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默认模型四分位数间均值 (精选名单)
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Jacksonville Jaguars v Carolina Panthers

开赛时间： 2026-08-21 23:38 UTC

最终结果： Jacksonville Jaguars 17–34 Carolina Panthers

收盘赔率 — 按所选模型，根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始，因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →

胜负盘

32 家博彩公司 (9 家纳入分析 )

模型估计的各赛果概率：四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Jacksonville Jaguars (主队)

预测 44.92%2.23公平赔率
EV -2.97%
优势 -1.37%
Kelly -2.56%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 2.16

博彩公司预测分布
44.00%44.91%44.85%46.48%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
2.052.112.122.1648.78%47.32%47.17%46.30%最小值均值中位数最大值

Carolina Panthers (客队)

预测 55.08%1.82公平赔率
EV -1.96%
优势 -1.10%
Kelly -2.51%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 1.78

博彩公司预测分布
53.52%55.09%55.15%56.00%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.651.731.741.7860.61%57.85%57.47%56.18%最小值均值中位数最大值

按开赛前最后一组赔率，四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为：Jacksonville Jaguars (主队)：44.92%；Carolina Panthers (客队)：55.08%。 对于“Carolina Panthers (客队)”，该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为1.82。 当时没有符合条件的博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率：最佳赔率为1.78，期望值为-1.96%，未产生正期望值。

博彩公司赔率 (32 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联，也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司主队 ▼客队利润率更新时间
FanDuel🎯2.16I 46.30%NM 44.62%EV -2.97%E -1.37%K -2.56%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 55.38%EV -4.16%E -2.39%K -5.63%G +0.000%3.8%2026-08-21 23:14
GTbets🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -3.42%E -1.59%K -2.97%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -4.16%E -2.39%K -5.63%G +0.000%4.0%2026-08-21 21:09
theScore Bet🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -3.42%E -1.59%K -2.97%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -4.16%E -2.39%K -5.63%G +0.000%4.0%2026-08-21 23:29
BetUS🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -3.42%E -1.59%K -2.97%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -4.16%E -2.39%K -5.63%G +0.000%4.0%2026-08-21 22:24
BetAnything🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -3.42%E -1.59%K -2.97%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -4.16%E -2.39%K -5.63%G +0.000%4.0%2026-08-21 22:29
Everygame🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -3.42%E -1.59%K -2.97%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -4.16%E -2.39%K -5.63%G +0.000%4.0%2026-08-21 21:12
Fanatics🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -3.42%E -1.59%K -2.97%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -5.82%E -3.40%K -8.19%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-21 23:35
Hard Rock Bet🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -3.42%E -1.59%K -2.97%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -6.92%E -4.09%K -10.03%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-21 23:35
DraftKings🎯2.14I 46.73%NM 44.85%EV -3.87%E -1.81%K -3.39%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 55.15%EV -4.16%E -2.39%K -5.63%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-21 23:14
SportsBet🎯2.13I 46.95%NM 44.68%EV -4.32%E -2.03%K -3.82%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.32%EV -5.27%E -3.06%K -7.31%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-21 23:14
Pinnacle🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 45.36%EV -4.77%E -2.25%K -4.25%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 54.64%EV -3.06%E -1.74%K -4.03%G +0.000%4.0%2026-08-21 23:29
Caesars🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 45.22%EV -4.77%E -2.25%K -4.25%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.78%EV -3.61%E -2.06%K -4.82%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-21 21:49
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 45.08%EV -4.77%E -2.25%K -4.25%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.92%EV -4.16%E -2.39%K -5.63%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-21 23:14
BetRivers🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 45.08%EV -4.77%E -2.25%K -4.25%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.92%EV -4.16%E -2.39%K -5.63%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-21 23:14
Unibet (SE)🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 45.08%EV -4.77%E -2.25%K -4.25%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.92%EV -4.16%E -2.39%K -5.63%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-21 23:14
betPARX🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 45.08%EV -4.77%E -2.25%K -4.25%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.92%EV -4.16%E -2.39%K -5.63%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-21 23:14
Bally Bet🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 45.08%EV -4.77%E -2.25%K -4.25%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.92%EV -4.16%E -2.39%K -5.63%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-21 23:14
Bovada🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -5.66%E -2.70%K -5.15%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -2.51%E -1.42%K -3.26%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-21 23:28
TAB🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -5.66%E -2.70%K -5.15%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -3.61%E -2.06%K -4.82%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-21 23:24
MyBookie.ag🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -5.66%E -2.70%K -5.15%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -4.16%E -2.39%K -5.63%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-21 23:19
BetMGM🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -5.66%E -2.70%K -5.15%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -4.16%E -2.39%K -5.63%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-21 21:49
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.66%E -2.70%K -5.15%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.71%E -2.73%K -6.46%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-21 21:44
Neds🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.66%E -2.70%K -5.15%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.71%E -2.73%K -6.46%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-21 22:25
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.66%E -2.70%K -5.15%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.71%E -2.73%K -6.46%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-21 22:25
Betsson🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -5.66%E -2.70%K -5.15%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -6.37%E -3.75%K -9.10%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-21 22:09
NordicBet🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -5.66%E -2.70%K -5.15%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -6.37%E -3.75%K -9.10%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-21 22:15
Betr (AU)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.44%EV -5.66%E -2.70%K -5.15%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 55.56%EV -7.47%E -4.45%K -10.98%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-21 23:19
Paddy Power🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.00%EV -5.66%E -2.70%K -5.15%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 56.00%EV -9.12%E -5.53%K -14.03%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-21 22:39
PlayUp🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.48%EV -7.91%E -3.86%K -7.53%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.52%EV -1.96%E -1.10%K -2.51%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-21 23:19
Fliff🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.48%EV -7.91%E -3.86%K -7.53%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 54.52%EV -5.82%E -3.40%K -8.19%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-21 23:14
ReBet🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -7.91%E -3.86%K -7.53%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -6.37%E -3.75%K -9.10%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-21 23:35
LeoVegas🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -7.91%E -3.86%K -7.53%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -6.37%E -3.75%K -9.10%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-21 23:19
利润率 = 利润率（超额概率） · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间，因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变，并不代表数据已经失效。通常，约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除；只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时，才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。

博彩交易所 (6)

博彩公司主队客队利润率 ▲更新时间
Novig◎2.15I 46.51%NM 46.25%1.85I 54.05%NM 53.75%0.6%2026-08-21 23:35
ProphetX◎2.13I 46.95%NM 46.08%1.82I 54.95%NM 53.92%1.9%2026-08-21 23:35
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.06I 48.54%NM 47.04%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.96%3.2%2026-08-21 23:35
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.06I 48.54%NM 47.04%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.96%3.2%2026-08-21 23:35
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.06I 48.54%NM 46.91%1.82I 54.95%NM 53.09%3.5%2026-08-21 23:35
Matchbook◎2.12I 47.17%NM 45.36%1.76I 56.82%NM 54.64%4.0%2026-08-21 23:30