 53.89%EV +0.220%E +0.124%K +0.282%G +0.001%2.08I 48.08%NM 46.11%EV -9.11%E -4.38%K -8.44%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-29 00:05
Bally Bet🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 55.32%EV -5.41%E -3.22%K -7.96%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 44.68%EV -9.11%E -4.38%K -8.44%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-29 00:05
Fanatics🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 54.52%EV -3.72%E -2.18%K -5.24%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.48%EV -10.42%E -5.08%K -9.93%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-29 00:05
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 54.59%EV -5.41%E -3.22%K -7.96%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 45.41%EV -11.73%E -5.81%K -11.50%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-29 00:05
利润率 = 利润率（超额概率） · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间，因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变，并不代表数据已经失效。通常，约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除；只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时，才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。

博彩交易所 (6)

博彩公司主队客队利润率 ▲更新时间
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.67I 59.88%NM 59.17%2.42I 41.32%NM 40.83%1.2%2026-08-28 23:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.67I 59.88%NM 59.17%2.42I 41.32%NM 40.83%1.2%2026-08-28 23:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.67I 59.88%NM 59.17%2.42I 41.32%NM 40.83%1.2%2026-08-28 23:00
Novig◎1.67I 59.88%NM 59.07%2.41I 41.49%NM 40.93%1.4%2026-08-29 00:05
ProphetX◎1.64I 60.98%NM 59.61%2.42I 41.32%NM 40.39%2.3%2026-08-29 00:05
Matchbook◎1.65I 60.61%NM 58.44%2.32I 43.10%NM 41.56%3.7%2026-08-28 23:55