Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Jacksonville Jaguars v Carolina Panthers

2026-08-21 23:30 UTC — NFL Preseason

Head to Head

7 sportsbooks (1 in analysis )

54%

46%

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Jacksonville Jaguars (Local)

Prediction 53.75%1.86fair odd

EV -3.79%

Edge -2.12%

Kelly -4.80%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.79

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

52.88%53.75%53.75%53.95%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

1.721.761.771.7958.14%56.82%56.50%55.87%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Carolina Panthers (Visit)

Prediction 46.25%2.16fair odd

EV -3.79%

Edge -1.82%

Kelly -3.51%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.08

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

46.05%46.25%46.25%47.12%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

1.932.032.042.0851.81%49.37%49.02%48.08%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Jacksonville Jaguars (Local): 53.75%; Carolina Panthers (Visit): 46.25%. For Jacksonville Jaguars (Local), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.86. No eligible bookmaker offers odds above that level: the best available odds are 1.79, with an expected value of -3.79%; they do not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (7 sportsbooks)

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Bookmaker	Local ▼	Visit	Margin	Updated
FanDuel🎯	1.79I 55.87%NM 53.75%EV -3.79%E -2.12%K -4.80%G +0.000%	2.08I 48.08%NM 46.25%EV -3.79%E -1.82%K -3.51%G +0.000%	3.9%	2026-08-17 05:03
MyBookie.ag🎯	1.79I 55.87%NM 53.26%EV -3.79%E -2.12%K -4.80%G +0.000%	2.04I 49.02%NM 46.74%EV -5.64%E -2.77%K -5.43%G +0.000%	4.9%	2026-08-17 06:28
SportsBet🎯	1.77I 56.50%NM 53.79%EV -4.87%E -2.75%K -6.32%G +0.000%	2.06I 48.54%NM 46.21%EV -4.72%E -2.29%K -4.45%G +0.000%	5.0%	2026-08-17 04:59
ReBet🎯	1.77I 56.50%NM 53.30%EV -4.87%E -2.75%K -6.32%G +0.000%	2.02I 49.50%NM 46.70%EV -6.57%E -3.25%K -6.44%G +0.000%	6.0%	2026-08-17 06:24
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯	1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -5.94%E -3.40%K -7.92%G +0.000%	2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -5.18%E -2.53%K -4.93%G +0.000%	5.9%	2026-08-17 05:09
Paddy Power🎯	1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -7.02%E -4.06%K -9.61%G +0.000%	2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -7.49%E -3.75%K -7.49%G +0.000%	7.8%	2026-08-17 05:14
LeoVegas🎯	1.72I 58.14%NM 52.88%EV -7.56%E -4.39%K -10.49%G +0.000%	1.93I 51.81%NM 47.12%EV -10.73%E -5.56%K -11.54%G +0.000%	10.0%	2026-08-17 06:24

Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (1)

Bookmaker	Local	Visit	Margin ▲	Updated
Novig◎	1.72I 58.14%NM 53.76%	2.00I 50.00%NM 46.24%	8.1%	2026-08-17 05:34

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