The School of Odds
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Cincinnati Bengals v Detroit Lions

2026-08-13 23:00 UTC — NFL Preseason

Head to Head

16 sportsbooks (7 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Cincinnati Bengals (Local)

Prediction 62.60%1.60fair odd
EV -2.35%
Edge -1.51%
Kelly -4.20%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.56

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
61.39%62.47%62.50%63.75%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.451.531.531.5668.97%65.36%65.36%64.10%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Detroit Lions (Visit)

Prediction 37.40%2.67fair odd
EV -2.75%
Edge -1.06%
Kelly -1.72%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.60

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
36.25%37.53%37.50%38.61%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.482.532.542.6040.32%39.48%39.29%38.46%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Cincinnati Bengals (Local): 62.60%; Detroit Lions (Visit): 37.40%. For Cincinnati Bengals (Local), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.60. No eligible bookmaker offers odds above that level: the best available odds are 1.56, with an expected value of -2.35%; they do not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (16 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
BetRivers🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 61.39%EV -2.35%E -1.51%K -4.20%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.61%EV -7.24%E -2.92%K -4.89%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-07 15:45
Unibet (SE)🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 61.39%EV -2.35%E -1.51%K -4.20%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.61%EV -7.24%E -2.92%K -4.89%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-07 15:45
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 61.39%EV -2.35%E -1.51%K -4.20%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.61%EV -7.24%E -2.92%K -4.89%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-07 15:45
betPARX🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 61.39%EV -2.35%E -1.51%K -4.20%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.61%EV -7.24%E -2.92%K -4.89%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-07 15:48
Bally Bet🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 61.39%EV -2.35%E -1.51%K -4.20%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.61%EV -7.24%E -2.92%K -4.89%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-07 16:05
DraftKings🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 62.25%EV -3.60%E -2.34%K -6.67%G +0.000%2.54I 39.37%NM 37.75%EV -5.00%E -1.97%K -3.24%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-07 14:00
GTbets🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.95%EV -4.23%E -2.76%K -7.98%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 37.05%EV -2.75%E -1.06%K -1.72%G +0.000%3.8%2026-08-07 15:50
BetMGM🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.95%EV -4.23%E -2.76%K -7.98%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 37.05%EV -2.75%E -1.06%K -1.72%G +0.000%3.8%2026-08-07 16:45
theScore Bet🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.95%EV -4.23%E -2.76%K -7.98%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 37.05%EV -2.75%E -1.06%K -1.72%G +0.000%3.8%2026-08-07 17:35
FanDuel🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.77%EV -4.23%E -2.76%K -7.98%G +0.000%2.58I 38.76%NM 37.23%EV -3.50%E -1.36%K -2.21%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-07 12:15
LeoVegas🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -4.23%E -2.76%K -7.98%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -4.62%E -1.81%K -2.98%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-07 18:40
Fanatics🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -4.23%E -2.76%K -7.98%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -4.62%E -1.81%K -2.98%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-07 18:00
SportsBet🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 62.90%EV -5.48%E -3.63%K -10.74%G +0.000%2.56I 39.06%NM 37.10%EV -4.25%E -1.66%K -2.72%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-07 12:15
NordicBet🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -6.11%E -4.07%K -12.21%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -6.49%E -2.60%K -4.33%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-07 17:10
Betsson🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -6.11%E -4.07%K -12.21%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -6.49%E -2.60%K -4.33%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-07 17:15
Paddy Power🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 63.75%EV -9.24%E -6.37%K -20.52%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.25%EV -4.62%E -1.81%K -2.98%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-07 12:16
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (1)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Novig◎1.59I 62.89%NM 60.25%2.41I 41.49%NM 39.75%4.4%2026-08-07 18:15