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Jacksonville Jaguars v Carolina Panthers
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Jacksonville Jaguars (Local)
Prediction 44.92%2.23fair odd
EV -2.97%
Edge -1.37%
Kelly -2.56%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.16
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
44.00%44.91%44.85%46.48%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.052.112.122.1648.78%47.32%47.17%46.30%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Carolina Panthers (Visit)
Prediction 55.08%1.82fair odd
EV -1.96%
Edge -1.10%
Kelly -2.51%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.78
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
53.52%55.09%55.15%56.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.651.731.741.7860.61%57.85%57.47%56.18%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Jacksonville Jaguars (Local): 44.92%; Carolina Panthers (Visit): 55.08%. For Carolina Panthers (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.82. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 1.78, with an expected value of -1.96%; they did not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (32 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.16I 46.30%NM 44.62%EV -2.97%E -1.37%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 55.38%EV -4.16%E -2.39%K -5.63%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-08-21 23:14 |
| GTbets🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -3.42%E -1.59%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -4.16%E -2.39%K -5.63%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-08-21 21:09 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -3.42%E -1.59%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -4.16%E -2.39%K -5.63%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-08-21 23:29 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -3.42%E -1.59%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -4.16%E -2.39%K -5.63%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-08-21 22:24 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -3.42%E -1.59%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -4.16%E -2.39%K -5.63%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-08-21 22:29 |
| Everygame🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -3.42%E -1.59%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -4.16%E -2.39%K -5.63%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-08-21 21:12 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -3.42%E -1.59%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -5.82%E -3.40%K -8.19%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-21 23:35 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -3.42%E -1.59%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -6.92%E -4.09%K -10.03%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-21 23:35 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.14I 46.73%NM 44.85%EV -3.87%E -1.81%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 55.15%EV -4.16%E -2.39%K -5.63%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-08-21 23:14 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.13I 46.95%NM 44.68%EV -4.32%E -2.03%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.32%EV -5.27%E -3.06%K -7.31%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-21 23:14 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 45.36%EV -4.77%E -2.25%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 54.64%EV -3.06%E -1.74%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-08-21 23:29 |
| Caesars🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 45.22%EV -4.77%E -2.25%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.78%EV -3.61%E -2.06%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-08-21 21:49 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 45.08%EV -4.77%E -2.25%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.92%EV -4.16%E -2.39%K -5.63%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-08-21 23:14 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 45.08%EV -4.77%E -2.25%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.92%EV -4.16%E -2.39%K -5.63%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-08-21 23:14 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 45.08%EV -4.77%E -2.25%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.92%EV -4.16%E -2.39%K -5.63%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-08-21 23:14 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 45.08%EV -4.77%E -2.25%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.92%EV -4.16%E -2.39%K -5.63%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-08-21 23:14 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 45.08%EV -4.77%E -2.25%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.92%EV -4.16%E -2.39%K -5.63%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-08-21 23:14 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -5.66%E -2.70%K -5.15%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -2.51%E -1.42%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-08-21 23:28 |
| TAB🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -5.66%E -2.70%K -5.15%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -3.61%E -2.06%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-21 23:24 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -5.66%E -2.70%K -5.15%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -4.16%E -2.39%K -5.63%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-21 23:19 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -5.66%E -2.70%K -5.15%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -4.16%E -2.39%K -5.63%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-21 21:49 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.66%E -2.70%K -5.15%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.71%E -2.73%K -6.46%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-21 21:44 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.66%E -2.70%K -5.15%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.71%E -2.73%K -6.46%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-21 22:25 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.66%E -2.70%K -5.15%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.71%E -2.73%K -6.46%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-21 22:25 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -5.66%E -2.70%K -5.15%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -6.37%E -3.75%K -9.10%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-21 22:09 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -5.66%E -2.70%K -5.15%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -6.37%E -3.75%K -9.10%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-21 22:15 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.44%EV -5.66%E -2.70%K -5.15%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 55.56%EV -7.47%E -4.45%K -10.98%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-21 23:19 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.00%EV -5.66%E -2.70%K -5.15%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.00%EV -9.12%E -5.53%K -14.03%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-08-21 22:39 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.48%EV -7.91%E -3.86%K -7.53%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.52%EV -1.96%E -1.10%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-21 23:19 |
| Fliff🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.48%EV -7.91%E -3.86%K -7.53%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 54.52%EV -5.82%E -3.40%K -8.19%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-08-21 23:14 |
| ReBet🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -7.91%E -3.86%K -7.53%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -6.37%E -3.75%K -9.10%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-21 23:35 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -7.91%E -3.86%K -7.53%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -6.37%E -3.75%K -9.10%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-21 23:19 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (6)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Novig◎ | 2.15I 46.51%NM 46.25% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 53.75% | 0.6% | 2026-08-21 23:35 |
| ProphetX◎ | 2.13I 46.95%NM 46.08% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 53.92% | 1.9% | 2026-08-21 23:35 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.06I 48.54%NM 47.04% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.96% | 3.2% | 2026-08-21 23:35 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.06I 48.54%NM 47.04% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.96% | 3.2% | 2026-08-21 23:35 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.06I 48.54%NM 46.91% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 53.09% | 3.5% | 2026-08-21 23:35 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.12I 47.17%NM 45.36% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 54.64% | 4.0% | 2026-08-21 23:30 |