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Cincinnati Bengals v Detroit Lions
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Cincinnati Bengals (Local)
Prediction 70.01%1.43fair odd
EV -3.38%
Edge -2.45%
Kelly -8.90%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.38
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
68.85%70.03%70.10%72.03%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.321.361.361.3875.76%73.49%73.53%72.46%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Detroit Lions (Visit)
Prediction 29.99%3.33fair odd
EV +1.95%
Edge +0.574%
Kelly +0.814%
Growth +0.016%
assuming max odds 3.40
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
27.97%29.97%29.90%31.15%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.003.163.153.4033.33%31.62%31.75%29.41%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Cincinnati Bengals (Local): 70.01%; Detroit Lions (Visit): 29.99%. For Detroit Lions (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.33. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.40, corresponding to a positive expected value of +1.95%.
Sportsbook Odds (30 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ReBet🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -7.58%E -5.74%K -23.69%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV +1.95%E +0.574%K +0.814%G +0.016% | 5.2% | 2026-08-13 10:20 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.50%EV -4.78%E -3.52%K -13.28%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.50%EV -2.55%E -0.783%K -1.13%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-08-13 22:54 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.50%EV -4.78%E -3.52%K -13.28%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.50%EV -2.55%E -0.783%K -1.13%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-08-13 22:54 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.50%EV -4.78%E -3.52%K -13.28%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.50%EV -2.55%E -0.783%K -1.13%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-08-13 06:20 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.52%EV -5.48%E -4.06%K -15.66%G +0.000% | 3.23I 30.96%NM 29.48%EV -3.14%E -0.974%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-13 12:19 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.37I 72.99%NM 70.02%EV -4.08%E -2.98%K -11.03%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.98%EV -4.04%E -1.26%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-08-13 22:49 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.37I 72.99%NM 70.02%EV -4.08%E -2.98%K -11.03%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.98%EV -4.04%E -1.26%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-08-13 22:53 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -4.78%E -3.52%K -13.28%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -4.04%E -1.26%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-13 22:49 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -4.78%E -3.52%K -13.28%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -4.04%E -1.26%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-13 22:49 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -4.78%E -3.52%K -13.28%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -4.04%E -1.26%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-13 22:48 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -4.78%E -3.52%K -13.28%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -4.04%E -1.26%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-13 22:49 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.74%EV -3.38%E -2.45%K -8.90%G +0.000% | 3.18I 31.45%NM 30.26%EV -4.64%E -1.46%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-08-13 22:44 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.04%EV -4.78%E -3.52%K -13.28%G +0.000% | 3.18I 31.45%NM 29.96%EV -4.64%E -1.46%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-13 22:49 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.54%EV -3.38%E -2.45%K -8.90%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.46%EV -5.54%E -1.76%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-08-13 22:49 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.54%EV -3.38%E -2.45%K -8.90%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.46%EV -5.54%E -1.76%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-08-13 22:49 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.54%EV -3.38%E -2.45%K -8.90%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.46%EV -5.54%E -1.76%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-08-13 22:49 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.37I 72.99%NM 69.69%EV -4.08%E -2.98%K -11.03%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.31%EV -5.54%E -1.76%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-13 22:55 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -4.78%E -3.52%K -13.28%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -5.54%E -1.76%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-13 22:49 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -4.78%E -3.52%K -13.28%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -5.54%E -1.76%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-13 22:49 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -4.78%E -3.52%K -13.28%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -5.54%E -1.76%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-13 22:49 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -4.78%E -3.52%K -13.28%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -5.54%E -1.76%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-13 22:49 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -4.78%E -3.52%K -13.28%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -5.54%E -1.76%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-13 22:49 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 70.16%EV -6.18%E -4.61%K -18.18%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.84%EV -5.54%E -1.76%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-13 22:55 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -3.38%E -2.45%K -8.90%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -7.04%E -2.27%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-13 22:49 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 69.66%EV -5.48%E -4.06%K -15.66%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.34%EV -7.04%E -2.27%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-13 22:49 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 69.66%EV -5.48%E -4.06%K -15.66%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.34%EV -7.04%E -2.27%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-13 22:49 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -3.38%E -2.45%K -8.90%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -8.54%E -2.80%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-13 22:44 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -3.38%E -2.45%K -8.90%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -8.54%E -2.80%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-13 22:44 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.63%EV -6.88%E -5.17%K -20.85%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.37%EV -8.54%E -2.80%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-08-13 22:49 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -6.88%E -5.17%K -20.85%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.72%EV -10.04%E -3.35%K -5.02%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-08-13 22:49 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (6)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ProphetX◎ | 1.42I 70.42%NM 70.23% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.77% | 0.3% | 2026-08-13 22:44 |
| Novig◎ | 1.41I 70.92%NM 70.25% | 3.33I 30.03%NM 29.75% | 1.0% | 2026-08-13 22:49 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.41I 70.92%NM 70.06% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.94% | 1.2% | 2026-08-13 22:49 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.41I 70.92%NM 70.06% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.94% | 1.2% | 2026-08-13 22:49 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.41I 70.92%NM 70.06% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.94% | 1.2% | 2026-08-13 22:49 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.39I 71.94%NM 69.38% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.62% | 3.7% | 2026-08-13 22:55 |